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Biomedical subjects

A A Stinnett

Publications and source records attributed to A A Stinnett.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

Cost-effective use of nevirapine to prevent vertical HIV transmission in sub-Saharan Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-effectiveness of alternative strategies of nevirapine (NVP) administration to prevent vertical HIV transmission in sub-Saharan Africa. DESIGN: A decision-analysis model was constructed to estimate the costs and effects of NVP-based prevention strategies for two separate groups of women: those who qualify for standard therapy by attending a 36-week prenatal visit, and those who do not qualify, owing to preterm delivery or lack of prenatal care. RESULTS: For women in prenatal care, mass provision of NVP without maternal serodiagnosis was found to yield greater health gains at an acceptable cost, compared with providing targeted therapy to only those women identified as seropositive. However, this conclusion was strongly contingent on several uncertain assumptions, most importantly the probability that a woman who does not know her serostatus will nonetheless adhere to therapy. Among those women who present for delivery without prior enrollment in a prenatal strategy, either late provision of maternal-infant NVP or treatment of only the infant would likely be a cost-effective alternative to the current practice of offering no preventive therapy. CONCLUSIONS: NVP intervention offers a cost-effective avenue for preventing vertical HIV transmission in sub-Saharan Africa. The optimal choice between mass therapy and targeted therapy cannot be confidently identified without information regarding adherence among women who do not know their serostatus. For women who do not receive NVP prenatally, treatment on presentation for delivery would be cost-effective even in the face of modest clinical efficacy. Clinical assessment of adherence to therapy among women who do not know their status and the field effectiveness of alternative approaches to NVP administration is urgently needed to allow identification of optimal prevention strategies.

AIDS Serodiagnosis↗

Cost-effectiveness of cholesterol-lowering therapies according to selected patient characteristics.

BACKGROUND: The National Cholesterol Education Program Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults (Adult Treatment Panel II) recommends treatment guidelines based on cholesterol level and number of risk factors. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate how the cost-effectiveness ratios of cholesterol-lowering therapies vary according to different risk factors. DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness analysis. DATA SOURCES: Published data. TARGET POPULATION: Women and men 35 to 84 years of age with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels of 4.1 mmol/L or greater (> or =160 mg/dL), divided into 240 risk subgroups according to age, sex, and the presence or absence of four coronary heart disease risk factors (smoking status, blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level). TIME HORIZON: 30 years. PERSPECTIVE: Societal. INTERVENTIONS: Step I diet, statin therapy, and no preventive treatment for primary and secondary prevention. OUTCOME MEASURES: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for primary prevention with step I diet ranged from $1900 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained to $500000 per QALY depending on risk subgroup characteristics. Primary prevention with a statin compared with diet therapy was $54000 per QALY to $1400000 per QALY. Secondary prevention with a statin cost less than $50000 per QALY for all risk subgroups. RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: The inclusion of niacin as a primary prevention option resulted in much less favorable incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for primary prevention with a statin (>$500000 per QALY). CONCLUSIONS: Cost-effectiveness of treatment strategies varies significantly when adjusted for age, sex, and the presence or absence of additional risk factors. Primary prevention with a step I diet seems to be cost-effective for most risk subgroups but may not be cost-effective for otherwise healthy young women. Primary prevention with a statin may not be cost-effective for younger men and women with few risk factors, given the option of secondary prevention and of primary prevention in older age ranges. Secondary prevention with a statin seems to be cost-effective for all risk subgroups and is cost-saving in some high-risk subgroups.

Adult↗

An economic evaluation of levofloxacin versus cefuroxime axetil in the outpatient treatment of adults with community-acquired pneumonia.

OBJECTIVE: To examine treatment costs of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in adult outpatients given oral (p.o.) levofloxacin or cefuroxime axetil as initial therapy. STUDY DESIGN: Patients with a primary diagnosis of CAP were enrolled in a multicenter, prospective, randomized, open-label, active-controlled Phase III clinical trial. Both inpatients and outpatients were assigned to 1 of 2 treatment groups: (1) intravenous (i.v.) or p.o. levofloxacin; or (2) i.v. ceftriaxone and/or p.o. cefuroxime axetil. METHODS: To make legitimate and meaningful cost comparisons between similar types of patients receiving drugs via the same route of administration (i.e., orally), this outpatient economic study examined the resource utilization of the 211 patients enrolled as outpatients who received oral formulations as initial treatment (levofloxacin, 103 patients; cefuroxime axetil, 108 patients). Resource utilization data and clinical trial data were collected concurrently. To generate cost estimates, Medicare cost estimates for resources were multiplied by the resource units used by patients in each treatment arm. RESULTS: Cost estimates indicated a total cost difference that favored the levofloxacin group (base case: $169; sensitivity analysis: $223 [P = .008]). The results for the base case were not significant (P = .094). In addition, within the cost categories, there was a statistically significant study drug cost differential favoring levofloxacin ($86; P = .0001 for both the base case and sensitivity analysis). CONCLUSION: Oral levofloxacin is less costly than oral cefuroxime axetil in the outpatient treatment of adults with CAP.

Adult↗

Ratio-based and net benefit-based approaches to health care resource allocation: proofs of optimality and equivalence.

Both incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and net benefits have been proposed as summary measures for use in cost-effectiveness analyses. We present a unifying proof of the optimality and equivalence of ICER- and net benefit-based approaches to the health resource allocation problem, including both 'fixed budget' and 'fixed price' decision rules. If internally consistent willingness-to-pay values are used, ratio- and net benefit-based decision rules identify the same optimal allocation. Because they have identical resource allocation implications, use of one or other of the two approaches must be based on other criteria, such as their behaviour under conditions of uncertainty.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗

At what price significance? The effect of price estimates on statistical inference in economic evaluation.

Because data on resource utilization are now collected in many comparative trials of health interventions, statistical analysis of between-group differences in mean costs has become common. Statistical analyses of costs are generally performed conditional on a set of resource prices (or unit costs), thereby suppressing any uncertainty associated with those price estimates. Results presented here demonstrate that varying price estimates can have a non-negligible effect on statistical inference regarding between-group cost differences. Depending on the relative prices used in an analysis, between-group differences in total costs per patient may be either statistically significant or insignificant, regardless of whether differences in utilization of the underlying resources are statistically significant. These results highlight the importance of recognizing that evaluations based on patient-level economic data may be sensitive to assumptions regarding the values of unobserved variables, such as the relative prices of resources. Traditional methods of sensitivity analysis remain a valuable tool for analysing the implications of uncertainty around estimates of those unobserved variables.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗

Mathematical programming for the efficient allocation of health care resources.

Previous discussions of methods for the efficient allocation of health care resources subject to a budget constraint have relied on unnecessarily restrictive assumptions. This paper makes use of established optimization techniques to demonstrate that a general mathematical programming framework can accommodate much more complex information regarding returns to scale, partial and complete indivisibility and program interdependence. Methods are also presented for incorporating ethical constraints into the resource allocation process, including explicit identification of the cost of equity.

Budgets↗

Adjusting for bias in C/E ratio estimates.

The estimator used to calculate incremental cost-effectiveness (C/E) ratios from sampled data is biased but consistent. While the bias may be negligible in studies with large sample sizes, it is potentially important in analyses based on small samples. When patient-level data on costs and effects are available, bootstrap simulation methods can be used to estimate the bias of a C/E ratio and adjust the point estimate accordingly.

Bias↗

Estimating CE ratios under second-order uncertainty: the mean ratio versus the ratio of means.

Two methods have been presented for estimating cost-effectiveness ratios under conditions of second-order (model) uncertainty: one method estimates a mean ratio of cost to effect (the "mean ratio" approach), and the other estimates a ratio of mean cost to mean effect (the "ratio of means" approach). However, the question of which estimate is theoretically correct has not been formally addressed. The authors show that the "ratio of means" approach follows directly from the theoretical foundations of cost-effectiveness analysis, has attractive internal consistency properties, and is consistent with a simple vector algebra approach to the problem. In contrast, the "mean ratio" approach has not been shown to follow from first principles, is internally inconsistent, and can prescribe economically inefficient choices. It is concluded that the "ratio of means" procedure should be preferred unless persuasive arguments are presented to the contrary.

Computer Simulation↗

Net health benefits: a new framework for the analysis of uncertainty in cost-effectiveness analysis.

In recent years, considerable attention has been devoted to the development of statistical methods for the analysis of uncertainty in cost-effectiveness (CE) analysis, with a focus on situations in which the analyst has patient-level data on the costs and health effects of alternative interventions. To date, discussions have focused almost exclusively on addressing the practical challenges involved in estimating confidence intervals for CE ratios. However, the general approach of using confidence intervals to convey information about uncertainty around CE ratio estimates suffers from theoretical limitations that render it inappropriate in many situations. The authors present an alternative framework for analyzing uncertainty in the economic evaluation of health interventions (the "net health benefits" approach) that is more broadly applicable and that avoids some problems of prior methods. This approach offers several practical and theoretical advantages over the analysis of CE ratios, is straightforward to apply, and highlights some important principles in the theoretical underpinnings of CE analysis.

Confidence Intervals↗