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A Mogenet

Publications and source records attributed to A Mogenet.

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Life table analysis of the risk of type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus in siblings according to islet cell antibodies and HLA markers. An 8-year prospective study.

To determine whether genetic markers can improve the predictive value of islet cell antibodies for development of Type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus, 536 siblings aged 2-29 years were consecutively enrolled in a 8-year prospective survey. The risk of developing diabetes was estimated, using life-table methods, by years of follow-up and age, according to genetic factors (shared HLA-haplotypes, DR antigens, C4 allotypes) and islet cell antibody status. Fifteen siblings (2.8%) developed Type 1 diabetes during the study period (risk 4.4% after 8 years, 4% by age 22 years). DR3,4 heterozygosity identified higher risk (16% after 8 years, 12% by age 22 years, p less than 10(-5)) than HLA-identity (10% and 7%, respectively, p less than 0.01); risks for DR3 or DR4 positive and for haplo-identical siblings were low (4%, 3% and 4.4%, respectively, NS). C4BQO also conferred significant risk (11% vs 3% in non-C4BQO siblings, p less than 0.01). The predictive value of genetic markers alone was poor (12% for DR3,4, 7% for HLA-identity, 9% for C4BQO) compared with that of islet cell antibody levels greater than 4 Juvenile Diabetes Foundation units (41%, risk 56% after 8 years, p less than 10(-7)). HLA markers significantly contributed to risk prediction in combination with islet cell antibodies: islet cell antibody-positive DR3,4+ subjects had the highest risk (70% after 8 years, predictive value 58%, p less than 10(-7)) compared with islet cell antibody-positive DR3,4- (37% and 20%, respectively) and islet cell antibody-negative DR3,4+ (5% and 3.6%, respectively).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adolescent

Relationship between first-phase insulin secretion and age, HLA, islet cell antibody status, and development of type I diabetes in 220 juvenile first-degree relatives of diabetic patients.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the adequacy of the first-phase insulin response for predicting development of insulin-dependent diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Determinations were made of 1- and 3-min insulin responses to glucose (0.5 g/kg i.v.), islet cell antibodies (ICAs), insulin autoantibodies (IAAs), and HLA. We studied 220 first-degree relatives (aged 3-29 yr) of diabetic patients; 75 underwent two or more tests. RESULTS: At the first test, insulin responses correlated with age in ICA- children less than or equal to 11 yr old (r = 0.46, p less than 0.001). Individual responses varied widely in all ages, and low values were common (5th percentile: 108 pM in children less than 5 yr old, 180 pM thereafter). No correlation was found between insulin responses and IAAs or HLA. The responses of 15 ICA+ subjects were not significantly different from those of ICA- subjects after excluding the influence of age. At subsequent tests, ICA+ and ICA- subjects displayed distinct changes; the mean +/- SE insulin response increased in ICA- subjects from 619.2 +/- 40.8 to 716.4 +/- 50.4 pM (P less than 0.001) but declined in ICA+ subjects from 403.2 +/- 91.8 to 313.8 +/- 67.2 pM (P less than 0.02). During follow-up, 5 of 9 (56%) consistently ICA+ siblings developed diabetes or impaired glucose tolerance compared with 1 of 54 (2%) consistently ICA- subjects. The sensitivity and specificity of two or more low insulin responses (300 pM) for predicting progression to diabetes were 60 and 96%, respectively; the predictive value was 43%. The highest predictive value (75%) was achieved by the combination consistently ICA+, consistently low insulin response, and HLA-DR3/4. However, in no subject could the time of onset of diabetes be deduced from the decline of the insulin response. CONCLUSIONS: Consecutive intravenous glucose tolerance tests are a useful complement for predicting progression to diabetes but not its onset.

Age Factors

[Decrease of early insulin secretion, risk factor of insulin-dependent diabetes. Prospective study in families with diabetic children].

In order to study the capacity of the first phase insulin response (FPIR) for predicting insulin-dependent diabetes (IDDM), we have performed one or more intravenous glucose tolerance tests (IVGTT) and determined islet-cell antibodies (ICA) and HLA-types in 220 first degree relatives of IDDM patients (194 siblings, 26 offsprings) aged 2 to 29 years. They were prospectively followed for periods ranging from 18 months to 8 years. The immunological and metabolic changes in 9 subjects who have developed IDDM or impaired glucose tolerance during the study and in 3 ICA-positive non-diabetic subjects were compared to those in ICA-negative subjects. Although the mean FPIR (1 + 3 min. plasma insulin) was significantly lower in ICA-positive compared with ICA-negative subjects, a unique low FPIR had no predictive value at the individual level. At repeated tests, the two groups followed distinctive evolutive patterns: ICA-negative subjects usually had higher FPIRs at a 2nd test, while FPIRs remained low or still decreased in ICA-positive subjects. Follow-up of subjects at high risk showed good concordance between the different predictive factors: among the 9 subjects who have developed IDDM, 7 had persisting ICA, 8 were HLA-DR3, DR4; the FPIR was consistently low in 3 and low at least once in 4. Progressive loss of the FPIR allowing to predict the time of onset of IDDM, was not observed.

Adolescent