Progression of HIV-infection: markers or determinants.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to A Muñoz.
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Limited data are available on cognitive performance in populations of intravenous drug users during the early, asymptomatic stages of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection. Between 1988 and 1990, 151 participants from the AIDS Link to Intravenous Experience (ALIVE) Study in Baltimore, Maryland, were evaluated neuropsychologically on a semiannual basis. This analysis focused on whether history of substance abuse influenced neuropsychological test performance. At baseline, 102 participants were HIV-1-seropositives who were free of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome and 49 participants were seronegative. Multivariate analyses, adjusting for correlation of repeated outcome measures, were conducted to determine predictors of neuropsychological functioning. Effects of the frequency of reported past use of marijuana, heroin, cocaine, barbiturates, and alcohol were not statistically associated with performance on the tests. Age and education were the most important predictors of test performance, and a significant practice effect was observed for most measures. After adjustment for age, education, the practice effect, and frequency of drug use, neuropsychological performance over time did not vary by HIV-1 serostatus. Overall, after acutely intoxicated individuals were excluded, neither frequency of drug and alcohol use nor HIV-1 seropositivity significantly influenced neuropsychological test performance over a 1-year period.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of serologic testing of blood donors for human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) and human T-cell lymphotropic virus types I and II (HTLV-I/II) infections and to estimate the risk for transmission of HIV-1 and HTLV-I/II by transfusion of seronegative blood from screened donors. DESIGN: A prospective multicenter cohort study of cardiac surgery patients who received multiple transfusions between 1985 and 1991. SETTING: Cardiac surgery services of three large tertiary care hospitals. PATIENTS: The study included 11,532 patients in three hospitals who had cardiovascular surgery. MEASUREMENTS: Incident HIV-1 and HTLV-I or HTLV-II infection. RESULTS: We detected two new HIV-1 infections among patients transfused with 120,312 units of blood components from seronegative donors. In each case a donor was detected on follow-up who had seroconverted since the donation. The HIV-1 infection rate was 0.0017% with an upper limit of the 95% CI of 0.0053%. Before donor screening for HTLV-I, transfusion of 51,026 units resulted in two HTLV-I infections (0.0039%) and four HTLV-II infections (0.0078%). After HTLV-I screening was instituted, one recipient was infected with HTLV-II among participants exposed to 69,272 units, a rate of 0.0014%. A corresponding HTLV-I/II-infected donor was found for this patient. CONCLUSION: Serologic screening of donors for antibodies to HIV-1 and HTLV-I coupled with exclusion of donors from groups having a relatively high risk for infection has led to a low incidence of transfusion-transmitted HIV-1 and HTLV-I/II infection in the United States. A small risk remains, however, despite these measures. We estimate the residual risk for HIV-1 and HTLV-II infection from transfusion of screened blood during the time of this study to be about 1 in 60,000 units.
BACKGROUND: The most common serious complication of blood transfusion is post-transfusion hepatitis from the hepatitis C virus (HCV). Blood banks now screen blood donors for surrogate markers of non-A, non-B hepatitis and antibodies to HCV, but the current risk of post-transfusion hepatitis C is unknown. METHODS: From 1985 through 1991, blood samples and medical information were obtained prospectively from patients before and at least six months after cardiac surgery. The stored serum samples were tested for antibodies to HCV by enzyme immunoassay, and by recombinant immunoblotting if positive. RESULTS: Of the 912 patients who received transfusions before donors were screened for surrogate markers, 35 seroconverted to HCV, for a risk of 3.84 percent per patient (0.45 percent per unit transfused). For the 976 patients who received transfusions after October 1986 with blood screened for surrogate markers, the risk of seroconversion was 1.54 percent per patient (0.19 percent per unit). For the 522 patients receiving transfusions since the addition in May 1990 of screening for antibodies to HCV, the risk was 0.57 percent per patient (0.03 percent per unit). The trend toward decreasing risk with increasingly stringent screening of donors was statistically significant (P less than 0.001). After we controlled for the method of donor screening, the risk of seroconversion was strongly associated (P less than 0.001) with the volume of blood transfused, but not with the use of particular blood components. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of post-transfusion hepatitis C has decreased markedly since the implementation of donor screening for surrogate markers and antibodies to HCV. The current risk of post-transfusion hepatitis is about 3 per 10,000 units transfused.
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The natural history of infection with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) is characterized by a relentless decline in CD4-positive lymphocytes and the ultimate development of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). However, variables other than the CD4-positive lymphocyte level contribute to the measurement of risk for AIDS and can be used as predictors of AIDS onset. This study was undertaken to identify factors that, independently of the CD4-positive lymphocyte level, would predict the risk of AIDS over 24 months in a cohort of HIV-1 seropositive homosexual men receiving no antiretroviral therapy. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data from 1,325 white, HIV-1 seropositive participants in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study who have been studied for 4 years were analyzed with univariate and multivariate methods. To control for stage of infection, the baseline percentage of CD4-positive lymphocytes (a known marker of disease progression), and the decline of CD4-positive cells during the first 6 months of observation were used as continuous variables. The variables that were independently associated with an increased risk of developing AIDS were: low baseline CD4 percentage, decline in the CD4 percentage during the first 6 months of follow-up, the presence of serum immunoglobulin A at baseline, decrease in hemoglobin during the first 6 months of follow-up, incident fatigue, and the interaction of decline in the CD4 percentage and incident thrush. While low CD4 percentage and other variables have been previously described as prognostic markers, decline in the CD4 percentage and the interaction of that decline and incident thrush have not previously been described as being of prognostic importance. These variables and the analytic method for estimating prognosis may prove useful for selecting and evaluating antiretroviral therapy, instituting prophylactic measures against certain opportunistic infections, and recruitment into clinical trials. Because study participants received no antiretroviral prophylaxis during the period under analysis, the method could be used to estimate the prognosis for those receiving investigational treatment were they to remain untreated, effectively making any participant in a clinical trial his own untreated control.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate changes in T-cell subsets in prevalent human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) seronegative and seropositive intravenous drug users (IVDUs) and in HIV-1 seropositive IVDUs with known time of seroconversion. DESIGN: Cohort study with a median 18-month follow-up. SETTING: Community-based clinic established to study the natural history of HIV infection in IVDUs. SUBJECTS: Eight hundred fifty-nine self-referred IVDUs aged 18 through 49 years who injected drugs within the last 10 years and who did not have an AIDS (acquired immunodeficiency syndrome)--defining illness; 152 were seronegative for HIV-1, 621 were seropositive, and 86 seroconverted during the study. OUTCOME MEASURES: Proportions and absolute numbers of lymphocytes and CD3, CD4, and CD8 T cells as determined at 6-month intervals by flow cytometry and complete blood cell counts with automated differential. RESULTS: Median numbers of CD4 lymphocytes at enrollment were 1061/microL (1.06 x 10(9)/L) for seronegative IVDUs, 508/microL for seropositive IVDUs, and 733/microL for those who seroconverted (enrolled a median of 4.5 months after seroconversion); the corresponding figures for CD8 lymphocytes were 628, 894, and 889/microL, respectively. Median rates of decline in absolute numbers and percentages of CD4 lymphocytes per 6 months were 7.6/microL (0.0%) for seropositive IVDUs and 55.1/microL (1.9%) for IVDUs who seroconverted (median follow-up after seroconversion was 12 months). Multivariate regression analysis that incorporated the within-individual correlation of the CD4 lymphocyte counts showed no significant change in these cells over time and no change due to use of drugs. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that progression of HIV-1 infection in IVDUs, as reflected in decline of CD4 cell counts, is no more rapid than that reported for other risk groups.
In natural history studies of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection a substantial proportion of participants are seropositive at time of enrollment in the study. These participants form a prevalent subcohort. Estimation of the unknown times since exposure to HIV-1 in the prevalent subcohort is of primary importance for estimation of the incubation time of AIDS. The subset of the cohort that tested negative for antibody to HIV-1 at study entry and was observed to seroconvert forms the incident subcohort that provides longitudinal data on markers of maturity (that is, duration) of infection. We use parametric life table regression models incorporating truncation to describe the conditional distribution (imputing model) of the times since seroconversion given a vector of the markers of maturity. Using the fitted model and the values of the markers of maturity of infection provided by the seroprevalent subcohort at entry into the study, we can impute the unknown times since seroconversion for the prevalent subcohort. We implement multiple imputation based on a model-robust estimate of the covariance matrix of parameters of the imputing model to provide confidence intervals for the geometric mean of the time since seroconversion in the prevalent subcohort, and to compare maturity of infection of cohorts recruited in different cities. The accuracy of imputation is further validated by comparisons of imputation-based estimates of AIDS incubation distribution in the seroprevalent subcohort with more direct estimates obtained from the seroincident subcohort.
A human pancreatic beta cell line (HP62) was tested for reactivity with islet cell antibodies (ICA) as compared with previously-established methods. Using indirect immunofluorescence test, we found that HP62 cell line failed to react in a specific way with ICA from type 1 (insulin-dependent) diabetic patients since sera from normal controls showed a reactivity similar to that found in the patients. So, the usefulness of this human beta cell line as a tool of immunological purpose is questioned when indirect immunofluorescence procedures are used.
Although crude correlations are useful in family studies, some adjustment for effects of risk factors that vary both within and among families if often needed. A linear model for estimating sibship correlations while simultaneously considering height, age, race, sex, ascertainment, and smoking status was used on pulmonary function data on 1-second forced expiratory volume (FEV1) and the natural logarithm of the ratio of FEV1 to forced vital capacity (lnFEV%) from 402 adults in 152 white sibships and 172 adults in 59 black sibships. Crude correlations of .271 +/- .048 (FEV1) and .342 +/- .047 (lnFEV%) decreased significantly to .206 +/- .048 and .231 +/- .048, respectively, after adjustment. For black and white sibs, adjusted intraclass correlations, although not statistically different, were .153 +/- .089 and .225 +/- .055 (FEV1), respectively, and were .103 +/- .088 and .275 +/- .054 (lnFEV%), respectively, suggesting that pulmonary function may aggregate more strongly among whites. This analysis illustrates how risk factor adjustment can be readily incorporated into familial correlation studies.
This study presents an analysis of the factors associated with HTLV-I seroprevalence in the endemic area of Tumaco, Colombia. During June to August 1988, 1,077 individuals were selected at random from a population of 45,594. The overall prevalence rate of HTLV-I antibodies was 2.8%. Among females prevalence was significantly higher (p less than 0.02) than among males. Rates increased substantially with age. HTLV-I prevalence among individuals with history of use of intravenous medications was significantly higher (p less than 0.001) than in those without such history. Logistic regression analysis included age in years, indicators for male gender, and for i.v. injections, and their interactions. Age was very strongly associated to HTLV-I infection among females. At early ages prevalence was not different between sexes, but females presented a significantly higher rate than males after age 42. History of i.v. administered medications was very strongly associated in the univariate analysis and, although significance was borderline in the multivariate analysis, it had the effect of doubling the odds of HTLV-I infection.
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We examined the association of three serum immune markers with CD4 cell counts in a large cohort of i.v. drug users with and without human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. Levels of beta 2-microglobulin and neopterin were significantly elevated in HIV-infected subjects and increased in association with decline in CD4 cell counts (all p less than 0.001). Serum IgA levels in HIV-seropositive individuals were significantly elevated only when the CD4 cell count was less than 200/microliters (p less than 0.001). After controlling for HIV status and CD4 count, recent history of hepatitis was associated with significantly higher beta 2-microglobulin (p = 0.028) and marginally higher neopterin (p = 0.052) levels. There was no association of race, gender, or drug use patterns with levels of serum immune markers after controlling for HIV status and CD4 count. These data indicate that immune activation is coupled with immunosuppression in HIV-infected i.v. drug users. In addition, beta 2-microglobulin and neopterin levels are elevated in persons with a recent history of hepatitis but not in those with recent non-AIDS-defining bacterial infections. Markers of immune activation do not vary by race, gender, or drug use patterns among i.v. drug users.
A single CD4+ cell count (CD4) measurement is often used to stage HIV-1 infection, decide when to initiate prophylactic therapy and inform patients, and may soon even define AIDS onset. Documentation of the reliability and validity of employing CD4 for the above purposes in a population-based setting is needed. We utilized data from 4,954 homosexual/bisexual men followed over 6 years, with CD4 testing at 6 month intervals, to study the timing of CD4-based staging of HIV-1 disease and quantify and evaluate the potential impact of CD4 measurement error. The median time from seroconversion to first CD4 test below 500 x 10(6)/L or clinical AIDS was 1.70 years, and the first CD4 test below 200 x 10(6)/L or clinical AIDs was 5.29 years. The time from first testing less than 500 x 10(6)/L to clinical AIDS in untreated men was 5.55 years. With confirmatory retesting, these times were significantly lengthened. The 95% confidence ranges for the true CD4 state in individuals with measured CD4 of 500 and 200 x 10(6)/L are at least (297 x 10(6), 841 x 10(6)/L) and (118 x 10(6), 337 x 10(6)/L), respectively. Without confirmatory retesting, individuals with true CD4 remaining at 700 x 10(6) and 280 x 10(6)/L have at least a 40% chance for one of five CD4 measurements to fall below guideline limits of 500 x 10(6) and 200 x 10(6)/L, respectively. Confirmatory retesting can reduce these probabilities to as low as 4%.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
The interaction between the effects of HIV-1 infection and cigarette smoking on leukocyte profiles was studied in 307 HIV-1 seroconverters in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS). Longitudinal data for white blood cell (WBC) counts, WBC differentials, T cell subsets, and smoking behavior were collected semiannually for up to 7 years. Prior to seroconversion, total WBC count increased in direct proportion to daily cigarette consumption, but this effect disappeared within 3 years of seroconversion. Analyses of WBC subsets (lymphocytes, monocytes, and granulocytes) and lymphocyte subsets (CD4+, CD8+ and non-T[CD3-]) showed that smoking had only minor effects on the proportions of these cells. In contrast, HIV-1 seroconversion was associated with a dramatic decrease in CD4+ lymphocyte percentage, a large increase in CD8+ lymphocyte percentage, a small increase in total lymphocyte percentage, and small decreases in the non-T lymphocyte and granulocyte percentages. These findings indicate that the effect of smoking on CD4 cell counts is (a) nonspecific, (b) maximal in seronegative individuals; and (c) lost by 3 years after seroconversion. Although the mechanism of the loss of smoking-induced leukocytosis after seroconversion remains to be determined, our results suggest that the effects of smoking are not likely to be important in the clinical use of leukocyte measurements, including measurements of CD4 lymphocytes, in individuals who have been HIV-1 seropositive for more than 3 years.
In epidemiological settings, we are often faced with numerous short time series, and a parsimonious parametrization of the correlation structure is desired in order to optimize the efficiency of the estimation procedure. We propose a damped exponential correlation structure for modeling multivariate Gaussian outcomes. The correlation between two observations separated by s units of time is modeled as gamma s theta, where gamma is the correlation between elements separated by one s-unit, and theta is a damping parameter. For (theta = 0), (theta = 1), and theta----infinity), the correlation structures of compound symmetry, first-order autoregressive, and first-order moving average processes are obtained. Although the AR(2) dependency structure, and the combination of random effects and AR(1) errors are not special cases of the proposed parametric family, these structures can be well approximated within the family for short time series. Maximum likelihood methods for parameter estimation and interpretations of intermediate models (0 less than theta less than 1) are discussed in the context of modeling pulmonary function in an adult population in The Netherlands and T-cell subsets in homosexual men infected with human immunodeficiency virus Type I.
The cytoarchitecture of the area octavolateralis (AOL) in Pleurodeles waltlii is studied by means of normal stained material. In addition, the main ultrastructural features of the cells in the AOL are described. In the AOL, three columns, one upon the other (dorsal, intermediate and ventral), are present. Each one includes a medially located cell group and lateral neuropil. While rostrally the three are well represented, the dorsal subdivision do not reach the same caudal extent where the intermediate column forms a small lobe. The ultrastructure of the neurons in the AOL reveals similarities with other cell types in the amphibian brain. A comparative analysis of the ultrastructure of vestibular cells with other vertebrates is also discussed.
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