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Biomedical subjects

A Whiteside

Publications and source records attributed to A Whiteside.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Demography and economics of HIV/AIDS.

The rapid spread of HIV in the 1980s and 1990s in the non-industrialised world is now leading to an AIDS epidemic. This in turn is having a demographic and economic impact on these societies. This article assesses the most recent evidence for these impacts. It concludes that, while there is already a real and measurable impact, there is far worse to come. The demographic consequences will be particularly serious. Economic impact is rather more uncertain, and the article looks at the macro-economic impact as well as that on firms. In addition, it is postulated that economics may not be the most appropriate discipline to assess the true effects of the disease.

Adolescent↗

The HIV/AIDS epidemic in Ukraine: its potential social and economic impact.

Present and immediately foreseeable medical knowledge suggest that HIV infection cannot be avoided by vaccination and that an affordable cure for the resulting syndrome, AIDS, is a long way off. There is a strong possibility that Ukraine is confronted by an HIV epidemic which will spread into the general population and that the most common mode of transmission will be through heterosexual intercourse. The epidemic in the Ukraine is currently concentrated among intravenous drug users. It is estimated that between 60,000 and 180,000 people may currently be infected. In present economic and social circumstances there are many features of Ukrainian society that may add to the probability of the epidemic becoming widespread in the general population. It is likely that this process may have already commenced. The result of this will be numerous additional deaths and illness over the short (5 year) (19,000-23,000 deaths), medium (10-15 year) (61,000-111,000), and longer terms (>20 year) (in excess of 40,000-160,000 deaths). The research reported here was undertaken in 1997-8 and describes the potential medium to long term social and economic impact of an HIV/AIDS epidemic in Ukraine. Using the concepts of risk environment, susceptibility and vulnerability, it reports the problems which might be expected to develop in relation to care of excess orphans, the elderly, vulnerable households and regions as well as among those working in the "third sector", a social sector upon which exponents of the importance of developing sound "civil society" in "transitional economies" place heavy emphasis.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

South African HIV surveillance.

In (Africa Health), Nov 1994, you state that "AIDS specialist Alan Whiteside at the University of Natal says that one in five South Africans may be HIV positive." This is an inaccurate quote. South Africa is perhaps unique in African countries in that we have had very large sentinel surveys carried out on women attending ante-natal clinics for the past four years. These are done in October/November each year and have given us an accurate picture of the progress of the epidemic. The results from the 1994 survey are not yet available. However, the 1993 results were used to make predictions for 1994. In the worst affected area of South Africa, the prediction is that 19.78% of women attending the ante-natal clinics will be HIV positive. Full results by province are given in the following table. It would not, therefore, be accurate to say that one in five South Africans may be HIV positive, as clearly this is not the case country-wide and, even though one in five women in Natal/KwaZulu may be positive, they represent only the sexually active adult population.

Africa↗