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Biomedical subjects

Adrian R Levy

Publications and source records attributed to Adrian R Levy.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Socioeconomic status and hospital utilization among younger adult pneumonia admissions at a Canadian hospital.

BACKGROUND: Although the general association between socioeconomic status (SES) and hospitalization has been well established, few studies have considered the relationship between SES and hospital length of stay (LOS), and/or hospital re-admission. The primary objective of this study therefore, was to examine the relationship of SES to LOS and early re-admission among adult patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia in a setting with universal health insurance. METHODS: Four hundred and thirty-four (434) individuals were included in this retrospective, longitudinal cohort analysis of adult patients less than 65 years old admitted to a large teaching hospital in Vancouver, British Columbia. Hospital chart review data were linked to population-based health plan administrative data. Chart review was used to gather data on demographics, illness severity, co-morbidity, functional status and other measures of case mix. Two different types of administrative data were used to determine hospital LOS and the occurrence of all-cause re-admission to any hospital within 30 days of discharge. SES was measured by individual-level financial hardship (receipt of income assistance or provincial disability pension) and neighbourhood-level income quintiles. RESULTS: Those with individual-level financial hardship had an estimated 15% (95% CI -0.4%, +32%, p = 0.057) longer adjusted LOS and greater risk of early re-admission (adjusted OR 2.65, 95% CI 1.38, 5.09). Neighbourhood-level income quintiles, showed no association with LOS or early re-admission. CONCLUSION: Among hospitalized pneumonia patients less than 65 years, financial hardship derived from individual-level data, was associated with an over two-fold greater risk of early re-admission and a marginally significant longer hospital LOS. However, the same association was not apparent when an ecological measure of SES derived from neighbourhood income quintiles was examined. The ecological SES variable, while useful in many circumstances, may lack the sensitivity to detect the full range of SES effects in clinical studies.

Adolescent↗

Cumulative incidence for wait-list death in relation to length of queue for coronary-artery bypass grafting: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In deciding where to undergo coronary-artery bypass grafting, the length of surgical wait lists is often the only information available to cardiologists and their patients. Our objective was to compare the cumulative incidence for death on the wait list according to the length of wait lists at the time of registration for the operation. METHODS: The study cohort included 8966 patients who registered to undergo isolated coronary-artery bypass grafting (82.4% men; 71.9% semi-urgent; 22.4% non-urgent). The patients were categorized according to wait-list clearance time at registration: either "1 month or less" or "more than 1 month". Cumulative incidence for wait-list death was compared between the groups, and the significance of difference was tested by means of regression models. RESULTS: Urgent patients never registered on a wait list with a clearance time of more than 1 month. Semi-urgent patients registered on shorter wait lists more often than non-urgent patients (79.1% vs. 44.7%). In semi-urgent and non-urgent patients, the observed proportion of wait-list deaths by 52 weeks was lower in category "1 month or less" than in category "more than 1 month" (0.8% [49 deaths] vs. 1.6% [39 deaths], P < 0.005). After adjustment, the odds of death before surgery were 64% higher in patients on longer lists, odds ratio [OR] = 1.64 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-2.63). The observed death rate was higher in category "more than 1 month" than in category "1 month or less", 0.79 (95%CI 0.54-1.04) vs. 0.58 (95% CI 0.42-0.74) per 1000 patient-weeks, the adjusted OR = 1.60 (95%CI 1.01-2.53). Longer wait times (log-rank test = 266.4, P < 0.001) and higher death rates contributed to a higher cumulative incidence for death on the wait list with a clearance time of more than 1 month. CONCLUSION: Long wait lists for coronary-artery bypass grafting are associated with increased probability that a patient dies before surgery. Physicians who advise patients where to undergo cardiac revascularization should consider the risk of pre-surgical death that is associated with the length of a surgical wait list.

Aged↗

The risk of death associated with delayed coronary artery bypass surgery.

BACKGROUND: The detrimental effect of delaying surgical revascularization has been estimated in randomized trials and observational studies. It has been argued that the Kaplan-Meier method used in quantifying the hazard of delayed treatment is not appropriate for summarizing the probability of competing outcomes. Therefore, we sought to improve the estimates of the risk of death associated with delayed surgical treatment of coronary artery disease. METHODS: Population-based prospective study of 8,325 patients registered to undergo first time isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in any of the four tertiary hospitals that provide cardiac care to adult residents of British Columbia, Canada. The cumulative incidence of pre-operative death, the cumulative incidence of surgery, and the probability that a patient, who may die or undergo surgery, dies if not operated by certain times over the 52-week period after the decision for CABG were estimated. The risks were quantified separately in two groups: high-severity at presentation were patients with either persistent unstable angina or stable angina and extensive coronary artery disease, and low-severity at presentation were stable symptomatic patients with limited disease. RESULTS: The median waiting time for surgery was 10 weeks (interquartile range [IQR] 15 weeks) in the high-severity group and 21 weeks (IQR 30 weeks) in the low-severity group. One percent of patients died before surgery: 54 in the high-severity and 26 in the low-severity group. For 58 (72.5%) patients, death was related to CVD (acute coronary syndrome, 33; chronic CVD, 16; other CVD, 4; and sudden deaths, 5). The overall death rate from all causes was 0.61 (95% CI 0.48-0.74) per 1,000 patient-weeks, varying from 0.62 (95% CI 0.45-0.78) in the high-severity group to 0.59 (95% CI 0.37-0.82) in the low-severity group. After adjustment for age, sex, and comorbidity, the all-cause death rate in the low-severity group was similar to the high-severity group (OR = 1.02, 95% CI 0.64-1.62). The conditional probability of death was greater in the high-severity group than in the low-severity group both for all-cause mortality (p = 0.002) and cardiovascular deaths (p <0.001). CONCLUSION: The probability of death conditional on not having undergone a required CABG increases with time spent on wait lists.

Adult↗

Using and interpreting cost-effectiveness acceptability curves: an example using data from a trial of management strategies for atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The cost-effectiveness acceptability curve (CEAC) is a method for summarizing the uncertainty in estimates of cost-effectiveness. The CEAC, derived from the joint distribution of costs and effects, illustrates the (Bayesian) probability that the data are consistent with a true cost-effectiveness ratio falling below a specified ceiling ratio. The objective of the paper is to illustrate how to construct and interpret a CEAC. METHODS: A retrospective cost-effectiveness analysis of the Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM) randomized controlled trial with 4060 patients followed for 3.5 years. The target population was patients with atrial fibrillation who were 65 years of age or had other risk factors for stroke or death similar to those enrolled in AFFIRM. The intervention involved the management of patients with atrial fibrillation with antiarrhythmic drugs (rhythm-control) compared with drugs that control heart rate (rate-control). Measurements of mean survival, mean costs and incremental cost-effectiveness were made. The uncertainty surrounding the estimates of cost-effectiveness was illustrated through a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve. RESULTS: The base case point estimate for the difference in effects and costs between rate and rhythm-control is 0.08 years (95% CI: -0.1 years to 0.24 years) and -5,077 US dollars (95% CI: -1,100 dollars to -11,006 dollars). The CEAC shows that the decision uncertainty surrounding the adoption of rate-control strategies is less than 1.7% regardless of the maximum acceptable ceiling ratio. Thus, there is very little uncertainty surrounding the decision to adopt rate-control compared to rhythm-control for patients with atrial fibrillation from a resource point of view. CONCLUSION: The CEAC is straightforward to calculate, construct and interpret. The CEAC is useful to a decision maker faced with the choice of whether or not to adopt a technology because it provides a measure of the decision uncertainty surrounding the choice.

Aged↗

Do specialist transport personnel improve hospital outcome in critically ill patients transferred to higher centers? A systematic review.

PURPOSE: The aim of the study was to determine whether the use of specialist transport personnel improves patient outcome at the receiving hospital for critically ill patients transferred to higher centers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A search of 6 electronic databases, 15 relevant journals, and the reference lists of all retrieved articles was conducted for studies comparing outcome at the receiving hospital for critically ill adult or pediatric patients transported by dedicated transport crews or tertiary-based specialists with other forms of transport personnel including referring house staff. All potentially relevant articles were retrieved in full and reviewed independently by 2 reviewers to determine eligibility for inclusion. Data were tabulated and results were summarized. RESULTS: Six cohort studies (n = 4534) were included. When patients of equal severity were assessed, only 1 study demonstrated an improvement in outcome at the receiving hospital (survival to 6 hours) when specialist personnel transported the patients. Methodological limitations and interstudy differences in participants and transport personnel precluded pooling of results. CONCLUSIONS: Current data are insufficient. The study designs used create opportunity for significant bias, preventing any useful inferences to be drawn. Further study is warranted.

Critical Illness↗

The direct costs of HIV/AIDS care.

We reviewed published studies reporting the direct medical costs of treating HIV-infected people in countries using highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Of 543 potentially relevant studies, only nine provided adequate data to make a meaningful statement about costs. Within studies, people with more advanced disease incurred higher total costs. Valid comparisons of total direct medical costs between studies were not possible because of differences in the specific components included, the heterogeneous nature of study populations in terms of disease stage, the sources and methods used to estimate unit costs, and the level of aggregation at which results were reported. The advent of HAART has major implications for the cost of treating HIV-infected individuals. Although this information is important for planning purposes, only a small number of published studies provide useful estimates of the direct cost. A useful method of estimating resource use and costs is computer simulation.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Do longer delays for coronary artery bypass surgery contribute to preoperative mortality in less urgent patients?

BACKGROUND: Priority wait lists are common for managing access to cardiac surgery in publicly funded health systems. We evaluated whether longer delays contribute to the probability of death before surgery among patients prioritized into the less urgent category. METHODS: We studied records of 9233 patients registered for isolated coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) in British Columbia, Canada. The primary outcome was death before surgery. We estimated the probability that a patient, who could be removed from the list as a result of surgery, death, or other competing events, dies on or before a certain wait-list week. RESULTS: Despite similar death rates in semiurgent and nonurgent groups, 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.80) versus 0.58 (0.36-0.80) per 1000 patient-weeks, nonurgent patients were remaining on the list longer, which contributed to higher cumulative incidence of all-cause death than in semiurgent group (adjusted odds ratio = 1.66; 1.03-2.68). By 52 weeks on the wait list, 0.9% (0.6-1.1) and 1.3% (0.8-1.8) of patients died in semiurgent and nonurgent groups, respectively (P < 0.01). Similar proportions of deaths related to cardiovascular disease estimated over wait-list time in both groups (P = 0.40) were the result of shorter delays in the semiurgent group despite a higher rate of death resulting from cardiovascular disease (0.50 [0.36-0.65] vs. 0.34 [0.17-0.51] per 1000 patient-weeks). CONCLUSION: Queuing according to urgency of treatment contributed to a higher proportion of CABG candidates dying before surgery from all causes in the nonurgent compared with the semiurgent group despite similar weekly death rates observed in both groups. However, similar probabilities of death resulting from cardiovascular disease observed in both groups over wait-list time were the result of shorter delays in the semiurgent group despite a higher rate of cardiovascular death.

Aged↗

Pharmacoeconomics and pharmacoepidemiology: curious bedfellows or a match made in heaven?

Pharmacoepidemiology is an established subdiscipline of epidemiology concerned with estimating the efficacy, effectiveness and safety of pharmaceutical products. Pharmacoeconomics is an established subdiscipline of health economics concerned with the evaluation of pharmaceutical products in terms of their value for money. Despite a common focus on the evaluation of pharmaceuticals, practitioners in the two disciplines appear to work largely in isolation of each other, as evidenced by lines of reasoning developed in one field that do not appear in the other. The purpose of this paper is to explore the interface between pharmacoepidemiology and pharmacoeconomics with the aim of identifying the potential synergies that exist from greater communication of ideas between practitioners in both disciplines. Issues are illustrated by means of a simple example of safety and efficacy in deep vein thrombosis prophylaxis. Issues surrounding safety and efficacy exemplify the need for a framework that allows trade-off between such benefits and risks of drug therapy. Health economics provides such a framework and it is suggested that those working in pharmacoepidemiology might make more of this framework in seeking to address essential trade-offs and inform policy. Similarly, it is argued that pharmacoeconomics could benefit from the robust methods of estimation used in epidemiological research as part of evaluation studies, in particular surrounding issues of unbiased estimation and scale of measurement. A closer working relationship between the disciplines could allow for economic assessment to be made earlier in the product cycle, which could bring benefits to society in terms of delaying the uptake of cost-ineffective products and speeding the uptake of products offering clear value for money.

Drug Therapy↗

Chances of late surgery in relation to length of wait lists.

BACKGROUND: The proportion of patients who undergo surgery within a clinically safe time is an important performance indicator in health systems that use wait lists to manage access to care. However, little is known about chances of on-time surgery according to variations in existing demand. We sought to determine what proportion of patients have had late coronary bypass surgery after registration on wait lists of different size in a network of hospitals with uniform standards for timing of surgery. METHODS: Using records from a population-based registry, we studied wait-list times prospectively collected in a cohort of patients registered on wait lists for coronary artery bypass grafting procedures. We compared the number of weeks from registration to surgery against target access times established for three urgency groups. The chances of undergoing surgery within target time have been evaluated in relation to wait-list size at registration and the number of surgeries performed without registration on a wait list. RESULTS: In 1991-2001, two in three patients were at risk of late surgery when registered on wait lists for isolated coronary bypass procedures in British Columbia, Canada. Although urgent patients had never seen a wait list with clearance time exceeding one week, the odds of on-time surgery were reduced by 25%, odds ratio [OR] = 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65-0.87) for every additional operation performed without registration on a list. When the wait list at registration required a clearance time of over one month, semi-urgent patients had 51% lower odds of on-time surgery as compared to lists with clearance time less than one week, OR = 0.49 (95%CI 0.41-0.60), after adjustment for age, sex, comorbidity, calendar period, hospital and week on the list. In the non-urgent group, the odds were 69% lower, OR = 0.31 (95%CI 0.20-0.47). Every time an operation in the same hospital was performed without registration on a wait list, the odds of on-time surgery for listed patients were reduced by 7%, OR = 0.93 (95%CI 0.91-0.95) in the semi-urgent group, and by 10%, OR = 0.90 (95%CI 0.87-0.94), in the non-urgent group. CONCLUSION: Chances of late surgery increase with the wait-list size for semi-urgent and non-urgent patients needing coronary bypass surgery. The weekly number of patients who move immediately from angiography to the operation without registration on a wait list reduced chances of surgery within target time in all urgency groups of listed patients. When advising patients who will be placed on the wait list about the expected time to treatment, hospital managers should take into account the current list size as well as the weekly number of patients who require CABG immediately after undergoing coronary angiography.

Aged↗

Extending logistic regression to model diffuse interactions.

In an observational study focussed on association between a health outcome and numerous explanatory variables, the question of interactions can be problematic. Commonly, logistic regression of the outcome on the explanatory variables might be employed. Such modelling often includes an attempt to select some pairwise product interaction terms, from amongst the many such possible pairs. For several reasons, however, this can be unsatisfying. Here we consider a different approach based on a parsimonious extension of a logistic regression model without interaction terms. This extension permits an overall synergism or antagonism in how the explanatory variables combine to associate with the outcome, without any attempt to identify specific variables which give rise to interactive behaviour. We call this diffuse interaction. We elucidate some simple properties of the diffuse interaction model, and give an example of its application to epidemiological data. We also consider asymptotic behaviour in a restricted case of the model, to gain some insight into how well this kind of interaction can be detected from data.

Analysis of Variance↗

Time on wait lists for coronary bypass surgery in British Columbia, Canada, 1991-2000.

BACKGROUND: In British Columbia, Canada, all necessary medical services are funded publicly. Concerned with growing wait lists in the mid-1990s, the provincial government started providing extra funding for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) operations annually. Although aimed at improving access, it is not known whether supplementary funding changed the time that patients spent on wait lists for CABG. We sought to determine whether the period of registration on wait lists had an effect on time to isolated CABG and whether the period effect was similar across priority groups. METHODS: Using records from a population-based registry, we studied the wait-list time before and after supplementary funding became available. We compared the number of weeks from registration to surgery for equal proportions of patients in synthetic cohorts defined by five registration periods in the 1990s. RESULTS: Overall, 9,231 patients spent a total of 137,126 person-weeks on the wait lists. The time to surgery increased by the middle of the decade, and decreased toward the end of the decade. Relative to the 1991-92 registration period, the conditional weekly probabilities of undergoing surgery were 30% lower among patients registered on the wait lists in 1995-96, hazard ratio (HR) = 0.70 (0.65-0.76), and 23% lower in 1997-98 patients, HR = 0.77 (0.71-0.83), while there were no differences with 1999-2000 patients, HR = 0.94 (0.88-1.02), after adjusting for priority group at registration, comorbidity, age and sex. We found that the effect of registration period was different across priority groups. CONCLUSION: Our results provide evidence that time to CABG shortened after supplementary funding was provided on an annual basis to tertiary care hospitals within a single publicly funded health system. One plausible explanation is that these hospitals had capacity to increase the number of operations. At the same time, the effect was not uniform across priority groups indicating that changes in clinical practice should be considered when adding extra funding to reduce wait lists.

Aged↗

Changes in lipids over twelve months after initiating protease inhibitor therapy among persons treated for HIV/AIDS.

BACKGROUND: Protease inhibitors are known to alter the lipid profiles in subjects treated for HIV/AIDS. However, the magnitude of this effect on plasma lipoproteins and lipids has not been adequately quantified. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the changes in plasma lipoproteins and triglycerides occurring within 12 months of initiating PI-based antiretroviral therapy among HIV/AIDS afflicted subjects. METHODS: We included all antiretroviral naive HIV-infected persons treated at St-Paul's Hospital, British Columbia, Canada, who initiated therapy with protease inhibitor antiretroviral (ARV) drugs between August 1996 and January 2002 and who had at least one plasma lipid measurement. Longitudinal associations between medication use and plasma lipids were estimated using mixed effects models that accounted for repeated measures on the same subjects and were adjusted for age, sex, time dependent CD4+ T-cell count, and time dependent cumulative use of non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors and adherence. The cumulative number of prescriptions filled for PIs was considered time dependent. We estimated the changes in the 12 months following any initiation of a PI based regimen. RESULTS: A total of 679 eligible subjects were dispensed nucleoside analogues and PI at the initiation of therapy. Over a median 47 months of follow-up (interquartile range (IQR): 29-62), subjects had a median of 3 (IQR: 1-6) blood lipid measurements. Twelve months after treatment initiation of PI use, there was an estimated 20% (95% confidence interval: 17% - 24%) increase in total cholesterol and 22% (12% - 33%) increase in triglycerides. CONCLUSIONS: Twelve months after treatment initiation with PIs, statistically significant increases in total cholesterol and triglycerides levels were observed in HIV-infected patients under conditions of standard treatment. Our results contribute to the growing body of evidence implicating PIs in the development of blood lipid abnormalities. In conjunction with the predominance or men, high rates of smoking, and aging of the treated HIV-positive population, elevated lipoproteins and triglycerides may mean that patients such as these are at elevated risk for cardiovascular events in the future.

Adult↗

Economic evaluation of treating chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with inhaled corticosteroids and long-acting beta2-agonists in a health maintenance organization.

OBJECTIVES: In light of recent results from observational studies showing prolonged survival in subjects taking long-acting beta2-agonists (LABA) and/or inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), we investigated their cost-effectiveness (CE). METHODS: Costs and survival data were collected for a sample of members enrolled in a large Health Maintenance Organization in the United States. An observational study design was used to evaluate cumulative costs and health benefits of LABA, ICS, ICS+LABA, or comparison drugs. Survival was estimated using a parametric regression model. Costs were adjusted for censoring and prognostic factors. CE was evaluated over a time horizon of 36 months and the remaining lifetime of subjects. RESULTS: Over 36 months, life expectancy and costs were: 2.4 years (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.3; 2.5) and $28,030 (CI: $23,400; $33,570) for not receiving ICS or LABA; 2.6 years (CI: 2.6; 2.7) and $35,170 (CI: $29,970; $40,620) for ICS alone; 2.6 years (CI: 2.5; 2.7) and $27,380 (CI: $21,780; $32,510) for LABA alone; and, 2.7 years (CI: 2.6; 2.8) and $33,780 (CI: $28,700; $39,440) for subjects treated with ICS+LABA. The lifetime analysis showed similar trends. CONCLUSIONS: There is an acute need to find effective, life-extending treatments for persons with COPD. ICS, LABA or their combination represent promising treatment options and are currently being tested in randomized trials. If the impact on survival seen in these trials compares to that seen in observational studies, LABA and the combination treatment are likely to be cost-effective in the United States.

Administration, Inhalation↗

The impact of reference pricing of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory agents on the use and costs of analgesic drugs.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effect of reference pricing (RP) of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) on drug subsidy program and beneficiary expenditures on analgesic drugs. DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING: Monthly claims data from Pharmacare, the public drug subsidy program for seniors in British Columbia, Canada, over the period of February 1993 to June 2001. STUDY DESIGN: RP limits drug plan reimbursement of interchangeable medicines to a reference price, which is typically equal to the price of the lowest cost interchangeable drug; any cost above that is borne by the patient. Pharmacare introduced two different forms of RP to the NSAIDs, Type 1 in April 1994 and Type 2 in November 1995. Under Type 1 RP, generic and brand versions of the same NSAID are considered interchangeable, whereas under Type 2 RP different NSAIDs are considered interchangeable. We extrapolated average reimbursement per day of NSAID therapy over the months before RP to estimate what expenditures would have been without the policies. These counterfactual predictions were compared with actual values to estimate the impact of the policies; the estimated impacts on reimbursement rates were multiplied by the postpolicy volume of NSAIDS dispensed, which appeared unaffected by the policies, to estimate expenditure changes. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: After Type 2 RP, program expenditures declined by $22.7 million (CAN), or $4 million (CAN), annually cutting expenditure by about half. Most savings accrued from the substitution of low-cost NSAIDs for more costly alternatives. About 20 percent of savings represented expenditures by seniors who elected to pay for partially reimbursed drugs. Type 1 RP produced one-quarter the savings of type 2 RP. CONCLUSIONS: Type 2 RP of NSAIDs achieved its goal of reducing drug expenditures and was more effective than Type 1 RP. The effects of RP on patient health and associated health care costs remain to be investigated.

Aged↗

Determinants of hospital length of stay among patients with pneumonia admitted to a large Canadian hospital from 1991 to 2001.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is a common reason for hospital admission, and the cost of treatment is primarily determined by length of stay (LOS). OBJECTIVES: To explore the changes to and determinants of hospital LOS for patients admitted for the treatment of community-acquired pneumonia over a decade of acute hospital downsizing. METHODS: Data were extracted from the database of Vancouver General Hospital, Vancouver, British Columbia, on patients admitted with community-acquired pneumonia (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes 481.xx, 482.xx, 483.xx, 485.xx and 486.xx) from January 1, 1991 to March 31, 2001. The effects of sociodemographic factors, the specialty of the admitting physician (family practice versus specialist), admission from and/or discharge to a long-term care facility (nursing home) and year of admission, adjusted for comorbidity, illness severity measures and other potential confounders were examined. Longitudinal changes in these factors over the 10-year period were also investigated. RESULTS: The study population (n=2495) had a median age of 73 years, 53% were male and the median LOS was six days. Adjusted LOS was longer for women (10% increase, 95% CI 3 to 16), increasing age group (7% increase, 95% CI 4 to 10), admission under a family physician versus specialist (42% increase, 95% CI 32 to 52) and admission from home with subsequent discharge to a long-term care facility (75% increase, 95% CI 47 to 108). Adjusted hospital LOS decreased by an estimated 2% (95% CI 1 to 3) per annum. The mean age at admission and the proportion admitted from long-term care facilities both increased significantly over the decade (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that the management of hospitalized patients with pneumonia changed substantially between 1991 and 2001. The interface of long-term care facilities with acute care would be an important future area to explore potential efficiencies in caring for patients with pneumonia.

Adolescent↗

Cost-effectiveness of rhythm versus rate control in atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation is the most common type of sustained cardiac arrhythmia, but recent trials have identified no clear advantage of rhythm control over rate control. Consequently, economic factors often play a role in guiding treatment selection. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of rhythm-control versus rate-control strategies for atrial fibrillation in the Atrial Fibrillation Follow-up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM). DESIGN: Retrospective economic evaluation. Nonparametric bootstrapping was used to estimate the distribution of incremental costs and effects on the cost-effectiveness plane. DATA SOURCES: Data on survival and use of health care resources were obtained for all 4060 AFFIRM participants. Unit costs were estimated from various U.S. databases. TARGET POPULATION: Patients with atrial fibrillation who were 65 years of age or who had other risk factors for stroke or death, similar to those enrolled in AFFIRM. TIME HORIZON: Mean follow-up of 3.5 years. PERSPECTIVE: Third-party payer. INTERVENTIONS: Management of patients with atrial fibrillation with antiarrhythmic drugs (rhythm control) compared with drugs that control heart rate (rate control). OUTCOME MEASURES: Mean survival, resource use, costs, and cost-effectiveness. RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: A mean survival gain of 0.08 year (P = 0.10) was observed for rate control. Patients in the rate-control group used fewer resources (hospital days, pacemaker procedures, cardioversions, and short-stay and emergency department visits). Rate control costs 5077 dollars less per person than rhythm control. RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: Cost savings ranged from 2189 dollars o 5481 dollars per person. Rhythm control was more costly and less effective than rate control in 95% of the bootstrap replicates over a wide range of cost assumptions. LIMITATIONS: Resource use was limited to key items collected in AFFIRM, and the results are generalizable only to similar patient populations with atrial fibrillation. CONCLUSION: Rate control is a cost-effective approach to the management of atrial fibrillation compared with maintenance of sinus rhythm in patients with atrial fibrillation similar to those enrolled in AFFIRM.

Anti-Arrhythmia Agents↗

Self-reported Morisky score for identifying nonadherence with cardiovascular medications.

BACKGROUND: The Morisky medication adherence scale is a commonly used adherence screening tool. It is composed of 4 yes/no questions about past medication use patterns and is thus quick and simple to use during drug history interviews. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the use of the self-reported Morisky score as a screening tool for identifying patients who have been nonadherent with chronic cardiovascular medications. METHODS: Patients who had taken an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or lipid-lowering agent for at least 3 consecutive months were interviewed using a structured questionnaire including the Morisky scale. Nonadherence was defined as taking < 80% of chronic cardiovascular medications based on prescription refill data over the previous 14 months. RESULTS: Forty-nine of 377 (13%) patients were categorized as nonadherent; however, only 12 (3%) patients had Morisky scores suggesting a high likelihood of nonadherence (3 or 4). While the Morisky score was a significant independent predictor of nonadherence by multivariate analysis, there was no threshold score or individual question that yielded concurrent high sensitivity and positive predictive values (PPVs) for identifying nonadherent patients. The internal consistency of the questions was low (alpha 0.32), as were item-to-total score correlations, suggesting that the individual questions were not measuring the same attribute. CONCLUSIONS: Using the Morisky scale to identify patients who have been nonadherent with chronic cardiovascular medications may be reasonable in some settings; however, the threshold score would have to be chosen based on a trade-off between sensitivity and PPV. These results were likely influenced by the low rate of nonadherence in this cohort. Rewording the questions, increasing the number of questions, and the use of graded response options may improve consistency.

Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors↗