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Alan Silman

Publications and source records attributed to Alan Silman.

18 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

Risk and predictors of infection leading to hospitalisation in a large primary-care-derived cohort of patients with inflammatory polyarthritis.

BACKGROUND: The increased mortality observed in patients with rheumatoid arthritis is partly due to an increased occurrence of serious infections. A retrospective study from the Mayo Clinic found that infection risk is increased in rheumatoid arthritis. In particular, serious infection was associated with severe disease and use of corticosteroids. Robust estimates are required from prospective studies of incident cases. OBJECTIVE: To examine the risk of infection leading to hospitalisation and potential factors associated with this risk in an unselected population of patients with inflammatory polyarthritis. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study comparing infection incidence in new-onset patients with inflammatory polyarthritis with local population experience. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 2108 patients with inflammatory polyarthritis from a community-based register were studied and followed up annually (median 9.2 years). The rate of hospitalisations for serious infection was compared with the rate of hospitalisations in the regional population. The contribution of potential predictors was assessed by undertaking a within-cohort analysis. RESULTS: Overall, the incidence of infection was more than two and a half times that of the general population (varying by site). History of smoking, corticosteroid use and rheumatoid factor were found to be significantly independent predictors of infection-related hospitalisation. Patients with inflammatory polyarthritis with all three factors were more than seven times as likely to be hospitalised compared with the rest of the cohort. DISCUSSION: These findings provide background data on the risk of infection associated with rheumatoid arthritis, and are of particular interest given the current awareness of the risk of infection associated with anti-tumour necrosis factoralpha treatments.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Increasing age at symptom onset is associated with worse radiological damage at presentation in patients with early inflammatory polyarthritis.

BACKGROUND: Increasing age at onset has been associated with worse outcome in rheumatoid arthritis, although there are few data from unselected inception cohorts. HYPOTHESIS: Increasing age is associated with a higher risk of erosions at presentation, and this increase is not explained by age-related disease confounders. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: 222 subjects (median onset age 59 years) were studied from a primary-care-based register of new-onset inflammatory polyarthritis. Patients had hand and feet radiographs taken within 12 months from symptom onset. Films were scored by two readers using the Larsen score. The risk of erosions in those aged 50-69 and >or=70 years at onset was compared with the risk in those aged <50 years both before and after adjustment for possible age-related disease confounders. RESULT: The prevalences of erosions were 22%, 52% and 71% in those aged <50, 50-69 and >or=70 years at onset equivalent to odds ratios (ORs) (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) of 3.5 (2.2 to 5.7) and 7.4 (4.5 to 12.1), respectively, in the two older age groups. Excluding those with proximal interphalangeal (PIP) erosions alone (due to possible osteoarthritis) did not alter these findings. Adjustments for disease characteristics using logistic regression did not attenuate these findings: adjusted ORs (95% CIs) 3.6 (2.1 to 6.1) and 6.9 (3.8 to 12.2) for age groups 50-69 and >or=70 years, respectively. The influence of age was stronger than most of the disease-related variables in predicting erosions in this cohort. CONCLUSION: Increasing age at symptom onset is strongly associated with higher occurrence of erosions within the first year unexplained by greater disease severity.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Linkage analysis of rheumatoid arthritis in US and UK families reveals interactions between HLA-DRB1 and loci on chromosomes 6q and 16p.

OBJECTIVE: HLA is the most strongly associated locus in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), accounting for up to one-third of the genetic contribution. Conditioning on the effect of true disease loci such as HLA can lead to increased power to detect effects at other loci and, in addition, allows investigation of the underlying disease models, including interactions. The aim of this study was to detect susceptibility loci for RA by conditioning on HLA in a large sample of affected sibling pairs (ASPs) and to test for evidence of interaction between novel loci and HLA. METHODS: Genotype data from 3 whole-genome linkage scans for RA in a US population and a UK population were pooled, resulting in a combined data set of 886 ASPs. This pooling of data increased the power to detect loci showing low levels of heterogeneity. Nonparametric linkage analysis was performed to identify regions of interest. Joint 2-locus analysis was then performed for HLA and each of the loci that demonstrated evidence of linkage in the 886 ASPs. RESULTS: Evidence for linkage was most significant at HLA (P = 4 x 10(-16)), with 7 non-HLA loci showing some evidence for linkage (P = 0.05-0.003). Joint modeling of these loci with HLA provided evidence for linkage at a genome-wide significance level for loci on 6q (P = 2.7 x 10(-6)) and 16p (P = 2 x 10(-4)). CONCLUSION: These data provide the most convincing evidence to date that 6q and 16p harbor susceptibility genes. In addition, these loci may interact with HLA, facilitating the search for candidate genes within this region.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Cost-effectiveness of a supplementary class-based exercise program in the treatment of knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of a class-based exercise program supplementing a home-based program when compared with a home-based program alone. In addition, we estimated the probability that the supplementary class program is cost-effective over a range of values of a decision maker's willingness to pay for an additional quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). METHODS: The resource use and effectiveness data were collected as part of the clinical trial detailed elsewhere. Unit costs were estimated from published sources. The net benefit approach to cost-effectiveness analysis is used to estimate the probability of the intervention being cost-effective. RESULTS: The addition of a supplementary class-based group results in an increase in QALYs and lower costs. For all plausible values of a decision maker's willingness to pay for a QALY, the supplementary class group is likely to be cost-effective. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of a class-based exercise program is likely to be cost-effective and, on current evidence, should be implemented.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗
PubMed2006

Is there an association between anti-TNF monoclonal antibody therapy in rheumatoid arthritis and risk of malignancy and serious infection? Commentary on the meta-analysis by Bongartz et al.

A recent meta-analysis of randomized clinical trials reported by Bongartz and coworkers raised concerns about an increased rate of malignancy and serious infection in rheumatoid arthritis patients treated with anti-tumour necrosis factor monoclonal antibodies. This commentary discusses some of the methodological issues in their analysis and urges caution in interpreting the results.

Antibodies, Monoclonal↗
PubMed2005

Predictive value of BMD for hip and other fractures.

UNLABELLED: The relationship between BMD and fracture risk was estimated in a meta-analysis of data from 12 cohort studies of approximately 39,000 men and women. Low hip BMD was an important predictor of fracture risk. The prediction of hip fracture with hip BMD also depended on age and z score. INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to quantify the relationship between BMD and fracture risk and examine the effect of age, sex, time since measurement, and initial BMD value. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied 9891 men and 29,082 women from 12 cohorts comprising EVOS/EPOS, EPIDOS, OFELY, CaMos, Rochester, Sheffield, Rotterdam, Kuopio, DOES, Hiroshima, and 2 cohorts from Gothenburg. Cohorts were followed for up to 16.3 years and a total of 168,366 person-years. The effect of BMD on fracture risk was examined using a Poisson model in each cohort and each sex separately. Results of the different studies were then merged using weighted coefficients. RESULTS: BMD measurement at the femoral neck with DXA was a strong predictor of hip fractures both in men and women with a similar predictive ability. At the age of 65 years, risk ratio increased by 2.94 (95% CI = 2.02-4.27) in men and by 2.88 (95% CI = 2.31-3.59) in women for each SD decrease in BMD. However, the effect was dependent on age, with a significantly higher gradient of risk at age 50 years than at age 80 years. Although the gradient of hip fracture risk decreased with age, the absolute risk still rose markedly with age. For any fracture and for any osteoporotic fracture, the gradient of risk was lower than for hip fractures. At the age of 65 years, the risk of osteoporotic fractures increased in men by 1.41 per SD decrease in BMD (95% CI = 1.33-1.51) and in women by 1.38 per SD (95% CI = 1.28-1.48). In contrast with hip fracture risk, the gradient of risk increased with age. For the prediction of any osteoporotic fracture (and any fracture), there was a higher gradient of risk the lower the BMD. At a z score of -4 SD, the risk gradient was 2.10 per SD (95% CI = 1.63-2.71) and at a z score of -1 SD, the risk was 1.73 per SD (95% CI = 1.59-1.89) in men and women combined. A similar but less pronounced and nonsignificant effect was observed for hip fractures. Data for ultrasound and peripheral measurements were available from three cohorts. The predictive ability of these devices was somewhat less than that of DXA measurements at the femoral neck by age, sex, and BMD value. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that BMD is a risk factor for fracture of substantial importance and is similar in both sexes. Its validation on an international basis permits its use in case finding strategies. Its use should, however, take account of the variations in predictive value with age and BMD.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗
PubMed2005

Differences in peak bone mass in women of European and South Asian origin can be explained by differences in body size.

There are few data concerning the occurrence of peak bone mass in women of South Asian origin. The aim of this study was to determine the level of peak bone mass in South Asian women in the UK and to determine whether any observed differences could be explained by differences in body size. Two groups of South Asian women, those of (1) Pakistani Muslim and (2) Gujarati Hindu origin, together with a European group aged 18 to 36 years, were recruited from primary-care population age-sex registers in the Greater Manchester area. They were invited to attend for a detailed interview-assisted lifestyle questionnaire and assessment of height and weight. Bone mass density (BMD) at the hip and lumbar spine was measured by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) scan (Hologic QDR 4500). Volumetric bone density was measured at the distal radius using pQCT (Norland Stratec XCT 2000). Linear regression was used to determine whether any observed differences in the level of bone mass could be explained by differences in body size. A total of 119 European women with a mean age of 30.4 years, 98 Pakistani Muslim women with a mean age of 29.2 years and 20 Gujarati Hindu women with a mean age of 29.2 years had bone density measurements performed. The Europeans were taller and heavier than either South Asian group. Peak BMD was greater among the European than the Pakistani women at all three measuring sites, with the Gujarati women having intermediate values at the hip and lumbar spine. Observed differences disappeared, however, after adjusting for height and weight. There were no differences in volumetric density at the lumbar spine or distal radius between the groups. In summary, there are differences in the level of bone mass between European and South Asian women, though these can be explained by differences in bone size, height or weight.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗
PubMed2005

Association between the PTPN22 gene and rheumatoid arthritis and juvenile idiopathic arthritis in a UK population: further support that PTPN22 is an autoimmunity gene.

OBJECTIVE: The protein tyrosine phosphatase N22 (PTPN22) gene exhibits regulatory activities for both T cells and B cells. A missense single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) within this gene (rs2476601) has recently been associated with 4 autoimmune diseases: rheumatoid arthritis (RA), systemic lupus erythematosus, autoimmune thyroid disease, and type 1 diabetes mellitus, all of which are T cell-mediated and associated with the elaboration of autoantibody. The aim of this study was to investigate associations of the missense SNP of PTPN22 in a number of autoimmune diseases in the UK population, including RA, juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis (PsA), and multiple sclerosis (MS), some of which have not been examined previously. METHODS: The PTPN22 missense SNP was genotyped in 886 RA, 661 JIA, 279 psoriasis, 455 PsA, and 379 MS patients and in 595 healthy controls. Association with the PTPN22 SNP was analyzed by chi-square test as implemented in Stata software. RESULTS: There was a significant association between the PTPN22 SNP and RA (P = 1.8 x 10(-8)) and JIA (P = 0.0005). In contrast, no association with psoriasis, PsA, or MS was detected. CONCLUSION: We replicated the findings of a previous association with RA and identified a novel association with JIA. Together with previous data showing associations with other autoimmune diseases, our findings provide further evidence that the PTPN22 gene plays a role in the pathogenesis of a subgroup of autoimmune diseases.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Evidence for common genetic control in pathways of inflammation for Crohn's disease and psoriatic arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Clinical, pharmacologic, and epidemiologic evidence supports the hypothesis that common genetic pathways may underlie inflammatory diseases. In a previous study, a Crohn's disease gene, CARD15, was demonstrated to be associated with psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Recently, a functional haplotype of 2 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) mapping to the organic cation transporter (OCTN) genes, SLC22A4 and SLC22A5, was identified as a second Crohn's disease susceptibility locus. The SLC22A4 gene has also been associated with rheumatoid arthritis. This study was undertaken to further elucidate associations of PsA with Crohn's disease susceptibility genes. METHODS: Association with CARD15 and OCTN was investigated in UK Caucasian patients with PsA (n = 472) and population controls (n = 594), using 5' allelic discrimination assays (TaqMan). Two SNPs in OCTN, forming a haplotype previously associated with Crohn's disease, were also tested in patients with psoriasis (n = 218) and patients with early undifferentiated inflammatory arthritis (n = 386). Allele and estimated haplotype frequencies were compared between patients and controls. RESULTS: No association of PsA with CARD15 was detected. In contrast, a functional SNP mapping to the promoter region of SLC22A5 (rs2631367) was associated with PsA (for CC versus GG, odds ratio 1.65, 95% confidence interval 1.13-2.41, uncorrected P = 0.005). In addition, the haplotype associated with Crohn's disease was also associated with PsA (P = 0.001). No association was detected in the cohort with psoriasis alone or in the cohort with undifferentiated inflammatory arthritis. CONCLUSION: The OCTN haplotype previously associated with Crohn's disease is also associated with PsA, suggesting that these 2 diseases may share some common genetic control in pathways of inflammation.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2004

A meta-analysis of milk intake and fracture risk: low utility for case finding.

A low intake of calcium is widely considered to be a risk factor for future fracture. The aim of this study was to quantify this risk on an international basis and to explore the effect of age, gender and bone mineral density (BMD) on this risk. We studied 39,563 men and women (69% female) from six prospectively studied cohorts comprising EVOS/EPOS, CaMos, DOES, the Rotterdam study, the Sheffield study and a cohort from Gothenburg. Cohorts were followed for 152,000 person-years. The effect of calcium intake as judged by the intake of milk on the risk of any fracture, any osteoporotic fracture and hip fracture alone was examined using a Poisson model for each sex from each cohort. Covariates examined were age and BMD. The results of the different studies were merged by using the weighted beta-coefficients. A low intake of calcium (less than 1 glass of milk daily) was not associated with a significantly increased risk of any fracture, osteoporotic fracture or hip fracture. There was no difference in risk ratio between men and women. When both sexes were combined there was a small but non-significant increase in the risk of osteoporotic and of hip fracture. There was also a small increase in the risk of an osteoporotic fracture with age which was significant at the age of 80 years (RR = 1.15; 95% CI = 1.02-1.30) and above. The association was no longer significant after adjustment for BMD. No significant relationship was observed by age for low milk intake and hip fracture risk. We conclude that a self-reported low intake of milk is not associated with any marked increase in fracture risk and that the use of this risk indicator is of little or no value in case-finding strategies.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Whole-genome scan, in a complex disease, using 11,245 single-nucleotide polymorphisms: comparison with microsatellites.

Despite the theoretical evidence of the utility of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for linkage analysis, no whole-genome scans of a complex disease have yet been published to directly compare SNPs with microsatellites. Here, we describe a whole-genome screen of 157 families with multiple cases of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), performed using 11,245 genomewide SNPs. The results were compared with those from a 10-cM microsatellite scan in the same cohort. The SNP analysis detected HLA*DRB1, the major RA susceptibility locus (P=.00004), with a linkage interval of 31 cM, compared with a 50-cM linkage interval detected by the microsatellite scan. In addition, four loci were detected at a nominal significance level (P<.05) in the SNP linkage analysis; these were not observed in the microsatellite scan. We demonstrate that variation in information content was the main factor contributing to observed differences in the two scans, with the SNPs providing significantly higher information content than the microsatellites. Reducing the number of SNPs in the marker set to 3,300 (1-cM spacing) caused several loci to drop below nominal significance levels, suggesting that decreases in information content can have significant effects on linkage results. In contrast, differences in maps employed in the analysis, the low detectable rate of genotyping error, and the presence of moderate linkage disequilibrium between markers did not significantly affect the results. We have demonstrated the utility of a dense SNP map for performing linkage analysis in a late-age-at-onset disease, where DNA from parents is not always available. The high SNP density allows loci to be defined more precisely and provides a partial scaffold for association studies, substantially reducing the resource requirement for gene-mapping studies.

Arthritis, Rheumatoid↗
PubMed2004

Investigation of susceptibility loci identified in the UK rheumatoid arthritis whole-genome scan in a further series of 217 UK affected sibling pairs.

OBJECTIVE: A previous whole-genome scan (WGS) of 182 UK rheumatoid arthritis (RA) affected sibling pair (ASP) families suggested linkage to HLA and 11 other chromosome regions. Replication of such findings in an independent cohort can help to distinguish true linkages from false-positive linkages. Since RA is a heterogeneous disease, some loci may be linked only in subsets of patients. Thus, the aim of this study was to investigate in an additional set of RA ASP families linkage to regions showing deviation in expected allele-sharing ratios in the UK WGS and to perform subset analysis on the combined cohort. METHODS: Twenty loci were investigated for linkage in 217 Caucasian UK RA ASPs. Stratification analysis was performed on the combined cohort of 377 RA ASP families to account for sex, RA severity, and the shared epitope (SE). RESULTS: None of the regions of linkage identified in the initial WGS achieved statistical significance in the second cohort. In contrast, after stratification analysis, 14 regions showed nominal evidence of linkage (logarithm of odds score >0.8) in one or more subgroups. In particular, the strength of evidence for linkage to chromosome 16p was increased in subsets of ASPs with younger age at disease onset (LOD score 2.38) and for linkage to chromosome 6q in female-female ASPs (LOD score 2.31) and in ASPs in which both siblings had 2 copies of the SE (LOD score 3.03). CONCLUSION: These results support the evidence for heterogeneity of RA. This information will inform the future design of association-based investigations as the search for disease genes in the linked regions begins.

Age of Onset↗
PubMed2004

Polymorphisms in the mannose binding lectin (MBL) gene are not associated with radiographic erosions in rheumatoid or inflammatory polyarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between the mannose binding lectin gene (MBL) promoter and structural single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) with development of erosions in a primary care inception cohort of patients with inflammatory polyarthritis (IP). METHODS: DNA was available from 438 patients with IP and radiographic data were available for all patients at 5 years. Four SNP [MBL-550*C/G (H/L), MBL-221*G/C (Y/X), MBL codon 52*C/T, and MBL codon 54*G/A] mapping to the MBL gene were genotyped using primer extension techniques. Allele frequencies were compared between IP cases with erosions by 5 years and those without. RESULTS: None of the SNP were associated with erosive outcomes by 5 years. Furthermore there was no association with Larsen score by 1 or 5 years or with the change in Larsen score between 1 and 5 years. Similarly, the genotype combinations known to encode for low MBL protein production were not associated with erosive outcome in the IP cohort as a whole or in those with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) by 5 years. CONCLUSION: Polymorphism within the MBL gene is not associated with presence or extent of erosions by 5 years in patients with RA or IP.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Development of the BD-QoL: a quality of life measure specific to Behçet's disease.

OBJECTIVE: Current outcome measures for patients with Behçet's disease (BD) are impairment-focused and do not necessarily take account of the wider impact of the condition on the individual's lifestyle. Our aim was to develop a disease-specific measure of quality of life (QoL) for BD. METHODS: The content of the BD-QoL was derived from qualitative interviews with patients using a "needs-based" approach to identify items. A postal survey was used to test the scaling properties, reliability, internal consistency, and validity of the new questionnaire using Rasch analysis. A second postal survey was used to assess test-retest reliability and internal consistency and to provide further evidence of the validity of the questionnaire. RESULTS: Main themes emerging from the qualitative interviews included relationships, emotions, limitations in day to day activities, and self-image. From these themes 71 statements were chosen as potential items for the BD-QoL. After analysis, 30 items of the BD-QoL emerged free of item bias for age and sex. Fit to the Rasch model was excellent. In the second postal survey test-retest reliability of the 30 item BD-QoL was 0.84. CONCLUSION: The BD-QoL provides the clinician with a simple, reliable, and valid tool for assessing the influence of interventions for BD and for evaluating models of service delivery. It is well accepted by patients, and has excellent scaling and psychometric properties. The BD-QoL complements information obtained through BD-specific disease activity scales.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Whole-genome linkage analysis of rheumatoid arthritis susceptibility loci in 252 affected sibling pairs in the United Kingdom.

OBJECTIVE: To undertake a systematic whole-genome screen to identify regions exhibiting genetic linkage to rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Two hundred fifty-two RA-affected sibling pairs from 182 UK families were genotyped using 365 highly informative microsatellite markers. Microsatellite genotyping was performed using fluorescent polymerase chain reaction primers and semiautomated DNA sequencing technology. Linkage analysis was undertaken using MAPMAKER/SIBS for single-point and multipoint analysis. RESULTS: Significant linkage (maximum logarithm of odds score 4.7 [P = 0.000003] at marker D6S276, 1 cM from HLA-DRB1) was identified around the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) region on chromosome 6. Suggestive linkage (P < 7.4 x 10(-4)) was identified on chromosome 6q by single- and multipoint analysis. Ten other sites of nominal linkage (P < 0.05) were identified on chromosomes 3p, 4q, 7p, 2 regions of 10q, 2 regions of 14q, 16p, 21q, and Xq by single-point analysis and on 3 sites (1q, 14q, and 14q) by multipoint analysis. CONCLUSION: Linkage to the MHC region was confirmed. Eleven non-HLA regions demonstrated evidence of suggestive or nominal linkage, but none reached the genome-wide threshold for significant linkage (P = 2.2 x 10(-5)). Results of previous genome screens have suggested that 6 of these regions may be involved in RA susceptibility.

Arthritis, Rheumatoid↗
PubMed2002

An epidemiologic study of trends in prevalence of rheumatoid factor seropositivity in Pima Indians: evidence of a decline due to both secular and birth-cohort influences.

OBJECTIVE: Previous population studies have suggested that both rheumatoid factor (RF) production and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) may be declining in occurrence, and both secular and birth-cohort influences have been implicated. Since Pima Indians have a very high incidence of RA and also have shown recent evidence of a decline in RA, this study evaluated the relative contributions of age, secular, and birth-cohort influences on RF seropositivity in the Pima Indian population. METHODS: RF data, as assayed by both the bentonite flocculation test (BFT) and the sheep cell agglutination test (SCAT), were available on 5,345 Pima Indians born between 1886 and 1975, who were surveyed at biennial intervals between 1966 and 1995. An age-period-cohort analysis was conducted using data on 18,295 examinations undertaken during the period of study. RESULTS: There was a decline in the proportion of positive test results for RF (titer > or = 1:32) by both BFT and SCAT, in both male and female subjects from 1966-1975 to the later decades of the study (1976-1985 and 1986-1995). Across all periods, by both assays, the crude proportion of positive titers increased with increasing age of the subjects. There was a very clear birth-cohort effect: the highest likelihood of seropositivity was in those individuals born around the end of the nineteenth century, with continuing decline in seropositivity up to the most recent birth cohort. A logistic regression analysis, adjusting for Pima heritage and sex, demonstrated a substantially greater influence of birth cohort than of calendar year on the frequency of RF positivity. CONCLUSION: In the Pima Indian population, environmental influences in early life are important predictors of the lifelong likelihood of RF positivity. This may have implications for understanding the epidemiology and etiology of RA.

Adolescent↗