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Biomedical subjects

Alasdair M Geddes

Publications and source records attributed to Alasdair M Geddes.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Surveillance and control measures during smallpox outbreaks.

We reviewed historical data from 2 smallpox outbreaks in Liverpool and Edinburgh during the early and middle years of the 20th century to assess their contribution to developing modern strategies for response to a deliberate release of smallpox virus. Reports contemporaneous to these outbreaks provide detail on the effectiveness of public health interventions. In both outbreaks, extensive contact tracing, quarantine, and staged vaccination campaigns were initiated, and the outbreaks were controlled within 15 months and 3 months, respectively. In Edinburgh, the number of fatalities associated with vaccination exceeded the number of deaths from the disease. In Liverpool, ambulatory, vaccine-modified cases and misdiagnosis as chickenpox resulted in problems with outbreak control. The relatively slow spread of smallpox, as exemplified by the report from Liverpool, allowed for effective implementation of targeted intervention methods. Targeted surveillance and containment interventions have been successful in the past and should be explored as alternatives to mass vaccination.

Adolescent↗

Cost-effectiveness of a targeted disinfection program in household kitchens to prevent foodborne illnesses in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.

Foodborne illnesses impose a substantial economic and quality-of-life burden on society by way of acute morbidity and chronic sequelae. We developed an economic model to evaluate the potential cost-effectiveness of a disinfection program that targets high-risk food preparation activities in household kitchens. For the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, we used published literature and expert opinion to estimate the cost of the program (excluding the educational component); the number of cases of Salmonella, Campylobacter, and Escherichia coli O157:H7 infections prevented; and the economic and quality-of-life outcomes. In our primary analysis, the model estimated that approximately 80,000 infections could be prevented annually in U.S. households, resulting in 138 million dollars in direct medical cost savings (e.g., physician office visits and hospitalizations avoided), 15,845 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, 788 million dollars in program costs, and a favorable cost-effectiveness ratio of 41,021 dollars/QALY gained. Results were similar for households in Canada and the United Kingdom (21,950 dollars Can/QALY gained and 86,341 pounds sterling/QALY gained, respectively). When we evaluated implementing the program only in U.S. households with high-risk members (those less than 5 years of age, greater than 65 years of age, or immunocompromised), the cost-effectiveness ratio was more favorable (10,163 dollars/QALY gained). Results were similar for high-risk households in Canada and the United Kingdom (1,915 dollars Can/QALY gained and 28,158 pounds sterling/QALY gained, respectively). Implementing a targeted disinfection program in household kitchens in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom appears to be a cost-effective strategy, falling within the range generally considered to warrant adoption and diffusion (<100,000 dollars/QALY gained).

Age Distribution↗

The history of smallpox.

The history of smallpox, from its probable origin 3000 to 6000 years ago to its worldwide eradication in 1978, is a fascinating story. A feared infection, even today, smallpox has caused the deaths of millions of people and disfigured many. This article describes the possible origin of the infection and traces its progress throughout the world. The introduction of inoculation with material from smallpox lesions and vaccination using cowpox virus is described. The World Health Organization's successful smallpox eradication program in the 1960s and 1970s is described. Personal experience of this program in Bangladesh in 1973 is outlined, as is the laboratory escape of the major smallpox virus in Birmingham in 1978. The possible use of the smallpox virus as a biological weapon is discussed.

History, 15th Century↗