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Allan Gaw

Publications and source records attributed to Allan Gaw.

21 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Measuring the cost-effectiveness of lipid-lowering drugs in the elderly: the outcomes research and economic analysis components of the PROSPER trial.

Little information exists to quantify the functional status and economic consequences of lipid-lowering therapy in elderly patients. We describe the design of the cost-effectiveness component of the first large, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of lipid-lowering therapy in subjects aged 70 years or older. The PROspective Study of Pravastatin in the Elderly at Risk has randomized 5804 men and women 70-82 years old, with existing vascular disease or related risk factors, to receive 40 mg/d of pravastatin or placebo. The cost-effectiveness study will be based on within-trial observations of differences between the two study arms in rates of myocardial infarction, stroke and related vascular disease outcomes (including vascular dementia). In addition to comparing within-trial clinical outcomes, we will model the projected changes in life expectancy and cardiovascular outcome rates that would be seen with lifelong use of the drug, based on the risk reduction rates seen in the trial as well as baseline observational data from the three countries where the trial is being conducted (Scotland, Ireland and the Netherlands). A state transition (Markov) model will be constructed to estimate the likely states of health, functional status and health care resource utilization (including lipid-lowering drug costs) in a cohort of elderly patients with versus without pravastatin therapy over a series of 1-year cycles until death. In addition, a standard measure of utility (the Health Utilities Index) will be administered to all study subjects to permit calculation of quality-adjusted life-years gained with this regimen. This approach will make it possible to go beyond the calculation of a single endpoint for each subject, and to translate the trial findings into definitions of effectiveness and outcomes that will be relevant to the ongoing debate concerning how best to relate the benefits of such medications to their costs.

Aged↗

A new reality: achieving cholesterol-lowering goals in clinical practice.

Physicians often fail to achieve recommended low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol goals for their patients using lipid-lowering therapies in the primary care setting. A variety of factors may contribute to this failure, including inadequate effectiveness of lipid-lowering drugs in reducing LDL cholesterol at commonly used doses. In the Lipid Assessment Treatment Project (L-TAP), for example, the success rates for lipid-regulating therapies and treatments according to National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Adult Treatment Panel II (ATP II) LDL cholesterol goals were 43% for bile acid sequestrants, 39% for niacin, 32% for gemfibrozil, 28% for psyllium fiber, 40% for statins, and 40% for combination therapy. Rosuvastatin is a new statin that has been shown to achieve significantly greater reductions in LDL cholesterol compared with pravastatin, simvastatin, and atorvastatin in primary hypercholesterolemia and enabled greater proportions of patients to achieve LDL cholesterol goals. Similarly, rosuvastatin proved superior to atorvastatin in lowering LDL cholesterol in patients with familial hypercholesterolemia, with more patients achieving LDL cholesterol goals. Data from these trials suggest that rosuvastatin is as safe and well tolerated as other statins. The availability of lipid-lowering drugs with greater LDL cholesterol-lowering effects could simplify the approach to coronary heart disease risk reduction in primary care.

Adult↗

C-reactive protein is an independent predictor of risk for the development of diabetes in the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study.

Accumulating evidence implicates inflammation as a potential pathway in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes. The objective of the present study was to assess the ability of C-reactive protein (CRP) to predict the development of diabetes in middle-aged men in the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study. Baseline plasma samples for CRP measurement were available for 5,245 men of whom 127 were classified as having a transition from normal glucose control to overt diabetes during the study, based on American Diabetes Association criteria. Baseline CRP was an important predictor of the development of diabetes in univariate analysis (hazard ratio [HR] for an increase of 1 SD = 1.55; 95% CI 1.32-1.82; P < 0.0001). In multivariate analysis, CRP remained a predictor of diabetes development (HR 1.30; 95% CI 1.07-1.58; P = 0.0075) independent of other clinically employed predictors, including baseline BMI and fasting triglyceride and glucose concentrations. Moreover, there was a graded increase in risk across CRP quintiles throughout the study, evident at even 1 year of follow-up. The highest quintile (CRP >4.18 mg/l) was associated with a greater than threefold risk of developing diabetes (HR 3.07; 95% CI 1.33-7.10) in a multivariate analysis at 5 years. Thus, CRP predicts the development of type 2 diabetes in middle-aged men independently of established risk factors. Because CRP, the most commonly used acute-phase protein in clinical practice, is very stable in serum, our observations have clinical potential in helping to better predict individuals destined to develop type 2 diabetes. They also add to the notion that low-grade inflammation is important in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes.

Acute-Phase Reaction↗