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Alvaro Corral

Publications and source records attributed to Alvaro Corral.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

Universal earthquake-occurrence jumps, correlations with time, and anomalous diffusion.

Spatiotemporal properties of seismicity are investigated for a worldwide (WW) catalog and for southern California in the stationary case (SC), showing a nearly universal scaling behavior. Distributions of distances between consecutive earthquakes (jumps) are magnitude independent and show two power-law regimes, separated by jump values about 200 (WW) and 15 km (SC). Distributions of waiting times conditioned to the value of jumps show that both variables are correlated, in general, but turn out to be independent when only short or long jumps are considered. Finally, diffusion profiles are found to be independent on the magnitude, contrary to what the waiting-time distributions suggest.

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Renormalization-group transformations and correlations of seismicity.

The effect of transformations analogous to those of the real-space renormalization group are analyzed for the temporal occurrence of earthquakes. A recently reported scaling law for the distribution of recurrence times implies that these distributions must be invariant under such transformations, for which the role of the correlations between the magnitudes and the recurrence times are fundamental. This approach puts the study of the temporal structure of seismicity in the context of critical phenomena.

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Time-decreasing hazard and increasing time until the next earthquake.

The existence of a slowly always decreasing probability density for the recurrence times of earthquakes in the stationary case implies that the occurrence of an event at a given instant becomes more unlikely as time since the previous event increases. Consequently, the expected waiting time to the next earthquake increases with the elapsed time, that is, the event moves away fast to the future. We have found direct empirical evidence of this counterintuitive behavior in two worldwide catalogs as well as in diverse regional catalogs. Universal scaling functions describe the phenomenon well.

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Long-term clustering, scaling, and universality in the temporal occurrence of earthquakes.

Analyzing diverse seismic catalogs, we have determined that the probability densities of the earthquake recurrence times for different spatial areas and magnitude ranges can be described by a unique universal distribution if the time is rescaled with the rate of seismic occurrence, which therefore fully governs seismicity. The shape of the distribution shows the existence of clustering beyond the duration of aftershock bursts, and scaling reveals the self-similarity of the clustering structure in the space-time-magnitude domain. This holds from worldwide to local scales, for quite different tectonic environments and for all the magnitude ranges considered.

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Calculation of the transition matrix and of the occupation probabilities for the states of the Oslo sandpile model.

The Oslo sandpile model, or if one wants to be precise, ricepile model, is a cellular automaton designed to model experiments on granular piles displaying self-organized criticality. We present an analytic treatment that allows the calculation of the transition probabilities between the different configurations of the system; from here, using the theory of Markov chains, we can obtain the stationary occupation distribution, which tells us that the phase space is occupied with probabilities that vary in many orders of magnitude from one state to another. Our results show how the complexity of this simple model is built as the number of elements increases, and allow, for small system sizes, the exact calculation of the avalanche-size distribution and other properties related to the profile of the pile.

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Local distributions and rate fluctuations in a unified scaling law for earthquakes.

A recently proposed unified scaling law for interoccurrence times of earthquakes is analyzed, both theoretically and with data from Southern California. We decompose the corresponding probability density into local-instantaneous distributions, which scale with the rate of earthquake occurrence. The fluctuations of the rate, characterizing the nonstationarity of the process, show a double power-law distribution and are fundamental to determine the overall behavior, described by a double power law as well.

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Anomalous transport in conical granular piles.

Experiments on 2+1-dimensional piles of elongated particles are performed. Comparison with previous experiments in 1+1 dimensions shows that the addition of one extra dimension to the dynamics changes completely the avalanche properties, with the appearance of a characteristic avalanche size. Nevertheless, the time which single grains need to cross the whole pile varies smoothly between several orders of magnitude, from a few seconds to more than 100 hours. This behavior is described by a power-law distribution, signaling the existence of scale invariance in the transport process.

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