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Andrew M McIntosh

Publications and source records attributed to Andrew M McIntosh.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Distinguishing different psychiatric disorders using DDx-PRS.

Despite great progress on case-control polygenic prediction, an unmet need remains for a method that genetically distinguishes clinically related disorders (e.g., schizophrenia (SCZ) versus bipolar disorder (BIP) versus major depressive disorder (MDD) versus controls). We introduce differential diagnosis-polygenic risk score (DDx-PRS), which jointly estimates the posterior probabilities of each diagnostic category (e.g., SCZ = 50%, BIP = 25%, MDD = 15%, control = 10%) by modeling variance-covariance structure across disorders, leveraging case-control polygenic risk scores and prior clinical probabilities for each diagnostic category. We applied DDx-PRS to Psychiatric Genomics Consortium SCZ, BIP, MDD and control data, including summary-level training data from three case-control genome-wide association studies (n = 41,917-173,140 cases; total n = 1,048,683) and held-out test data from different cohorts with equal numbers for each diagnostic category (total n = 11,460). DDx-PRS was well calibrated and well powered (consistent with simulations) and produced comparable results to methods that require tuning data. True diagnosis probabilities in the top deciles of predicted diagnosis probabilities were considerably larger than prior baseline probabilities, implying appreciable potential for clinical utility in certain settings.

Humans

Associations of Genetic Liability to Six Psychiatric Disorders With Cardiometabolic Diseases.

IMPORTANCE: Individuals with psychiatric disorders have increased risk of cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). Evaluating how psychiatric genetic liability relates to CMD may clarify mechanisms. OBJECTIVE: Identify genetic overlap between psychiatric disorders and CMDs independent of cross-disorder pleiotropy, BMI, and smoking. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Three Northern European cohorts (the Swedish Twin Registry, the Estonian Biobank, and the Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study [MoBa]) totaling 355,159 individuals. Associations with CMDs were estimated as adjusted odds ratios (AORs) from logistic models mutually adjusted for all psychiatric PRSs and in models additionally adjusting for body mass index (BMI) and smoking. Cohort-specific AORs were pooled by inverse-variance weighting. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Exposures were PRSs for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), major depressive disorder (MDD), anxiety disorder, posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia. Outcomes were diagnoses of CMDs (hyperlipidemia, obesity, type 2 diabetes, hypertensive diseases, arteriosclerosis, ischemic heart disease, heart failure, thromboembolic disease, cerebrovascular disease, and arrhythmias), ascertained from electronic health records. RESULTS: The MDD PRS was associated with increased risk of all CMDs across analyses (AORs ranged from 1.13 [95% CI, 1.10-1.15] for heart failure to 1.02 [95% CI, 1.00-1.05] for arrhythmias). The ADHD PRS was associated with increased risk of all CMDs (AOR ranged from 1.11 [95% CI, 1.09-1.12] for obesity to 1.02 [95% CI, 1.01-1.03] for hyperlipidemia), however associations where attenuated when adjusting for BMI and smoking (lifestyle adjusted AOR for obesity: 1.03 [95% CI, 1.02-1.05]). When not mutually adjusting for all psychiatric PRSs, anxiety disorder and PTSD PRSs were associated with all CMDs; these associations diminished after adjustment. The bipolar and schizophrenia PRSs were inversely associated with most CMDs (AOR for schizophrenia PRS and obesity, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.92-0.94]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Associations between psychiatric PRSs and CMDs diverged: ADHD, MDD, anxiety disorder, and PTSD PRSs were positively associated with CMDs, whereas bipolar and schizophrenia PRSs were inversely associated. Genetic liability to MDD showed robust associations with CMDs independent of cross-disorder pleiotropy, BMI, and smoking status, whereas associations between the ADHD PRS and CMDs were largely attenuated after adjustment for BMI and smoking.

Journal Article

Blood-based epigenome-wide analyses of chronic low-grade inflammation across diverse population cohorts.

Chronic inflammation is a hallmark of age-related disease states. The effectiveness of inflammatory proteins including C-reactive protein (CRP) in assessing long-term inflammation is hindered by their phasic nature. DNA methylation (DNAm) signatures of CRP may act as more reliable markers of chronic inflammation. We show that inter-individual differences in DNAm capture 50% of the variance in circulating CRP (N = 17,936, Generation Scotland). We develop a series of DNAm predictors of CRP using state-of-the-art algorithms. An elastic-net-regression-based predictor outperformed competing methods and explained 18% of phenotypic variance in the Lothian Birth Cohort of 1936 (LBC1936) cohort, doubling that of existing DNAm predictors. DNAm predictors performed comparably in four additional test cohorts (Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, Health for Life in Singapore, Southall and Brent Revisited, and LBC1921), including for individuals of diverse genetic ancestry and different age groups. The best-performing predictor surpassed assay-measured CRP and a genetic score in its associations with 26 health outcomes. Our findings forge new avenues for assessing chronic low-grade inflammation in diverse populations.

Humans

Distinguishing different psychiatric disorders using DDx-PRS.

Despite great progress on methods for case-control polygenic prediction (e.g. schizophrenia vs. control), there remains an unmet need for a method that genetically distinguishes clinically related disorders (e.g. schizophrenia (SCZ) vs. bipolar disorder (BIP) vs. depression (MDD) vs. control); such a method could have important clinical value, especially at disorder onset when differential diagnosis can be challenging. Here, we introduce a method, Differential Diagnosis-Polygenic Risk Score (DDx-PRS), that jointly estimates posterior probabilities of each possible diagnostic category (e.g. SCZ=50%, BIP=25%, MDD=15%, control=10%) by modeling variance/covariance structure across disorders, leveraging case-control polygenic risk scores (PRS) for each disorder (computed using existing methods) and prior clinical probabilities for each diagnostic category. DDx-PRS uses only summary-level training data and does not use tuning data, facilitating implementation in clinical settings. In simulations, DDx-PRS was well-calibrated (whereas a simpler approach that analyzes each disorder marginally was poorly calibrated), and effective in distinguishing each diagnostic category vs. the rest. We then applied DDx-PRS to Psychiatric Genomics Consortium SCZ/BIP/MDD/control data, including summary-level training data from 3 case-control GWAS ( N =41,917-173,140 cases; total N =1,048,683) and held-out test data from different cohorts with equal numbers of each diagnostic category (total N =11,460). DDx-PRS was well-calibrated and well-powered relative to these training sample sizes, attaining AUCs of 0.66 for SCZ vs. rest, 0.64 for BIP vs. rest, 0.59 for MDD vs. rest, and 0.68 for control vs. rest. DDx-PRS produced comparable results to methods that leverage tuning data, confirming that DDx-PRS is an effective method. True diagnosis probabilities in top deciles of predicted diagnosis probabilities were considerably larger than prior baseline probabilities, particularly in projections to larger training sample sizes, implying considerable potential for clinical utility under certain circumstances. In conclusion, DDx-PRS is an effective method for distinguishing clinically related disorders.

Journal Article