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Biomedical subjects

B A Coull

Publications and source records attributed to B A Coull.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

The teratogenicity of anticonvulsant drugs.

BACKGROUND: The frequency of major malformations, growth retardation, and hypoplasia of the midface and fingers, known as the anticonvulsant embryopathy, is increased in infants exposed to anticonvulsant drugs in utero. However, whether the abnormalities are caused by the maternal epilepsy itself or by exposure to anticonvulsant drugs is not known. METHODS: We screened 128,049 pregnant women at delivery to identify three groups of infants: those exposed to anticonvulsant drugs, those unexposed to anticonvulsant drugs but with a maternal history of seizures, and those unexposed to anticonvulsant drugs with no maternal history of seizures (control group). The infants were examined systematically for the presence of major malformations, signs of hypoplasia of the midface and fingers, microcephaly, and small body size. RESULTS: The combined frequency of anticonvulsant embryopathy was higher in 223 infants exposed to one anticonvulsant drug than in 508 control infants (20.6 percent vs. 8.5 percent; odds ratio, 2.8; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.1 to 9.7). The frequency was also higher in 93 infants exposed to two or more anticonvulsant drugs than in the controls (28.0 percent vs. 8.5 percent; odds ratio, 4.2; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.1 to 5.1). The 98 infants whose mothers had a history of epilepsy but took no anticonvulsant drugs during the pregnancy did not have a higher frequency of those abnormalities than the control infants. CONCLUSIONS: A distinctive pattern of physical abnormalities in infants of mothers with epilepsy is associated with the use of anticonvulsant drugs during pregnancy, rather than with epilepsy itself.

Abnormalities, Drug-Induced↗

Simple incorporation of interactions into additive models.

Often, the functional form of covariate effects in an additive model varies across groups defined by levels of a categorical variable. This structure represents a factor-by-curve interaction. This article presents penalized spline models that incorporate factor-by-curve interactions into additive models. A mixed model formulation for penalized splines allows for straightforward model fitting and smoothing parameter selection. We illustrate the proposed model by applying it to pollen ragweed data in which seasonal trends vary by year.

Biometry↗

Random effects modeling of multiple binomial responses using the multivariate binomial logit-normal distribution.

The multivariate binomial logit-normal distribution is a mixture distribution for which, (i) conditional on a set of success probabilities and sample size indices, a vector of counts is independent binomial variates, and (ii) the vector of logits of the parameters has a multivariate normal distribution. We use this distribution to model multivariate binomial-type responses using a vector of random effects. The vector of logits of parameters has a mean that is a linear function of explanatory variables and has an unspecified or partly specified covariance matrix. The model generalizes and provides greater flexibility than the univariate model that uses a normal random effect to account for positive correlations in clustered data. The multivariate model is useful when different elements of the response vector refer to different characteristics, each of which may naturally have its own random effect. It is also useful for repeated binary measurement of a single response when there is a nonexchangeable association structure, such as one often expects with longitudinal data or when negative association exists for at least one pair of responses. We apply the model to an influenza study with repeated responses in which some pairs are negatively associated and to a developmental toxicity study with continuation-ratio logits applied to an ordinal response with clustered observations.

Abnormalities, Drug-Induced↗

The use of mixed logit models to reflect heterogeneity in capture-recapture studies.

We examine issues in estimating population size N with capture-recapture models when there is variable catchability among subjects. We focus on a logistic-normal mixed model, for which the logit of the probability of capture is an additive function of a random subject and a fixed sampling occasion parameter. When the probability of capture is small or the degree of heterogeneity is large, the log-likelihood surface is relatively flat and it is difficult to obtain much information about N. We also discuss a latent class model and a log-linear model that account for heterogeneity and show that the log-linear model has greater scope. Models assuming homogeneity provide much narrower intervals for N but are usually highly overly optimistic, the actual coverage probability being much lower than the nominal level.

Animals↗

Order-restricted tests for stratified comparisons of binomial proportions.

The data set presented relates a binomial response to ordered levels of an explanatory variable, representing doses of a drug, with data collected at several centers. A study goal is to test independence of the response and the ordinal factor, assuming under the alternative only that the binomial parameter is a monotonically increasing function of the ordinal predictor. We present two likelihood-ratio tests that are sensitive to order-restricted alternatives. Simulating the exact distributions of the test statistics yields nearly exact P-values. We also discuss related analyses for comparing two groups on an ordinal response, and we propose a test that is sensitive to a stochastic ordering alternative.

Binomial Distribution↗