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B Alves

Publications and source records attributed to B Alves.

8 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2001

Comparison of UK paediatric cardiac surgical performance by analysis of routinely collected data 1984-96: was Bristol an outlier?

BACKGROUND: Reports of high mortality after paediatric cardiac surgery at the Bristol Royal Infirmary, UK, led to the establishment of an independent public inquiry. A key question was whether or not the mortality statistics in Bristol were unusual compared with other specialist centres. To answer this question, we did a retrospective analysis of mortality in the UK using two datasets. METHODS: Data from the UK Cardiac Surgical Register (CSR; January, 1984, to March, 1996) and Hospital Episode Statistics (HES; April, 1991, to December, 1995) were obtained for all 12 major centres in which paediatric cardiac surgery is done in the UK. The main outcome measure was mortality within 30 days of a cardiac surgical procedure. We estimated excess deaths in Bristol using a random-effects model derived from the remaining 11 centres. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis was done and case-mix examined. FINDINGS: For children younger than 1 year, in open operations, the mortality rate in Bristol was around double that of the other centres during 1991-95: within the CSR, there were 19.0 excess deaths (95% interval 2-32) among 43 deaths; and in HES, there were 24.1 excess deaths (12-34) among 41 deaths recorded. There was no strong evidence for excess mortality in Bristol for closed operations or for open operations in children older than 1 year. INTERPRETATION: Our results suggest that Bristol was an outlier, and we do not believe that statistical variation, systematic bias in data collection, case-mix, or data quality can explain a divergence in performance of this size.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Pneumococcal vaccine for asthma.

BACKGROUND: Infection with Streptococcus pneumoniae is an important cause of pneumonia and other serious illnesses, particularly amongst those with certain high-risk medical conditions such as asthma. Although pneumococcal vaccine is routinely advocated for people with asthma, there is uncertainty about the evidence base that underpins this recommendation. OBJECTIVES: To determine the efficacy of pneumococcal vaccine in reducing mortality or morbidity from pneumococcal disease in asthmatics. SEARCH STRATEGY: Randomised controlled trials were identified using the Cochrane Airways Group's register derived from MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL electronic databases and hand searched respiratory journals and meeting abstracts. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials, with or without blinding, in which pneumococcal vaccine has been compared with placebo or no treatment in people with clinician diagnosed asthma. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two reviewers independently reviewed all abstracts and full papers of all articles of potential relevance were retrieved. Methodological quality was rated using the Cochrane approach and the Jadad rating scale. Data extraction was performed by one reviewer and checked independently by a second. We planned to perform quantitative analyses of outcomes on an intention-to-treat basis, where possible. MAIN RESULTS: Of the three papers retrieved, only one satisfied the inclusion criteria and the methodological quality of this study was low (unblinded and inadequate allocation concealment). None of the data could be aggregated in a meta-analysis. Comparisons in a sub-set of 30 asthmatic children prone to recurrent episodes of otitis media, showed that pneumococcal vaccination decreased the incidence of acute asthma exacerbations from 10 to 7 (per child per year). REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS: This review found very limited evidence to support the routine use of pneumococcal vaccine in people with asthma. A randomised trial of vaccine efficacy in children and adults with asthma is needed.

Asthma↗
PubMed2001

Age, sex, geographical and socio-economic variations in admissions for anaphylaxis: analysis of four years of English hospital data.

BACKGROUND: Although the most severe of the allergic disorders, the epidemiology of anaphylaxis remains poorly described. Hospital admissions for anaphylaxis in England more than doubled during the 1990s. OBJECTIVE: To provide baseline data for assessing future trends, and to assess whether there is sufficient regional variation in incidence to allow efficient testing of aetiological hypotheses, we sought to identify any age, sex, geographical and socio-economic variations in hospital inpatient admissions for anaphylaxis. METHODS: We studied all emergency admissions for anaphylaxis to English NHS hospitals between 1991 and 1995. Poisson regression modelling was used to calculate rates of anaphylaxis admission per 100 000 emergency admissions by age, sex, deprivation and by residence in urban/rural, North/South and East/West England. RESULTS: Of the 13.5 million emergency inpatient admissions, 2323 patients had a primary diagnosis of anaphylaxis. Poisson regression analyses showed significant age, gender, geographical and socio-economic variations in emergency admissions for anaphylaxis: adjusted Female rate ratio 1.19 (95% CI 1.09-1.29), South rate ratio 1.35 (95% CI 1.25-1.47), Rural rate ratio 1.35 (95% CI 1.17, 1.59), and Non-deprived rate ratio 1.32 (95% CI 1.19, 1.46). CONCLUSION: This study identifies striking national age, sex, geographical and socio-economic variations in the incidence of inpatient admissions for anaphylaxis in England, affording important opportunities to generate and test aetiological hypotheses. Risk of anaphylaxis admission is considerably increased in females of child-bearing age and those residing in southern, rural, and affluent areas are independent risk factors for anaphylaxis admission.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

A study of the variation in tuberculosis incidence and possible influential variables in Manchester, Liverpool, Birmingham and Cardiff in 1991-1995.

SETTING AND OBJECTIVE: The reversal of the decline in United Kingdom tuberculosis rates has sparked a resurgence of interest in the epidemiology and prevention of tuberculosis in the UK. In this paper we quantify the primary factors explaining the variability in the electoral ward level relative risk of tuberculosis in Manchester, Liverpool, Birmingham and Cardiff. DESIGN: Ecological analysis of the incidence of tuberculosis in 397 wards using hospital admissions data as a proxy for tuberculosis incidence. Admissions were evaluated from the financial years 1991/1992 to 1994/1995. Ward level covariates included measures of country of birth, ethnicity and various socio-economic measures. RESULTS: Separate analyses were carried out for pulmonary and non-pulmonary tuberculosis. For pulmonary tuberculosis the final model included measures of the ward population born in India and Pakistan, overcrowded housing and not-owner-occupied housing. For non-pulmonary tuberculosis the covariates were ward population born in India and Pakistan, overcrowded housing and the proportion of households with no car. CONCLUSIONS: The country of birth of the ward population is the single most influential explanatory factor in the variability of the ward rates for both pulmonary and non-pulmonary tuberculosis in these four cities. Measures of poverty are of secondary importance.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Rationale for the new GP deprivation payment scheme in England: effects of moving from electoral ward to enumeration district underprivileged area scores.

BACKGROUND: The Department of Health introduced a new deprivation payments system for general practitioners (GPs) on 1 April 1999. Following a three-year phasing-in process, registered patients will attract deprivation payments based on the underprivileged area (UPA) score of their enumeration district (ED) of residence, rather than their electoral ward, changing the pattern and distribution of payments throughout England. AIM: To assess the rationale behind the changed deprivation payments system for GPs in England and to examine its impact on GP and practice payments. DESIGN OF STUDY: A quantitative study modelling practice-based deprivation payments. SETTING: A total of 25,450 unrestricted principal GPs in 8919 practices in England. METHOD: The effect of three new components in the system were examined: changes in the ED score ranges attracting payment, the percentage increase in the size of successive payment bands, and the total budget. The relationship between consultation rates (used as a proxy for workload) and UPA score was examined, together with changes in GP payments calculated nationally and by geographical area. RESULTS: A total of 11.6% of the population of England live in wards with a UPA score of 30 or more, qualifying for deprivation payments, and a similar proportion (11.4%) live in EDs with a UPA score of 20 or more. The larger percentage increases in the size of payments in successive ED UPA bands is supported by the modelled relationship between consultation rate and UPA score. Financially, under the new deprivations payment system, entitlement widens with 88% of practices receiving a payment. Overall, 74% of GPs gain and 13% lose (3% losing more than 1500 Pounds), with 13% receiving no payment. CONCLUSION: The new ED system maps onto the previous system well. Moreover, it more finely discriminates between smaller areas of different relative deprivation and, thereby, targets payments more accurately.

Capitation Fee↗
PubMed1999

Explaining differences in English hospital death rates using routinely collected data.

OBJECTIVES: To ascertain hospital inpatient mortality in England and to determine which factors best explain variation in standardised hospital death ratios. DESIGN: Weighted linear regression analysis of routinely collected data over four years, with hospital standardised mortality ratios as the dependent variable. SETTING: England. SUBJECTS: Eight million discharges from NHS hospitals when the primary diagnosis was one of the diagnoses accounting for 80% of inpatient deaths. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospital standardised mortality ratios and predictors of variations in these ratios. RESULTS: The four year crude death rates varied across hospitals from 3.4% to 13.6% (average for England 8.5%), and standardised hospital mortality ratios ranged from 53 to 137 (average for England 100). The percentage of cases that were emergency admissions (60% of total hospital admissions) was the best predictor of this variation in mortality, with the ratio of hospital doctors to beds and general practitioners to head of population the next best predictors. When analyses were restricted to emergency admissions (which covered 93% of all patient deaths analysed) number of doctors per bed was the best predictor. CONCLUSION: Analysis of hospital episode statistics reveals wide variation in standardised hospital mortality ratios in England. The percentage of total admissions classified as emergencies is the most powerful predictor of variation in mortality. The ratios of doctors to head of population served, both in hospital and in general practice, seem to be critical determinants of standardised hospital death rates; the higher these ratios, the lower the death rates in both cases.

Data Collection↗