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Biomedical subjects

B Manktelow

Publications and source records attributed to B Manktelow.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

Neonatal disease severity scoring systems.

Illness severity scores have become widely used in neonatal intensive care. Primarily this has been to adjust the mortality observed in a particular hospital or population for the morbidity of their infants, and hence allow standardised comparisons to be performed. However, although risk correction has become relatively commonplace in relation to audit and research involving groups of infants, the use of such scores in giving prognostic information to parents, about their baby, has been much more limited. The strengths and weaknesses of the existing methods of disease severity correction in the newborn are presented in this review.

Humans↗

Interventions in the management of serum lipids for preventing stroke recurrence.

BACKGROUND: A close association between serum lipid levels and the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) has been well proven in middle aged and older persons, up to the age of 70-75 years. Individual studies have shown interventions to reduce total and low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels, especially with 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl coenzyme a (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitors (statins), to be of benefit in reducing CHD and stroke events in those with a history of coronary heart disease. However, the relation of serum cholesterol and cholesterol sub-fractions with cerebrovascular disease is less clear. It is unclear whether lipid levels in the post-stroke period are a predictor of recurrence and whether treatment to alter levels can prevent recurrence of either stroke or cardiovascular events. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of altering serum lipids in the prevention of cardiovascular disease and stroke recurrence in subjects with a history of stroke. SEARCH STRATEGY: The Cochrane Group Trials Register was searched up to 8 May 2001 along with MEDLINE (from 1966), EMBASE (from 1980) and the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register. All pharmaceutical firms known to produce a lipid lowering agent were also contacted and asked to provide information on publications or unpublished work relevant to this review. SELECTION CRITERIA: This review included unconfounded randomised trials of subjects aged 18 years and over with a history of stroke or Transient Ischaemic Attack (TIA). DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: The data were extracted independently by the three reviewers. MetaView 4.1 was used for all statistical analyses. MAIN RESULTS: Five studies involving 1700 patients were included in the review. The active intervention in two of the studies was Clofibrate, Pravastatin in another two and Conjugated Oestrogen in the fifth. Fixed effects analysis showed no evidence of a difference in stroke recurrence between the treatment and placebo groups for those with a previous history of stroke or TIA (odds ratio 0.96, 95% confidence interval 0.71 to 1.30). In addition there was also no evidence, based on two studies, that intervention reduced the odds of all cause mortality (odds ratio 0.87, 95% confidence interval 0.55 to 1.39) nor, from one study, that there was any effect on subsequent vascular events (odds ratio 1.27, 95% confidence interval 0.84 to 1.89). REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS: These trials do not provide evidence for a benefit, or harm, from interventions to alter serum lipid levels in patients with a history solely of cerebrovascular disease. Their use, therefore, cannot yet be recommended routinely in this patient group, but ischaemic stroke patients with a history of myocardial infarction should receive statin therapy along the lines of the previous recommendations for those patients with a history of myocardial ischaemia. There are currently three ongoing trials which will recruit approximately 30,000 patients, including those with a history of stroke, and the results of these trials may have a significant effect on these conclusions.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗

Measuring later health status of high risk infants: randomised comparison of two simple methods of data collection.

OBJECTIVE: To test two methods of providing low cost information on the later health status of survivors of neonatal intensive care. DESIGN: Cluster randomised comparison. SETTING: Nine hospitals distributed across two UK health regions. Each hospital was randomised to use one of two methods of follow up. PARTICIPANTS: All infants born </=32 weeks' gestation during 1997 in the study hospitals. METHOD: Families were recruited at the time of discharge. In one method of follow up families were asked to complete a questionnaire about their child's health at the age of 2 years (corrected for gestation). In the other method the children's progress was followed by clerks in the local community child health department by using sources of routine information. RESULTS: 236 infants were recruited to each method of follow up. Questionnaires were returned by 214 parents (91%; 95% confidence interval 84% to 97%) and 223 clerks (95%; 86% to 100%). Completed questionnaires were returned by 201 parents (85%; 76% to 94%) and 158 clerks (67%; 43% to 91%). Most parents found the forms easy to complete, but some had trouble understanding the concept of "corrected age" and hence when to return the form. Community clerks often had to rely on information that was out of date and difficult to interpret. CONCLUSION: Neither questionnaires from parents nor routinely collected health data are adequate methods of providing complete follow up data on children who were born preterm and required neonatal intensive care, though both methods show potential.

Community Health Services↗

Paediatric trainees and the transportation of critically ill neonates: experience, training and confidence.

AIM: To study the experience of, training in, and confidence in the transportation of critically ill neonates amongst paediatric trainees in one UK region. DESIGN: An anonymized questionnaire was sent to all middle grades with paediatrics National Training Numbers from the Trent region. RESULTS: The response rate was 78%. Less than half (45%) of the respondents reported receiving any training in the transportation of neonates, either in the UK or abroad; 45% (30/66) of the trainees reported having performed 10 or fewer neonatal transfers. The self-perceived confidence for transporting neonates was scored on a 10-point scale, to produce a "confidence score", the median score being 7 (IQ range 5, 8). Both as a group and individually, the trainee paediatricians were more confident in transporting neonates than older infants or children (p < 0.0001). Using multiple analysis of covariance, it was found that the most important and significant variables affecting the "confidence scores" for the inter-hospital transportation of critically ill neonates were receipt of any relevant transport training, and the current frequency of transports performed. CONCLUSIONS: Many training-grade paediatricians lack both the experience and training in transporting critically ill neonates, factors that were found to affect their confidence in transferring sick neonates. As the overwhelming majority of neonatal transports in the UK are still arranged by individual units and performed by training-grade paediatricians, concerns regarding both the safety and effectiveness of the current service provision for the inter-hospital transfer of critically ill neonates remain valid.

Analysis of Variance↗

Twenty-four hour systolic blood pressure predicts long-term mortality following acute stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effects of acute blood pressure (BP) on long-term mortality following stroke. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Leicester Teaching Hospitals. PATIENTS: Two hundred and nineteen consecutive patients were recruited within 24 h of acute stroke. INTERVENTIONS: Clinic and 24 h BP levels were measured. Other risk factors previously associated with stroke mortality were recorded within 24 h of admission. No specific pharmacological interventions;were made. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was death over a median follow-up period of over 2.5 years. The hazards ratios associated with predefined variables were assessed using Cox's proportional hazards modelling, and Kaplan-Meier survival plots were also calculated. RESULTS: On multiple variable analysis, 24 h systolic BP (> or = 160 mmHg) was associated with an increased hazards ratio of 2.41 (95% confidence intervals: 1.24-4.67) for death, compared to the reference group (140-159 mmHg). The addition of 24 h heart rate was significant, with increasing heart rate (> 83 bpm) associated with an increased mortality (P = 0.006), although this effect was not constant over time. Increasing age (> 80 years) at presentation was also associated with an increased hazards ratio of 2.53 (1.14-5.62) compared to age < or = 66 years. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence that elevated 24 h systolic BP in the acute stroke period is associated with increased long-term mortality. This may have implications in the therapeutic management of BP following stroke, though further research is required to determine the timing, nature and effect of such an intervention.

Aged↗

Prediction of survival for preterm births by weight and gestational age: retrospective population based study.

OBJECTIVE: To produce current data on survival of preterm infants. DESIGN: Retrospective population based study. SETTING: Trent health region. SUBJECTS: All European and Asian live births, stillbirths, and late fetal losses from 22 to 32 weeks' gestation, excluding those with major congenital malformations, in women resident in the Trent health region between 1 January 1994 and 31 December 1997. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Birth weight and gestational age specific survival for both European and Asian infants (a) known to be alive at the onset of labour, and (b) admitted for neonatal care. RESULTS: 738 deaths occurred in 3760 infants born between 22 and 32 weeks' gestation during the study period, giving an overall survival rate of 80.4%. The survival rate for the 3489 (92.8%) infants admitted for neonatal care was 86.6%. For European infants known to be alive at the onset of labour, significant variations in gestation specific survival by birth weight emerged from 24 weeks' gestation: survival ranged from 9% (95% confidence interval 7% to 13%) for infants of birth weight 250-499 g to 21% (16% to 28%) for those of 1000-1249 g. At 27 weeks' gestation, survival ranged from 55% (49% to 61%) for infants of birth weight 500-749 g (below the 10th centile) to 80% (76% to 85%) for those of 1250-1499 g. Infants who were large for dates (>/=27 weeks' gestation) had a slightly reduced, but not significant, predicted survival. Similar survival rates were observed for Asian infants. The odds ratio for the survival of infants from a multiple birth compared with singleton infants was 1.4 (1.1 to 1.8). Survival graphs for infants admitted for neonatal care are presented by sex. CONCLUSION: Easy to use birth weight and gestational age specific predicted survival graphs for preterm infants facilitate decision making for clinicians and parents. It is important that these graphs are representative, are produced for a geographically defined population, and are not biased towards the outcomes of particular centres. Such graphs, produced in two stages, allow for the changing pattern of survival of infants from the start of the intrapartum period to immediately after admission for neonatal care.

Asia↗

Measuring postural changes in blood pressure in the healthy elderly.

BACKGROUND: Background The reproducibility of postural changes in blood pressure of a healthy elderly population determined using standard clinical measurements is not known. OBJECTIVE: To assess the differences in reproducibility of postural changes in blood pressure in healthy elderly subjects 1 and 3 min after standing within a day and between visits spaced 6 weeks apart. METHODS: Casual readings of blood pressures of supine and standing subjects were measured twice during the day by the same observer on two occasions 6 weeks apart using a semi-automatic syphgmomanometer. Twenty-two subjects with no known risk factors for orthostatic hypotension (13 men) aged 69+/-3 years (mean+/-SD) with a mean initial screening supine blood pressure of 153+/-19/88+/-11 mmHg were recruited. RESULTS: There were significant differences(P<0.001) between the postural changes both for systolic and for diastolic blood pressure between 1 and 3 min of standing, the largest falls occurring after 1 min of standing, though we found no variation between morning and afternoon measurements and between visits. The coefficients of reproducibility between visits for the postural changes in blood pressure after 1 and 3 min of standing were large both for systolic and for diastolic blood pressure, ranging from 9.8 to 29.3 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: There was a consistent and significant difference between the postural changes in blood pressure after 1 and 3 min of standing for this healthy elderly population, but there was no significant difference between the postural changes in morning and afternoon measurements and between visits. This marked variability in the postural change in blood pressure with duration of standing must be taken into account when assessing the prevalence of orthostatic hypotension and the effects of treatment in patients with orthostatic falls in blood pressure.

Aged↗