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Biomedical subjects

B Pham

Publications and source records attributed to B Pham.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

A study examining inter- and intrarater reliability of three scales for measuring severity of psoriasis: Psoriasis Area and Severity Index, Physician's Global Assessment and Lattice System Physician's Global Assessment.

BACKGROUND: There is a lack of consensus as to the best way of monitoring psoriasis severity in clinical trials. The Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) is the most frequently used system and the Physician's Global Assessment (PGA) is also often used. However, both instruments have some drawbacks and neither has been fully evaluated in terms of 'validity' and 'reliability' as a psoriasis rating scale. The Lattice System Physician's Global Assessment (LS-PGA) scale has recently been developed to address some disadvantages of the PASI and PGA. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the inter-rater and intrarater reliability of the PASI, PGA and LS-PGA. METHODS: On the day before the study, 14 dermatologists (raters), with varied experience of assessing psoriasis, received detailed training (2.5 h) on use of the scales. On the study day, each rater evaluated 16 adults with chronic plaque psoriasis in the morning and again in the afternoon. Raters were randomly assigned to assess subjects using the scales in a specific sequence, either PGA, LS-PGA, PASI or PGA, PASI, LS-PGA. Each rater used one sequence in the morning and the other in the afternoon. The primary endpoint was the inter-rater and intrarater reliability as determined by intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs). RESULTS: All three scales demonstrated 'substantial' (a priori defined as ICC > 80%) intrarater reliability. The inter-rater reliability for each of the PASI and LS-PGA was also 'substantial' and for the PGA was 'moderate' (ICC 75%). CONCLUSIONS: Each one of the three scales provided reproducible psoriasis severity assessments. In terms of both intrarater and inter-rater reliability values, the three scales can be ranked from highest to lowest as follows: PASI, LS-PGA and PGA.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

The inclusion of reports of randomised trials published in languages other than English in systematic reviews.

OBJECTIVE: To assemble a large dataset of language restricted and language inclusive systematic reviews, including both conventional medicinal (CM) and complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) interventions. To then assess the quality of these reports by considering and comparing different types of systematic reviews and their associated RCTs; CM and CAM interventions; the effect of language restrictions compared with language inclusions, and whether these results are influenced by other issues, including statistical heterogeneity and publication bias, in the systematic review process. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and the Centralised Information Service for Complementary Medicine. REVIEW METHODS: Three types of systematic reviews were included: language restricted; language inclusive/English language (EL) reviews that searched RCTs in languages other than English (LOE) but did not find any and, hence, could not include any, in the quantitative data synthesis; and systematic reviews that searched for RCTs in LOE and included them in the quantitative data synthesis. Fisher's exact test was applied to compare the three different types of systematic reviews with respect to their reporting characteristics and the systematic review quality assessment tool. The odds ratio of LOE trials versus EL trials was computed for each review and this information was pooled across the reviews to examine the influence that language of publication and type of intervention (CM, CAM) have on the estimates of intervention effect. Several sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: The LOE RCTs were predominantly in French and German. Language inclusive/LOE systematic reviews were of the highest quality compared with the other types of reviews. The CAM reviews were of higher quality compared with the CM reviews. There were only minor differences in the quality of reports of EL RCTs compared with the eight other languages considered. However, there are inconsistent differences in the quality of LOE reports depending on the intervention type. The results, and those reported previously, suggest that excluding reports of RCTs in LOE from the analytical part of a systematic review is reasonable. Because the present research and previous efforts have not included every type of CM RCT and the resulting possibility of the uncertainty as to when bias will be present by excluding LOE, it is always prudent to perform a comprehensive search for all evidence. This result only applies to reviews investigating the benefits of CM interventions. This does not imply that systematic reviewers should neglect reports in LOE. We recommend that systematic reviewers search for reports regardless of the language. There may be merit in including them in some aspects of the review process although this decision is likely to depend on several factors, including fiscal and other resources being available. Language restrictions significantly shift the estimates of an intervention's effectiveness when the intervention is CAM. Here, excluding trials reported in LOE, compared with their inclusion, resulted in a reduced intervention effect. The present results do not appear to be influenced by statistical heterogeneity and publication bias. CONCLUSIONS: With the exception of CAM systematic reviews, the quality of recently published systematic reviews is less than optimal. Language inclusive/LOE systematic reviews appear to be a marker for a better quality systematic review. Language restrictions do not appear to bias the estimates of a conventional intervention's effectiveness. However, there is substantial bias in the results of a CAM systematic review if LOE reports are excluded from it.

Complementary Therapies↗
PubMed2002

Meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials of the effectiveness of antiarrhythmic agents at promoting sinus rhythm in patients with atrial fibrillation.

OBJECTIVE: To conduct a meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials to estimate the effectiveness of antiarrhythmic drugs at promoting sinus rhythm in patients with atrial fibrillation. DESIGN: Articles were identified by using a comprehensive search of English language papers indexed in Medline from 1966 to August 2001. For the outcomes of sinus rhythm and death, a random effects model was used to model repeated assessments within a study at different time points. SETTING: Emergency departments and ambulatory clinics. PATIENTS: Patients with atrial fibrillation. INTERVENTIONS: Antiarrhythmic agents grouped according to their Vaughan-Williams class. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Sinus rhythm and mortality. RESULTS: 91 articles met a priori criteria for inclusion in the analysis. Median duration of follow up was one day (range 0.04-1096, mean (SD) 46 (136) days). The median proportion of patients in sinus rhythm at follow up was 55% (range 0-100%) and 32% (range 0-90%) receiving active treatment and placebo, respectively. Median survival was 99% (range 55-100%) and 99% (range 55-100%). Compared with placebo, the following drug classes were associated with increased sinus rhythm at follow up: IA (treatment difference 21.5%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 16.3% to 26.8%); IC (treatment difference 33.1%, 95% CI 23.3% to 42.9%); and III (treatment difference 17.4%, 95% CI 11.5% to 23.3%). Class IC drugs were associated with increased sinus rhythm at follow up compared with class IV drugs (treatment difference 43.2%, 95% CI 11.5% to 75.0%). There was no significant difference in mortality between any drug classes. CONCLUSIONS: Class IA, IC, and III drugs are associated with increased sinus rhythm at follow up compared with placebo. It is unclear whether any antiarrhythmic drug class is associated with increased or decreased mortality.

Anti-Arrhythmia Agents↗
PubMed2001

How efficacious and safe is short-acting methylphenidate for the treatment of attention-deficit disorder in children and adolescents? A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Numerous small clinical trials have been carried out to study the behaviourally defined efficacy and safety of short-acting methylphenidate compared with placebo for attention-deficit disorder (ADD) in individuals aged 18 years and less. However, no meta-analyses that carefully examined these questions have been done. We reviewed the behavioural evidence from all the randomized controlled trials that compared methylphenidate and placebo, and completed a meta-analysis. METHODS: We searched several electronic sources for articles published between 1981 and 1999: MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsychINFO, ERIC, CINAHL, HEALTHSTAR, Biological Abstracts, Current Contents and Dissertation Abstracts. The Cochrane Library Trials Registry and Current Controlled Trials were also consulted. A study was considered eligible for inclusion if it entailed the following: a placebo-controlled randomized trial that involved short-acting methylphenidate and participants aged 18 years or less at the start of the trial who had received any primary diagnosis of ADD that was made in a systematic and reproducible way. RESULTS: We included 62 randomized trials that involved a total of 2897 participants with a primary diagnosis of ADD (e.g., with or without hyperactivity). The median age of trial participants was 8.7 years, and the median "percent male" composition of trials was 88.1%. Most studies used a crossover design. Using the scores from 2 separate indices, this collection of trials exhibited low quality. Interventions lasted, on average, 3 weeks, with no trial lasting longer than 28 weeks. Each primary outcome (hyperactivity index) demonstrated a significant effect of methylphenidate (effect size reported by teacher 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64-0.91; effect size reported by parent 0.54, 95% CI 0.40-0.67). However, these apparent beneficial effects are tempered by a strong indication of publication bias and the lack of robustness of the findings, especially those involving core ADD features. Methylphenidate also has an adverse event profile that requires consideration. For example, clinicians only need to treat 4 children to identify an episode of decreased appetite. INTERPRETATION: Short-acting methylphenidate has a statistically significant clinical effect in the short-term treatment of individuals with a diagnosis of ADD aged 18 years and less. However, the extension of this placebo-controlled effect beyond 4 weeks of treatment has not been demonstrated. Exact knowledge of the extent and definition of the short-term behavioural usefulness of methylphenidate is questioned.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Effect of Trendelenburg head position during cardiac deairing on cerebral microemboli in children: a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: We prospectively evaluated the effects of head position during cardiac deairing on the Doppler ultrasonography-detected cerebral microemboli in children and the association between the embolic counts and the clinical assessment of deairing. METHODS: Children requiring exposure of the systemic ventricle under cardiopulmonary bypass were randomized to Trendelenburg (-15 degrees ) and horizontal (0 degrees ) head positions during and after standard surgical deairing. Complexity of repair was categorized as follows: group I consisted of single simple lesions, and group II consisted of multiple complex lesions. Transcranial Doppler ultrasonography identified high-intensity transient signals in the right middle cerebral artery within the first 5 minutes after aortic declamping (release) and from this ending period until cardiopulmonary bypass termination (residual). Electrocardiographic alterations after deairing were documented. A predefined 5-point scale was used by the surgeon for blinded assessment of deairing. RESULTS: High-intensity transient signals were identified in 97% of 128 patients (aged 5 days to 17 years). The median total high-intensity transient signal count was 60 (25th-75th quartiles, 14-189). Head position or surgeon did not affect the rate of high-intensity transient signals (P >.20). During the residual interval, occurrence of HITS in group I was less than that in group II (P <.05), but there was no difference at release. The incidence of high-intensity transient signals and electrocardiographic alterations correlated with the clinical assessment of deairing (P <.01). CONCLUSIONS: Trendelenburg head position as a complement of cardiac deairing in children does not decrease the cerebral microembolic load compared with the horizontal head position. The cerebral microembolic count and the occurrence of electrocardiographic alterations usually increases when the surgeon is less confident in the efficacy of deairing.

Cardiac Surgical Procedures↗
PubMed2001

Is there a "best" way to detect and minimize publication bias? An empirical evaluation.

Using 14 meta-analyses that included both published (n = 199) and unpublished (n = 50) randomized trials, we evaluated the utility of different analytical approaches to detect, assess robustness, and minimize publication bias in meta-analysis. The rank correlation and graphical tests indicated funnel plot asymmetry in 3 and 7 of the 14 meta-analyses, respectively. The file drawer number estimates using Iyengar-Greenhouse method were between 1.5 and 4.7 times smaller compared to Rosenthal's estimates. The median difference between the Trim and Fill estimates and the actual number of missing studies was 1 (range -4, 6). Weighted estimation methods adjusted for publication bias and provided estimates of intervention effect close to the reference standard, on average. We showed there are differences in the conclusions one would reach clinically based on the different analytical approaches dealing with publication bias. Our results also suggest that the appropriate use of these methods improves the reliability and accuracy of meta-analysis.

Humans↗
PubMed2001

The effectiveness of a home visit to prevent childhood injury.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effectiveness of a home visit program to improve home safety and decrease the frequency of injury in children. We examined the effects of the program on 1) parental injury awareness and knowledge; 2) the extent that families used home safety measures; 3) the rate of injury; and 4) the cost effectiveness of the intervention. DESIGN: A randomized, controlled trial. SETTING: A multicenter trial conducted at 5 hospitals in 4 Canadian urban centers. PARTICIPANTS: Children <8 years old, initially enrolled in an injury case-control study, were eligible to participate. Intervention. Subsequent to a home inspection conducted to determine baseline hazard rates for both groups, participants in the intervention group received a single home visit that included the provision of an information package, discount coupons, and specific instruction regarding home safety measures. MAIN RESULTS: The median age was 2 years, with males comprising ~60% of participants. The experimental groups were comparable at outset in terms of case-control status, age, gender, and socioeconomic status. Parental injury awareness and knowledge was high; 73% correctly identified injury as the leading cause of death in children, and an intervention effect was not demonstrated. The adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for the home inspection items indicated that significant safety modifications only occurred in the number of homes having hot water not exceeding 54 degrees C (OR: 1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14, 1.50) or the presence of a smoke detector (OR: 1.45, 95% CI: 0.94, 2.22). However, the intervention group reported home safety modifications of 62% at 4 months and significantly less injury visits to the doctor compared with the nonintervention group (rate ratio: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.58, 0.96). The total costs of care for injuries were significantly lower in the intervention group compared with the nonintervention group with a cost of $372 per injury prevented. CONCLUSIONS: An intervention using a single home visit to improve the extent to which families use safety measures was found to be insufficient to influence the long-term adoption of home safety measures, but was effective to decrease the overall occurrence of injuries. Future programs should target a few, well-focused, evidence-based areas including the evaluation of high-risk groups and the effect of repeated visits on outcome.

Accidents, Home↗
PubMed2000

Does the inclusion of grey literature influence estimates of intervention effectiveness reported in meta-analyses?

BACKGROUND: The inclusion of only a subset of all available evidence in a meta-analysis may introduce biases and threaten its validity; this is particularly likely if the subset of included studies differ from those not included, which may be the case for published and grey literature (unpublished studies, with limited distribution). We set out to examine whether exclusion of grey literature, compared with its inclusion in meta-analysis, provides different estimates of the effectiveness of interventions assessed in randomised trials. METHODS: From a random sample of 135 meta-analyses, we identified and retrieved 33 publications that included both grey and published primary studies. The 33 publications contributed 41 separate meta-analyses from several disease areas. General characteristics of the meta-analyses and associated studies and outcome data at the trial level were collected. We explored the effects of the inclusion of grey literature on the quantitative results using logistic-regression analyses. FINDINGS: 33% of the meta-analyses were found to include some form of grey literature. The grey literature, when included, accounts for between 4.5% and 75% of the studies in a meta-analysis. On average, published work, compared with grey literature, yielded significantly larger estimates of the intervention effect by 15% (ratio of odds ratios=1.15 [95% CI 1.04-1.28]). Excluding abstracts from the analysis further compounded the exaggeration (1.33 [1.10-1.60]). INTERPRETATION: The exclusion of grey literature from meta-analyses can lead to exaggerated estimates of intervention effectiveness. In general, meta-analysts should attempt to identify, retrieve, and include all reports, grey and published, that meet predefined inclusion criteria.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗
PubMed2000

Evaluating the benefits of antimicrobial prophylaxis to prevent urinary tract infections in children: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The recurrence rate for urinary tract infections in children is estimated at between 30% and 40%. The use of low doses of antibiotics as prophylaxis for recurrent urinary tract infections is common clinical practice. However, prolonged antimicrobial therapy has the potential to contribute to problems of bacterial resistance and antimicrobial side effects. The aim of this review was to systematically examine the available evidence for the effectiveness of this intervention. METHODS: We conducted a literature search of 3 electronic databases for the period 1966 to 1999. We also searched bibliographies from conference proceedings and contacted content experts to ensure completeness of our database. Each trial was evaluated on the basis of the following inclusion criteria: target population (children), intervention (antibiotic v. no antibiotic), outcome (number of urinary tract infections) and study design (randomized controlled trial). Quality was assessed for the studies that met these criteria. RESULTS: Most of the studies identified were case series and cohort studies. Only 6 randomized trials fulfilled the inclusion criteria. All were of low quality (median 2, range 0 to 2 [maximum quality score 5]). Three trials dealt with children who had anatomically normal urinary tracts, and three included children with neurogenic bladder. The rate of infections for patients with normal urinary tracts ranged from 0 to 4.0 per 10 patient-years for the treatment groups and from 4.0 to 16.7 for the control groups. The recurrence rates for patients with neurogenic bladders in 2 trials were 2.9 and 17.1 per 10 patient-years for the treatment groups and 1.5 and 33.0 for the control groups. INTERPRETATION: The available evidence for using antimicrobial prophylaxis to prevent urinary tract infection in children with normal urinary tracts or neurogenic bladder is of low quality. This suggests that the magnitude of any benefit should at best be questioned. The surprising lack of data for children with reflux is of concern. Well-designed trials are needed to optimize the use of antimicrobials in children with recurrent urinary tract infection.

Antibiotic Prophylaxis↗
PubMed2000

Glucocorticoids for croup.

BACKGROUND: Since the last meta-analysis in 1989, a number of randomised trials on the benefit of glucocorticoids have been published, resulting in an increasing interest in the use of glucocorticoids to treat outpatients with croup. The objective of this review was to provide evidence to guide clinicians in their treatment of patients with croup, to examine the effectiveness of glucocorticoids in these patients, and to identify areas of uncertainty for future research. OBJECTIVES: To determine the effect of glucocorticoids for children with croup. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched The Cochrane Controlled Trials Register, MEDLINE (January 1966 to August 1997) and Excerpta Medica/EMBASE (January 1974 to August 1997). We also contacted (by mail) authors of identified croup trials published in the last five years to inquire about other trials, published or unpublished. SELECTION CRITERIA: Meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials that examine the effectiveness of glucocorticoid treatment in children with croup. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Data were extracted using a structured form, which captured patient status (inpatient or outpatient), intervention and control, with the name of the drug, route of administration and dose. Data were also collected on the primary outcome measures comprised of a clinical croup score at baseline (as well as any other subsequent assessment times), length of stay (hours), patients status improved (yes/no), and use of co-interventions. The quality of the trials was assessed using empirically derived items that involved scales and components. Two researchers (TPK, MA) then selected studies as being potentially relevant based on a review of the titles and abstracts, if available. The complete text of these studies was then retrieved. All studies that had been retrieved were reviewed independently by two reviewers (AS, TPK). Data were extracted by one reviewer (MA) and checked for accuracy by a second reviewer (TPK). Two observers independently assessed quality (MA, JK), and inter rater agreement was measured by the intra class correlation. Differences were resolved by consensus. MAIN RESULTS: Twenty-four studies were deemed relevant for inclusion (N=2221). Glucocorticoid treatment was associated with an improvement in the croup severity score at 6 hours with an effect size of -1.0 (95% confidence interval -1.5 to -0.6) and at 12 hours -1.0 (-1.6 to -0. 4); at 24 hours this improvement was no longer significant (-1.0, -2. 0 to 0.1). There was a decrease in the number of adrenaline treatments needed in children treated with glucocorticoids: a decrease of 9% (95% confidence interval 2 to 16%) among those treated with budesonide and of 12% (4 to 20%) among those treated with dexamethasone. There was also a decrease in the length of time spent in accident and emergency (-11 hours, 95% confidence interval -18 to 4 hours), and for inpatients hospital stay was reduced by 16 hours (-31 to 1 hour). Publication bias seems to play a part in these results. REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS: Dexamethasone and budesonide are effective in relieving the symptoms of croup as early as 6 hours after treatment. Fewer co-interventions are used and the length of time spent in hospital is decreased in patients treated with glucocorticoids.

Croup↗
PubMed2000

What contributions do languages other than English make on the results of meta-analyses?

Including only a portion of all available evidence may introduce systematic errors into the meta-analytic process and threaten its validity. We set out to examine whether language restricted meta-analyses, compared to language inclusive meta-analyses, provide different estimates of the effectiveness of interventions evaluated in randomized trials. We identified and retrieved all 79 meta-analyses from several disease areas in which explicit eligibility criteria regarding trial selection were reported. General characteristics and quality of reporting of the meta-analyses were assessed using a validated instrument. We explored the effects of language of publication of the randomized trials on the quantitative results using logistic regression analyses. Language restricted meta-analyses, compared to language inclusive meta-analyses, did not differ with respect to the estimate of benefit of the effectiveness of an intervention (ROR = 0.98; 95% CI: 0.81-1.17). These results were also robust after a series of sensitivity analyses. This study provides no evidence that language restricted meta-analyses lead to biased estimates of intervention effectiveness. We encourage others to replicate this study using different sampling frames, clinical topics and interventions.

Humans↗
PubMed2000

Effect of secretin on children with autism: a randomized controlled trial.

To determine the effect of intravenous porcine secretin on autistic behaviours in children aged 2 to 7 years, the effects of secretin on (1) performance on a standardized language measure, and (2) autistic behaviours, as rated by parents and child development professionals was examined. Employing a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled design, 95 participants were assigned to one of two groups and administered a single dose of either secretin or placebo. A follow-up assessment was conducted 3 weeks after the injection. No significant differences in language or autistic behaviour measures were observed at the 3-week follow-up between the groups. Also, there was no significant difference in the proportion of individuals who improved by > or = 6 points on the language measure at follow-up. This study showed no significant effects of secretin on children with autism. Our results are consistent with a systematic review of randomized controlled trials evaluating the effect of secretin in children with autism.

Animals↗
PubMed2000

Case-based support in a cooperative medical diagnosis environment.

Many medical services are often not available to people living in remote areas because of the lack of medical specialists. This problem would be alleviated if a suitable environment was designed to allow physicians to collaborate and exchange ideas with centrally located medical specialists. This article describes an ongoing research project to design and implement a collaborative multimedia environment to allow medical specialists to cooperate in diagnosis. The environment will support remote database access for medical images, the retrieval of relevant medical cases to support diagnosis, and communication among participants through telepointers and image annotation by free-hand drawing.

Cervical Vertebrae↗
PubMed2000

Delivery and interactive processing of visual data for a cooperative telemedicine environment.

Cooperative telemedicine environments are required for many situations such as consultations between residents and senior doctors, case correlations, and for teaching and research purposes. The mode of collaboration may vary with different situations, in terms of the synchronisation of tasks, the sharing of data and the extent of collaboration among participants. It is essential for participants to be able to remotely view and manipulate visual data (images, two-dimensional and three-dimensional graphics, animation, and video) as well as interactively run application programs that involve visual data in real-time. However, this is not possible with current network bandwidth limitations when large amount of visual data are involved. In this article, we first provide an analysis of functional requirements by participants in cooperative diagnosis in different types of situations, before discussing technical requirements, which form the basis for our system architecture design. A new approach is also presented for efficient handling of programs, which involve visual data in real time. This is achieved via the construction and transmission of small messages that encapsulate the operations in a pipelined or hierarchical fashion.

Computer Graphics↗
PubMed2000

The effect of sodium citrate in arterial catheters on acid-base and electrolyte measurements.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the effects of heparin or sodium citrate used to anticoagulate indwelling arterial catheters on acid-base and electrolyte measurements. DESIGN: Randomized controlled trial. SETTING: Medical-surgical university-affiliated intensive care unit. SUBJECTS: Twenty patients with indwelling arterial catheters. INTERVENTIONS: Patients were randomly allocated to have ten 1-mL aliquots of blood sampled serially from an arterial catheter maintained with either heparin or sodium citrate. A sample then obtained by arterial puncture provided true measurement values. Acid-base and electrolyte measurements of whole blood were obtained from each sample by means of a Coming 860 analyzer. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Contamination with sodium citrate lowered ionized calcium and pH but increased glucose and Pco2. Heparin produced negligible effects on those measurements. When sodium citrate was used, reliable measurements were not obtained for ionized calcium, pH, and glucose, even after 9 mL of blood had been discarded. However, reliable P(CO2) measurements were obtained after 2 mL of blood was discarded. CONCLUSIONS: Sodium citrate used to maintain arterial catheters can contaminate blood samples. The result of that contamination can mimic severe hypocalcemia, metabolic acidosis, and mild hyperglycemia. Failure to recognize the effects of sodium citrate on acid-base and electrolyte measurements may lead to changes in treatment that could affect patient outcome adversely.

Acid-Base Equilibrium↗
PubMed2000

"Low-risk" prediction rule for pediatric oncology patients presenting with fever and neutropenia.

PURPOSE: To prospectively derive and validate a clinical prediction rule to allow a more tailored approach to the management of pediatric oncology outpatients presenting with fever and neutropenia. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The clinical prediction rule was derived over a 1-year period and then validated over the following 8 months in a new set of fever and neutropenia episodes. Patients were excluded if they presented with comorbidity or an abnormal chest x-ray (CXR). RESULTS: Significant bacterial infection (SBI; defined as any blood or urine culture positive for bacteria, interstitial or lobar consolidation on CXR, or unexpected death from infection) was documented in 43 of the 227 episodes. Multivariate analysis found four significant factors: bone marrow disease, general appearance unwell on initial examination, monocyte count less than 0.1 x 10(9)/L, and peak oral or oral equivalent temperature greater than 39 degrees C. Only the monocyte count contributed to determining a low-risk group, excluding SBI with 84% sensitivity (95% confidence interval [CI], 61% to 100%), 42% specificity (95% CI, 38% to 46%), and a negative predictive value of 92% (95% CI, 76% to 100%). If the monocyte count was >/= 0.1 x 10(9)/L at the time of presentation (low risk), the incidences of SBI and bacteremia were 8% and 5%, respectively, versus 25% and 17% in the high-risk group. When validated in a new population of 136 episodes of fever and neutropenia, the incidences of SBI and bacteremia in the low-risk group were 12% and 5%, respectively, and 25% and 19% in the high-risk group. CONCLUSION: Pediatric oncology outpatients with fever and neutropenia who present with an initial monocyte count of >/= 0.1 x 10(9)/L and do not have comorbidity or an abnormal CXR at the time of presentation are at lower risk for SBI and can be considered for less aggressive initial therapy.

Adolescent↗