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Biomedical subjects

Benjamin M Bolker

Publications and source records attributed to Benjamin M Bolker.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

The impact of the allee effect in dispersal and patch-occupancy age on the dynamics of metapopulations.

In this paper, we introduce a Levins-type metapopulation model with empty and occupied patches, and dispersing population. We structure the proportion of occupied patches according to the patch-occupancy age. We observe that patch-occupancy age may destabilize the metapopulation, leading to persistent oscillations. We also allow for the dispersal rate to vary with the proportion of empty patches in a monotone or unimodal way. The unimodal dependence leads to multiple non-trivial equilibria and bistability when the reproduction number of the metapopulation R < 1 but greater than a lower critical value R(*). We show that the metapopulation will persist independently of its initial status if R > 1.

Animals↗

Size correction: comparing morphological traits among populations and environments.

Morphological relationships change with overall body size and body size often varies among populations. Therefore, quantitative analyses of individual traits from organisms in different populations or environments (e.g., in studies of phenotypic plasticity) often adjust for differences in body size to isolate changes in allometry. Most studies of among population variation in morphology either (1) use analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) with a univariate measure of body size as the covariate, or (2) compare residuals from ordinary least squares regression of each trait against body size or the first principal component of the pooled data (shearing). However, both approaches are problematic. ANCOVA depends on assumptions (small variance in the covariate) that are frequently violated in this context. Residuals analysis assumes that scaling relationships within groups are equal, but this assumption is rarely tested. Furthermore, scaling relationships obtained from pooled data typically mischaracterize within-group scaling relationships. We discuss potential biases imposed by the application of ANCOVA and residuals analysis for quantifying morphological differences, and elaborate and demonstrate a more effective alternative: common principal components analysis combined with Burnaby's back-projection method.

Biological Evolution↗

Effects of landscape corridors on seed dispersal by birds.

Habitat fragmentation threatens biodiversity by disrupting dispersal. The mechanisms and consequences of this disruption are controversial, primarily because most organisms are difficult to track. We examined the effect of habitat corridors on long-distance dispersal of seeds by birds, and tested whether small-scale (<20 meters) movements of birds could be scaled up to predict dispersal of seeds across hundreds of meters in eight experimentally fragmented landscapes. A simulation model accurately predicted the observed pattern of seed rain and revealed that corridors functioned through edge-following behavior of birds. Our study shows how models based on easily observed behaviors can be scaled up to predict landscape-level processes.

Animals↗

The effects of disease dispersal and host clustering on the epidemic threshold in plants.

For an epidemic to occur in a closed population, the transmission rate must be above a threshold level. In plant populations, the threshold depends not only on host density, but on the distribution of hosts in space. This paper presents an alternative analysis of a previously presented stochastic model for an epidemic in continuous space (Bolker, 1999, Bull. Math. Biol. 61, 849-874). A variety of moment closures are investigated to determine the dependence of the epidemic threshold on host spatial distribution and pathogen dispersal. Local correlations that arise during the early phase of the outbreak determine whether a true global epidemic will occur.

Disease Transmission, Infectious↗

Natal homing in juvenile loggerhead turtles (Caretta caretta).

Juvenile loggerhead turtles (Caretta caretta) from West Atlantic nesting beaches occupy oceanic (pelagic) habitats in the eastern Atlantic and Mediterranean, whereas larger juvenile turtles occupy shallow (neritic) habitats along the continental coastline of North America. Hence the switch from oceanic to neritic stage can involve a trans-oceanic migration. Several researchers have suggested that at the end of the oceanic phase, juveniles are homing to feeding habitats in the vicinity of their natal rookery. To test the hypothesis of juvenile homing behaviour, we surveyed 10 juvenile feeding zones across the eastern USA with mitochondrial DNA control region sequences (N = 1437) and compared these samples to potential source (nesting) populations in the Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea (N = 465). The results indicated a shallow, but significant, population structure of neritic juveniles (PhiST = 0.0088, P = 0.016), and haplotype frequency differences were significantly correlated between coastal feeding populations and adjacent nesting populations (Mantel test R2 = 0.52, P = 0.001). Mixed stock analyses (using a Bayesian algorithm) indicated that juveniles occurred at elevated frequency in the vicinity of their natal rookery. Hence, all lines of evidence supported the hypothesis of juvenile homing in loggerhead turtles. While not as precise as the homing of breeding adults, this behaviour nonetheless places juvenile turtles in the vicinity of their natal nesting colonies. Some of the coastal hazards that affect declining nesting populations may also affect the next generation of turtles feeding in nearby habitats.

Analysis of Variance↗

Spatial dynamics in model plant communities: what do we really know?

A variety of models have shown that spatial dynamics and small-scale endogenous heterogeneity (e.g., forest gaps or local resource depletion zones) can change the rate and outcome of competition in communities of plants or other sessile organisms. However, the theory appears complicated and hard to connect to real systems. We synthesize results from three different kinds of models: interacting particle systems, moment equations for spatial point processes, and metapopulation or patch models. Studies using all three frameworks agree that spatial dynamics need not enhance coexistence nor slow down dynamics; their effects depend on the underlying competitive interactions in the community. When similar species would coexist in a nonspatial habitat, endogenous spatial structure inhibits coexistence and slows dynamics. When a dominant species disperses poorly and the weaker species has higher fecundity or better dispersal, competition-colonization trade-offs enhance coexistence. Even when species have equal dispersal and per-generation fecundity, spatial successional niches where the weaker and faster-growing species can rapidly exploit ephemeral local resources can enhance coexistence. When interspecific competition is strong, spatial dynamics reduce founder control at large scales and short dispersal becomes advantageous. We describe a series of empirical tests to detect and distinguish among the suggested scenarios.

Ecosystem↗

Combining endogenous and exogenous spatial variability in analytical population models.

Analytically tractable models of dynamics in continuous space rarely incorporate both endogenous and exogenous spatial heterogeneity. We use spatial moment equations in combination with simulation models to analyze the combined effects of endogenous and exogenous variability on population viability in a simple single-population model where landscape heterogeneity and local population density both affect mortality rate. The equations partition the effects of heterogeneity into an effect of local crowding and an effect of habitat association caused by differential mortality. Exogenous heterogeneity in mortality rate increases population viability through habitat association and decreases it through increased crowding; the net effect of exogenous heterogeneity is generally to improve population viability. This result is contrary to some (but not all) conclusions in the literature, which usually focus on the effects of fragmentation rather than the benefits of refuges to short-dispersing individuals.

Algorithms↗