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Biomedical subjects

Bhramar Mukherjee

Publications and source records attributed to Bhramar Mukherjee.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Rare variant effect estimation and polygenic risk prediction.

Due to their low frequency, estimating the effects of rare variants is challenging. Here we propose RareEffect, a method that first estimates gene-based or region-based heritability and then each variant effect size using an empirical Bayes approach. Our method uses a variance component model, which is popular in rare variant tests, and is designed to provide two levels of effect sizes-gene/region level and variant level-that can provide better interpretation. To adjust for the case-control imbalance in phenotypes, our approach uses a fast implementation of the Firth bias correction. We demonstrate the accuracy and computational efficiency of our method through extensive simulations and analysis of UK Biobank whole-exome sequencing data for 100 traits. Additionally, we show that the effect sizes obtained from our model can be leveraged to improve polygenic score performance, thereby outperforming recently developed methods for rare variant polygenic scoring.

Humans

A doubly robust framework for addressing outcome-dependent selection bias in multi-cohort EHR studies.

Selection bias can hinder accurate estimation of association parameters in binary disease risk models using non-probability samples like electronic health records (EHRs). The issue is compounded when participants are recruited from multiple clinics/centers with varying selection mechanisms that may depend on the disease/outcome of interest. Traditional inverse-probability-weighted (IPW) methods, based on constructed parametric selection models, often struggle with misspecifications when selection mechanisms vary across cohorts. This paper introduces a new Joint Augmented Inverse Probability Weighted (JAIPW) method, which integrates individual-level data from multiple cohorts collected under potentially outcome-dependent selection mechanisms, with data from an external probability sample. JAIPW offers double robustness by incorporating a flexible auxiliary score model to address potential misspecifications in the selection models. We outline the asymptotic properties of the JAIPW estimator, and our simulations reveal that JAIPW achieves up to 6 times lower relative bias and 5 times lower root mean square error (RMSE) compared to the best performing joint IPW methods under scenarios with misspecified selection models. Applying JAIPW to the Michigan Genomics Initiative (MGI), a multi-clinic EHR-linked biobank, combined with external national probability samples, resulted in cancer-sex association estimates closely aligned with national benchmark estimates. We also analyzed the association between cancer and polygenic risk scores (PRS) in MGI to illustrate a situation where the exposure variable is not measured in the external probability sample.

Selection Bias

Privacy-Enhancing Sequential Learning under Heterogeneous Selection Bias in Multi-Site EHR Data.

OBJECTIVE: To develop privacy-enhancing statistical methods for estimation of binary disease risk model association parameters across multiple electronic health record (EHR) sites with heterogeneous selection mechanisms, without sharing raw individual-level data. We illustrate their utility through a cross-biobank analysis of smoking and 97 cancer subtypes using data from the NIH All of Us (AOU) and the Michigan Genomics Initiative (MGI). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Large-scale biobanks often follow heterogeneous recruitment strategies and store data in separate cloud-based platforms, making centralized algorithms infeasible. To address this, we propose two decentralized sequential estimators namely, Sequential Pseudo-likelihood (SPL) and Sequential Augmented Inverse Probability Weighting (SAIPW) that leverage external population-level information to adjust for selection bias, with valid variance estimation. SAIPW additionally protects against misspecification of the selection model using flexible machine learning based auxiliary outcome models. We compare SPL and SAIPW with the existing Sequential Unweighted (SUW) estimator and with centralized and meta learning extensions of IPW and AIPW in simulations under both correctly specified and misspecified selection mechanisms. We apply the methods to harmonized data from MGI ( n = 50,935) and AOU ( n = 241,563) to estimate smoking-cancer associations. RESULTS: In simulations, SUW exhibited substantial bias and poor coverage. SPL and SAIPW yielded unbiased estimates with valid coverage probabilities under correct model specification, with SAIPW remaining robust under selection model misspecification. Both approaches showed no notable efficiency loss relative to centralized methods. Meta-learning methods were efficient for large sites but failed in settings with small cohort sizes and rare outcome prevalence. In real-data analysis, strong associations were consistently identified between smoking and cancers of the lung, bladder, and larynx, aligning with established epidemiological evidence. CONCLUSION: Our framework enables valid, privacy-enhancing inference across EHR cohorts with heterogeneous selection, supporting scalable, decentralized research using real-world data.

Journal Article