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Biomedical subjects

Brian M Murphy

Publications and source records attributed to Brian M Murphy.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

On treatment of tuberculosis in heterogeneous populations.

Global eradication of tuberculosis (TB) is an international agenda. Thus understanding effects of treatment of TB in different settings is crucial. In previous work, we introduced the framework for a mathematical model of epidemic TB in demographically distinct, heterogeneous populations. Simulations showed the importance of genetic susceptibility in determining endemic prevalence levels. In the work presented here, we include treatment and investigate different strategies for treatment of latent and active TB disease in heterogeneous populations. We illustrate how the presence of a genetically susceptible subpopulation dramatically alters effects of treatment in the same way a core population does in the setting of sexually transmitted diseases. In addition, we evaluate treatment strategies that focus specifically on this subpopulation, and our results indicate that genetically susceptible subpopulations should be accounted for when designing treatment strategies to achieve the greatest reduction in disease prevalence.

Demography↗

Detecting autocatalytic dynamics in data modeled by a compartmental model.

Modeling growth or reaction dynamics within a compartment in a compartmental model is often based on theoretical or first principle considerations. This approach is frequently applied due to the inability to observe or collect data directly from the compartment. When the internal dynamics are difficult to surmise, it is often the case that several competing models are constructed and compared in some way. In this paper, the dynamics which characterize the data of an autocatalytic process are used to describe a quantitative data analysis strategy to both recognize the presence of the autocatalytic process and to obtain some estimates of important parameters in the process. The compartmental model structure serves to communicate this dynamical information to the downstream compartments. This method has been applied to examine the dynamics of the engraftment of blood cells following hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in a clinical setting [Modeling the time to engraftment of white blood cells and platelets following autologous peripheral blood stem cell transplantation (2001)].

Catalysis↗

Comparing epidemic tuberculosis in demographically distinct heterogeneous populations.

There is wide variation in endemic tuberculosis (TB) levels between countries and we seek to identify possible causes of these differences. In this study we present an epidemiological model of Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection to investigate the effects of host genetics and demographic factors on epidemic TB. We discuss the general framework for this approach and present analytical results to identify important parameters affecting steady-state prevalence and incidence rates of TB disease. We then use numerical simulations of our model to observe the effects of a genetically susceptible subpopulation on TB disease dynamics at the population level. Finally, we simulate infection within a genetically heterogeneous population in two demographic settings: India (a typical population with high TB prevalence) and the USA (a typical population with low TB prevalence). Results show that changes in transmission parameters, the fraction of the population genetically susceptible to infection, and demographic factors strongly affect TB prevalence and incidence rates.

Computer Simulation↗