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Biomedical subjects

C Chilvers

Publications and source records attributed to C Chilvers.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Body fatness and physical activity at young ages and the risk of breast cancer in premenopausal women.

We examined the relationship between body fatness, sports participation and breast cancer risk in 1560 premenopausal cases and 1548 controls, from three related population-based case-control studies in the UK. Half of the women with breast cancer were aged less than 36 years at diagnosis. Women who perceived themselves as plump at age 10 years had a relative risk of 0.83 (95% confidence interval 0.69-0.99, P = 0.03) as compared with those who perceived themselves as thin. Self-reported obesity compared with leanness at diagnosis was associated with a relative risk of 0.78 (95% confidence interval 0.56-1.06, P = 0.11). Women who reported having been plump at age 10 years and overweight or obese at diagnosis had a relative risk of 0.75 (95% confidence interval 0.56-1.01, P = 0.06) as compared with those who reported being thin at age 10 years and at diagnosis. Findings for three related measures of body fatness suggested that obesity is associated with a reduced risk of premenopausal breast cancer. There was no association between sports participation and breast cancer risk in these premenopausal women. The relative risk for spending an average of more than 1 h per week in sports compared with less from ages 12 to 30 years was 1.00 (95% CI 0.86-1.16, P = 0.98).

Adipose Tissue↗

Risk factors for adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma of the cervix in women aged 20-44 years: the UK National Case-Control Study of Cervical Cancer.

We report results on risk factors for invasive squamous cell and adenocarcinomas of the cervix in women aged 20-44 years from the UK National Case-Control Study of Cervical Cancer, including 180 women with adenocarcinoma, 391 women with squamous cell carcinoma and 923 population controls. The risk of both squamous cell and adenocarcinoma was strongly related to the lifetime number of sexual partners, and, independently, to age at first intercourse. The risk of both types of cervical cancer increased with increasing duration of use of oral contraceptives, and this effect was most marked in current and recent users of oral contraceptives. The risk of squamous cell carcinoma was associated with high parity and the risk of both squamous cell and adenocarcinoma increased with early age at first birth. Long duration smoking (20 or more years) was associated with a two-fold increase in the risk of squamous cell carcinoma, but smoking was not associated with the risk of adenocarcinoma. Further studies are needed to confirm the suggestion from this and other studies of differences in risk related to smoking between squamous cell and adenocarcinomas of the cervix.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Antidepressant drugs and generic counselling for treatment of major depression in primary care: randomised trial with patient preference arms.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the efficacy of antidepressant drugs and generic counselling for treating mild to moderate depression in general practice. To determine whether the outcomes were similar for patients with randomly allocated treatment and those expressing a treatment preference. DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial, with patient preference arms. Follow up at 8 weeks and 12 months and abstraction of GP case notes. SETTING: 31 general practices in Trent region. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged 18-70 who met research diagnostic criteria for major depression; 103 patients were randomised and 220 patients were recruited to the preference arms. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Difference in mean Beck depression inventory score; time to remission; global outcome assessed by a psychiatrist using all data sources; and research diagnostic criteria. RESULTS: At 12 months there was no difference between the mean Beck scores in the randomised arms. Combining the randomised and patient preference groups, the difference in Beck scores was 0.4 (95% confidence interval -2.7 to 3.5). Patients choosing counselling did better than those randomised to it (mean difference in Beck score 4.6, 0.0 to 9.2). There was no difference in the psychiatrist's overall assessment of outcome between any of the groups. 221/265 (83%) of participants with a known outcome had a remission. Median time to remission was shorter in the group randomised to antidepressants than the other three groups (2 months v 3 months). 33/221 (15%) patients had a relapse. CONCLUSIONS: Generic counselling seems to be as effective as antidepressant treatment for mild to moderate depressive illness, although patients receiving antidepressants may recover more quickly. General practitioners should allow patients to have their preferred treatment.

Adult↗

Academic and non-academic predictors of success on the Nottingham undergraduate medical course 1970-1995.

OBJECTIVES: To identify academic and non-academic predictors of success of entrants to the Nottingham medical course over the first 25 completed years of the course's existence. SETTING, DESIGN AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Retrospective study of academic and non-academic characteristics of 2270 entrants between 1970 and 1990, and their subsequent success. Analyses were undertaken of two cohorts (entrants between 1970 and 1985 and entrants between 1986 and 1990). RESULTS: Overall, 148 of 2270 (6.5%) entrants left the course, with the highest proportion being from the first 6 years (10.7%). Of the 148 leavers, 58 (39.2%) did so after obtaining their BMedSci degree. Concerning non-academic factors, in the 1970-85 cohort, applicants from the later years and those not taking a year out were more successful. However, these two factors had no influence on outcome in 1986-90. In contrast, ethnicity and gender were highly significant predictors of success in obtaining honours at BMBS in 1986-90 but at no other exam nor in the earlier years. Older, mature or graduate entrants were more successful at obtaining a first-class degree at BMedSci for the whole 21 years. However, they were less likely to be successful at passing the BMBS. With regard to academic factors, overall, A grades at Ordinary level/General Certificate of Secondary Education (O-Level/GCSE) were inconsistent independent predictors of success. However, for 1986-90, high grades at O-Level/GCSE chemistry and biology were strong independent predictors of success at BMedSci and BMBS. Very few Advanced level (A-Level) criteria were independent predictors of success for 1970-85. In contrast, for 1986-90 entrants, achieving a high grade at A-Level chemistry predicted success at obtaining a first-class degree at BMedSci, and a high grade at A-Level biology predicted success at BMBS. Over the 21 years, the majority of entrants achieved significantly lower grades at A-Level than predicted. General Studies A-Level was a poor predictor of achievement. CONCLUSIONS: On balance our current GCSE A-grade requirements should remain. Biology should be added to Chemistry as a compulsory A-Level subject. If predicted A-Level grades are borderline then the lower estimate should be used. General Studies should continue not to be used in selection. Performance of more recent mature entrants at BMBS needs further study. The recent gender and ethnic biases in obtaining honours at BMBS is currently being examined. The motivation of applicants planning to take deferred entry should be carefully explored at interview.

Achievement↗

Reduced fetal movements and maternal medication - new pregnancy risk factors for neurodevelopmental disability in childhood.

A case-control study was undertaken of 471 children on the Nottingham Special Needs Register (SNR) who were born in one of the two maternity units in the city between 1987 and 1993 (inclusive). Controls were selected as the next infant born at the same hospital following each index case. The aim of the study was to identify risk factors on the Nottingham Obstetric Database for a baby subsequently appearing on the SNR. Disability was analysed by both ICD-9 coding and functional assessment. Factors which independently and significantly predicted a child's likelihood of being on the SNR were breech presentation (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 4.0), congenital abnormality (OR=4.9), intrapartum fetal distress (OR=1.7), fetal growth restriction (OR=2.0), socioeconomic deprivation (OR=1.8), prematurity (OR=2.2), reduced fetal movements (OR=2.5) and medication in pregnancy (OR=10.4). To our knowledge the last two factors have not previously been reported as risk predictors for neurodevelopmental disability.

Journal Article↗

Assessing effectiveness of treatment of depression in primary care. Partially randomised preference trial.

BACKGROUND: There is a mismatch between the wish of a patient with depression to have counselling and the prescription of antidepressants by the doctor. AIMS: To determine whether counselling is as effective as antidepressants for depression in primary care and whether allowing patients to choose their treatment affects their response. METHOD: A partially randomised preference trial, with patients randomised to either antidepressants or counselling or given their choice of either treatment. The treatment and follow-up were identical in the randomised and patient preference arms. RESULTS: There were 103 randomised and 220 preference patients in the trial. We found: no differences in the baseline characteristics of the randomised and preference groups; that the two treatments were equally effective at 8 weeks, both for the randomised group and when the randomised and patient preference groups for a particular treatment were combined; and that expressing a preference for either treatment conferred no additional benefit on outcome. CONCLUSIONS: These data challenge several assumptions about the most appropriate treatment for depression in a primary care setting.

Adolescent↗

Treating depression in general practice: factors affecting patients' treatment preferences.

We performed a cross-sectional survey of general practice attenders to determine their preferences regarding treatment for depression and characteristics associated with such preferences. Counselling was more popular than drug therapy (antidepressants), particularly among women, those who believed antidepressants are addictive, and those who had received such treatment in the past.

Adult↗

Should general practitioners refer patients with major depression to counsellors? A review of current published evidence. Nottingham Counselling and Antidepressants in Primary Care (CAPC) Study Group.

Major depression can be treated effectively with antidepressants. However, in the United Kingdom, patients with depression are often referred to counsellors, and surveys indicate that public opinion favours this approach. We carried out a literature review to determine the evidence for the effectiveness of counselling for depression in primary care. Because no studies were identified in which counselling had been evaluated specifically in relation to treating depression, we examined indirect evidence from studies evaluating the overall effectiveness of generic counselling in primary care, and studies evaluating the effectiveness of psychological treatments, other than counselling, for depression. Methodological problems influencing the interpretation of such studies are discussed. We conclude that, while specific psychological treatments have been shown to have equivalent effectiveness as antidepressants, there is currently insufficient evidence to recommend that generic counselling should be used alone in the treatment of patients with major depression.

Counseling↗

The effect of deprivation on variations in general practitioners' referral rates: a cross sectional study of computerised data on new medical and surgical outpatient referrals in Nottinghamshire.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the effect of deprivation on variations in general practitioners' referral rates using the Jarman underprivileged area (UPA(8)) score as a proxy measure. DESIGN: Cross sectional survey of new medical and surgical referrals from general practices to hospitals (determined from hospital activity data). SETTING: All of the 183 general practices in Nottinghamshire and all of the 19 hospitals in Trent region. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The relation between the referral rates per 1000 registered patients and the practice population's UPA(8) score (calculated on the basis of electoral ward), with adjustment for the number of partners, percentage of patients aged over 65 years, and fundholding status of each practice. RESULTS: There was a significant independent association between deprivation, as measured by the UPA(8) score, and high total referral rates and high medical referral rates (P < 0.0001). The UPA(8) score alone explained 23% of the total variation in total referral rates and 32% of the variation in medical referral rates. On multivariate analysis, where partnership size, fundholding status, and percentage of men and women aged over 65 years were included, the UPA(8) score explained 29% and 35% of the variation in total and medical referral rates respectively. CONCLUSION: Of the variables studied, the UPA(8) score was the strongest predictor of variations in referral rates. This association is most likely to be through a link with morbidity, although it could reflect differences in patients' perceptions, doctors' behaviour, or the use and provision of services.

England↗

Are patients who present late with cancer registered with low referring practices?

This study examines whether a clinical outcome (stage of breast or bowel cancer at referral) was related to variations in GP referral rates. A multivariate analysis of breast and bowel cancer patients referred from 183 Nottinghamshire practices during 1993 showed no adverse outcome associated with low GP referral rates. Variables included in the analysis were total and surgical referral rates, fundholding status, UPA(8) score of the practice, partnership size, and age and sex of the referred patient.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Assessment of the completeness and accuracy of computer medical records in four practices committed to recording data on computer.

BACKGROUND: General practice computer databases are being increasingly seen as a source of data for public health monitoring and commissioning. Such ambitions depend on routine clinical data being recorded with acceptable completeness and accuracy. AIM: The aim of this study was to assess the completeness and accuracy of the computer medical records in four high-recording general practices. METHOD: Four general practices in the Trent Region that use the EMIS computer system, and were known to be high recorders of clinical data on their computer databases, were selected. A retrospective analysis of the computer records, a prospective comparison of a sample of computer records with manual records, and a prospective comparison between videorecorded consultations and their manual and computer records were undertaken. RESULTS: Checks for completeness in computer recording of diabetes mellitus and glaucoma showed high levels of accurate recording, 97% and 92% respectively. Prevalence rates between practices were reasonably comparable. No practice consistently, across 10 diagnoses, recorded prevalences higher or lower than the other practices; those diagnoses with recognized objective diagnostic criteria were recorded with a more consistent prevalence than those without. Lifestyle data recording was low; overall, smoking habits and alcohol consumption were recorded for 52% and 38% of patients aged over 16 years, respectively. Comparison of the manual records with the computer records showed that the computer records were sufficiently complete with regard to diagnoses (82% of all items recorded), prescriptions (100%) and referrals (67%), but missed most of the remaining data that a manual record captured. The videorecorded validation study showed that there were no important lapses in the recording of diagnoses, prescriptions or referrals when the computer recording was compared to the actual process of the consultations. CONCLUSION: In these four high-recording practices the data in computer records were of sufficient completeness and accuracy to allow meaningful data aggregation for some diagnoses, prescriptions and referrals. Standardized protocols for defining which patients are included and excluded from major disease groups are required.

England↗

Breast cancer and depot-medroxyprogesterone acetate: a review.

Depot-medroxyprogesterone acetate (DMPA) has been used world-wide since 1964 as a contraceptive in spite of the fact that it was only in 1992 licensed for contraceptive use in the USA due to concern about a possible breast cancer risk. Two recent studies have considered DMPA use and risk of breast cancer and these and earlier studies are reviewed here. Overall, the results are reassuring but there is some evidence that breast cancer risk may be increased in women using DMPA when very young and particularly in recent users. Current knowledge of the biology of human breast cancer is such that it is difficult to judge the biological plausibility of this evidence. There is no doubt that DMPA is a highly effective form of contraception and any overall assessment must take into account all the relevant risks and benefits. Thus, the risk-benefit equations in developed and developing countries must allow for different levels of maternal mortality and morbidity, as well as differing underlying cancer rates.

Breast Neoplasms↗

Antibodies to human papillomavirus and to other genital infectious agents and invasive cervical cancer risk.

Human papillomaviruses (HPVs) play an important part in the development of cervical cancer, but the role of other infectious agents, such as herpes simplex virus (HSV), is not clear. We assayed serum samples collected from 219 women with cervical cancer and from 387 controls for antibody to infectious agents. HPV 16-E7 and/or HPV 18-E7 antibodies were significantly related to cervical cancer risk (RR 1.9, 95% CI 1.2-3.2). Antibodies to HSV types 1 and 2, Chlamydia trachomatis, and to multiple infectious agents were associated with cervical cancer when seroprevalence rates in all cases and controls were compared, but when HPV-seropositive cases and controls were compared these associations were weaker and non-significant. This finding suggests that past infections with sexually transmitted infections other than HPV may be surrogate markers of exposure to HPV, and of no separate aetiological significance.

Adult↗

Stress and cancer surveys: attitudes of participants in a case-control study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: The aim was to ascertain whether personal interviews carried out for cancer case-control studies cause stress to participants. DESIGN: Retrospective postal questionnaires were sent to women at least three months after interview for a case-control study of the aetiology of cervical cancer. The questionnaire covered attitudes to taking part in the study, stress engendered by participation, whether any particular questions were distressing, factors relevant to the decision to participate, and the role of their doctor with respect to participation. SETTING: South East and South West Thames health regions, United Kingdom. PATIENTS: Patients were women aged 20-45 years at diagnosis with invasive cervical cancer, and population based controls. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The response rate was 90%. Nearly all respondents were glad they had participated, while only 2/226 regretted taking part. Half the respondents (115/226) perceived some actual benefit from taking part. The interview carried out in the case-control study was both long and detailed and included topics such as numbers of sexual partners and history of sexually transmitted diseases. As expected, the questions causing most concern to interviewees were those on number of sexual partners, but only 13% of participants were bothered by these questions and only 4% felt inclined to terminate the interview early. CONCLUSIONS: The lack of evidence of stress caused by this potentially difficult interview suggests that, in the hands of experienced interviewers, stress is unlikely to be caused by participation. Many participants felt that they had benefited from taking part. Doctors and ethics committees should find these results reassuring.

Adult↗

Sexual behaviour of young and middle aged men in England and Wales.

Establishing patterns of sexual behaviour is essential in predicting the future spread of HIV. The sexual behaviour patterns of a randomly selected sample of 480 white men aged 15 to 49 were obtained by interview and analysed in relation to age, social class, and area of residence. Over half of the men had first had intercourse before the age of 18 and over three quarters had done so before the age of 20. Age at first intercourse tended to be lower in more recent birth cohorts and in social classes III, IV, and V. Men in earlier birth cohorts tended to have had fewer heterosexual partners, both regular and casual, than those born more recently, but there were no social class or regional differences in the number of partners. Eight of the 480 men (1.7%, 95% confidence interval 1.1 to 2.3%) stated that they had had homosexual intercourse, four of whom had had one casual homosexual partner. Only one man had had more than 25 homosexual partners. The number of men having had homosexual intercourse was lower than is widely thought. When possible, data were checked with national data or other surveys and thought to be accurate. The difficulties in collecting data of this nature are discussed.

Adolescent↗