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Biomedical subjects

C D Naylor

Publications and source records attributed to C D Naylor.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed1998

The need for acute, subacute and nonacute care at 105 general hospital sites in Ontario. Joint Policy and Planning Committee Non-Acute Hospitalization Project Working Group.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies of hospital utilization have not taken into account the use of acute care beds for subacute care. The authors determined the proportion of patients who required acute, subacute and nonacute care on admission and during their hospital stay in general hospitals in Ontario. From this analysis, they identified areas where the efficiency of care delivery might be improved. METHODS: Ninety-eight of 189 acute care hospitals in Ontario, at 105 sites, participated in a review that used explicit criteria for rating acuity developed by Inter-Qual Inc., Marlborough, Mass. The records of 13,242 patients who were discharged over a 9-month period in 1995 after hospital care for 1 of 8 high-volume, high-variability diagnoses or procedures were randomly selected for review. Patients were categorized on the basis of the level of care (acute, subacute or nonacute) they required on admission and during subsequent days of hospital care. RESULTS: Of all admissions, 62.2% were acute, 19.7% subacute and 18.1% nonacute. The patients most likely to require acute care on admission were those with acute myocardial infarction (96.2% of 1826 patients) or cerebrovascular accident (84.0% of 1596 patients) and those admitted for elective surgery on the day of their procedure (73.4% of 3993 patients). However, 41.1% of patients awaiting hip or knee replacement were admitted the day before surgery so did not require acute care on admission. The proportion of patients who required acute care on admission and during the subsequent hospital stay declined with age; the proportion of patients needing nonacute care did not vary with age. After admission, acute care was needed on 27.5% of subsequent days, subacute care on 40.2% and nonacute care on 32.3%. The need for acute care on admission was a predictor of need for acute care during subsequent hospital stay among patients with medical conditions. The proportion of patients requiring subacute care during the subsequent hospital stay increased with age, decreased with the number of inpatient beds in each hospital and was highest among patients with congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and pneumonia. INTERPRETATION: In 1995, inpatients requiring subacute care accounted for a substantial proportion of nonacute care days in Ontario's general hospitals. These findings suggest a need to evaluate the efficiencies that might be achieved by introducing a subacute category of care into the Canadian health care system. Generally, efforts are needed to reduce the proportion of admissions for nonacute care and of in-hospital days for other than acute care.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed1998

Fifteen-year trends in risk severity and operative mortality in elderly patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

BACKGROUND: Trends in risk-severity and operative mortality (OM) were examined in 3330 consecutive patients aged 70 years and older who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) between 1982 and 1996. METHODS AND RESULTS: The proportion of elderly patients rose significantly over time (P<.001). Crude OM among the elderly was 7.2% in 1982 to 1986, fell to 4.4% in 1987 to 1991, but did not improve thereafter. Logistic regression analysis of OM was used to construct relative risk groups (low, medium, or high). The prevalence of high-risk elderly patients rose significantly over time (P=.001) from 16.2% in 1982 to 1986 to 19.5% in 1987 to 1991 and 26.9% in 1992 to 1996. OM in high-risk patients fell significantly (P=.044) from 17.2% in 1982 to 1986 to 9.1% in 1987 to 1991 and was 8.9% in 1992 to 1996. Contemporary independent predictors of OM among elderly patients were poor ventricular function (LV grade 2 to 3, odds ratio [OR], 2.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3 to 5.2; and LV grade 4, OR, 10.7; 95% CI, 4.4 to 26); previous CABG (OR, 3.7; 95% CI, 2.0 to 7.0), female sex (OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.8), peripheral vascular disease (OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.8), and diabetes (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.7). Previous angioplasty was protective (OR, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.1 to 0.9). CONCLUSIONS: OM in elderly patients has declined significantly in recent years despite an increase in the prevalence and severity of their risk factors. A careful weighing of risk, rather than advanced age alone, should determine who is offered surgical revascularization. In this regard, poor ventricular function and repeat CABG continue to have the greatest impact on OM in elderly patients.

Age Distribution↗
PubMed1998

Self-perceived health status of women three to five years after the diagnosis of gestational diabetes: a survey of cases and matched controls.

OBJECTIVE: Our purpose was to determine the long-term effect on self-perceived health status and maternal perceptions of the offspring's health status after women had been labeled with a diagnosis of gestational diabetes. STUDY DESIGN: We designed a mail survey of women who had participated in a large cohort study 3 to 5 years earlier. A tentative address list was developed for 139 women diagnosed with gestational diabetes and 406 matched controls; 33 and 89 questionnaires, respectively, were returned as "wrong address," but 106 case and 317 control addresses were potentially valid. The primary analysis compared cases and controls on the general health scale of the SF-36. Secondary outcomes included comparisons of the groups' mean results on a worry scale, ratings of the health of the child born in the index pregnancy, disability days, physician visits, diabetes preventive behaviors, and diabetes risk appraisal. RESULTS: The usable response rates were 65 of 106 (61.3%) and 197 of 317 (62.1%), with no meaningful demographic differences found between respondents and nonrespondents. For general health, the mean score for cases was 68.9 (SD 22.34) vs 73.8 (SD 19.86) for controls, p = 0.05 (prespecified, one-tailed). After factors found to be independently related to health perception (age, race, birth place, and comorbidity) were controlled, the differences narrowed, with a mean score for cases of 70.09 versus 73.38 for controls, p = 0.11, two-tailed. Compared with controls, cases were more worried about their own health (p = 0.02, two-tailed), rated their children as less healthy (p = 0.005, two-tailed), and perceived themselves as more likely to have diabetes (p < 0.0001, two-tailed). CONCLUSION: The diagnosis of gestational diabetes may lead to long-term changes in how women view their own health status and that of the child born during the affected pregnancy.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

In the queue for total joint replacement: patients' perspectives on waiting times. Ontario Hip and Knee Replacement Project Team.

We assessed patients on the waiting lists of a purposive sample of orthopaedic surgeons in Ontario, Canada, to determine patients' attitudes towards time waiting for hip or knee replacement. We focused on 148 patients who did not have a definite operative date, obtaining complete information on 124 (84%). Symptom severity was assessed with the Western Ontario/McMaster Osteoarthritis Index and a disease-specific standard gamble was used to elicit patients' overall utility for their arthritic state. Next, in a trade-off task, patients considered a hypothetical choice between a 1-month wait for a surgeon who could provide a 2% risk of post-operative mortality, or a 6-month wait for joint replacement with a 1% risk of post-operative mortality. Waiting times were then shifted systematically until the patient abandoned his/her initial choice, generating a conditional maximal acceptable wait time. Patients were divided in their attitudes, with 57% initially choosing a 6-month wait with a 1% mortality risk. The overall distribution of conditional maximum acceptable wait time scores ranged from 1 to 26 months, with a median of 7 months. Utility values were independently but weakly associated with patients' tolerance of waiting times (adjusted R-square = 0.059, P = 0.004). After splitting the sample along the median into subgroups with a relatively 'low' and 'high' tolerance for waiting, the subgroup with the apparently lower tolerance for waiting reported lower utility scores (z = 2.951; P = 0.004) and shorter times since their surgeon first advised them of the need for surgery (z = 3.014; P = 0.003). These results suggest that, in the establishment and monitoring of a queue management system for quality-of-life-enhancing surgery, patients' own perceptions of their overall symptomatic burden and ability to tolerate delayed relief should be considered along with information derived from clinical judgements and pre-weighted health status instruments.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Analysis of deaths while waiting for cardiac surgery among 29,293 consecutive patients in Ontario, Canada. The Steering Committee of the Cardiac Care Network of Ontario.

OBJECTIVES: To assess death rates among patients waiting for cardiac valve surgery or isolated coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG), and to determine independent risk factors for death while waiting for isolated CABG. DESIGN: Prospective cohort analysis based on an inclusive registry. SETTING: Nine cardiac surgical units in Ontario, Canada. PATIENTS: 29,293 consecutive patients scheduled for cardiac surgery between October 1991 and June 1995. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Death rates while waiting for surgery were determined among patients scheduled for isolated CABG, isolated valve surgery, or combined procedures. Predictors of death among patients with isolated CABG were determined from multivariate analysis. RESULTS: There were 141 deaths (0.48%) among 29,293 patients. Adjusting for age, sex, and waiting time, patients waiting for valve surgery had a significantly increased risk of death compared with patients waiting for CABG alone (adjusted odds ratio 1.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.23 to 2.88, p = 0.004). Results were similar for patients waiting for combined valve and CABG procedures compared with those who were waiting for isolated CABG. Independent risk factors for death while waiting for isolated CABG included: impaired left ventricular function (odds ratio 2.47, 95% CI 1.59 to 3.84, p < 0.001); advancing age (for each decade, odds ratio 1.41, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.80, p = 0.007); male sex (odds ratio 1.95, 95% CI 1.00 to 3.81, p = 0.05); and waiting longer than the maximum time recommended in Canadian guidelines for a patient's clinical profile (odds ratio 1.59, 95% CI 1.01 to 2.51, p = 0.044). After scaling waiting time to surgery or death continuously in days, the same predictors emerged. CONCLUSIONS: Patients waiting for valve surgery have a higher risk of death than patients waiting for isolated CABG. Guidelines to promote safer and fairer queuing for non-CABG cardiac surgery are needed. Shorter waiting lists, better compliance with existing guidelines, and guideline revisions to upgrade patients with left ventricular dysfunction could generate additional reductions in the already low risk of death for patients waiting for isolated CABG.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1997

Selective screening for gestational diabetes mellitus. Toronto Trihospital Gestational Diabetes Project Investigators.

BACKGROUND: The usual approach to detecting gestational diabetes mellitus is to screen all pregnant women by measuring their plasma glucose after a 50-g oral glucose load at 24 to 28 weeks' gestation. Women are referred for an oral glucose-tolerance test if the plasma glucose concentration one hour later is > or = 140 mg per deciliter (7.8 mmol per liter). We hypothesized that the efficiency of screening could be enhanced by considering women's risks of gestational diabetes on the basis of their clinical characteristics. METHODS: We studied 3131 pregnant women who underwent both the screening and the diagnostic tests. We randomly selected data on half the women and used them to derive new screening strategies. We categorized each woman's risk of gestational diabetes mellitus on the basis of her age, body-mass index before pregnancy, and race. We developed strategies that entailed no screening for low-risk women, usual care for intermediate-risk women, and universal screening with lower thresholds -- plasma glucose values of 130 mg per deciliter (7.2 mmol per liter) or 128 mg per deciliter (7.1 mmol per liter) -- for high-risk women. The strategies were validated with data on the other half of the women. RESULTS: The new strategies allowed a 34.6 percent reduction in the number of screening tests performed (95 percent confidence interval, 32.3 to 37.0) and detected 81.2 to 82.6 percent of the women with gestational diabetes as compared with the 78.3 percent detected through usual care. The percentage of false positive screening tests was significantly reduced, from 17.9 percent with usual care to 16.0 per cent (P=0.02) or 15.4 percent (P<0.001) with the new strategies, depending on the threshold values for high-risk women. CONCLUSIONS: Consideration of women's clinical characteristics allows efficient selective screening for gestational diabetes.

Adult↗
PubMed1997

Assessing the outcomes of coronary artery bypass graft surgery: how many risk factors are enough? Steering Committee of the Cardiac Care Network of Ontario.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine whether more comprehensive risk-adjustment models have a significant impact on hospital risk-adjusted mortality rates after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) in Ontario, Canada. BACKGROUND: The Working Group Panel on the Collaborative CABG Database Project has categorized 44 clinical variables into 7 core, 13 level 1 and 24 level 2 variables, to reflect their relative importance in determining short-term mortality after CABG. METHODS: Using clinical data for all 5,517 patients undergoing isolated CABG in Ontario in 1993, we developed 12 increasingly comprehensive risk-adjustment models using logistic regression analysis of 6 of the Panel's core variables and 6 of the Panel's level 1 variables. We studied how the risk-adjusted mortality rates of the nine cardiac surgery hospitals in Ontario changed as more variables were included in these models. RESULTS: Incorporating six of the core variables in a risk-adjustment model led to a model with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.77. The ROC curve area slightly improved to 0.79 with the inclusion of six additional level 1 variables (p = 0.063). Hospital risk-adjusted mortality rates and relative rankings stabilized after adjusting for six core variables. Adding an additional six level 1 variables to a risk-adjustment model had minimal impact on overall results. CONCLUSIONS: A small number of core variables appear to be sufficient for fairly comparing risk-adjusted mortality rates after CABG across hospitals in Ontario. For efficient interprovider comparisons, risk-adjustment models for CABG could be simplified so that only essential variables are included in these models.

Aged↗
PubMed1997

Use of cardiac procedures and outcomes in elderly patients with myocardial infarction in the United States and Canada.

BACKGROUND: Acute myocardial infarction is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States and Canada. We performed a population-based study to compare the use of cardiac procedures and outcomes after acute myocardial infarction in elderly patients in the two countries. METHODS: We compared the use of invasive cardiac procedures and the mortality rates among 224,258 elderly Medicare beneficiaries in the United States and 9444 elderly patients in Ontario, Canada, each of whom had a new acute myocardial infarction in 1991. RESULTS: The U.S. patients were significantly more likely than the Canadian patients to undergo coronary angiography (34.9 percent vs. 6.7 percent, P< 0.001), percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (11.7 percent vs. 1.5 percent, P<0.001), and coronary-artery bypass surgery (10.6 percent vs. 1.4 percent, P<0.001) during the first 30 days after the index infarction. These differences in the use of cardiac procedures narrowed but persisted through 180 days of follow-up. The 30-day mortality rates were slightly but significantly lower for the U.S. patients than for the Canadian patients (21.4 percent vs. 22.3 percent, P=0.03). However, the one-year mortality rates were virtually identical (34.3 percent in the United States vs. 34.4 percent in Ontario, P= 0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Short-term mortality after an acute myocardial infarction was slightly lower in the United States than in Ontario, but these differences did not persist through one year of follow-up. The strikingly higher rates of use of cardiac procedures in the United States, as compared with Canada, do not appear to result in better long-term survival rates for elderly U.S. patients with acute myocardial infarction.

Aged↗