PubMed Health⌕ Search

Biomedical subjects

C F Pieper

Publications and source records attributed to C F Pieper.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2004

Assessment of hand osteoarthritis: correlation between thermographic and radiographic methods.

OBJECTIVE: Anatomical stages of digital osteoarthritis (OA) have been characterized radiographically as progressing through sequential phases from normal to osteophyte formation, progressive loss of joint space, joint erosion and joint remodelling. Our study was designed to evaluate a physiological parameter, joint surface temperature, measured with computerized digital infrared thermal imaging, and its association with sequential stages of radiographic OA (rOA). METHODS: Thermograms, radiographs and digital photographs were taken of both hands of 91 subjects with nodal hand OA. Temperature measurements were made on digits 2-5 at distal interphalangeal (DIP) joints, proximal interphalangeal (PIP) joints and metacarpophalangeal (MCP) joints (2184 joints in total). We fitted a repeated measures ANCOVA model to analyse the effects of rOA on temperature, with handedness, joint group, digit and NSAID use as covariates. RESULTS: The reliability of the thermoscanning procedure was high (generalizability coefficient 0.899 for two scans performed 3 h apart). The mean joint temperature decreased with increasing rOA severity, defined by the Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) scale. The mean temperature of KL0 joints was significantly different from that of each of the other KL grades (P </= 0.002). After adjustment for the other covariates, there was a strong association of rOA with joint surface temperature (P<0.001). The earliest discernible radiographic disease (KL1) was associated with a higher surface temperature than KL0 joints (P = 0.01) and a higher surface temperature than any other KL grade. Joint erosions were not associated with a change in joint temperature. CONCLUSION: Joint surface temperature varied with the severity of rOA. Joints were warmer than normal at the onset of OA. As the severity of rOA worsened, joint surface temperature declined. These data support the supposition that digital OA progresses in phases initiated by an inflammatory process. The cooler surface temperatures in later stages of the disease may in part explain the paucity of symptoms reported by patients with hand OA.

Aged↗
PubMed2004

Experimental trials to assess the risks of decompression sickness in flying after diving.

We conducted experimental trials of flying after diving using profiles near the no-decompression exposure limits for recreational diving. The objective was to determine the dependence of DCS occurrence during or after flight on the length of the preflight surface intervals (PFSI). One to three dives were conducted during a single day with dry, resting subjects in a hyperbaric chamber at depths of 40, 60, or 100 fsw (224, 286, 408 kPa). The dives were followed by PFSI of 3 to 17 hrs and a four-hour altitude exposure at 8,000 ft (75 kPa), the maximum permitted cabin altitude for pressurized commercial aircraft. Forty DCS incidents occurred during or after flight in 802 exposures of 495 subjects. The DCS incidence decreased as PFSI increased, and repetitive dives generally required longer PFSI to achieve low incidence than did single dives (p = 0.0159). No DCS occurred in 52 trials of a 17 hr PFSI, the longest PFSI tested. The results provide empirical information for formulating guidelines for flying in commercial aircraft after recreational diving.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Can historical and functional risk factors be used to predict fractures in community-dwelling older adults? development and validation of a clinical tool.

The objectives of the study were: (1) to evaluate the contribution of impaired functional status, cognition and medication to fracture risk; (2) to determine whether risk factor profiles differ between regionally and socially diverse populations; and (3) to develop and validate a simple fracture prediction instrument for use in older adults using easily obtainable clinical information. A prospective population-based cohort study with 6-10 years of follow-up was carried out: the Duke and Iowa Established Populations for the Epidemiologic Study of the Elderly (EPESE), with in-person interviews in North Carolina and Iowa. The participants were community-dwelling men and women aged 65 years or over without a history of previous fracture at the baseline interview ( n = 7654). The measurements were potential risk factors for osteoporosis and falls including: demographic factors, co-morbidities, medications, functional status measures, and physical measures. These were examined for association with self-reported subsequent hip fractures and fractures at any site using survival analysis. The resulting multivariable model was simplified and validated in a separate cohort. Test operating characteristics at 3 years were estimated using logistic regression. There were a total of 842 fractures in both cohorts including 382 hip fractures. Significant risk factors for all subsequent fractures and/or hip fracture in the developmental cohort included female sex (relative hazard 1.9-2.3), lowest quartile of body mass index (1.3), Caucasian race (2.1-2.8), one or more Rosow-Breslau physical function impairments (1.8-2.1), age over 75 years (2.1), history of stroke (1.9), cognitive impairment (2.2), one or more impairments in the activities of daily living (1.5) and anti-seizure medication use (2.0). Three predicitive models were highly significantly correlated with subsequent fractures with c-statistics in the developmental cohort at 3 and 6 years of 0.640-0.789. A simple count of risk factors had similar discriminative ability to the full model with a linear 35-65% increase in hazard of all fractures and hip fracture for each additional risk factor. In the validation cohort, the above variables were less potent predictors of fracture with only sex, body mass index and Rosow-Breslau impairment achieving significance. The predictive models including risk factor count remained significant in the validation set although the discriminative ability of the model was poor, with c-statistics of 0.574-0.749. Although there is no cut-point where fracture risk dramatically increases, patients can be counselled that there is a linear 77% increase in risk of hip fracture, and 29% increase in any fracture risk, with each additional risk factor they possess. Functional status impairment is an important predictor of fracture in older community-dwelling adults. The contribution of risk factors to fracture risk may differ between distinct populations.

Accidental Falls↗
PubMed2002

The relative risk of decompression sickness during and after air travel following diving.

BACKGROUND: Decompression sickness (DCS) can be provoked by post-dive flying but few data exist to quantify the risk of different post-dive, preflight surface intervals (PFSI). METHODS: We conducted a case-control study using field data from the Divers Alert Network to evaluate the relative risk of DCS from flying after diving. The PFSI and the maximum depths on the last day of diving (MDLD) were analyzed from 627 recreational dive profiles. The data were divided into quartiles based on surface interval and depth. Injured divers (cases) and uninjured divers (controls) were compared using logistic regression to determine the association of DCS with time and depth while controlling for diver and dive profiles characteristics. These included PFSI, MDLD, gender, height, weight, age, and days of diving. RESULTS: The means (+/-SD) for cases and controls were as follows: PFSI, 20.7 +/- 9.6 h vs. 27.1 +/- 6.7 h; MDLD, 22.5 +/- 14 meters sea water (msw) vs. 19 +/- 11.3 msw; male gender, 60% vs. 70%; weight, 75.8 +/- 18 kg vs. 77.6 +/- 16 kg; height, 173 +/- 16 cm vs. 177 +/- 9 cm; age, 36.8 +/- 10 yr vs. 42.9 +/- 11 yr; diving > or = 3 d, 58% vs. 97%. Relative to flying > 28 h after diving, the odds of DCS (95% CI) were: 1.02 (0.61, 1.7) 24-28 h; 1.84 (1.0, 3.3) 20-24 h; and 8.5 (3.85, 18.9) < 20 h. Relative to a depth of < 14.7 msw, the odds of DCS (95% CI) were: 1.2 (0.6, 1.7) 14.7-18.5 msw; 2.9 (1.65, 5.3) 18.5-26 msw; and 5.5 (2.96, 1 0.0) > 26 msw. CONCLUSIONS: Odds ratios approximate relative risk in rare diseases such as DCS. This study demonstrated an increase in relative risk from flying after diving following shorter PFSIs and/or greater dive depths on the last day. The relative risk increases geometrically as the PFSI becomes smaller.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

The incidence of venous gas emboli in recreational diving.

From 1989-91, the Divers Alert Network monitored recreational divers for Doppler-detected venous gas emboli (VGE) and depth-time profiles following multi-day, repetitive, multi-level exposures. A Spencer score >0 occurred in 61 of 67 subjects (91%) and 205 of 281 dives (73%). No subject developed decompression sickness (DCS) on monitored days although 102 dives (36.3%) scored at Spencer Grades 2 or 3 (High Bubble Grade, HBG). We recorded the depth-time profiles with Suunto dive computers and estimated exposure severity with a probabilistic decompression algorithm. The HBG incidence increased 53% over the range of exposure severity (p < 0.001) in the divers, was approximately 20% higher for repetitive dives than for first dives, and decreased approximately 25% over the 6-8 days of multi-day diving (p < 0.001) suggesting a phenomenon similar to DCS adaptation. The observed HBG incidence was approximately 20% higher for males than females. Older male divers had a 25% increase in observed incidence of HBG while older female divers showed a 55% increase when compared to their younger counterparts.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Use and cost of outpatient visits of AD patients: CERAD XXII.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the probability, frequency, and cost of outpatient visits of patients with AD in the Consortium to Establish a Registry for Alzheimer's Disease (CERAD) as a function of stage of dementia and institutional status. METHODS: Clinical information on 388 patients with AD enrolled in CERAD who had no serious comorbidities at baseline and for whom the stage of disease and institutional status were known, were linked to Health Care Financing Administration Physician/Supplier and Outpatient Standard Analytic (institutional outpatient) files for 1991 through 1995. None was registered in a health maintenance organization. Repeated measures regression models were used to examine the relationship of stage of disease to probability, frequency, and cost of outpatient visits for institutionalized and noninstitutionalized patients, with demographic characteristics and calendar time controlled. RESULTS: The annual proportion of patients with AD and a Medicare-reimbursed outpatient visit ranged from 81% to 95% and was not related to stage of dementia or institutional status. Among those with at least one outpatient visit, however, those living at home had fewer visits than did those in institutions, but their number of visits increased as dementia worsened. Those in institutions had a larger number of outpatient visits, but these did not vary significantly by stage of dementia. Neither location of residence nor stage affected the cost of outpatient visits. CONCLUSION: Among those with an outpatient visit, the frequency of visits and their relationship to stage of disease depends on institutional status.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Use and cost of hospitalization of patients with AD by stage and living arrangement: CERAD XXI.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the probability, frequency, length of stay, and Medicare costs of hospitalization of institutionalized and noninstitutionalized patients with AD at various stages of dementia. METHODS: The authors analyzed the 1991 to 1995 Medicare records of 420 CERAD patients with AD, a group which, at entry, had no serious comorbidities. They were geographically distributed across the United States and observed for a median of 2.5 years. Repeated measures logistic regression and generalized estimating equations were used to model the probability of hospitalization. Among those hospitalized, the general linear mixed model was used to determine number of admissions, length of stay, and Medicare cost. Demographic characteristics and calendar date were controlled in all analyses. RESULTS: As dementia worsened, the probability of hospitalization increased among patients living at home, but decreased among those who were institutionalized. Number of admissions, length of stay, and cost also decreased significantly as stage worsened among the institutionalized patients, but the stage of dementia had no effect in non-institutionalized patients. CONCLUSION: The hospitalization experience of patients with AD living at home differs from that of patients with AD living in institutions. Residential setting appears to be an important determinant of hospitalization in patients with AD.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Subtypes of mania determined by grade of membership analysis.

Classical descriptions of mania subtypes extend back to Kraepelin; however, in marked contrast to the study of depression subtypes, validation of mania subtypes by multivariate statistical methods has seldom been attempted. We applied Grade of Membership (GOM) analysis to the rated clinical features of 327 inpatients with DSM-III-R mania diagnoses. GOM is a type of latent structure multivariate analysis, which differs from others of this type in making no a priori distributional assumptions about groupings. We obtained 5 GOM Pure Types with good face validity. The major Kraepelinian forms of "hypomania," "acute mania," "delusional mania," and "depressive or anxious mania" were validated. The major new finding is of two mixed mania presentations, each with marked lability of mood. The first of these displayed a dominant mood of severe depression with labile periods of pressured, irritable hostility and paranoia, and the complete absence of euphoria or humor. The second mixed mania Pure Type displayed a true, incongruous mixture of affects: periods of classical manic symptoms with euphoria, elation, humor, grandiosity, psychosis, and psychomotor activation, switching frequently to moderately depressed mood with pressured anxiety and irritability. This multivariate analysis validated classical clinical descriptions of the major subtypes of mania. Two distinct forms of mixed manic episodes were identified. DSM-III-R criteria did not reliably identify either of these two natural groups of mixed bipolar patients. As occurs in depression, this clinical heterogeneity of mania may influence response to drug treatments.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Psychometric evaluation of 2 comprehensive condition-specific quality of life instruments for women with pelvic floor disorders.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the psychometric properties of the Pelvic Floor Distress Inventory (PFDI) and the Pelvic Floor Impact Questionnaire (PFIQ). METHODS: The PFDI and PFIQ are based on the structure and content of two previously validated questionnaires (the Urinary Distress Inventory [UDI] and the Incontinence Impact Questionnaire [IIQ]) and have additional questions regarding pelvic organ prolapse and colorectal dysfunction. The PFDI assesses symptom distress in women with pelvic floor disorders and has 3 scales: UDI (28 items), Colorectal-anal Distress Inventory (17 items), and Pelvic Organ Prolapse Distress Inventory (16 items). The PFIQ assesses life impact and also has 3 scales: IIQ, Colorectal-anal Impact Questionnaire, and the Pelvic Organ Prolapse Impact Questionnaire (31 items each). One hundred women with pelvic floor symptoms were enrolled and completed both the PFDI and PFIQ at baseline and again 1 week later. Patients underwent a comprehensive evaluation that included a structured history, Pelvic Organ Prolapse Quantitation, and a 1-week prospective bowel/bladder diary. Patients with urinary incontinence and stage III or IV pelvic organ prolapse also had a urodynamic evaluation. RESULTS: Each scale of the PFDI and PFIQ proved to be internally consistent (alphas: PFDI.82-.89; PFIQ.96-.97) and reproducible (interclass correlations: PFDI.86-.87; PFIQ.77-.92). Both the UDI and the IIQ significantly correlated with the number of urinary incontinence episodes per week (rho =.26, P <.05; rho =.46, P <.0001, respectively) and the number of pads used per week (rho =.26, P <.05; rho =.40, P <.0001, respectively). The Pelvic Organ Prolapse Distress Inventory and the Pelvic Organ Prolapse Impact Questionnaire significantly correlated with the stage of prolapse (rho =.32 and rho =.33, P <.01 each), and the Colorectal-anal Distress Inventory and Colorectal-anal Impact Questionnaire significantly correlated with the number of fecal incontinence episodes per month (rho =.49, P <.0001 and rho =.30, P <.01) and a diagnosis of defecatory dysfunction (rho =.47, P <.0001 and rho =.29, P <.01). The total time taken to complete both instruments averaged 23 minutes (range, 9-55). CONCLUSION: The PFDI and the PFIQ are reliable, valid, condition-specific quality of life instruments for women with pelvic floor disorders.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

The association of depression and mortality in elderly persons: a case for multiple, independent pathways.

BACKGROUND: The evidence for an association between depression and mortality among community-dwelling elderly persons remains inconclusive, although it is well established for younger individuals. Extant studies suggest that this association weakens when adjusted for potential confounding factors, especially functional impairment. A cohort of elderly subjects followed for 3 years was analyzed to determine the association of depression and 3-year mortality, controlling for the major known risk factors for mortality in the elderly population. METHODS: Information on depression (CES-D scores), mortality, demographics, body mass index, chronic disease, smoking history, cognitive impairment, functional impairment, self-rated health, and social support was obtained from a stratified probability-based sample of community-dwelling elderly persons, with equal distribution between African Americans and whites in the Piedmont of North Carolina. Descriptive statistics were calculated, and logistic regression was used for a series of models with progressively more control variables. RESULTS: The unadjusted relative odds of mortality among depressed subjects at baseline was 1.98 over 3 years of follow-up. Inclusion of age, gender, and race into the model did not reduce the relative odds. When chronic disease and health habits, cognitive impairment, functional impairment, and social support were added to the model, the odds ratios for mortality with depression were 1.74, 1.69, 1.29, and 1.21, respectively. This decrease in odds ratios was not observed for other variables in the model when additional variables were added. CONCLUSIONS: The estimated odds of dying if depressed moved toward unity as other risk factors for mortality were controlled. Unlike other known risk factors for mortality in the elderly population, depression appears to be associated with mortality through a number of independent mechanisms, perhaps through complex feedback loops.

Activities of Daily Living↗
PubMed2001

Toward a threshold for subthreshold depression: an analysis of correlates of depression by severity of symptoms using data from an elderly community sample.

PURPOSE: The prevalence of depressive symptoms in elderly adults is high, yet the criteria to identify clinically significant depression may leave many elders undiagnosed and untreated. We explored the demographic and risk factor profiles of two groups, one with more severe depression and one with less severe depression. DESIGN AND METHODS: The data come from the Duke University Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly (EPESE) baseline survey of 4,162 community-dwelling adults aged 65 or older. RESULTS: The prevalence of depression meeting criteria of the Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression scale (CES-D) and sub-threshold depression was 9.1% and 9.9%, respectively. In ordinal logistic regression, both CES-D and subthreshold depression were associated with impairment in physical functioning, disability days, poorer self-rated health, use of psychotropic medications, perceived low social support, female gender, and being unmarried. IMPLICATIONS: Depression appears to exist along a continuum, with demographic and social and physical health predictors of subthreshold depression similar to predictors of depression as defined by the CES-D scale.

Activities of Daily Living↗
PubMed2000

Calcium channel blockers and cancer.

PURPOSE: We sought to explore the relation that has been previously reported between calcium channel blockers and an increased risk of cancer. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We followed 3,511 participants, age 65 years or older, in the Duke Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly for up to 10 years. Information about use of medications was obtained at baseline and 3 and 6 years later. Information about hospitalization for cancer, or death from cancer, was obtained from Health Care Financing Administration data and death certificates. RESULTS: Of the 133 users of calcium channel blockers, 16 (12%) developed cancer, compared with 548 (16%) of 3,378 nonusers (hazard ratio = 0.9; 95% confidence interval, 0.5 to 1.5). Adjusting for baseline and time-dependent covariates, such as race, diabetes, or blood pressure, for dose or class of calcium channel blockers, or for length of follow-up, had no effect. CONCLUSIONS: Use of calcium channel blockers does not appear to be related to cancer risk. Earlier reports showing such a relation may have been the result of chance.

Aged↗
PubMed2000

Timed loaded standing: a measure of combined trunk and arm endurance suitable for people with vertebral osteoporosis.

Chronic back tiredness or fatigue is a common complaint of people who have a history of osteoporotic vertebral fracture. Trunk muscle endurance has not been studied in people with vertebral osteoporosis, partly due to the lack of assessment tools. We developed a measure of combined trunk and arm endurance suitable for people with vertebral osteoporosis, timed loaded standing (TLS). TLS measures the time a person can stand while holding a two-pound dumbbell in each hand with the arms at 90 degrees of shoulder flexion and the elbows extended. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) for same day inter-trial and six to ten day test-retest reliability were 0.89 (lower bound 95% confidence interval [LB 95% CI] 0.79) and 0.84 (LB 95% CI 0.68), respectively, in a sample of 21 older women with no known osteoporosis. In 127 women with vertebral fractures, the ICC for same day inter-trial reliability was 0.81 (LB 95% CI 0.75). In a sub-sample of 30 of these women with vertebral fractures, the six to ten day test-retest reliability was 0.85 (LB 95% CI 0.75). Moderately strong and statistically significant (p < or = 0.05) correlations were found between TLS and sixteen of eighteen measures of physical impairment and function. Functional reach distance, gait velocity, MOS-36 Physical Function Subscale, shoulder flexion strength, and six minute walk distance were most strongly associated with TLS time. Women with vertebral fractures who endorsed having back tiredness when standing and working with the arms in front of the body, sitting to rest because of back tiredness or pain, and planning rest periods because of back tiredness or pain had significantly lower TLS times. TLS is a simple, safe physical performance measure of combined trunk and arm endurance that demonstrates acceptable reliability (inter-trial and test- retest) and concurrent validity.

Aged↗
PubMed2000

Age, functional status, and racial differences in plasma D-dimer levels in community-dwelling elderly persons.

BACKGROUND: Dysregulation of immunologic and coagulation systems is common in elderly persons and is associated with many diseases of aging. Thrombotic events are a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the elderly population. This study assesses whether D-dimer, a marker of fibrinolytic activity, varies systematically by demographic, health, and functional measures, and derives a prediction model for factors related to D-dimer in a sample of community-dwelling elderly persons. METHODS: D-dimer levels were assessed in a random sample of 1,727 community-dwelling elderly persons from five rural and urban counties in North Carolina in 1992, as part of the Established Populations for the Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly (Duke University). All subjects were 72 years or older at the time of the blood draw. In addition, all subjects were surveyed yearly by telephone or in person each year from 1986 to 1992 for a variety of health, functional, and social factors. Levels of D-dimer in 1992 were related cross-sectionally to demographics (age, race, education, income, gender, smoking), function (Nagi, Rosow-Breslau, Katz, Older Americans Resources and Services procedures instrumental activities of daily living), life satisfaction and self-rated health, self-reported diseases (heart attack, cancer, stroke, diabetes, and hypertension), and weight change from 1986 to 1992. RESULTS: D-dimer levels increased with increasing age and functional disability. Among the health variables, only high blood pressure was predictive of D-dimer level. D-dimer levels were dramatically higher in blacks. Blacks were nearly four times more likely to have an extreme value of D-dimer (>600 microg/l) than whites when high D-dimer (yes/no) was analyzed, and blacks had an average level that was nearly 40% higher than whites in analyses of the continuous version of the outcome. This racial effect was not substantively affected in multivariable analyses with demographic and socioeconomic variables controlled. Race, age, functional status, current smoking, high blood pressure, and weight loss were related to level of D-dimer, and race, age, and functional status were related to the presence of a high D-dimer level (in the top 10% of the sample). CONCLUSIONS: Black, older, and functionally impaired persons had significantly higher levels of D-dimer in this sample of community-dwelling elderly persons. The findings for race were particularly striking and persisted even after controlling for smoking and other factors known to be related to thrombosis and were not mediated by social factors. This result may contribute to our understanding of the increased levels of thrombotic events found in these groups.

Aged↗
PubMed2000

Comorbidity of five chronic health conditions in elderly community residents: determinants and impact on mortality.

BACKGROUND: Comorbidity is common in elderly persons. Its extent, correlates, and life-threatening impact in representative community residents are unclear. METHODS: Self-reported information of physician-diagnosed coronary artery disease (CAD), cerebrovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, and cancer was obtained annually between 1986-87 and 1992-93, and hypertension was obtained triennially from the participants of the Duke Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly, a stratified multistage sample of 4,126 Black and White community residents aged 65-100, living in a five-county area of North Carolina. Date of death was obtained from death certificates identified through search of the National Death Index. Statistical procedures included descriptive statistics, logistic regression, and survival analysis. RESULTS: Of this sample, 57% reported hypertension, 20% diabetes, 15% CAD, 9% cancer, and 9% CVD; 29% reported none of these conditions, whereas 29% reported two or more. Demographic characteristics were not related to comorbidity with CVD or cancer. Increased education tended to be protective. The effect of age, gender, and race varied with condition. At baseline there was substantial comorbidity among hypertension, CAD, CVD, and diabetes, but not with cancer. Hypertension, CVD, and diabetes were risk factors for CAD, whereas diabetes was a risk factor for CVD. After controlling for demographic characteristics, all health conditions except hypertension were predictive of 6-year mortality, as was the presence of comorbidity. CONCLUSION: We found significant comorbidity in older persons who have hypertension, CAD, CVD, or diabetes; particular risk of developing comorbidity, particularly CAD, among those with hypertension, CVD, and diabetes; and risk of CVD in those with diabetes. With the exception of hypertension, these conditions, and comorbidity per se, are life-threatening.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2000

Lower extremity function and subsequent disability: consistency across studies, predictive models, and value of gait speed alone compared with the short physical performance battery.

BACKGROUND: Although it has been demonstrated that physical performance measures predict incident disability in previously nondisabled older persons, the available data have not been fully developed to create usable methods for determining risk profiles in community-dwelling populations. Using several populations and different follow-up periods, this study replicates previous findings by using the Established Populations for the Epidemiologic Study of the Elderly (EPESE) performance battery and provides equations for the prediction of disability risk according to age, sex, and level of performance. METHODS: Tests of balance, time to walk 8 ft, and time to rise from a chair 5 times were administered to 4,588 initially nondisabled persons in the four sites of the EPESE and to 1,946 initially nondisabled persons in the Hispanic EPESE. Follow-up assessment for activity of daily living (ADL) and mobility-related disability occurred from 1 to 6 years later. RESULTS: In the EPESE, compared with those with the best performance (EPESE summary performance score of 10-12), the relative risks of mobility-related disability for those with scores of 4-6 ranged from 2.9 to 4.9 and the relative risk of disability for those with scores of 7-9 ranged from 1.5 to 2.1, with similar consistent results for ADL disability. The observed rates of incident disability according to performance level in the Hispanic EPESE agreed closely with rates predicted from models developed from the EPESE sites. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed that gait speed alone performed almost as well as the full battery in predicting incident disability. CONCLUSIONS: Performance tests of lower extremity function accurately predict disability across diverse populations. Equations derived from models using both the summary score and the gait speed alone allow for the estimation of risk of disability in community-dwelling populations and provide valuable information for estimating sample size for clinical trials of disability prevention.

Activities of Daily Living↗