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C Gordon

Publications and source records attributed to C Gordon.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2007

Neuropsychiatric events at the time of diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus: an international inception cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the prevalence, characteristics, attribution, and clinical significance of neuropsychiatric (NP) events in an international inception cohort of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients. METHODS: The study was conducted by the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC). Patients were enrolled within 15 months of fulfilling the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) SLE classification criteria. All NP events within a predefined enrollment window were identified using the ACR case definitions of 19 NP syndromes. Decision rules were derived to determine the proportion of NP disease attributable to SLE. Clinical significance was determined using the Short Form 36 (SF-36) Health Survey and the SLICC/ACR Damage Index (SDI). RESULTS: A total of 572 patients (88% female) were recruited, with a mean +/- SD age of 35 +/- 14 years. The mean +/- SD disease duration was 5.2 +/- 4.2 months. Within the enrollment window, 158 of 572 patients (28%) had at least 1 NP event. In total, there were 242 NP events that encompassed 15 of 19 NP syndromes. The proportion of NP events attributed to SLE varied from 19% to 38% using alternate attribution models and occurred in 6.1-11.7% of patients. Those with NP events, regardless of attribution, had lower scores on the SF-36 and higher SDI scores compared with patients with no NP events. CONCLUSION: Twenty-eight percent of SLE patients experienced at least 1 NP event around the time of diagnosis of SLE, of which only a minority were attributed to SLE. Regardless of attribution, the occurrence of NP events was associated with reduced quality of life and increased organ damage.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Direct healthcare costs and predictors of costs in patients with primary Sjogren's syndrome.

OBJECTIVES: To analyse the healthcare usage, direct healthcare costs and predictors of cost in primary Sjögren's syndrome (PSS) in the UK and to compare the findings with the data from healthy control groups and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. METHODS: A total of 129 patients with PSS (American-European criteria), 91 with RA and 92 controls, were included in the study. All groups were age-matched females and all completed questionnaires on health status (SF-36) and healthcare utilization (economic component of the Stanford Health Assessment Questionnaire). Annual direct healthcare costs were calculated (and expressed in 2004 UK pound sterling) and predictors of costs for each patient group were determined by regression analyses. Age, health status, disease duration and anti-Ro/La antibody positivity were used as potential predictor variables. RESULTS: Mean age was similar in the PSS (59.2 yrs, S.D. 11.6), RA (60.3 yrs, S.D. 10.5) and control groups (57.7 yrs, S.D. 12.5). The mean disease duration was 5.4 yrs (S.D. 4.8) in the PSS group and 13.4 yrs (S.D. 11.4) in the RA group. The mean annual total direct cost per patient [95% confidence interval (CI)] was 2188 pounds sterling (1831 and 2546 pounds sterling) in the PSS group, 2693 pounds sterling(2069 and 3428 pounds sterling) in the RA group and 949 pounds sterling (741 and 1156 pounds sterling) in the control group. The costs in the PSS group were greater than for the RA and control groups for visits to all healthcare professionals (total) as well as visits to the dentist, dental hospital and ophthalmologist. The costs in the PSS and RA groups were higher than in controls for diagnostic tests and visits to hospital and the accident and emergency (A&E) department. The PSS group also incurred higher costs than controls, but lower costs than the RA group, for visits to a rheumatologist, urine and blood tests, assistive devices and drug therapy. Regression analysis identified the SF-36 physical function subscale as the best predictor of costs in PSS patients as well as controls and the mental health subscale in RA patients. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to evaluate direct healthcare costs in patients with PSS. PSS has a significant impact on the healthcare system, similar to that of RA, by more than doubling costs compared with control patients.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Development of an interactive learning tool for teaching rheumatology--a simulated clinical case studies program.

OBJECTIVES: To promote independent self-study involving problem solving and decision analysis in the undergraduate medical curriculum, we have developed a series of interactive web-based clinical case studies. METHODS: An initial needs assessment was performed to determine students' attitudes to e-learning. From these results we designed a series of 30 interactive case studies for delivery from a web-server. RESULTS: A survey of 59 undergraduate students believed that online teaching resources were a useful supplement to existing teaching and they could see a positive use for e-learning. The interactive case studies program was well received by a broad range of respondents (n = 84) of different abilities and backgrounds who felt that the program was realistic and clearly presented in an intuitive manner. CONCLUSIONS: The recent increases in numbers of medical undergraduates, the trend towards student-centred learning and the emphasis on patient-related teaching means a great pressure on teachers and resources in medical schools. The case studies program we have developed was effective and well received by both biomedical and medical students. This approach may provide a way to increase the exposure of students to clinical cases involving interactive diagnostic and treatment procedures, that mimic real-world scenarios, but with fewer resource implications.

Computer Simulation↗
PubMed2006

Mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: To examine mortality rates in the largest systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) cohort ever assembled. METHODS: Our sample was a multisite international SLE cohort (23 centers, 9,547 patients). Deaths were ascertained by vital statistics registry linkage. Standardized mortality ratio (SMR; ratio of deaths observed to deaths expected) estimates were calculated for all deaths and by cause. The effects of sex, age, SLE duration, race, and calendar-year periods were determined. RESULTS: The overall SMR was 2.4 (95% confidence interval 2.3-2.5). Particularly high mortality was seen for circulatory disease, infections, renal disease, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, and lung cancer. The highest SMR estimates were seen in patient groups characterized by female sex, younger age, SLE duration <1 year, or black/African American race. There was a dramatic decrease in total SMR estimates across calendar-year periods, which was demonstrable for specific causes including death due to infections and death due to renal disorders. However, the SMR due to circulatory diseases tended to increase slightly from the 1970s to the year 2001. CONCLUSION: Our data from a very large multicenter international cohort emphasize what has been demonstrated previously in smaller samples. These results highlight the increased mortality rate in SLE patients compared with the general population, and they suggest particular risk associated with female sex, younger age, shorter SLE duration, and black/African American race. The risk for certain types of deaths, primarily related to lupus activity (such as renal disease), has decreased over time, while the risk for deaths due to circulatory disease does not appear to have diminished.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

A statistical analysis of the interrelationships between disease activity in different systems in systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVES: To develop models for disease activity in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and to examine the hypothesis that possible subsets exist within the disease, notably renal disease and little else, mucocutaneous and musculoskeletal disease in isolation and more multisystem disease. METHODS: Four hundred and forty patients with SLE were followed for a period of 10 yr. Socio-demographic data were obtained at the first visit with disease activity being recorded at subsequent visits and damage scores at 6-monthly intervals. Prognostic factors for active disease in each of the mucocutaneous, musculoskeletal and renal systems were examined statistically. The results were then validated using data collected over 5 yr on a further 295 SLE patients from a different centre. RESULTS: Logistic regression analyses indicated that for all three systems studied a patient known to have an involvement in that system is more likely to present with active disease in that same system than a patient with no known prior involvement. Patients with a higher frequency of clinic visits with active disease in a system are more likely to represent with active disease than those with fewer visits. The results suggest that renal disease is most likely to occur on its own. Associations between activity in the mucocutaneous and musculoskeletal systems support the suggestion that patients with musculoskeletal and mucocutaneous disease alone represent a possible subset of SLE. None of the associations identified were modified by the medication a patient received. CONCLUSIONS: Previous disease history and involvement of other systems determine a patient's chance of developing further episodes of active disease in SLE.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

Clinical significance of IgA anticardiolipin and anti-beta2-GP1 antibodies in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus and primary antiphospholipid syndrome.

The objectives of this study were to estimate the prevalence of IgA anticardiolipin antibodies (aCL) and anti-beta(2)-glycoprotein 1 antibodies (abeta(2)-GP1) in a large number of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and primary antiphospholipid syndrome (PAPS) and to examine possible associations between the clinical manifestations of the APS and the levels of IgA aCL and abeta(2)-GP1. We also assessed the operative characteristics of IgA aCL and abeta(2)-GP1. We retrospectively studied 130 patients with SLE and 35 patients with PAPS. In all patients we measured IgG, IgM, and IgA aCL and abeta(2)-GP1 and recorded any of the clinical manifestations of the APS. IgA aCL were positive in 8.5% of patients with SLE and in 40% of patients with PAPS. Positive IgA abeta(2)-GP1 were found in 17.7% of patients with SLE and in 25.7% of patients with PAPS. IgA aCL were associated with a history of venous thrombosis, thrombocytopenia, and recurrent fetal loss. In contrast, we could not establish significant associations between IgA abeta(2)-GP1 and any of the clinical manifestations of the APS. Measurement of the IgA in addition to IgG and IgM aCL hardly changed the operative characteristics of aCL testing, while measurement of the IgA in addition to IgG and IgM abeta(2)-GP1 increased sensitivity but with a greater loss in specificity. IgA aCL is significantly associated with more than one of the clinical manifestations of the APS in contrast to the IgA abeta(2)-GP1. Routine measurement of the IgA isotype of both aCL and abeta(2)-GP1 does not improve the operative characteristics of aCL and abeta(2)-GP1 and therefore is not recommended at present.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

BILAG 2004. Development and initial validation of an updated version of the British Isles Lupus Assessment Group's disease activity index for patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: To devise a more discriminating version of the British Isles Lupus Assessment Group (BILAG) disease activity index and to show that it is reliable. METHODS: A nominal consensus approach was undertaken by members of BILAG to update and improve the BILAG lupus disease activity index. The index has been revised following intense consultations over a 1-yr period. It has been assessed in two real-patient exercises. These involved patients with diverse clinical features of SLE, including gastrointestinal, hepatic and ophthalmic problems, which the earlier versions of the index did not fully take into account. Reliability in terms of the ability to differentiate patients was assessed by calculating intraclass correlation coefficients. The level of agreement between physicians was determined by calculating the ratio of estimates of the standard error (SE) attributable to the physicians to the SE attributable to the patients. RESULTS: Good reliability and high levels of physician agreement were observed in one or both exercises in the constitutional, mucocutaneous, neurological, cardiorespiratory, renal, ophthalmic and haematological systems. In contrast, the musculoskeletal system did not score as well, although providing more clear-cut glossary definitions should greatly improve the situation. CONCLUSIONS: Some significant changes in the BILAG disease activity index to assess patients with SLE are proposed. The process of demonstrating validity and reliability has started with these two exercises assessing real patients. Further validation studies are under way. BILAG 2004 is likely to be valuable in clinical trials assessing new therapies for the treatment of SLE, as it provides a more comprehensive system-based disease activity measure than has been available previously.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

The systemic lupus erythematosus tri-nation study: longitudinal changes in physical and mental well-being.

OBJECTIVE: We have shown that SLE patients in Canada and the UK incurred 20% and 13% lower health costs than those in the US, respectively, but did not experience worse outcomes as expressed by the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index. We now compare change in quality of life in these patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Seven hundred and fifteen SLE patients (Canada 231, US 269, UK 215) completed the SF-36 annually over four years. The annual change in the SF-36 Physical and Mental Component Summary (PCS and MCS) scores over the course of the study were summarized by estimating a linear trend for each individual patient using hierarchical modelling. Cross-country comparison of the slopes in the PCS and MCS scores was then performed using simultaneous regressions. RESULTS: The estimated mean annual changes (95% credible interval [CrI]) in the PCS scores in Canada, the US, and the UK were 0.18 (-0.07, 0.43), -0.05 (-0.27, 0.17), and 0.03 (-0.20, 0.27), respectively; the mean annual changes in the MCS scores were 0.15 (-0.04, 0.34), 0.23 (0.09, 0.37), and 0.08 (-0.10, 0.27), respectively. Regression results showed that the mean annual changes in PCS and MCS scores did not substantially differ across countries. CONCLUSION: Quality of life remained stable across countries. Despite Canadian and British patients incurring lower health costs, on average, patients experienced similar changes in physical and mental well-being.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

An international cohort study of cancer in systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: There is increasing evidence in support of an association between systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and malignancy, but in earlier studies the association could not be quantified precisely. The present study was undertaken to ascertain the incidence of cancer in SLE patients, compared with that in the general population. METHODS: We assembled a multisite (23 centers) international cohort of patients diagnosed as having SLE. Patients at each center were linked to regional tumor registries to determine cancer occurrence. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated as the ratio of observed to expected cancers. Cancers expected were determined by multiplying person-years in the cohort by the geographically matched age, sex, and calendar year-specific cancer rates, and summing over all person-years. RESULTS: The 9,547 patients from 23 centers were observed for a total of 76,948 patient-years, with an average followup of 8 years. Within the observation interval, 431 cancers occurred. The data confirmed an increased risk of cancer among patients with SLE. For all cancers combined, the SIR estimate was 1.15 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.05-1.27), for all hematologic malignancies, it was 2.75 (95% CI 2.13-3.49), and for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, it was 3.64 (95% CI 2.63-4.93). The data also suggested an increased risk of lung cancer (SIR 1.37; 95% CI 1.05-1.76), and hepatobiliary cancer (SIR 2.60; 95% CI 1.25, 4.78). CONCLUSION: These results support the notion of an association between SLE and cancer and more precisely define the risk of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in SLE. It is not yet known whether this association is mediated by genetic factors or exogenous exposures.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Prevalence and predictors of fragility fractures in systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: To establish the prevalence of reduced bone mineral density (BMD) and fractures, and risk factors for fractures, in a cross sectional study of a large cohort of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: All SLE patients willing to take part in the study had bone densitometry in 1999/2000 and completed a questionnaire on risk factors for osteoporosis and on drugs used. Accumulated damage was scored using the SLICC/ACR damage index (SDI). Only fractures occurring since the onset of SLE and unrelated to trauma were included, and the SDI score was modified to exclude osteoporotic fractures. Statistical analysis was by chi(2) test, Fisher's exact test, and binary logistic regression. RESULTS: 242 patients were studied, median age 39.9 years (range 18 to 80), median disease duration 7.0 years (range 0 to 42). Of these, 123 (50.8%) had reduced BMD (T score <-1.0) and 25 (10.3%) were in the osteoporotic range (T score <-2.5). Fragility fractures had occurred in 22 patients (9.1%) since diagnosis of SLE. Of these, two (9.1%) had normal BMD and 20 (90.9%) had reduced BMD, while seven (31.8%) were within the osteoporotic range. Non-Afro-Caribbean race and exposure to prednisolone >10 mg daily were significantly associated with reduced BMD, while age and menopause were associated with osteoporosis. The risk factors for fractures were reduced BMD and age. CONCLUSIONS: Reduced BMD, osteoporosis, and fragility fractures appear to be prevalent in patients with SLE. Steroids were not an independent risk factor for fractures, although their effect could be mediated through reduced bone mineral density.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in systemic lupus erythematosus.

BACKGROUND: Recent evidence supports an association between systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL). OBJECTIVES: To describe demographic factors, subtypes, and survival of patients with SLE who develop NHL. METHODS: A multi-site cohort of 9547 subjects with definite SLE was assembled. Subjects at each centre were linked to regional tumour registries to determine cancer cases occurring after SLE diagnosis. For the NHL cases ascertained, descriptive statistics were calculated, and NHL subtype frequency and median survival time of patients determined. RESULTS: 42 cases of NHL occurred in the patients with SLE during the 76,948 patient-years of observation. The median age of patients at NHL diagnosis was 57 years. Thirty six (86%) of the 42 patients developing NHL were women, reflecting the female predominance of the cohort. In the patients, aggressive histological subtypes appeared to predominate, with the most commonly identified NHL subtype being diffuse large B cell (11 out of 21 cases for which histological subtype was available). Twenty two of the patients had died a median of 1.2 years after lymphoma diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest aggressive disease in patients with SLE who develop NHL. Continuing work should provide further insight into the patterns of presentation, prognosis, and aetiology of NHL in SLE.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

The role of the hiatus hernia in gastro-oesophageal reflux disease.

A sliding hiatus hernia disrupts both the anatomy and physiology of the normal antireflux mechanism. It reduces lower oesophageal sphincter length and pressure, and impairs the augmenting effects of the diaphragmatic crus. It is associated with decreased oesophageal peristalsis, increases the cross-sectional area of the oesophago-gastric junction, and acts as a reservoir allowing reflux from the hernia sac into the oesophagus during swallowing. The overall effect is that of increased oesophageal acid exposure. The presence of a hiatus hernia is associated with symptoms of gastro-oesophageal reflux, increased prevalence and severity of reflux oesophagitis, as well as Barrett's oesophagus and oesophageal adenocarcinoma. The efficacy of treatment with proton pump inhibitors is reduced. Our view on the significance of the sliding hiatus hernia in gastro-oesophageal reflux disease has changed enormously in recent decades. It was initially thought that a hiatus hernia had to be present for reflux oesophagitis to occur. Subsequently, the hiatus hernia was considered an incidental finding of little consequence. We now appreciate that the hiatus hernia has major patho-physiological effects favouring gastro-oesophageal reflux and hence contributing to oesophageal mucosal injury, particularly in patients with severe gastro-oesophageal reflux disease.

Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal↗
PubMed2004

Malignancy is increased in ANCA-associated vasculitis.

OBJECTIVE: In the light of previous reports of an association between malignancy and renal vasculitis, we aimed to investigate the association of malignancy in antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis, either Wegener's granulomatosis (WG) or microscopic polyangiitis (MPA), and compare it with the general population and disease control groups comprising patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) or Henoch-Schonlein purpura (HSP). METHODS: A retrospective review of 200 consecutive patients with WG or MPA was performed. Malignancies preceding or concurrent with vasculitis were recorded and the incidence of malignancy was compared with those in a population of 129 patients with HSP, 333 patients with SLE and a normal population in the West Midlands of the UK. RESULTS: Twenty patients had a diagnosis of malignancy, 14 had MPA and six had WG. Patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis had an increased risk of malignancy compared with HSP patients, of whom six patients had malignancy (relative risk 0.85, confidence interval 0.69-1.05; P = 0.034), or SLE patients, of whom five patients had malignancy (relative risk 0.31, 95% confidence interval 0.14-0.7; P<0.0001). The rate of malignancy compared with an age-matched control group was increased in patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis and HSP (ANCA-associated vasculitis, relative risk 6.02, 95% confidence interval 3.72-9.74; HSP, relative risk 5.25, 95% confidence interval 2.4-11.5). The presence of ANCA was not predictive of malignancy. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis have an increased risk of preceding or concurrent malignancy.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Factors associated with abnormal Pap results in systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: Previous studies have suggested that women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are at greater risk for cervical dysplasia than are women in the general population. However, the factors associated with abnormal Pap test results in SLE have not been well studied. We therefore aimed to determine the factors associated with lifetime occurrence of an abnormal Pap test in women with SLE, and the influence of immunosuppressive exposure on the odds of abnormal Pap test results occurring after diagnosis of SLE. METHODS: Data were pooled from SLE cohorts from three centres. Self-report data were available on smoking, reproductive history, use of oral contraceptives (OC), history of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) and whether the subjects had had cervical dysplasia on Pap testing. Logistic regression was used to examine the effect of these variables on the lifetime odds of cervical dysplasia. We then generated the adjusted odds ratio (OR) for the effect of immunosuppressive exposure on cervical dysplasia occurring after diagnosis of SLE. RESULTS: History of STDs and use of OCs were positively associated with reports of cervical dysplasia in adjusted analyses. The ORs for the effect of immunosuppressives on abnormal Pap test occurrence (adjusted for race, age, smoking, nulliparity, OC use and history of STDs) after diagnosis of SLE was 1.6 (95% CI 1.0, 2.7). CONCLUSIONS: A history of STDs and use of OCs were associated with abnormal Pap reports in this SLE sample. Immunosuppressive exposure may confer further risk to women with SLE.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Hormonal exposures and breast cancer in a sample of women with systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVES: To determine if breast cancer risk in women with SLE is modified by a history of exposure to hormone replacement therapy (HRT) or oral contraceptives (OC), after adjusting for other risk factors. METHODS: Data were pooled from SLE cohorts at three centres. For each female cohort member (n = 871), the probability of developing breast cancer was estimated from factors (age, parity, age at first live birth, age of menarche, personal history of benign breast disease, family history) in the Gail model, an established tool for predicting breast cancer risk. From these probabilities, the expected number of breast cancers for the cohort was estimated. Actual occurrence of cases was determined by linkage with regional cancer registries. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs; ratio of cancers observed to expected) were calculated, with subgroup analyses according to HRT and OC exposure. RESULTS: In the cohort, 15 breast cancers occurred vs 7.2 predicted [SIR 2.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1, 3.5]. When controlling for Gail model risk factors, estimates were similar for women never exposed to HRT vs those exposed to HRT. Adjusted SIR estimates appeared similar also for women exposed or not exposed to OC. CONCLUSIONS: Although not definitive, the data suggest that the breast cancer experience in this sample is not completely explained by factors such as reproductive and family history, or by exogenous hormonal exposures. Other determinants, including medication exposures or genetic factors (possibly related to oestrogen receptors or metabolism) may be important. Variations in these factors might explain why an elevated risk of breast cancer has not been apparent in all SLE populations.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

The systemic lupus erythematosus Tri-nation Study: absence of a link between health resource use and health outcome.

OBJECTIVE: Health consumption and health status in SLE in three countries with different health funding structures were compared. METHODS: Seven hundred and fifteen SLE patients (Canada 231, USA 269, UK 215) were surveyed semi-annually over 4 yr for health resource utilization and health status. Cross-country comparisons of (i) cumulative health expenditure (calculated by applying 2002 Canadian prices to resources in all countries) and (ii) disease damage (Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology Damage Index, SLICC/ACR DI) at study conclusion were performed after adjustment. Missing expenditure and damage data were managed through multiple imputation using best predictive regressions with all available data from all patients as potential covariates. RESULTS: Four hundred and eighty-five patients provided data at study entry and conclusion and at least four resource questionnaires (Canada 162, USA 157, UK 166); 41 died (Canada 13, USA 18, UK 10); 189 withdrew, were lost to follow-up or provided data at entry and conclusion but fewer than four resource questionnaires (Canada 56, USA 94, UK 39). At conclusion, after imputation, in Canada, the USA and the UK respectively, mean cumulative costs per patient over 4 yr [95% confidence interval (CI)] were $15,845 (13,509, 18,182), $20,244 (17,764, 22,724) and $17,647 (15,557, 19,737) and mean changes in SLICC/ACR DI were 0.49 (0.39, 0.60), 0.63 (0.52, 0.74) and 0.48 (0.39, 0.57). After adjustment for baseline differences, on average (95% CI), Canadian and British patients utilized 20% (8%, 32%) and 13% (1%, 24%) less resources than patients in the USA respectively, but experienced similar health outcomes. CONCLUSION: Despite patients in the USA incurring higher health expenditures, they did not experience superior health outcomes.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Measuring systemic lupus erythematosus activity during pregnancy: validation of the lupus activity index in pregnancy scale.

OBJECTIVE: To validate the Lupus Activity Index in Pregnancy (LAI-P) scale as a diagnostic tool for lupus flares during pregnancy and the puerperium. METHODS: The LAI-P is a modified activity scale specific for pregnancy. Thirty-eight pregnant women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) were prospectively followed in 3 clinics specific for lupus in pregnancy. On each visit, LAI-P was calculated. A modified physician global assessment (m-PGA) scale was used as gold standard (0 = no activity, 1 = mild-moderate activity, 2 = severe activity). A change > or = 0.25 in LAI-P was predefined as a flare according to previous studies in nonpregnant patients. For the purposes of the study, each visit was considered as an independent case. RESULTS: During the study period, 158 visits took place for a total 621 patient-weeks. Sensitivity to change was high (standardized response mean for LAI-P = 1.6). We found a significant association between LAI-P and m-PGA (P < 0.002 in all regression models performed). Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were 0.93, 0.98, 0.88, and 0.99. Positive and negative likelihood ratios were 49 and 0.07, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: LAI-P has a high sensitivity to changes in lupus activity, a significant correlation with m-PGA, and high sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, and likelihood ratios for diagnosing SLE flares during pregnancy and the puerperium.

Adult↗