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Biomedical subjects

C Knight

Publications and source records attributed to C Knight.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Challenges associated with the definition and assessment of inappropriate sexual behaviour amongst individuals with an acquired neurological impairment.

The subject of Inappropriate Sexual Behaviour (ISB) amongst clients with neurological impairment, specifically Acquired Brain Injury (ABI) and dementia, has received limited coverage to date within the literature. This paper discusses some of the problems encountered in the definition and quantification of ISB, in particular the absence of standardized measurement tools to record ISB within an inpatient setting. Whilst ISB is reported to be less prevalent than other behavioural sequelae of brain injury or dementia, it is suggested that its impact on patients and carers can be significant. Ill-defined terminology and the absence of relevant assessment tools add to the specific challenges of understanding and managing ISB within a care or rehabilitation setting. As a result, it is argued that the subjective attitudes of staff and the culture of an institution can dominate the approach taken to dealing with ISB for these client groups.

Aged↗

Impact of the National Service Framework for coronary heart disease on treatment and outcome of patients with acute coronary syndromes.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact the National Service Framework (NSF) for coronary heart disease has had on emergency treatment and outcomes in patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Coronary care units of two district general hospitals. RESULTS: Data from 3371 patients were recorded, 1993 patients in the 27 months before the introduction of the NSF and 1378 patients in the 24 months afterwards. After the introduction of the NSF in-hospital mortality was significantly reduced (95 patients (4.8%) v 43 (3.2%), p = 0.02). This was associated with a reduction in the development of Q wave myocardial infarction (40.6% v 33.3%, p < 0.0001) and in the incidence of left ventricular failure (15.9% v 12.3%, p = 0.003). The proportion of patients receiving thrombolysis increased (69.4% v 84.7%, p < 0.0001) with a decrease in the time taken to receive it (proportion thrombolysed within 20 minutes 12.1% v 26.6%, p < 0.0001). The prescription of beta blockers (51.9% v 65.8%, p < 0.0001), angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (37% v 66.4%, p < 0.0001), and statins (55.2% v 72.7%, p < 0.0001) improved and the proportion of patients referred for invasive investigation increased (18.3% v 27.0%, p < 0.0001). Trend analysis showed that improvements in mortality and thrombolysis were directly associated with publication of the NSF, whereas the improvements seen in prescription of beta blockers and statins were the continuation of pre-existing trends. CONCLUSIONS: In the two years that followed publication of the NSF the initial treatment and outcome of patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes improved. Some of the improvements can be attributed to the NSF but others are continuations of pre-existing trends.

Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗

Long-term outcome of nutritional therapy in paediatric Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Long-term effects of using enteral feed therapy to induce remission in paediatric Crohn's disease are poorly documented. The aim of this study is to examine the short and long-term impact of enteral nutrition as primary therapy for children with newly diagnosed Crohn's disease. METHODS: Since 1994, a data base was set up in Bristol for all children with inflammatory bowel diseases. The data of newly diagnosed patients with Crohn's disease in whom enteral nutrition was used as the primary therapy (44 children) was analysed, with particular reference to time to remission, to first and subsequent relapse, and to first steroid usage. RESULTS: Forty out of 44 patients (90%) responded to enteral nutrition, with a median time to remission of 6 weeks. 25 of these 40 (62%) relapsed, with a median duration of remission of 54.5 weeks (range 4-312). 15 (38%) have not relapsed. 21 of the 44 (47%) have not received steroids. In those who eventually required steroids, their use was postponed for a median 68 weeks (range 6-190). Site of disease activity had no impact on response to enteral nutrition, but there was a trend towards earlier relapse in those with isolated colonic involvement. CONCLUSIONS: This data suggests that there are long-term benefits to the use of enteral nutrition to induce remission in children with Crohn's disease Steroids may be avoided in nearly half the cases and, in others, their use postponed by 68 weeks.

Adolescent↗

Health economics of treating haemophilia A with inhibitors.

Haemophilia is a rare, inherited blood disorder in which blood clotting is impaired such that patients suffer from excessive internal and external bleeding. At present there is no cure for haemophilia A and patients require expensive, life-long treatment involving clotting factor replacement therapy. Treatment costs are perceived to be higher for patients who have developed inhibitory antibodies to factor VIII, the standard therapy for haemophilia A. However, initial cost analyses suggest that clotting factor therapy with alternative haemostatic agents, such as recombinant activated factor VII or activated prothrombin complex concentrate, is no more expensive for the majority of haemophilia A patients with inhibitors than for those without inhibitors. With the availability of effective alternative haemostatic agents, orthopaedic surgery for haemophilia A patients with inhibitors is now a clinical option, and initial cost analyses suggest this may be a cost-effective treatment strategy for patients with inhibitors whose quality of life (QoL) is severely impaired by joint arthropathy. In an era of finite healthcare resourcing it is important to determine whether new treatments justify higher unit costs compared with standard therapies and whether such higher costs are justified from an individual perspective in terms of improved QoL, and from a societal perspective in terms of improved productivity and reduced overall healthcare costs. This paper examines current data on the health economics of treating haemophilia A patients with inhibitors, focusing on the overall costs of clotting factor replacement therapy and the cost consequences of joint replacement.

Blood Coagulation Factor Inhibitors↗

Clinical and cost-effectiveness of electroconvulsive therapy for depressive illness, schizophrenia, catatonia and mania: systematic reviews and economic modelling studies.

OBJECTIVES: To establish the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) for depressive illness, schizophrenia, catatonia and mania. DATA SOURCES: Electronic bibliographic databases. The reference lists of relevant articles and health services research-related resources were consulted via the Internet. REVIEW METHODS: Identified studies were examined to ascertain whether they met the inclusion criteria for the review. The study quality of relevant articles was assessed using standard checklists and data were abstracted using standardised forms into a database. Where relevant, results from studies were pooled for meta-analysis. Two economic models were developed primarily based on evidence from the clinical effectiveness analysis and limited quality of life studies. RESULTS: Two good-quality systematic reviews of randomised evidence of the efficacy and safety of ECT in people with depression, schizophrenia, catatonia and mania were identified. Four systematic reviews on non-randomised evidence were also identified, although only one of these could be described as good quality. There was no randomised evidence of the effectiveness of ECT in specific subgroups including older people, children and adolescents, people with catatonia and women with postpartum exacerbations of depression or schizophrenia. The economic modelling results for depression did not demonstrate that any of the scenarios had a clear economic benefit over the others, mainly because of the uncertainty surrounding the clinical effectiveness of the different treatments and the quality of life utility gains. Sensitivity analysis surrounding the cost of ECT and the quality of life utility values had little effect on the overall results. The results of the model for schizophrenia adapted to include ECT suggest that clozapine is a cost-effective treatment compared with ECT. For patients who fail to respond to clozapine, ECT treatment may be preferred to the comparative treatment of haloperidol/chlorpromazine. CONCLUSIONS: Real ECT is probably more effective than sham ECT, but as stimulus parameters have an important influence on efficacy, low-dose unilateral ECT is no more effective than sham ECT. ECT is probably more effective than pharmacotherapy in the short term and limited evidence suggests that ECT is more effective than repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation. Tricyclic antidepressants (TCAs) may improve the antidepressant effect of ECT during the course of treatment. Continuation pharmacotherapy with TCAs combined with lithium in people who have responded to ECT reduces the rate of relapses. Overall, gains in the efficacy of the intervention depending on the stimulus parameters of ECT are achieved only at the expense of an increased risk of cognitive side-effects. Limited evidence suggests these effects do not last beyond 6 months, but there is no evidence examining the longer term cognitive effects of ECT. There is little evidence of the long-term efficacy of ECT. ECT either combined with antipsychotic medication or as a monotherapy is not more effective than antipsychotic medication in people with schizophrenia. More research is needed to examine the long-term efficacy of ECT and the effectiveness of post-ECT pharmacotherapy, the short-term and longer term cognitive side-effects of ECT, and the impact of ECT on suicide and all-cause mortality. Further work is needed to examine the information needs of people deciding whether to accept ECT and how their decision-making can be facilitated. More research is also needed on the mechanism of action of ECT. Finally, the quality of reporting of trials in this area would be vastly improved by strict adherence to the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials recommendations. Economic analysis may identify areas in which research would be best targeted by identifying parameters where reducing the level of uncertainty would have the most effect in helping to make the decision on whether ECT is a cost-effective treatment.

Adolescent↗

Echocardiography and pulmonary function as screening tests for pulmonary arterial hypertension in systemic sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: A prospective study to evaluate echocardiography and gas transfer (DLCO) by comparison with cardiac catheterization in discriminating between patients with and without systemic sclerosis-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (SScPAH). METHOD: A total of 137 (52 with and 85 without pulmonary fibrosis) had echocardiography and lung function tests within 3 months of their definitive invasive study. RESULTS: At cardiac catheterization 99 of these patients were found to have PAH, while PAH was excluded in 38. Echocardiographically estimated tricuspid gradient (TG) showed a moderate positive correlation (r(2) = 0.44, P<0.005) with both mean pulmonary pressure and invasively determined tricuspid gradient. DLCO showed a weak correlation (r(2 )= 0.09, P = 0.006), when compared with mean pulmonary arterial pressure. In total, 97% of patients with an echocardiographically determined TG of > 45 mmHg were found to have pulmonary hypertension at catheterization. However, no threshold could be defined with either screening test that safely excluded PAH. CONCLUSIONS: The positive predictive accuracy of currently used non-invasive tests are adequate for the diagnosis of advanced PAH provided sufficiently high thresholds (TG > 45 mmHg or DLCO < 55% predicted) are used. These tests cannot be relied upon to exclude pulmonary hypertension where pre-test probability is high.

Aged↗

Day case management of sickle pain: 3 years experience in a UK sickle cell unit.

A day centre was established to determine whether an alternative approach to the management of uncomplicated sickle pain would improve the quality of care and reduce hospital admissions in patients with sickle cell disease. Since the centre opened there has been a 43% decrease in hospital admissions and 49% decrease in occupied bed days. In the third year, 84% of patients treated for severe sickle pain were managed without the need for hospital admission. A centre offering day case management of painful crisis reduced unnecessary hospital admissions for uncomplicated pain. This approach is safe and cost-effective.

Ambulatory Care↗

The effect of diabetes on heart rate and other determinants of myocardial oxygen demand in acute coronary syndromes.

AIMS: To compare major determinants of myocardial oxygen demand (heart rate, blood pressure and rate pressure product) in patients with and without diabetes admitted with acute coronary syndromes. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of the relation between diabetes and haemodynamic indices of myocardial oxygen demand in 2542 patients with acute coronary syndromes, of whom 1041 (41.0%) had acute myocardial infarction and 1501 (59.0%) unstable angina. RESULTS: Of the 2542 patients, 701 (27.6%) had diabetes. Major haemodynamic determinants of myocardial oxygen demand were higher in patients with than without diabetes: heart rate 80.0 +/- 20.4 vs. 75.2 +/- 19.2 beats/minute (P < 0.0001); systolic blood pressure 147.3 +/- 30.3 vs. 143.2 +/- 28.5 mmHg (P = 0.002); rate-pressure product 11533 +/- 4198 vs. 10541 +/- 3689 beats/minute x mmHg (P < 0.0001). Multiple regression analysis confirmed diabetes as a significant determinant of presenting heart rate [multiplicative coefficient (MC) 1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.07; P < 0.0001], rate pressure product (MC 1.09; CI 1.05-1.12; P < 0.0001) and systolic blood pressure, which was estimated to be 3.9 mmHg higher than in patients without diabetes (P=0.003). These effects of diabetes were independent of a range of baseline variables including acute left ventricular failure and mode of presentation (unstable angina or myocardial infarction). CONCLUSIONS: In acute coronary syndromes, heart rate and other determinants of myocardial oxygen demand are higher in patients with than without diabetes, providing a potential contributory mechanism of exaggerated regional ischaemia in this high-risk group.

Acute Disease↗

British Cardiac Society Working Group on the definition of myocardial infarction.

The British Cardiac Society commissioned this report to help address inconsistencies in the terminology for acute coronary syndromes and wide variations in the threshold for the diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI) depending on the assay performed, the precision, and the sensitivity. In addition, several publications have highlighted potential problems with the application of the European Society of Cardiology(ESC)/American College of Cardiology (ACC) consensus document published in 2000. A revision process has been initiated under the guidance of the ESC, the ACC, and the American Heart Association (AHA). The purpose of this report is to help inform the next revision of the ESC/ACC/AHA guidelines for the diagnosis of MI.

Acute Disease↗

British Cardiac Society Working Group on the definition of myocardial infarction.

The British Cardiac Society commissioned this report to help address inconsistencies in the terminology for acute coronary syndromes and wide variations in the threshold for the diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI) depending on the assay performed, the precision, and the sensitivity. In addition, several publications have highlighted potential problems with the application of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC)/ American College of Cardiology (ACC) consensus document published in 2000. A revision process has been initiated under the guidance of the ESC, the ACC, and the American Heart Association (AHA). The purpose of this report is to help inform the next revision of the ESC/ACC/AHA guidelines for the diagnosis of MI.

Cardiology↗

Rituximab (MabThera) for aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: systematic review and economic evaluation.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the clinical and cost-effectiveness of adding rituximab to the CHOP (cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, prednisolone) chemotherapy regime for adult patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). DATA SOURCES: Electronic bibliographic database. REVIEW METHODS: Comparative studies were selected for review if they addressed the clinical or cost-effectiveness of adding rituximab to CHOP in people aged at least 18 years with DLBCL. The internal validity of the study was assessed through the use of the validated Jadad scoring system. Data were abstracted into standardised data extraction forms. Costs were estimated through resource use data taken from the published trial and the unpublished sponsor submission. Unit costs were taken from published sources, where available. An economic evaluation was undertaken to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of R-CHOP compared with CHOP alone for patients with DLBCL using data sources and methodology similar to the manufacturer's submission. RESULTS: In the systematic review of effectiveness, one randomised controlled trial was identified. The study was, in most respects, methodologically rigorous and well conducted and the statistical evidence favoured the addition of rituximab to CHOP. The total cost of rituximab with CHOP (R-CHOP) and CHOP alone estimated from the model developed by ScHARR was 14,456 pounds and 5773 pounds, respectively, for patients aged 60 years and over, and 15,181 pounds and 7311 pounds for patients aged less than 60 years over a 15-year time horizon. The ScHARR model estimated that the addition of rituximab to CHOP generated an additional 0.82 QALY at an extra cost of 8683 pounds compared with CHOP alone therapy over a 15-year time horizon, a cost/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) ratio of 10,596 pounds for patients aged 60 years or more. For patients aged under 60 years, 1.05 QALY were generated at an additional cost of 7870 pounds, a cost/QALY ratio of 7533 pounds. Assuming that the societal value of a QALY was 30,000 pounds then R-CHOP is cost-effective compared with CHOP in the treatment of DLBCL. CONCLUSIONS: In the short term, the addition of rituximab to the CHOP regimen increased the likelihood of a complete-response by 20% without a significant rise in the risk of a serious adverse event in people aged 60 years or older. Over a 2-year follow-up period, the intervention reduced the risk of death, progression or relapse by 45% and reduced the risk of death by 47% in this population. There is no direct evidence for the clinical effectiveness of adding rituximab to CHOP in the treatment of DLBCL in those aged 18-59 years, although data from phase I and II trials confirm its safety and efficacy in a preclinical setting. The cost-effectiveness modelling presented here has shown that rituximab in combination with CHOP chemotherapy regimen is likely to be considered a cost-effective treatment for DLBCL when compared with the current standard treatment, CHOP chemotherapy only. Analysis of quality of life (QoL) in the area of NHL is limited and only one cost-utility analysis for the treatment of CHOP in NHL was identified. Both the SCHARR and the manufacturer's models utilised QoL utility scores from an unpublished data source. Further research within this area would help to improve the robustness of QoL utility analysis within DLBCL and also NHL as a whole. Further clinical trials might also establish whether R-CHOP may replace peripheral blood stem cell transplant in high-risk patients and whether the doses of chemotherapy in the elderly may be reduced if rituximab is added to less intensive regimens.

Adult↗

The management of inhibitors in haemophilia A: introduction and systematic review of current practice.

Haemophilia is the commonest bleeding disorder in the UK, affecting approximately 5400 people, almost all of them male. In haemophiliacs, reduced levels, or absence, of factor VIII (FVIII) cause bleeding episodes, typically into joint spaces or muscles. Haemophilia is generally treated with exogenous FVIII. However, in some haemophiliacs, therapeutically administered FVIII comes to be recognized as a foreign protein, stimulating the production of antibodies (inhibitors), which react with FVIII to render it ineffective. Alternative treatment strategies then have to be used to manage bleeding episodes. In addition, strategies have been developed to attempt to abolish inhibitor production through the induction of immune tolerance. A systematic review was undertaken of current international practice for the clinical management of haemophilia A patients with inhibitors to FVIII, concentrating on literature published from 1995 onwards. Although it can be difficult to determine what constitutes current practice, current guidelines indicate that immune tolerance induction is seen as desirable, with the choice of regimen dependent on patient characteristics, familiarity with regimens and cost. Various approaches, based on similar factors, are used to control bleeding episodes.

Autoantibodies↗

Immune tolerance induction in patients with haemophilia A with inhibitors: a systematic review.

In some patients with haemophilia A, therapeutically administered factor VIII (FVIII) comes to stimulate the production of antibodies (inhibitors) which react with FVIII to render it ineffective. As a result, FVIII cannot be used prophylactically and patients become liable to recurrent bleeds. There are two elements to the management of patients with inhibitors: the treatment of bleeding episodes, and attempts to abolish inhibitor production through the induction of immune tolerance. This paper reports a systematic review of the best available evidence of clinical effectiveness in relation to immune tolerance induction (ITI) in patients with haemophilia A with inhibitors. Owing to the lack of randomized controlled trials on this topic, broad inclusion criteria with regard to study design were applied in order to assess the best available evidence for each intervention. As a result of the clinical and methodological heterogeneity of the evidence, it was not appropriate to pool data across studies; instead, data were synthesized using tabulation and qualitative narrative assessment. The International Registry provides the most reliable estimate of the proportion of successful cases of ITI [48.7%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 42.6-52.7%]. The duration of effect is unclear, but relapses appear to be infrequent. The International Registry shows a rate of relapse of 15% at 15 years. The comparative effectiveness of different protocols is uncertain, as no trials have been undertaken which compare them directly. However, the evidence suggests that the Bonn protocol may be more effective than the Malmö or low-dose protocols. There is no good evidence that immunosuppressive drug regimens are effective.

Autoantibodies↗

Control of bleeding in patients with haemophilia A with inhibitors: a systematic review.

This paper reports a systematic review of the best available evidence of clinical effectiveness in the treatment of acute bleeding in haemophilia A patients with inhibitors. Because of the lack of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on this topic, broad inclusion criteria with regard to study design were applied in order to assess the best available evidence for each intervention. Because of the clinical and methodological heterogeneity of the evidence, it was not appropriate to pool data across studies; instead, data were synthesized using tabulation and qualitative narrative assessment. No evidence was found to support the use of high-dose factor VIII (FVIII) in bleeding episodes. However in surgery it was found to be highly successful (100%) for low-titre, low-responding inhibitors although not reliable for high-responding inhibitors. Porcine FVIII (pFVIII) was effective in the control of severe bleeding episodes with high-titre or high-responding inhibitors (100%) and in 60-90% of surgical procedures. Activated prothrombin complex concentrates (APCCs) appear to be more effective than prothrombin complex concentrates (PCCs) in the control of mild to severe bleeding episodes. There was no good evidence for the use of PCCs in surgery. APCCs controlled bleeding in approximately 90% of surgical episodes. Recombinant factor VIIa (rFVIIa) controlled 70-100% of mild to severe bleeding episodes with high-responding inhibitors, and achieved better results when used early. It was effective in 60-100% of surgical episodes. Doses varied from study to study, and side-effects from mild to infrequent but serious adverse events were reported. The quality of the evidence is variable. Limited evidence relating to other treatment options is also included in the review.

Acute Disease↗

Economic modelling of different treatment strategies for haemophilia A with high-responding inhibitors.

This paper reports a systematic review of the cost-effectiveness of treatment options in patients with haemophilia A with inhibitors. As very little relevant published evidence was identified, an economic modelling exercise was undertaken to calculate the cost-effectiveness of different strategies in the treatment of high-responding haemophilia A patients with inhibitors. A decision analysis approach was used to model the expected lifetime clinical outcomes and costs of the more common regimens currently used in UK in treating severe haemophiliacs with inhibitors. The model attempts to reflect the outcomes of clinical events, costs and life expectancy for each different treatment regimen for haemophilic boys with inhibitors who are high responders (defined as inhibitor level >/=10 BU) throughout their life. The basic model structure is centred on a Markov decision process, which was used to simulate, at quarter-yearly intervals, the movement through discrete health states and their complications. The model allows a comparison of cost-effectiveness between three immune tolerance induction (ITI) regimens (Bonn, Mälmo and Low-Dose protocols) and against a relevant 'on-demand' (OD) regimen. It also shows the cost-effectiveness of different OD regimens using different bypassing agents. The results of the economic modelling indicate that treating haemophilia A patients who have high-responding inhibitors OD with recombinant activated factor VII is cost-effective compared to treatment with activated prothrombin complex concentrates. However, when OD treatment regimens are compared with the three ITI protocols, the Malmö ITI protocol is the preferred treatment strategy, generating more quality adjusted life-years (QALYs) and less cost than either an OD regimen or the Bonn or Low-Dose ITI protocols.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗

Prevalence and outcome in systemic sclerosis associated pulmonary arterial hypertension: application of a registry approach.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence of systemic sclerosis associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (SScPAH), evaluate outcome, and identify predictors of mortality in a large patient cohort. METHODS: A prospective four year follow up study of 794 patients (722 from our own unit and 72 referrals). All patients screened for PAH using a combination of echocardiography, lung function testing, and clinical assessment. Patients with suspected raised pulmonary artery systolic pressures of >35 mm Hg, carbon monoxide transfer factor (TLCO) <50% predicted, or a precipitous fall in TLCO >20% over a one year period with no pulmonary fibrosis, and patients with SSc with breathlessness with no pulmonary fibrosis found were investigated with right heart catheterisation. All patients with SScPAH were treated in accordance with current best practice. RESULTS: The prevalence of PAH was 12% (89/722) by right heart catheter. The survival was 81%, 63%, and 56% at 1, 2, and 3 years from the diagnosis (in 89 patients from our own cohort and 59/72 referrals). Haemodynamic indices of right ventricular failure--raised mRAP (hazard ratio 21), raised mPAP (hazard ratio 20), and low CI (hazard ratio 11) predicted an adverse outcome There was no significant difference in survival between patients with SScPAH with (n=40) and without (n=108) pulmonary fibrosis (p=0.3). CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of SScPAH in this cohort was similar to that of other catheter based studies and lower than that of previous echo based studies. The 148 patients with SScPAH actively treated had comparable outcomes to those of the cohorts with primary pulmonary hypertension. A high mRAP was the strongest haemodynamic predictor of mortality. To improve prognosis, future treatments need to be implemented at an earlier disease stage to prevent right ventricular decompensation.

Aged↗

Predictors of end stage lung disease in a cohort of patients with scleroderma.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the incidence of severe lung disease in patients with scleroderma and identify the combination(s) of features present at first assessment which would be useful to predict future risk of severe lung disease. METHODS: Data were analysed on 561 patients with disease onset occurring on or after 1 January 1982 and disease duration of less than five years before the first assessment. Detailed clinical and laboratory assessments were undertaken at the initial visit. End stage lung disease was defined as pulmonary hypertension requiring continuous ambulatory iloprost, or pulmonary fibrosis requiring continuous oxygen, or death from a scleroderma related lung disease. Patient status was determined at 31 December 1997. The best subset of predictors was identified by Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: In all, 24 patients reached end stage lung disease. The cumulative incidences were 4%, 6%, and 12% at five, seven, and 14 years respectively. As expected, the lung function tests at baseline, including being in the lowest third of either diffusing lung capacity (hazard ratio (HR) = 18.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.5 to 93.8) or of forced vital capacity (HR=4.1, 95% CI 1.1 to 15.2), were highly significant predictors of end stage lung disease. Interestingly, apart from the presence of proteinuria, none of the other baseline variables, including the extent of skin disease and serological markers, were predictive of severe lung disease. CONCLUSION: End stage lung disease was infrequent in this large cohort, but the cumulative incidence increased importantly with time. The risk can be predicted from baseline assessment of pulmonary function. In particular, those with normal pulmonary function at baseline are at very low risk.

Adolescent↗

Effect of diabetes on serum potassium concentrations in acute coronary syndromes.

OBJECTIVES: To compare serum potassium concentrations in diabetic and non-diabetic patients in the early phase of acute coronary syndromes. BACKGROUND: Acute phase hypokalaemia occurs in response to adrenergic activation, which stimulates membrane bound sodium-potassium-ATPase and drives potassium into the cells. It is not known whether the hypokalaemia is attenuated in patients with diabetes because of the high prevalence of sympathetic nerve dysfunction. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of 2428 patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes. Patients were stratified by duration of chest pain, diabetic status, and pretreatment with beta blockers. RESULTS: The mean (SD) serum potassium concentration was significantly higher in diabetic than in non-diabetic patients (4.3 (0.5) v 4.1 (0.5) mmol/l, p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis identified diabetes as an independent predictor of a serum potassium concentration in the upper half of the distribution (odds ratio 1.66, 95% confidence interval 1.38 to 2.00). In patients presenting within 6 hours of symptom onset, there was a progressive increase in plasma potassium concentrations from 4.08 (0.46) mmol/l in patients presenting within 2 hours, to 4.20 (0.47) mmol/l in patients presenting between 2-4 hours, to 4.24 (0.52) mmol/l in patients presenting between 4-6 hours (p = 0.0007). This pattern of increasing serum potassium concentration with duration of chest pain was attenuated in patients with diabetes, particularly those with unstable angina. Similar attenuation occurred in patients pretreated with beta blockers. CONCLUSION: In acute coronary syndromes, patients with diabetes have significantly higher serum potassium concentrations and do not exhibit the early dip seen in non-diabetics. This may reflect sympathetic nerve dysfunction that commonly complicates diabetes.

Acute Disease↗