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Biomedical subjects

C P Archibald

Publications and source records attributed to C P Archibald.

16 recordsLinked to original sources

Estimating the size of hard-to-reach populations: a novel method using HIV testing data compared to other methods.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate population size of hard-to-reach groups such as injecting drug users and men who have sex with men. DESIGN: Several different methods were used to estimate the size of these populations in Canada's three largest cities (Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver). METHODS: A novel method (referred to as the indirect method) was developed for use in Toronto and Vancouver that combines HIV serodiagnostic information with data on HIV testing behavior. Population size estimates were obtained by dividing the number of injecting drug users or men who have sex with men recorded in HIV serodiagnostic databases in a given year by the proportion of the corresponding group that reported being tested in a 1-year period. Results of this method were compared with four other methods: (1) population surveys; (2) capture-recapture (for injecting drug users only); (3) a modified Delphi technique; and (4) a method based on the proportion of never-married men aged 45 and over (for men who have sex with men only). Only these other methods were used in Montreal. RESULTS: The survey method gave the lowest estimates which are best viewed as minimum estimates given the relative inability of surveys to access these populations and the reluctance of participants to admit to sensitive behaviors. The indirect method produced results more closely comparable with those obtained by other methods, but they are probably slight overestimates, at least for injecting drug users, due to possible underestimation of the proportion tested for HIV. Point estimates using the indirect method were 17,700 and 17,500 for injecting drug users in Toronto and Vancouver, respectively, and 39,100 and 15,900 for men who have sex with men. In Toronto, results for the other methods ranged from 12,300-13,360 for injecting drug users and 18,800-35,000 for men who have sex with men. For Vancouver, these ranges were 6400-11,670 and 7000-26,500, respectively. In Montreal, ranges were 4300-12,500 for injecting drug users and 18,500-40,000 for men who have sex with men. CONCLUSIONS: This novel method provides estimates of population size of hard-to-reach groups such as injecting drug users and men who have sex with men that are comparable with results derived by other methods. These estimates may be useful for the purposes of planning, implementing and evaluating prevention and care services, especially when they are combined with the results of other estimation methods to improve the degree of confidence in the resulting estimates.

AIDS Serodiagnosis↗

Factors associated with frequent needle exchange program attendance in injection drug users in Vancouver, Canada.

The objective of this study was to identify factors associated with frequent needle exchange program (NEP) attendance by injection drug users (IDUs) in Vancouver, Canada. Data were examined from a case control study of recent HIV infection. IDUs with documented HIV seroconversion after January 1, 1994 (n = 89) and seronegative controls with two documented HIV-negative test results in the same period (n = 192) were asked about demographic and social information, drug injection and sexual behavior, and NEP attendance. Logistic regression was used to examine the effect of multiple variables on NEP attendance while adjusting for HIV status and other potential confounders. Frequent (> 1 time/week) versus nonfrequent (< or = 1 time/week) NEP attenders did not differ with respect to gender, age, ethnicity, education, or HIV serostatus. For men, multivariate analysis showed that frequent cocaine injection was the only variable independently associated with NEP attendance (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 3.9; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.8-8.3); for women, independently associated variables were frequency of any drug injection (AOR = 5.5; 95% CI = 1.7-17), shooting gallery attendance (AOR = 11.5; 95% CI = 2.2-66), and having a nonlegal source of income (AOR = 3.4; 95% CI = 1.0-12). Borrowing used needles was associated with frequent NEP attendance in the univariate analysis. The NEP in Vancouver attracts IDUs who are frequent injectors (especially men using cocaine) and who have high-risk behaviors or an unstable lifestyle. This finding reinforces the role of NEPs as potential focal points for intervention in this hard-to-reach population.

Adult↗

A qualitative investigation into an HIV outbreak among injection drug users in Vancouver, British Columbia.

The proportion of injection drug users (IDUs) testing positive for Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) in British Columbia has increased from 3 to 7% since January 1993 (Patrick et al., 1997). We conducted a qualitative study as a first step in a case control investigation aimed at identifying risk factors associated with HIV seroconversion. Sixteen subjects participated in in-depth interviews which were transcribed and analysed using grounded theory methods. Three dominant themes emerged: Addiction, Prevention, and Social Determinants. The results suggest that prevention efforts such as the availability of clean needles and condoms are not adequate to combat the complex social determinants of addiction--be they causal or consequential--which in turn contribute to unsafe injection practices.

Adult↗

Factors associated with HIV testing among Canadians: results of a population-based survey.

The purpose of this study was to examine the HIV-testing behaviour of Canadians aged 15 years and older. Questions on HIV testing were asked as part of a Canada-wide random digit dialling telephone survey conducted in December 1995 to January 1996 on health practices and attitudes toward health care in Canada (n=3123). Including blood donation and insurance testing, 40.4% of men and 30.4% of women had been tested for HIV. Excluding blood donation and life-insurance testing (voluntary testing), 17.8% of men and 15.6% of women had been tested. In multivariate analyses, factors independently associated with voluntary testing among men were: having had sex with a man (OR=16.8), injection drug use (OR=5.8), having had a partner at high risk (OR=2.5), having received blood or clotting factor (OR=2.3), being younger than 45 years of age (OR=1.8), living in a city of over one million (OR=1.7), and making less than $30,000 a year (OR=1.6). For women, factors independently associated with voluntary testing were having received blood or clotting factor (OR=3.9), having had a high-risk partner (OR= 3.5), being younger than 45 years of age (OR=2.4), having had sex with a man (OR=2.3), and being unattached (OR=2.0). Results indicated that those at risk are more likely to be tested. It is of concern, however, that many of those reporting risk factors have not been tested. A better understanding of HIV testing behaviour is needed to improve the planning and evaluation of prevention and counselling services.

Adolescent↗

Determinants of HIV seroconversion in injection drug users during a period of rising prevalence in Vancouver.

To identify determinants of HIV seroconversion among injection drug users (IDUs) during a period of rising prevalence, a case-control investigation was conducted. Cases were IDUs with a new positive test after 1 January 1994, and a negative test within the prior 18 months. Controls required 2 negative tests during the same period. Subjects completed a questionnaire on demographic, psychosocial, and behavioural factors. Eighty-nine cases and 192 controls were similar with respect to gender, age, ethnicity and inter-test interval. Multivariate analyses of events during the inter-test interval showed borrowing syringes (adj. OR = 2.96; P < 0.006), unstable housing (adj. OR = 2.01; P = 0.03) and injecting > or = 4 times daily (adj. OR = 1.71; P = 0.06) to be independently associated with seroconversion. Protective associations were demonstrated for sex with opposite gender (adj. OR = 0.36; P = 0.001) and tetrahydrocannabinol use (adj. OR = 0.41; P = 0.001). There is a need to evaluate programmes dealing with addiction, housing and the social underpinnings of risk behaviours in this population.

Adult↗

Social determinants predict needle-sharing behaviour among injection drug users in Vancouver, Canada.

Despite the fact that needle exchange was introduced in Vancouver as early as 1988, needle sharing remains common. An analysis was conducted to identify determinants of borrowing used needles among subjects participating in a case-control study. IDUs had a documented HIV seroconversion after 1 January, 1994 (n = 89), or repeatedly tested HIV-seronegative after this date (n = 192). Interviewer-administered questionnaires focused on drug use, sexual behaviours, source of needles and depression. Subjects were asked if they had "ever been forced to have sex" as a child, youth or adult. Logistic regression identified determinants of borrowing needles. After controlling for HIV serostatus, factors independently associated with borrowing were injecting > 4 times/day, polydrug use, and ever experiencing non-consensual sex (AOR = 3.4, 95% CI: 1.8, 6.5). Depression was associated with borrowing, although not independently so. Homosexual activity was independently associated with borrowing among males, whereas living with a sexual partner was an independent predictor for females. Access or barriers to clean needle use were not associated with borrowing. Social determinants, particularly a history of sexual abuse, are among the most significant predictors of needle borrowing among Vancouver's IDUs. Early identification of these factors should be a component of HIV prevention programmes.

Adult↗

Smoking-associated mortality in a cohort of Singaporeans observed for 20 years.

Smoking is well established as a main cause of preventable mortality throughout the world, but little data are available on Asian populations and none on Singapore. This study is the first to provide data specific to Singapore on the increased mortality among smokers, and is one of the few such studies on Asians. In 1974, smoking history data were taken from a random sample of 3579 adults living in Singapore. Of these, 3361 (1522 men and 1839 women) were eligible for follow-up and vital status was determined as at 31 December 1993. Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the relative risks of variety of causes of death for smokers compared to non-smokers, adjusted for age and ethnicity. Smoking was categorized as ever or never and also as none, light or heavy. As at 31 December 1993, 330 (21.7%) of the men and 249 (13.5%) of the women had died. Relative risk values were clearly elevated for male and female smokers for all-cause mortality (1.42 and 1.52, respectively), lung cancer (13.2, 6.37) and death due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (4.71, 8.50). Relative risk values for death from cancer of the larynx or oesophagus, ischaemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease were elevated but not significantly different from 1.0. A trend of increasing risk with increasing smoking intensity was seen for all-cause mortality among men and for lung cancer and COPD mortality, among both sexes. Ethnicity was associated with ischaemic heart disease mortality among men, with elevated risks in both the Indians (2.55) and the Malays (1.66) relative to the Chinese. These results should serve to strengthen the anti-smoking campaigns in Singapore.

Adult↗

Sample size estimation for clinicians.

The purpose of this paper is to describe the importance of an adequate sample size in clinical research and to enable clinicians to estimate their own sample size requirements for the more common types of studies (comparison of two means or two proportions). Four pieces of information are required to determine sample size: the desired level of statistical power, the level of statistical significance, the variability of the data, and the smallest difference between the study groups that is considered to be of clinical significance. Worked examples from the literature are used to illustrate how clinicians may easily do their own sample size calculations using published tables or available computer software, or both. The consideration of sample size and power during the planning stages of clinical research is crucial to the subsequent interpretation of study results, especially if the study is negative, and yet this point is often neglected in the medical literature. Attention to these simple guidelines will help ensure that research results lead to valid conclusions.

Biometry↗

Evidence for a sexually transmitted cofactor for AIDS-related Kaposi's sarcoma in a cohort of homosexual men.

We examined factors associated with the subsequent development of AIDS-related Kaposi's sarcoma in a cohort of 353 homosexual men infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Cumulative incidence curves for the development of Kaposi's sarcoma and opportunistic infection were stratified over a wide range of variables at enrollment, including those related to demographics, sexual behavior, illicit drug use, and medical history. We found no strong associations between any of these variables and the development of opportunistic infection, but two were related to Kaposi's sarcoma: use of nitrite inhalants (relative risk, 2.3; 95% confidence interval, 1.0-5.0) and high numbers of sexual contacts during the period 1978-1982 in the AIDS epidemic centers of San Francisco, Los Angeles, and/or New York (relative risk, 3.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.6-7.6). The latter variables remained independently associated with risk of Kaposi's sarcoma even after multivariate adjustment for a number of classical HIV risk factors. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that Kaposi's sarcoma is caused by a sexually transmitted cofactor that has remained more prevalent in the original epidemic centers. The effect of nitrites could be due to an independent biological mechanism or to enhancement of transmission of the cofactor.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Geographic and birth cohort associations of Kaposi's sarcoma among homosexual men in Canada.

The authors conducted an analysis of all 677 cases of Kaposi's sarcoma among the 3,047 cases of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome diagnosed in homosexual/bisexual men in Canada between 1980 and 1989. The proportion with Kaposi's sarcoma declined from 32.2% during 1980-1985 to 15.0% in 1989. The proportion with Kaposi's sarcoma was significantly higher in primary epidemic centers (Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal) and in men in the 1945-1954 birth cohort independent of year of diagnosis. These data are consistent with an environmental cofactor for Kaposi's sarcoma which is likely to be a sexually transmitted agent.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Antibodies to Plasmodium falciparum in an indigenous population from a malaria endemic area of Malaysia.

Indirect fluorescent antibody (IFA) tests and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA) were used to measure antibodies to Plasmodium falciparum in an indigenous population in an area of Malaysia with high malaria prevalence. The results of three surveys were analyzed to examine the relation of these serologic measures with age, parasite rate, and spleen size. For children 0-4 years old, increasing spleen size was associated with an increasing likelihood of malaria parasitemia, while for 5-9 year olds the two variables were unrelated. Parasite rate declined with age and ELISA titre increased with age in all surveys; IFA titre was consistently high and did not vary with age. Neither antibody measure was significantly correlated with either the presence or the actual density of parasitemia. These antibody measures are most useful as adjuncts to the more traditional techniques of malaria assessment.

Adolescent↗

Risk factors for Kaposi's sarcoma in the Vancouver Lymphadenopathy-AIDS Study.

In our ongoing cohort study of homosexual men, the ratio of new Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) cases to new opportunistic infections (OI) during the periods 1982-1985, 1986-1987, and 1988-1989 fell from 0.75 (9 KS: 12 OI) to 0.57 (12 KS:21 OI) to 0.27 (4 KS:15 OI), respectively. To examine factors associated with the development of KS as compared to OI, we compared antecedent risk factors in 25 KS cases and 48 OI "controls." In univariate analyses, several classical HIV risk factors including numbers of sexual partners and receptive anal intercourse were higher in the KS than the OI group. The strongest associations were found with an elevated number of sex partners in high-risk areas (San Francisco, Los Angeles, and New York) in the 5 years prior to enrollment and with elevated use of nitrite inhalants. Logistic regression revealed the latter two variables and an elevated number of partners contacted in washrooms/parks to be significant, independent risk factors for KS relative to OI. Any or all of these variables could be related with early HIV infection. However, the association with early sexual contact in high-risk areas raises the more intriguing possibility that this variable is an indicator of an increased exposure either to a particular strain of HIV that is more pathogenic for KS, or, more likely, to a sexually transmitted KS cofactor that may have been more highly concentrated in these areas at this early point in the epidemic. The present study supports an independent association with use of nitrite inhalants, which could be hypothesized either to have an independent biologic effect on KS or to enhance the efficiency of transmission of the cofactor virus.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗

Evaluation of a safe-sex intervention programme among sex workers in Singapore.

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effects of a brief intervention programme on STD knowledge, condom use and gonorrhoea incidence among sex workers in Singapore. A controlled before-and-after study design with non-random assignment of sex workers was used, supplemented by multivariate analysis to adjust for baseline differences. Control (n = 221, denoted C1) and experimental (n = 221, denoted E1) groups were interviewed on 2 occasions 3 months apart. Two supplementary groups were interviewed once each at the end of the 3-month period (n = 145 who had received the intervention and n = 151 who had not). Basic knowledge of STD symptoms and HIV transmission was high in all groups. There were misconceptions about casual transmission of HIV which improved dramatically at the second interview for group E1 (from 37-56% correct responses to 82-90%). Overall condom use was high (about 75%) and did not change after the intervention. Gonorrhoea rates were correspondingly low (0.4 episodes/worker/year) and also did not change. This brief intervention improved the STD knowledge of sex workers. However, behaviour as measured by reported condom use and gonorrhoea incidence did not change. Implications for future intervention programmes are discussed.

Adult↗

Public health response to an identified environmental toxin: managing risks to the James Bay Cree related to cadmium in caribou and moose.

At the request of Cree political and health authorities and using indirect measures of exposure, we estimated the risk to the James Bay Cree of renal impairment related to the long-term consumption of the liver and kidney of moose and caribou contaminated by environmental cadmium. The low risk of disease was weighed against the possible detriment from activities to convince the Crees to avoid a traditional albeit occasional component of their subsistence diet. Our approach to the assessment and management of this specific environmental hazard is of general interest.

Animals↗