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Biomedical subjects

Carl J E Suster

Publications and source records attributed to Carl J E Suster.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Characterisation of Bordetella pertussis virulence and macrolide resistance in Australia by targeted culture-independent sequencing: a genomic epidemiology study.

BACKGROUND: Bordetella pertussis continues to circulate globally despite widespread vaccination, with a notable epidemic in 2024. Its resurgence is confounded by the emergence of pertactin-deficient, macrolide-resistant B pertussis strains in Asia and Europe, which are under-recognised by conventional diagnostics. We aimed to apply targeted culture-independent next-generation sequencing (tNGS) of respiratory specimens to improve global B pertussis diagnostic capability and genomic surveillance. METHODS: We did a nationwide genomic epidemiology study of B pertussis RT-PCR-positive respiratory specimens that were retrospectively and prospectively collected by diagnostic and public health laboratories in six of seven states and territories of Australia. Specimens underwent tNGS and macrolide-resistant B pertussis-specific PCR, and an opportunistic subset from New South Wales and Queensland were cultured for confirmatory susceptibility testing and whole-genome sequencing. Sequencing data were analysed for genome recovery, virulence profiles, and macrolide resistance mutations, and were compared with international macrolide-resistant B pertussis genomes and ancestral Australian genomes. The performance of the tNGS approach was assessed with logistic regression relative to RT-PCR cycle threshold values, and sensitivity and specificity values were calculated. FINDINGS: 255 respiratory specimens positive for B pertussis were included in the study. 64 (25%) were retrospectively collected between Jan 12, 2012, and Dec 31, 2023, and 191 (75%) were prospectively collected between Jan 1 and Oct 28, 2024. Of these 255 specimens, 148 (58%) yielded near-complete B pertussis genomes through tNGS. Seven co-circulating lineages of B pertussis were documented, including two associated with macrolide-resistance. Eight epidemiologically unrelated and geographically dispersed cases of macrolide-resistant B pertussis with a 23S rRNA 2037A→G mutation were identified by tNGS and confirmed by whole-genome sequencing. Three of these were further validated by phenotypic testing. The estimated prevalence of macrolide resistance among Australian cases positive for B pertussis was 4% (eight of 188). INTERPRETATION: tNGS can recover near-complete B pertussis genomes directly from clinical specimens, enabling identification of macrolide resistance mutations and high-resolution phylogenetic analysis. These findings show that tNGS complements PCR-based surveillance by providing genome-wide assessment of resistance, virulence, and genomic diversity in a single workflow. FUNDING: NSW Health Prevention Research Support Program.

Macrolides

Multi-scale phylodynamic modelling of rapid punctuated pathogen evolution.

Computational multi-scale pandemic modelling remains a major and timely challenge. Here we identify specific requirements for a new class of models simulating pandemics across three scales: (1) pathogen evolution, often punctuated by the rapid emergence of new variants, (2) human interactions within a heterogeneous population, and (3) public health responses which constrain individual actions to control the disease transmission. We then present a pandemic modelling framework satisfying these requirements and capable of simulating feedback loops between dynamics unfolding at these different scales. The developed framework comprises a stochastic agent-based model of pandemic spread, coupled with a phylodynamic model that incorporates within-host pathogen evolution. It is validated with a case study, modelling the punctuated evolution of SARS-CoV-2, based on global and contemporary genomic surveillance data, which captures a large heterogeneous population. We demonstrate that the model replicates the essential features of the COVID-19 pandemic and virus evolution, while retaining computational tractability and scalability.

SARS-CoV-2