Predictive value of soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 for risk of ischemic events in individuals with cerebrovascular disease.
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cellular adhesion molecules may play a critical role in the inflammatory process leading to atherosclerosis. The purpose of this study was to determine whether soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1) is a predictor of future ischemic events in high-risk individuals and also whether it is associated with carotid artery stenosis. METHODS: We conducted a prospective study of sICAM-1 concentration in 3 groups: (1) subjects with recent (< 7 days) ischemic stroke or TIA, (2) asymptomatic subjects with carotid stenosis > or = 50% and (3) asymptomatic individuals with vascular risk factors. Subjects were followed for a minimum of 3 years. sICAM-1 levels were compared between the groups and correlated with the risk of ischemic events and the degree of carotid artery stenosis. RESULTS: We studied 275 subjects. Mean sICAM-1 levels were significantly higher in those with recent ischemic stroke or TIA compared to those with risk factors alone. During follow-up, ischemic events occurred almost nine times more frequently in subjects in group 1 compared to group 3. sICAM-1 concentration was not predictive of future ischemic events (OR 1.001, 95% CI 0.998-1.004). There was no significant association between sICAM-1 concentration and carotid artery stenosis (OR 1.001, 95% CI 0.999-1.004). CONCLUSIONS: Mean sICAM-1 levels were higher in subjects with recent cerebral ischemia. No association between sICAM-1 and carotid artery stenosis was observed. Neither baseline nor subsequent sICAM-1 levels were predictive of the risk of future ischemic events.