Post-procedure heparin: boon or burden?
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to D F Kong.
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To determine the association of qualitative and quantitative measurements of the myocardial infarct-related coronary narrowing with subsequent recurrent ischemia/reocclusion after successful thrombolysis, 47 patients treated with high-dose (150 mg) tissue plasminogen activator over 6 to 8 hours were studied in the setting of acute myocardial infarction. No patient underwent emergent coronary angioplasty. All patients had Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) grade 2 flow or higher at the baseline (90-minute) angiogram; 31 patients had a protocol 24-hour catheterization as well. Eighteen patients had recurrent ischemia/reocclusion whereas 29 had an uneventful hospital course. There was no significant difference in baseline clinical characteristics between the 2 groups. Twenty-five (86%) of those with an uneventful course had TIMI grade 3 flow at baseline angiogram compared with 56% of patients with recurrent events. No significant difference in angiographic morphologic characteristics was found between the 2 groups at baseline catheterization. At 24 hours, however, none of the patients who subsequently had recurrent events had a concentric narrowing, while 13 (58%) of them had a complex morphology. In contrast, quantitative parameters of minimal lumen diameter, percent area stenosis and percent diameter stenosis at baseline and 24 hours were not significantly different between those who did and did not have recurrent ischemia/reocclusion. These findings suggest that the degree and quality of coronary flow at baseline catheterization are more important determinants of sustained patency and event-free hospitalization than are quantitative dimensions or coronary morphology. In addition, narrowings that fail to become concentric within the first 24 hours are more likely to be associated with subsequent ischemia or reocclusion during the early periinfarct period.
To study the accuracy with which long-term prognosis can be predicted in patients with coronary artery disease, prognostic predictions obtained from a large, diverse sample of practicing cardiologists were compared with predictions from a multivariable statistical model. Test samples of 10 patients each were selected from a large series of medically treated patients with significant coronary disease. Using detailed clinical summaries, 49 cardiologists each predicted the probability of 3-year survival and infarction-free survival for 10 patients. Cox regression models, developed using patients who were not in the test samples, were also used to predict corresponding outcome probabilities for each test patient. Overall, the model estimates of prognosis were significantly better than the doctors' predictions. The rank correlation of model predictions with 3-year survival was 0.60, compared with 0.52 for the physicians. Model predictions added significant prognostic information to the doctors' predictions, whereas the converse was not true. Where predictions were made by multiple doctors, the inter-physician variability was substantial. Neither practice characteristics nor extent of clinical experience significantly affected the physicians' predictive accuracy. In coronary artery disease, statistical models developed from carefully collected data can provide prognostic predictions that are more accurate than predictions of experienced clinicians made from detailed case summaries.
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BACKGROUND: Several platelet glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa receptor antagonists have been evaluated in clinical trials. We conducted a systematic overview (meta-analysis) to assess the effect of these compounds on death, myocardial infarction (MI), and revascularization. METHODS AND RESULTS: ORs were calculated for 16 randomized, controlled trials of GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors. An empirical Bayesian random-effects model combined the outcomes of 32 135 patients. There was a significant mortality reduction by GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors at 48 to 96 hours, with an OR of 0.70 (95% CI, 0. 51 to 0.96; P<0.03), equivalent to a reduction of 1 death per 1000 patients treated. Mortality benefits at 30 days (OR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0. 74 to 1.02; P=0.08) and 6 months (OR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.86 to 1.10; P=0.67) were not statistically significant. For the combined end point of death or MI, there was a highly significant (P<0.001) benefit for GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors at each time point. The 30-day OR was 0.76 (95% CI, 0.66 to 0.87), or 20 fewer events per 1000 patients treated. For the composite end point of death, MI, or revascularization, there was also a highly significant (P<0.001) benefit for GP IIb/IIIa inhibitors. At 30 days, the OR was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.68 to 0.86), or 30 fewer events per 1000 patients treated. The risk differences for death, death or MI, and composite outcomes were similar at 6 months, indicating a sustained absolute improvement. Similar benefit was seen when trials were subgrouped by therapeutic indication (percutaneous intervention versus acute coronary syndromes). CONCLUSIONS: Application of this new therapeutic class to clinical practice promises substantial benefit for both indications.