PubMed Health⌕ Search

Biomedical subjects

D Hasenclever

Publications and source records attributed to D Hasenclever.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Role of the progesterone receptor for paclitaxel resistance in primary breast cancer.

Paclitaxel plays an important role in the treatment of primary breast cancer. However, a substantial proportion of patients treated with paclitaxel does not appear to derive any benefit from this therapy. We performed a prospective study using tumour cells isolated from 50 primary breast carcinomas. Sensitivity of primary tumour cells to paclitaxel was determined in a clinically relevant range of concentrations (0.85-27.2 microg ml(-1) paclitaxel) using an ATP assay. Chemosensitivity data were used to study a possible association with immunohistochemically determined oestrogen and progesterone receptor (ER and PR) status, as well as histopathological parameters. Progesterone receptor (PR) mRNA expression was also determined by quantitative RT-PCR. We observed a clear association of the PR status with chemosensitivity to paclitaxel. Higher levels of immunohistochemically detected PR expression correlated with decreased chemosensitivity (P=0.008). Similarly, high levels of PR mRNA expression were associated with decreased paclitaxel chemosensitivity (P=0.007). Cells from carcinomas with T-stages 3 and 4 were less sensitive compared to stages 1 and 2 (P=0.013). Multiple regression analysis identified PR receptor status and T-stage as independent predictors of paclitaxel chemosensitivity, whereas the ER, N-stage, grading and age were not influential. In conclusion, in vitro sensitivity to paclitaxel was higher for PR-negative compared with PR-positive breast carcinoma cells. Thus, PR status should be considered as a possible factor of influence when designing new trials and chemotherapy protocols.

Antineoplastic Agents, Phytogenic↗

Are endoscopic antireflux therapies cost-effective compared with laparoscopic fundoplication?

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: A number of endoscopic antireflux therapies (EATs) have emerged as potential nonmedical treatment options for patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD). Concerns about clinical efficacy and costs have given rise to debate about their role in GERD management. The costs of laparoscopic fundoplication (LF) were compared with the costs of EAT when used in a sequential strategy that reserves the option of LF for EAT failure. METHODS: A simple mathematical criterion of direct medical costs was applied. Published articles concerning EAT were reviewed to assess its effectiveness, durability and costs, in order to estimate the parameters of the model. The costs of EAT and LF were evaluated from the perspective of a German third-party payer. Only direct medical costs were considered. RESULTS: Assuming that EAT has no impact on potential LF later on, the outcome of both strategies (LF, or EAT first with LF in case of failure of EAT) is identical and preference is a simple question of costs. The sequential strategy in nonmedical GERD treatment would be preferable if the long-term relief rate with EAT exceeds the ratio of the cost of EAT to the cost of LF. Long-term success rates of EAT do not exceed 0.65. At current prices EAT is clearly not cost-effective in Germany. CONCLUSION: Our simple criterion indicates that EAT would only be cost-effective and beneficial in a sequential strategy if the costs of EAT were to be decreased to around 30 % of current retail prices. However, long-term studies and randomized controlled trials are necessary to finally determine the role of EAT in GERD treatment, and the preference may change in either direction.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗

Evaluation of insulin-like growth factor II, cyclooxygenase-2, ets-1 and thyroid-specific thyroglobulin mRNA expression in benign and malignant thyroid tumours.

OBJECTIVE: We evaluated three markers (insulin-like growth factor II (IGF-II), cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) and ets-1) of thyroid growth stimulation and cell transformation together with a thyroid-specific marker (thyroglobulin (Tg)) for their potential to differentiate benign and malignant follicular thyroid neoplasia (FN). DESIGN AND METHODS: mRNA expression levels were determined by real-time PCR in 100 snap-frozen thyroid samples: 36 benign thyroid nodules with different histology and function (19 cold (CTN) and 17 toxic thyroid nodules (TTN)), 36 corresponding normal thyroid tissues of the same patients, eight Graves' disease (GD) thyroids, 10 follicular thyroid carcinomas (FTC) and 10 papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTC). RESULTS: Mean IGF-II and COX-2 levels were not significantly altered between benign and malignant thyroid nodules (IGF-II) or nodular (FTC, TTN, CTN) and normal thyroid tissues (COX-2). In contrast, eight- to tenfold upregulation of ets-1 was observed in PTC and three- to fourfold upregulation of ets-1 was observed in FTC (and GD) compared with benign thyroid nodules and normal thyroid tissues. In addition, thyroglobulin mRNA expression was markedly downregulated (50- to 100-fold) in FTC, PTC and GD samples compared with benign nodular and normal thyroid tissues. Hence an ets-1/Tg ratio >20 distinguished differentiated thyroid cancer from benign nodular or normal thyroid tissue. We then studied ets1- and Tg mRNA expression levels in fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) samples. However, in a consecutive series of 40 FNAC samples only equivocal results were obtained on 38 benign and two malignant (FTC) thyroid tumour samples. CONCLUSIONS: Upregulation of ets-1 and downregulation of Tg mRNA expression occur in differentiated thyroid cancer and may facilitate pre-operative identification of thyroid malignancy depending on further evaluation of these potentially promising markers in a larger series of benign and malignant thyroid tumours and their FNAC samples.

Adenoma↗

Treatment of advanced Hodgkin's disease with COPP/ABV/IMEP versus COPP/ABVD and consolidating radiotherapy: final results of the German Hodgkin's Lymphoma Study Group HD6 trial.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to compare the efficacy of the hybrid chemotherapeutic regimen COPP/ABV/IMEP (cyclophosphamide-vincristine-procarbazine-prednisone-doxorubicin-bleomycin-vinblastine-ifosfamide-methotrexate-etoposide) (CAI) with that of the standard regimen COPP/ABVD (COPP/ABV, dacarbacine) (CA) in the treatment of advanced-stage Hodgkin's disease (HD). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between January 1988 and January 1993, 588 eligible patients with HD in stages IIIB and IV were randomly assigned to a treatment or control group. The treatment group received four cycles of CAI over a complete cycle duration of 43 days. The control group received four cycles of CA over 57 days. Both groups then received consolidating radiotherapy. RESULTS: Five hundred and eighty-four patients were suitable for arm comparison. Patients in each group were similar in age, sex, histological subtype and clinical risk factors. Complete remission rates, overall survival and freedom from treatment failure at 7 years were similar for the two groups: 77% versus 78%, 73% versus 73% and 54% versus 56% for CAI and CA, respectively. Differences in acute chemotherapy-related toxicity were significant, however. Prognostic factor analysis confirmed the relevance of the International Prognostic Index and revealed that stage IVB, low hemoglobin, low lymphocyte count, high age and male gender were associated with a poor prognosis CONCLUSION: The rapidly alternating hybrid CAI did not give superior results when compared with the standard regimen CA in advanced-stage HD.

Adolescent↗

Comparison of preprocessing procedures for oligo-nucleotide micro-arrays by parametric bootstrap simulation of spike-in experiments.

OBJECTIVE: Due to scarcity of calibration data for microarray experiments, simulation methods are employed to assess preprocessing procedures. Here we analyze several procedures' robustness against increasing numbers of differentially expressed genes and varying proportions of up-regulation. METHODS: Raw probe data from oligo-nucleotide microarrays are assumed to be approximately multivariate normally distributed on the log scale. Chips can be simulated from a multivariate normal distribution with mean and variance-covariance matrix estimated from a real raw data set. A chip effect induces strong positive correlations. In reverse, sampling from a normal distribution with strong correlation variance-covariance matrix generates data exhibiting a chip effect. No explicit model of chip-effect is needed. Differences can be artificially spiked-in according to a given distribution of effect sizes. Thirty preprocessing procedures combining background correction, normalization, perfect match correction and summarization methods available from the BioConductor project were compared. RESULTS: In the symmetrical setting "50% differentially expressed genes, 50% of which up-regulated" background correction reduces bias, but inflates low intensity probe variance as well as the mean squared error of the estimates. Any normalization reduces variance and increases sensitivity with no clear winner. Asymmetry between up and down regulation causes bias in the effect-size estimate of non-differentially expressed genes. This markedly inflates the false positive discovery rates. Variance stabilizing normalization (VSN) behaved best. CONCLUSION: A simple parametric bootstrap was used to simulate oligo-nucleotide micro-array raw data. Current normalization methods inflate the false positive rate when many genes show an effect in the same direction.

Computer Simulation↗

Low acute hematological toxicity during chemotherapy predicts reduced disease control in advanced Hodgkin's disease.

Chemotherapy-treated patients with advanced Hodgkin's disease (HD) differ considerably in acute hematotoxicity. Hematotoxicity may be indicative of pharmacological and metabolic heterogeneity. We hypothesized that low hematotoxicity might correlate with reduced systemic dose and thus reduced disease control. A total of 266 patients with advanced HD treated with cyclophosphamide, vincristine, procarbazine, prednisone, doxorubicin, bleomycin, vinblastine, and dacarbazine (COPP-ABVD) were analyzed (HD6 trial of the German Hodgkin's Lymphoma Study Group). The reported WHO grade of leukocytopenia was averaged over chemotherapy cycles given and weighted with the reciprocal dose intensity of the corresponding cycle. The low and high toxicity groups were defined in retrospect as having had an averaged WHO grade of leukocytopenia </=2.1 and >2.1, respectively. The independent impact of low hematological toxicity on freedom from treatment failure (FFTF) was assessed multivariately adjusting for the international prognostic score for advanced HD. The results were validated in two independent cohorts [181 patients treated with COPP-ABVD (HD9-trial) and 250 patients treated with COPP-ABV-ifosfamide, methotrexate, etoposide, and prednisone (IMEP) (HD6 trial)]. The 5-year FFTF rates were 68% for patients with high toxicity vs 47% for patients with low toxicity [multivariate relative risk (RR) 2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-3.0, p=0.0002]. Patients with low toxicity received significantly higher nominal dose ( p=0.02) and dose intensity ( p<0.0001). This finding was confirmed in both validation cohorts (multivariate RR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.8, p=0.01 and RR 1.5, 95% CI 1.01-2.26, p=0.04, respectively). Patients with low hematotoxicity have significantly higher failure rates despite higher doses and dose intensity. Hematotoxicity is an independent prognostic factor for treatment outcome. This observation suggests a strategy of individualized dosing adapted to hematotoxicity.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

Importance of F18-fluorodeoxy-D-2-glucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) for staging and therapy control of Hodgkin's lymphoma in childhood and adolescence - consequences for the GPOH-HD 2003 protocol.

The prognosis for children and adolescents with Hodgkin's lymphoma is excellent. However, many patients will show secondary malignancies 15-30 years after the initial diagnosis, which appears to be connected with the intensity of treatment during primary disease. In the GPOH-HD 95 trial, the indication for radiotherapy was limited to patients who did not show a complete remission after chemotherapy, as determined radiographically. In the future protocol, the indication for radiotherapy in patients with early-stage Hodgkin's lymphoma should be further refined by using FDG-PET for evaluating the response to chemotherapy. Furthermore, in patients at an advanced stage of the disease, it should be determined if sequential FDG-PET research during chemotherapy can separate patients into subgroups with an excellent or a poor prognosis. This article gives a review of the current literature on FDG-PET in patients with Hodgkin's lymphoma and outlines the consequences for future protocols.

Adolescent↗

High Bad and Bax mRNA expression correlate with negative outcome in acute myeloid leukemia (AML).

The search for molecular markers in AML that allow prediction of outcome has recently focused on genes involved in the regulation of programmed cell death (PCD). The aim of our study was to determine whether mRNA levels of Mdm-2, Bcl-2, Bcl-x(L), Bad, and Bax are independent prognostic parameters for outcome. Transcript levels were analyzed by real-time quantitative RT-PCR in 232 samples collected either at diagnosis or following induction chemotherapy (ICT). Multivariate COX regression analysis adjusted for chemotherapy protocol, de novo vs secondary AML, and de novo vs relapsed AML indicated: (1) At diagnosis, high expression of Bad (P = 0.015) and even more so high Bax and Bad levels (P = 0.018) predicted adverse outcome, regardless of the response to ICT. In patients who subsequently failed to enter complete remission (CR), high levels of Bad, Bax and Bax high/Bad high were associated with an increased relative risk (RR) to die from tumor (RR = 5.0 for Bad, 3.4 for Bax and 6.14 for Bax high/Bad high). (2) Following ICT, high expression of Bax (P= 0.005) and high Bcl-2/Bax ratios (P = 0.004) were independent predictors of unfavorable outcome, regardless of response to ICT. We conclude that high levels of Bax and Bad correlate with poor outcome, particularly in patients who do not enter CR and may serve as prognostic markers in AML.

Acute Disease↗

The disappearance of prognostic factors in Hodgkin's disease.

The purpose of this conceptual (and somewhat provocative) article is to analyse the reasons for the disappearance of prognostic factors in Hodgkin's disease (HD) and to explore the consequences for further research from a biometrical point of view. The very concept of prognostic factors is about to resolve in HD. Prognostic factors gradually loose their predictive power as treatment is successfully adapted to the disease burden. Freedom from treatment failure and overall survival curves of patients in early, intermediate and advanced stages of HD are superimposable with the best current treatment protocols of the German Hodgkin's Lymphoma Study Group. This disappearance of prognostic factors in HD necessitates a certain conceptual remodelling. It's time to think quantitatively and bivariately, and we need to (i) synthesise existing 'prognostic' factors into a quantitative measure of disease burden or severity; (ii) develop a quantitative measure of treatment strength and (iii) relate these two quantities in nomogram curves indicating how much treatment a patient with a given disease burden requires to have, say, a 85%, 90% and perhaps 95% expected chance of cure.

Combined Modality Therapy↗

Early response to chemotherapy: a surrogate for final outcome of Hodgkin's disease patients that should influence initial treatment length and intensity?

BACKGROUND: Early adjustment of treatment may benefit the patient. In order to guide treatment adjustment, use of early response (ER) or early complete response (ECR), judged after the few initial cycles of chemotherapy, is common in pediatric and also adult Hodgkin's and non-Hodgkin's studies. Paradoxically, almost no data support this strategy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The influence of ECR on outcome was evaluated in three series of advanced Hodgkin's disease (HD), leading to a series of questions. RESULTS: The 1982 EORTC study assessed prospectively the time frame needed to reach an apparent complete response (CR) through repeated tumor measurements. In patients assessed at mid-treatment before the fifth cycle, both 15 year freedom from progression (FFP) and overall survival (OS) were superior in ECR patients compared with other patients continued on the same treatment (61% versus 37%; P < 0.001). A series of questions arise from these observations. Question 1: is the shortening of treatment detrimental? In a randomized Swedish trial, in one arm treatment was shortened in patients evaluated from the fifth cycle as ECR as compared with the standard eight cycles arm, 10 year cause-specific-survival (CSS) was 53 versus 69% [not significant (ns)]; 10 year OS 49% versus 58% (ns). Conversely, in the EORTC 20884 study, ECR patients given only six cycles did as well as patients entering CR later and, for this reason, given eight cycles (identical 6 year event-free survival 75%). Question 2: is early treatment adaptation in patients who failed to reach ER beneficial? In the French MDH 90 trial, 15% of children failed to reach ECR after four cycles; in these children only, anthracyclines plus alkylating agents were given and the dose of radiotherapy increased, improving the results observed in the previous trial. In the EORTC 20884 study, patients who failed to reach an ECR were switched earlier to involved field RT: their results matched those of ECR patients, at the difference of the previous trial. Question 3: is ER a predicting factor that can be used with any type of treatment? Probably not, based on the German Hodgkin's Lymphoma Study Group trial HD 9: ECR is highly dependent on specific interval from treatment start and on treatment intensity. DISCUSSION: More general questions stem from these results. Question 4: is the definition of ER secured? With conventional imaging, the different methods for response assessment at end treatment also lead to different response rates; the assessment in the middle of treatment itself and the use of newer imaging techniques may further increase the variation. Indeed, question 5 is: is ER a concept based on any biology? Correlation to markers, 99mTc uptake, PET and hematological tolerance might help to pinpoint how and why ER represents a surrogate for final outcome. CONCLUSION: ER is a surrogate for final outcome, reflecting both tumor burden and activity. This predictability may, and possibly should, impact on treatment.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

Low-dose radiation is sufficient for the noninvolved extended-field treatment in favorable early-stage Hodgkin's disease: long-term results of a randomized trial of radiotherapy alone.

PURPOSE: To show that radiotherapy (RT) dose to the noninvolved extended field (EF) can be reduced without loss of efficacy in patients with early-stage Hodgkin's disease (HD). PATIENTS AND METHODS: During 1988 to 1994, pathologically staged patients with stage I or II disease who were without risk factors (large mediastinal mass, extranodal lesions, massive splenic disease, elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate, or three or more involved areas) were recruited from various centers. All patients received 40 Gy total fractionated dose to the involved field areas but were randomly assigned to receive either 40 Gy (arm A) or 30 Gy (arm B) total fractionated dose for the clinically noninvolved EF. No chemotherapy was given. RT films were prospectively reviewed for protocol violations and recurrences retrospectively related to the applied RT. RESULTS: Of 382 recruited patients, 376 were eligible for randomized comparison, 190 in arm A and 186 in arm B. Complete remission was attained in 98% of patients in each arm. With a median follow-up of 86 months, 7-year relapse-free survival (RFS) rates were 78% (arm A) and 83% (arm B) (P =.093). The upper 95% confidence limit for the possible inferiority of arm B in RFS was 4%. Corresponding overall survival rates were 91% (arm A) and 96% (arm B) (P =.16). The most common causes of death (n = 27) were cardiorespiratory disease/pulmonary embolisms (seven), second malignancy (six), and HD (five). Protocol violation was associated with significantly poorer RFS. Nonirradiated nodes were involved in 42 of 52 reviewed relapses, infield areas in 18, marginal areas in 17, and extranodal sites in 16. CONCLUSION: EF-RT alone attains good survival rates in favorable early-stage HD. The 30-Gy dose is adequate for clinically noninvolved areas. Protocol violation worsens the subsequent prognosis. Relapse patterns suggest that systemic therapy can reduce the 20% long-term relapse rate.

Adolescent↗

Five theses concerning the clinical consequences of pathology and prognostic factors.

We discuss possible justifications to split study populations from a biometrical point of view. The existence of prognostic differences between subgroups are neither a sufficient nor a necessary reason to justify a splitting decision. There are essentially two separate types of relevant arguments to justify a split of patient study populations: a) Different toxicity/benefit trade-offs concerning the acceptability of a particularly aggressive treatment, b) Evidence for strong treatment by subgroup interactions, i.e. Treatment differences differ markedly by biologically defined subgroups. The latter is what the research ideal of biologically specific treatment asks for. Subgroup analysis is notoriously difficult. Formal statistical analysis must be complemented by specific evidence from basic sciences. Meta-subgroup analyses may be an option if a biologically specific hypothesis on which treatment component interacts with what biological feature allows to operationally identify all those randomised trials in which the effect should be present. In this conceptual and methodological paper we defend five theses concerning the clinical consequences of pathological and biological differences from a somewhat unorthodox biometrical point of view.

Biometry↗

Modelling of chemotherapy: the effective dose approach.

We sketch the development of the effective dose approach which provides a theoretical framework to interpret chemotherapy outcome data. Building on the generalised Skipper model of chemotherapy, a meta-regression method is derived to jointly analyse all chemotherapy comparing randomised clinical trials in a given malignancy in order to explore the slope of the effective dose/outcome relationship and the relative potency of cytostatic drugs. The model is applied to explain why treatment differences in aggressive NHL appear to differ by risk groups in aggressive NHL. A respective meta-subgroup analysis to confirm this interaction hypothesis is proposed.

Algorithms↗

Dose escalation of cytotoxic drugs using haematopoietic growth factors: a randomized trial to determine the magnitude of increase provided by GM-CSF.

BACKGROUND: The magnitude of chemotherapy dose escalation made possible by the use of recombinant haematopoietic growth factors has not been quantified in a randomized trial. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with refractory or relapsing Hodgkin's disease were randomized to receive the Dexa-BEAM regimen with escalating etoposide doses supported by placebo or granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF). Using an adaptive sampling method independently in both arms, the etoposide dose was escalated until the maximal tolerated dose for the first cycle was reached. RESULTS: Thirty patients were randomized to GM-CSF and thirty to placebo. The etoposide dose could be escalated considerably in both treatment arms. Maximal etoposide dose for the first cycle was 1920 mg/m2 for patients receiving GM-CSF and 1160 mg/m2 for patients receiving placebo (P = 0.045 one-sided), corresponding to a 65% higher etoposide dose and a 13% higher dose intensity with GM-CSF. Dose-limiting events were similar in both arms, consisting mainly of prolonged neutropenia and consecutive infections. Treatment efficacy was not different in the two treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: While GM-CSF permits a somewhat higher dose escalation than placebo, the increase in dose intensity provided by GM-CSF is small. The use of CSF for interval reduction rather than dose escalation is the more effective strategy for dose intensification.

Adolescent↗

Moderate dose escalation for advanced stage Hodgkin's disease using the bleomycin, etoposide, adriamycin, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, procarbazine, and prednisone scheme and adjuvant radiotherapy: a study of the German Hodgkin's Lymphoma Study Group.

The BEACOPP (bleomycin, etoposide, adriamycin, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, procarbazine, and prednisone) regimen, a rearranged and accelerated version of the standard COPP/adriamycin, bleomycin, vinblastine, and dacarbazine (ABVD) chemotherapy, has been shown to be effective and safe in a previous pilot study for advanced stage Hodgkin's disease (HD). The present study aimed to determine a maximum practicable dose of three drugs, ie, etoposide, adriamycin, and cyclophosphamide, for which acute toxicities were acceptable and to assess the feasibility of the escalated scheme. Sixty untreated patients with advanced stage HD were enrolled in this study. Radiotherapy was given in 44 patients (73%) after chemotherapy to initial bulk lesions and residual disease. Granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) was given from day 8 to prevent prolonged neutrocytopenia and severe infections. The intended doses of adriamycin, etoposide, and cyclophosphamide in the BEACOPP schedule could be substantially escalated: adriamycin from 25 to 35, cyclophosphamide from 650 to 1,200, and etoposide from 100 to 200 mg/m2. The major toxicities were leukocytopenia and thrombocytopenia with considerable heterogeneity between individual patients. Of 60 patients, 56 (93%) achieved a complete remission (CR). At a median observation of 32 months, the rates of survival and freedom from treatment failure (FFTF) were estimated to be 91% (95% confidence interval 83% to 99%) and 90% (82% to 98%). These results show that a moderate dose escalation of adriamycin, cyclophosphamide, and etoposide of the baseline BEACOPP regimen is feasible. The escalated BEACOPP regimen shows very encouraging results in advanced stage HD and is now being compared in a randomized phase III study with BEACOPP at baseline dose level.

Adolescent↗

A prognostic score for advanced Hodgkin's disease. International Prognostic Factors Project on Advanced Hodgkin's Disease.

BACKGROUND: Two thirds of patients with advanced Hodgkin's disease are cured with current approaches to treatment. Prediction of the outcome is important to avoid overtreating some patients and to identify others in whom standard treatment is likely to fail. METHODS: Data were collected from 25 centers and study groups on a total of 5141 patients treated with combination chemotherapy for advanced Hodgkin's disease, with or without radiotherapy. The data included the outcome and 19 demographic and clinical characteristics at diagnosis. The end point was freedom from progression of disease. Complete data were available for 1618 patients; the final Cox model was fitted to these data. Data from an additional 2643 patients were used for partial validation. RESULTS: The prognostic score was defined as the number of adverse prognostic factors present at diagnosis. Seven factors had similar independent prognostic effects: a serum albumin level of less than 4 g per deciliter, a hemoglobin level of less than 10.5 g per deciliter, male sex, an age of 45 years or older, stage IV disease (according to the Ann Arbor classification), leukocytosis (a white-cell count of at least 15,000 per cubic millimeter), and lymphocytopenia (a lymphocyte count of less than 600 per cubic millimeter, a count that was less than 8 percent of the white-cell count, or both). The score predicted the rate of freedom from progression of disease as follows: 0, or no factors (7 percent of the patients), 84 percent; 1 (22 percent of the patients), 77 percent; 2 (29 percent of the patients), 67 percent; 3 (23 percent of the patients), 60 percent; 4 (12 percent of the patients), 51 percent; and 5 or higher (7 percent of the patients), 42 percent. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic score we developed may be useful in designing clinical trials for the treatment of advanced Hodgkin's disease and in making individual therapeutic decisions, but a distinct group of patients at very high risk could not be identified on the basis of routinely documented demographic and clinical characteristics.

Adolescent↗

Regression with bounded outcome score: evaluation of power by bootstrap and simulation in a chronic myelogenous leukaemia clinical trial.

Evaluation of the treatment effect on cytogenetic ordered categorical response is considered in patients treated for chronic myelogenous leukaemia (CML) in a clinical trial initiated by the East German Group for Hematology and Oncology. A simulation model for the cytogenetic response (per cent of Philadelphia chromosome positive metaphases) serially measured in CML patients was constructed to describe roughly the sparse information available in medical literature. The model was used to construct a summary measure of response and to formulate the treatment effect as a regression with U-shape distributed ordered categorical data. Two simple models (vertical shift model and pooled conditional response model) were specifically designed to model the treatment effect 'observed' in a simulated 'pilot' data set. The powers were contrasted with the traditional proportional odds and binary models. The comparison was based both on repeated sampling from the simulated model and on bootstrap of 'given' pilot data set. We show that the specific models that address the treatment effect directly (as anticipated from pilot data) can gain in power as compared to the traditional proportional odds model when evaluated by bootstrap. However, the proportional odds model appears to be better with repeated sampling from the simulation model. To explain this discrepancy we generated 'pilot data sets' repeatedly from the simulation model and showed that the ordering of the bootstrap power estimates is unstable with reasonably complex models dependent on the random fall of the pilot data sets. This phenomenon clearly limits the usefulness of subtle modelling the form of the treatment difference observed in a small pilot data set.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

Allogeneic bone marrow transplantation vs filgrastim-mobilised peripheral blood progenitor cell transplantation in patients with early leukaemia: first results of a randomised multicentre trial of the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation.

In a multicentre trial involving 20 transplant centres from 10 countries haematopoietic stem cells were obtained either from the bone marrow of 33 sibling donors or from the peripheral blood of 33 such donors after administration of filgrastim (10 microg/kg/day). The haematopoietic stem cells were infused into their HLA-identical recipients suffering from acute leukaemias in remission or chronic myeloid leukaemia in chronic phase. PBPC donors tolerated filgrastim administration and leukapheresis well with the most frequent side-effects being musculoskeletal pain, headache, and mild increases of LDH, AP, Gamma-GT or SGPT. Pain and haematoma at the harvest site and mild anaemia were the most frequent complaints of BM donors. Severe or life-threatening complications were not seen with any type of harvest procedure. Time to platelet recovery greater than 20 x 10(9)/l was 15 days (95% confidence interval (CI) 13-16 days) in the PBPCT group and 19 days (CI 16-25) in the BMT group. Time to neutrophil recovery greater than 0.5 x 10(9)/l was 14 days (CI 12-15 days) in the PBPCT group as compared to 15 days (CI 15-16 days) in the BMT group. The numbers of platelet transfusions administered to PBPCT and BMT patients were 12 (range: 1-28) and 10 (range: 3-39), respectively. Sixteen patients (48%) transplanted with bone marrow and 18 patients (54%) transplanted with PBPC developed acute GVHD of grades II-IV; acute GVHD of grades III or IV developed in six (18%) and seven (21%) patients, respectively. Kaplan-Meier plots for transplant-related mortality until day 100 and leukaemia-free survival at a median of 400 days after BMT or PBPCT showed no significant differences. Administration of filgrastim and leukapheresis in normal donors were feasible and well tolerated. The number of days with restricted activity and of nights spent in hospital was lower in donors of PBPC. Transplantation of PBPC to HLA-identical siblings with early leukaemia resulted in earlier platelet engraftment. The incidence of moderate to severe acute GVHD, transplant-related mortality, and leukaemia-free survival did not show striking differences. Further investigation of allogeneic PBPCT as a substitute for allogeneic BMT is warranted.

Adolescent↗