Decision-making 'near the bed'.
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Hospital Administration↗
Biomedical subjects
D Horne
Publications and source records attributed to D Horne.
Elevated maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein with low unconjugated estriol and the risk for lethal perinatal outcome.
OBJECTIVE: To determine whether a combination of elevated maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MSAFP) and low unconjugated estriol (E3) concentration identifies pregnancies at particularly high risk for fetal abnormality or poor outcome. METHODS: Pregnancy outcomes were reviewed for women with elevated MSAFP (> or =2.0 MoM) from our database of 50,315 women who had received triple marker testing from 1993-1998. Outcomes for those with low E3 (< or =0.7 MoM) were compared with those with normal E3 (>0.7 MoM). The incidences of fetal death, neural tube defects, chromosome abnormalities, congenital abnormalities, preterm birth, small-for-gestational age (SGA), twins, and inaccurate dates were compared in the two groups using Fisher's exact test with P < 0.05 considered significant. RESULTS: Of the 50,315 women screened, 1,435 (2.85%) had an elevated MSAFP. Pregnancy outcomes were obtained in 94% of those with elevated MSAFP and 70% of all patients screened. Neural tube defects were present in 57 fetuses/infants (21 anencephalic, 29 spina bifida, 7 encephalocele) of which 46 (81%) had an elevated MSAFP. Of the 1,435 women with an elevated MSAFP, 199 (14%) had a low E3. Compared to those women with elevated MSAFP but normal E3, women with elevated MSAFP and low E3 were at significantly increased risk for fetal death (20.6% vs. 2.8%, relative risk (RR) 8.9), anencephaly (9.0% vs. 0.1%, RR 122.8) and chromosome abnormality (2.5% vs. 0.6%, RR 4.0). CONCLUSIONS: Pregnancies complicated by elevated second trimester MSAFP and low E3 are at a particularly high risk (32%) for lethal perinatal outcomes. Twins, while a common cause of elevated MSAFP, are rarely found when an elevated MSAFP is associated with low E3.
Biomarkers↗
Hepatitis B immunization in a low-incidence province of Canada: comparing alternative strategies.
This study provides a comparative cost-effectiveness analysis of three universal immunization programs for hepatitis B virus (HBV). Using three theoretical cohorts of infants, 10-year-olds, and 12-year-olds, a universal immunization program was compared with a prenatal screening/newborn immunization program involving testing of prepartum women and immunization of newborns of HBsAg-positive mothers. A Markov long-term outcome model used Manitoba data to estimate costs and health outcomes across the lifespan. The model was based on an HBV incidence rate of 19/100,000 and a discount rate of 5% and incorporated the most recent treatment advances (interferon therapy). Cost-effectiveness was calculated as the ratio of dollars spent per year of life saved, with costs determined from the perspective of a third-party payer. The universal infant-immunization program, although not cost-saving, was associated with a low, economically attractive cost-effectiveness ratio of $15,900 (Canadian) per year of life saved, a figure substantially lower than the ratios of $97,600 and $184,800 (Canadian) associated with the universal programs for 10- and 12-year-olds, respectively. Cost-effectiveness ratios were found to be sensitive to changes in immunization costs, HBV incidence rates, and the rate at which protective antibody levels are lost over time: If these variables move in the directions suggested by current trends, the authors anticipate an increasing economic appeal of universal programs well into the future. A universal program of HBV immunization for infants appears to be economically practical in regions where HBV infection rates are low and stable.
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular↗