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D J Gunnell

Publications and source records attributed to D J Gunnell.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Selecting a healthy diet score: lessons from a study of diet and health in early old age (the Boyd Orr cohort).

OBJECTIVES: To describe the selection and modification of an appropriate diet score to assess diet quality in early old age. DESIGN AND SETTING: Cross-sectional analyses of the Boyd Orr cohort - a long-term follow-up of men and women whose families took part in a survey of diet and health in pre-war Britain. Dietary data were obtained from a 113-item food-frequency questionnaire. A nine-item Healthy Diet Indicator (HDI) developed by Huijbregts and colleagues was identified from the literature and modified because some dietary variables were unavailable and to accord more closely with recommendations of the UK Committee on Medical Aspects of Food Policy. SUBJECTS: In total, 1475 traced, surviving cohort members aged 60 years and over. RESULTS: Modification resulted in a 12-item Healthy Diet Score (HDS). We found that about half the variation in the HDS was explained by variation in the HDI (r=0.71). There was, however, little misclassification of subjects (<10%) into extreme thirds of the distribution by the HDS compared with the HDI. Items of the score most strongly correlated with overall score were saturated fat (r=-0.57), red meat (r=-0.46), dietary fibre (r=0.58), fruit and vegetables (r=0.54) and percentage energy from carbohydrates (r=0.51). Modifying existing items had greater impact on agreement between HDI and HDS than the addition of new items. CONCLUSIONS: The selection and modification of diet scores is more complicated than often assumed. Furthermore, modest changes to an existing score can produce a score that is different from the original, and although it was not possible to test this issue, it may no longer predict subsequent health experience.

Aged↗

Socioeconomic inequality and meningococcal disease.

Incidence of meningococcal disease was associated with socioeconomic deprivation across a rural English region. In young children the incidence was twice as high in the most deprived compared with the least deprived electoral wards. By addressing social inequalities the incidence of this serious infection could be reduced.

Child↗

Life course accumulation of disadvantage: childhood health and hazard exposure during adulthood.

The present paper examines the association between physical and social disadvantage during childhood and lifetime exposure to health-damaging environments. Study members were participants of Boyd Orr's clinical, social and dietary survey conducted between 1937 and 1939 and were aged between 5 and 14 years at clinical examination. Study participants were traced and between 1997 and 1998 a random sample of 294 were interviewed. The lifegrid interview method was used to collect full occupational, residential and household histories, from which accumulated lifetime exposures to a range of environmental hazards were estimated. Age-adjusted height during childhood was found to be inversely related to subsequent exposure to all hazards combined (males p = 0.002; females p = 0.001). This relationship was found in males with manual fathers (p = 0.044) and females with non-manual fathers (p = 0.035). Chronic disease during childhood was also associated with greater subsequent hazard exposure in males with manual fathers (p = 0.008). Among females with non-manual fathers, in contrast, chronic disease during childhood was associated with reduced subsequent hazard exposure (p = 0.05). These findings suggest that exposure to health-damaging environments during adulthood may accumulate on top of health disadvantage during childhood and that this process of life course accumulation of disadvantage may vary by gender and childhood social class.

Adolescent↗

Inter-rater reliability of the Barthel ADL index: how does a researcher compare to a nurse?

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether a nonclinical research assistant, using standardized scoring criteria, can reliably administer the Barthel Activities of Daily Living (ADL) Index in a sample of elderly inpatients. DESIGN: Paired comparison of nurse and nonclinical research assistant Barthel Index assessments. SETTING: Acute hospital wards from two hospitals in a UK Healthcare Trust, with a catchment population of approximately 224,000 people. METHODS: A consecutive sample of 94 elderly patients with a variety of medical problems. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Barthel ADL Index, Folstein Mini-Mental Status Examination. RESULTS: Whilst the inter-rater reliability of the Barthel Index was within acceptable boundaries, two items out of ten had only fair agreement and low crude agreement (transfer and dressing) on Cohen's kappa scores. CONCLUSIONS: Depending on the differences observed in any particular context, the Barthel Index can be applied with reasonable reliability by nonclinical staff applying the standardized scoring criteria. It should be noted, however, that the kappa coefficients between clinical and nonclinical assessors tend to be lower than those found when comparing two clinically trained assessors in previous research.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Reconstructing the life course: health during early old age in a follow-up study based on the Boyd Orr cohort.

A method is described for investigating life course influences on health in early old age. The lives of some 300 individuals at present aged 65-75 y have been reconstructed from the archived records of a pre-WWII survey, in which they took part as children, and from lifegrid interviews with the same individuals 60 y later. Despite loss to study at several points those interviewed are shown to be representative of the British population socio-demographically, in comparison with the 1931 and 1991 decennial censuses, and physically, in comparison with the Health Survey for England. Bias is conservative because the most disadvantaged were disproportionately affected by loss to follow-up through death and because non-responders to interview were more disadvantaged as children than the interviewees. Representativeness and conservative bias, it is argued, justify the use of these data for investigating life course influences on health in early old age.

Aged↗

Crisis telephone consultation for deliberate self-harm patients: effects on repetition.

BACKGROUND: No interventions have been shown to be effective in reducing deliberate self-harm (DSH) repetition in this group of patients as a whole. AIMS: To investigate the effect on repetition of offering emergency telephone support in a group of hospital-admitted DSH patients. METHOD: A total of 827 DSH patients admitted to medical wards were randomly allocated to either control or intervention (green card) groups. In addition to treatment as usual, the intervention group was offered telephone support should any further crises occur. The main outcome measure was DSH repetition within six months of the index event. RESULTS: The intervention had no significant effect on the overall DSH repetition rate (odds ratio 1.20, 95% CI 0.82-1.75). Sub-group analysis suggested that response to the intervention differed according to the past history of DSH--subjects with a previous history repeating more often and first-timers appearing to benefit. CONCLUSIONS: No overall effect of the intervention was shown. Conclusions concerning sub-groups must be regarded as speculative, but they suggest that further assessment of the value of telephone support in first-timer DSH patients is indicated.

Adult↗

Growth hormone, IGF-I and cancer. Less intervention to avoid cancer? More intervention to prevent cancer?

The GH/IGF-I axis has a clearly established role in somatic growth regulation and there is much evidence suggesting that it can play a contributing role in neoplastic tissue growth; a number of recent epidemiological reports indicate that it may also be an important determinant of cancer incidence. Whilst there have been previous reports of changes to the axis in patients with established cancers, these new studies are distinct in being prospective and the inferences that can be made from this are outlined in this review. The recent studies are considered within the context of other indirect epidemiological evidence, and together indicate that the GH/IGF-I axis may establish the level of predisposition to a number of common cancers and indeed that such risk may be programmed from early life. There is considerable evidence for a number of possible mechanisms, both direct and indirect, which could account for the associations between GH/IGF-I levels and cancer incidence; these mechanisms are briefly summarised. The implications of the new findings are then discussed in relation to the increasing clinical usage of chronic GH administration and the need for further studies to establish any consequent increase in cancer risk. Finally the opportunities for further work to optimise cancer risk assessment and risk reduction strategies are highlighted.

Adult↗

Randomised controlled trial comparing effectiveness and acceptability of an early discharge, hospital at home scheme with acute hospital care.

OBJECTIVE: To compare effectiveness and acceptability of early discharge to a hospital at home scheme with that of routine discharge from acute hospital. DESIGN: Pragmatic randomised controlled trial. SETTING: Acute hospital wards and community in north of Bristol, with a catchment population of about 224 000 people. SUBJECTS: 241 hospitalised but medically stable elderly patients who fulfilled criteria for early discharge to hospital at home scheme and who consented to participate. INTERVENTIONS: Patients' received hospital at home care or routine hospital care. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Patients' quality of life, satisfaction, and physical functioning assessed at 4 weeks and 3 months after randomisation to treatment; length of stay in hospital and in hospital at home scheme after randomisation; mortality at 3 months. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in patient mortality, quality of life, and physical functioning between the two arms of the trial at 4 weeks or 3 months. Only one of 11 measures of patient satisfaction was significantly different: hospital at home patients perceived higher levels of involvement in decisions. Length of stay for those receiving routine hospital care was 62% (95% confidence interval 51% to 75%) of length of stay in hospital at home scheme. CONCLUSIONS: The early discharge hospital at home scheme was similar to routine hospital discharge in terms of effectiveness and acceptability. Increased length of stay associated with the scheme must be interpreted with caution because of different organisational characteristics of the services.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Hospital at home or acute hospital care? A cost minimisation analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare, from the viewpoints of the NHS and social services and of patients, the costs associated with early discharge to a hospital at home scheme and those associated with continued care in an acute hospital. DESIGN: Cost minimisation analysis. SETTING: Acute hospital wards and the community in the north of Bristol (population about 224 000). SUBJECTS: 241 hospitalised but medically stable elderly patients who fulfilled the criteria for early discharge to a hospital at home scheme and who consented to participate. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Costs to the NHS, social services, and patients over the 3 months after randomisation. RESULTS: The mean cost for hospital at home patients over the 3 months was 2516 pounds, whereas that for hospital patients was 3292 pounds. Under all the assumptions used in the sensitivity analysis, the cost of hospital at home care was less than that of hospital care. Only when hospital costs were assumed to be less than 50% of those used in the initial analysis was the difference equivocal. CONCLUSIONS: The hospital at home scheme is less costly than care in the acute hospital. These results may be generalisable to schemes of similar size and scope, operating in a similar context of rising acute admissions.

Aged↗

Childhood energy intake and adult mortality from cancer: the Boyd Orr Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relation between energy intake in childhood and adult mortality from cancer. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: 16 rural and urban centres in England and Scotland. SUBJECTS: 3834 people who took part in Lord Boyd Orr's Carnegie survey of family diet and health in prewar Britain between 1937 and 1939 who were followed up with the NHS, central register. Standardised methods were used to measure household dietary intake during a one week period. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cancer mortality. RESULTS: Significant associations between childhood energy intake and cancer mortality were seen when the confounding effects of social variables were taken into account in proportional hazards models (relative hazard for all cancer mortality 1.15 (95% confidence interval 1.06 to 1.24), P = 0.001, for every MJ increase in adult equivalent daily intake in fully adjusted models). This effect was essentially limited to cancers not related to smoking (relative hazard 1.20; 1.07 to 1.34; P = 0.001), with similar effects seen in men and women. CONCLUSION: This positive association between childhood energy intake and later cancer is consistent with animal evidence linking energy restriction with reduced incidence of cancer and the association between height and human cancer, implying that higher levels of energy intake in childhood increase the risk of later development of cancer. This evidence for long term effects of early diet confirm the importance of optimal nutrition in childhood and suggest that the unfavourable trends seen in the incidence of some cancers may have their origins in early life.

Adolescent↗

Use of the EuroQoL among elderly acute care patients.

The assessment of the validity and reliability of generic quality of life (QoL) instruments among elderly patient groups has tended to lag behind such assessments in general populations, yet it is an important methodological issue. This paper presents the findings from a study of the use of the EuroQoL among an elderly acute care patient group, focusing particularly on the ability to self-complete, construct validity and sensitivity to change. Two hundred and fourteen UK patients aged 65 years and over, participating in a randomized controlled trial comparing hospital at home and routine hospital care were asked to complete the EuroQoL and a number of other instruments at randomization and at 4 week and 3 month follow-ups. The inability to self-complete the EuroQol was found to be strongly related to both increased age and reduced cognitive function (p < 0.0001). From logistic regression, the expected probability of an acute care patient requiring interview administration at age 65 years is 11%, at age 75 years is 37% and at age 85 years is 73%. The relationships with age and limiting long-standing illness/disability were weaker than expected, but the results obtained from the EuroQoL were highly correlated with those from both the Barthel Index and the COOP-WONCA charts where this was anticipated. Preliminary evidence of sensitivity to change was found from descriptive statistics of the changes in scores for four specific subgroups of patients, but the small numbers and high variability in each sub-sample means that this should be interpreted with caution. The most important issue arising from the research concerns the impact of age on the ability to self-complete the EuroQoL questionnaire. It is argued that this research points to the need for rigorous studies (such as randomized controlled trials) to assess the impact of the format of administration of the EuroQoL on the scores obtained.

Aged↗

Socio-economic and dietary influences on leg length and trunk length in childhood: a reanalysis of the Carnegie (Boyd Orr) survey of diet and health in prewar Britain (1937-39).

Social class differences in height have been recognised for many centuries. However, few studies have examined the extent to which these differences are made up of differences in leg length or trunk length. This paper reanalyses cross-sectional information on children examined in Britain in the 1930s. We assess associations between socio-economic status and diet and the components of childhood stature. The analyses were based on the records of 2990 children aged 2 years to 14 years 9 months who were examined in the Carnegie (Boyd Orr) survey of diet and health (1937-39). z-Scores for the measures of childhood stature were calculated using polynomial regression techniques with the study population as the standard. Univariable and multivariable statistical techniques were used to assess the relationships between childhood height, leg length and trunk length, and dietary and socio-economic factors measured at the level of the household. Leg length was the component of stature most strongly associated with measures of childhood diet and socio-economic status. A greater part of the difference in stature between socio-economic groups was caused by differences in leg length rather than trunk length. In multiple regression analyses, district of residence and family food expenditure were generally the two factors most strongly related to stature. In a subsample of the surveyed children, for whom birthweight information was available, trunk length and leg length were equally strongly related to birthweight. Leg length appears to be a particularly sensitive indicator of childhood socio-economic circumstances. Although contemporary studies highlight the importance of biological factors in determining childhood height, the data analysed in this study suggest that socio-economic circumstances were also important in explaining height differentials in prewar Britain.

Adolescent↗

Childhood obesity and adult cardiovascular mortality: a 57-y follow-up study based on the Boyd Orr cohort.

Few studies have examined associations between childhood overweight and adult disease. We examined the relation between BMI measured in childhood and adult all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a 57-y follow-up of a cohort study based on the Carnegie (Boyd Orr) Survey of Family Diet and Health in prewar Britain (1937-1939). Complete baseline and follow-up data were available for 1165 males and 1234 females who were aged between 2 y and 14 y 9 mo when they were examined. All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were associated with higher childhood BMIs. Compared with those with BMIs between the 25th and 49th centiles, the hazard ratio (95% CI) for all-cause mortality in those above the 75th BMI centile for their age and sex was 1.5 (1.1, 2.2) and for ischemic heart disease it was 2.0 (1.0, 3.9). There was also a suggestion of a nonlinear association with overall mortality; those in the 25-49th centile of the BMI distribution had the lowest mortality rates. The linear associations may be due in part to the tracking of BMI between childhood and adulthood. High BMI in adults is known to be associated with raised blood pressure and abnormal lipid profiles. The relative contributions of adult and childhood overweight to the observed mortality patterns are uncertain. From the public health perspective, strategies aimed at reducing weight in childhood are important but may only affect adult health if such weight reduction persists into adulthood.

Adolescent↗

Effect of varying the time frame for COOP-WONCA functional health status charts: a nested randomised controlled trial in Bristol, UK.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether changing the stated time frame for COOP-WONCA charts has any effect on responses. Specifically, to assess the effect of attempting to avoid the situation where the time frame crosses the onset of an acute episode. DESIGN: A randomised controlled trial of two time frames, nested within a main trial comparing early discharge with a hospital at home scheme against routine discharge policy. The time frames compared were the standard two weeks (four for the pain chart) and a shorter period of 48 hours for all seven charts. SETTING: Acute hospital wards in Frenchay Healthcare Trust and the Avon Orthopaedic Centre in Bristol. PARTICIPANTS: Patients entered into the main trial, who were medically stable, in need of continued rehabilitative care but suitable for discharge to hospital at home. MAIN RESULTS: A total of 200 patients were randomised, 106 to the shorter time frame, 94 to the standard charts. No clear differences were observed between the two groups for the proportion failing to self complete the charts. For the (seven) chart scores, only pain was statistically significantly different between the time frames (Mann-Whitney p = 0.0085; proportion reporting moderate or severe pain 19% higher in the standard group, 95% confidence intervals 5% to 33%). For both this chart and that for change in health, however, there was evidence of greater differences between the versions of the chart among those admitted more recently (p values for relevant interactions 0.004 and < or = 0.001 respectively). CONCLUSIONS: While the present findings give some support for the wide applicability of the standard version, there is sufficient evidence here to indicate that the time frame may influence the results, particularly for patients with a recent acute episode. In the absence of further data, then, it would seem prudent to consider a shorter time frame for such patients, especially if the aim is to assess current health status or to measure changes over a comparatively short period of time, or both.

Activities of Daily Living↗