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Biomedical subjects

D S Allen

Publications and source records attributed to D S Allen.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Breast cancer risk is positively associated with height.

Inter- and intra-national epidemiological studies point to an association between socio-economic status and breast cancer risk. Although there is no direct evidence, the most favoured reason for this relationship is nutritional. An enhanced dietary status, especially during childhood, would be reflected in adult body build. It is, therefore, surprising that there is uncertainty in the literature concerning the association between height and breast cancer risk. In reviewing the publications on this topic it became apparent that case-control studies which found no association between height and risk tended to use self-reported height. In contrast reports claiming a significant, and positive, correlation tended to use heights which were measured by the investigators. In a prospective study we found in a cohort of 2731 ostensibly normal women that, although there was a highly significant linear correlation between self-reported and measured height, the shortest women over-estimated their height whilst the tallest volunteers under-estimated theirs. The significance of crude relative risk and height in this cohort was markedly attenuated when self-reported height was used compared to measured height. Such a systematic error could have a profound effect on the conclusions of studies in this field which relied on self-reporting and could explain the conflicting reports in the literature.

Adult

A prospective study of endogenous serum hormone concentrations and breast cancer risk in premenopausal women on the island of Guernsey.

The associations between serum concentrations of oestradiol, progesterone, testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) and risk of breast cancer in premenopausal women were investigated in a prospective study of breast cancer on the island of Guernsey. Sixty-two women diagnosed with breast cancer an average of 8 years subsequent to blood collection were matched for day of menstrual cycle, age and year of blood collection with 182 control subjects. Cases had a 12% higher mean oestradiol concentration over the whole menstrual cycle (P = 0.17) with a large difference at mid-cycle (75% higher, P = 0.04). Differences between cases and control subjects in progesterone (luteal phase), testosterone and SHBG were small and not statistically significant: luteal phase progesterone 9% lower in cases, P = 0.64; testosterone 4% higher, P = 0.57; SHBG 8% higher, P = 0.24. The small difference in oestradiol concentration could be aetiologically important, but larger prospective studies are needed.

Breast Neoplasms

A prospective study of endogenous serum hormone concentrations and breast cancer risk in post-menopausal women on the island of Guernsey.

The associations between serum concentrations of oestradiol, testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) and risk of breast cancer in post-menopausal women were investigated in a prospective study on the island of Guernsey. Sixty-one women who developed breast cancer an average of 7.8 years after blood collection were matched for age, year of blood collection and number of years post-menopausal with 179 control subjects. Women using exogenous hormones at the time of blood collection were excluded from the study. Women who subsequently developed breast cancer had a 29% higher geometric mean oestradiol concentration than control women (P = 0.004). The odds ratio for breast cancer in the top third compared with the lowest third of the oestradiol concentration distribution was 5.03 (95% confidence interval 2.02-12.49, P for trend < 0.001). Adjusting for testosterone and SHBG concentrations did not substantially alter the odds ratio for oestradiol. Although testosterone and SHBG concentrations were associated with breast cancer risk, the concentrations of these hormones were correlated with those of oestradiol; the associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for oestradiol concentration. These data provide evidence that serum oestradiol concentrations in post-menopausal women may have a substantial effect on breast cancer risk.

Adult

A prospective study of urinary oestrogen excretion and breast cancer risk.

To test the hypothesis that high levels of endogenous oestrogens increase the risk for developing breast cancer, concentrations of oestrone, oestradiol and oestriol were measured in 24 h urine samples from 1000 women participants in a prospective study of breast cancer on the island of Guernsey. Sixty-nine subjects were diagnosed with breast cancer subsequent to urine collection. Among women who were premenopausal at the time of urine collection, cases excreted less oestrogen than controls; the odds ratios (95% CI) for breast cancer in the middle and upper thirds of the distribution of oestrogen excretion, in comparison with the lower third (reference group, assigned odds ratio = 1.0), were 0.5(0.2-1.2) and 0.4(0.2-1.1) respectively for oestrone, 0.8(0.4-1.8 and 0.4(0.2-1.1) for oestradiol, 0.7(0.3-1.6) and 0.7(0.3-1.6) for oestriol and 0.9(0.4-2.0) and 0.5(0.2-1.3) for total oestrogens. Among women who were post-menopausal at the time of urine collection, the trend was in the opposite direction, with an increase in risk associated with increased oestrogen excretion; the odds ratios were 0.9(0.3-2.2) and 1.1(0.5-2.8) for oestrone, 0.8(0.3-2.3) and 1.9(0.8-4.6) for oestradiol, 1.5(0.6-3.9) and 1.8(0.7-4.6) for oestriol and 0.9(0.4-2.6) and 1.9(0.7-4.7) for total oestrogens. The trends of increasing risk with increasing oestrogen excretion among post-menopausal women were statistically significant for oestradiol (P = 0.022) and for total oestrogens (P = 0.016). We conclude that high levels of endogenous oestrogens in post-menopausal women are associated with increased breast cancer risk, but that the relationship of oestrogens in premenopausal women with risk is unclear.

Adult

Cigarette smoking and urinary oestrogen excretion in premenopausal and post-menopausal women.

Cigarette smoking is associated with a reduction in the risk for endometrial cancer in post-menopausal women and it has been suggested that this is because smoking has an anti-oestrogenic effect. To investigate this, concentrations of oestrone, oestradiol and oestriol were measured in 24 h urine samples from 167 premenopausal women (53 smokers, 114 non-smokers) and 200 post-menopausal women (54 smokers, 146 non-smokers). Among premenopausal women there were no significant differences in oestrogen excretion between smokers and non-smokers. Among post-menopausal women, geometric mean excretion rates for oestrone and oestradiol did not differ significantly between groups, but oestriol excretion was 19% lower (95% confidence interval -34% to -1%) in smokers than in non-smokers. This may partly explain the reduced risk for endometrial cancer among post-menopausal smokers.

Adult

Serum prolactin levels and their relationship to survival in women with operable breast cancer.

The prognostic value of serum prolactin levels was assessed in a sequential series of 739 patients who were initially treated at Guy's Hospital, London, between 1975 and 1980. Prolactin was measured in 472 patients 1 day before (Hpr1) and in 457 patients 10 days after (Hpr2) mastectomy. Follow-up of the patients was up to August 1992 giving 6139 women-years with a median follow-up time of 11.5 years (13.7 for patients still living and 5.1 for those dead). The association between the three prolactin variables and reproductive and clinical factors was examined before assessing the prognostic value of prolactin levels in terms of overall, disease-specific and disease-free survival. Multivariate survival models were used in order to adjust for the effect of other prognostic variables. These were found to be: tumour size, degree of nodal involvement, tumour grade and age at diagnosis. The results showed that high Hpr2 or high postoperative increase in prolactin (i.e. Hpr2-Hpr1) were significantly related to shorter disease-specific survival (p = 0.04 and 0.01, respectively) in postmenopausal women. In addition there was some indication, which did not attain formal significance, for this association to occur for disease-free survival. Thus the rise in blood prolactin levels after surgery may be a weak indicator of poor prognosis of breast cancer in postmenopausal women.

Adult

Bone density of normal women in relation to endogenous and exogenous oestrogens.

To evaluate the relationship between duration of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) and forearm bone density, a population-based study has been conducted of 4638 women comparing bone density of 1079 women who had taken HRT for varying times with those who had never taken it. Forearm bone mineral content (BMC) was measured by single photon absorptiometry. Additionally, free oestradiol and sex hormone binding globulin levels were measured in women with high and low bone mineral content. There were no detectable differences in BMC in those who took HRT for up to 24 months compared with those who did not. Thereafter there were significant positive regression coefficients for duration periods of 2 to 5 yr (beta = 0.77, P = 0.04 and beta = 1.76, P = 0.03) and more than 5 yr (beta = 1.66, P < 0.0005 and beta = 1.87, P = 0.009) in post-menopausal and oophorectomized women. The major determinants of BMC were height, and in post-menopausal or oophorectomized women, age. Weight and parity also had additional explanatory power for pre- and post-menopausal women. Those who were in the highest quintile of BMC but had never taken HRT showed significantly elevated percentage free oestradiol compared with those in the lowest quintile. Thus HRT is osteoprotective if taken after the menopause for more than 24 months.

Adult

Copper in human mammary carcinogenesis: a case-cohort study.

In 1968-1975, a cohort of 5,100 ostensibly healthy women was established on the island of Guernsey, England, for investigation of the influence of hormonal factors on breast cancer. At the women's entry into the study, blood samples were drawn from each participant, and each woman completed a questionnaire that provided information on established risk indicators in human mammary carcinogenesis. Plasma copper levels were measured in 46 breast cancer cases diagnosed an average of 11 years (standard deviation (SD), 4) after entry into the study cohort and in an age-stratified random sample of 138 women drawn from the total initial cohort at risk. Plasma copper levels were 1.31 mg/liter (SD, 0.37) in the cases and 1.26 mg/liter (SD, 0.36) in the controls; the 95% confidence interval for the overall difference was -0.07 to 0.17. A U-shaped relation between premorbid plasma copper levels and the risk of developing breast cancer was seen. Adjusted odds ratios for breast cancer were 1.8, 1.0, 1.6, and 3.2, respectively, in the four quartiles of the copper distribution. No major changes in the risk estimates were observed when statistical evaluation was restricted to cases diagnosed more than 10 years after collection of blood samples.

Adult

The association of height, weight, menstrual and reproductive events with breast cancer: results from two prospective studies on the island of Guernsey (United Kingdom).

The association with breast cancer of menstrual and reproductive events, family history of breast cancer, and body size have been studied on two cohorts of 6,706 volunteers on the island of Guernsey (United Kingdom), 168 of whom had breast cancer detected during follow-up. The median follow-up time of the non-cases was 21 years in the first study and 10 years in the second. A time-dependent Cox regression model was fitted to the data with age as the time-dependent variable in order to represent the effect of changing menopausal status. Other variables examined in the model were age at menarche, parity, age at first birth, family history of breast cancer, height, weight (both directly measured), relative weight (weight [kg]/height[m]), and Quetelet's body mass index (weight[kg]/height[m]2). Interactions between age and all other covariates also were examined. Family history was found to be the most important risk factor for women aged less than 51 years (relative risk [RR] = 3.5, 95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 2.0-6.0), and intervals between menarche and first birth longer than 14 years were found to increase significantly the risk of breast cancer in women older than 61 years (RR = 2.4, CI = 1.3-4.4). Height was the only indicator of body size which was associated significantly with risk of breast cancer, the estimated regression coefficient indicating an increase in risk of about 70 percent for women on the 90th centile of height relative to those on the 10th centile. A survey of the literature showed that the association between risk of breast cancer and height was found in those studies which used direct measurements of height but not in others which used self-reported values.

Age Factors

A prospective study of obesity, lipids, apolipoproteins and ischaemic heart disease in women.

The aim of the study was to examine the relationships of obesity, lipids and apolipoproteins with the risk for subsequent ischaemic heart disease in middle-aged women, using a case-control study nested within a cohort study. A total of 3634 women aged 26-88 were recruited in Guernsey between 1977 and 1985 and followed until June 1986 by abstraction of their general practitioners' records. Fifty-one cases of incident ischaemic heart disease (11 myocardial infarction, 40 angina) were identified. For each case up to 4 controls were selected, matched for age and date at recruitment. Odds ratios for the development of ischaemic heart disease in the middle and upper thirds of the distribution for each variable in the controls, relative to the lowest third (and two-sided P-values for linear trends), were: 3.0, 2.6 (0.015) for Quetelet's index; 3.3, 5.1 (0.003) for total cholesterol; 0.5, 0.6 (0.102) for apolipoprotein A-I; 1.8, 2.4 (0.015) for apolipoprotein B; 1.3, 2.1 (0.155) for apolipoprotein(a). The increased risks associated with increased Quetelet's index and total cholesterol were independent of each other and these variables were more strongly related to myocardial infarction than to angina. The relationships of risk with serum cotinine, fatty acids, dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate and sex hormone binding globulin were weak and did not approach statistical significance.

Adult

Relationship of blood prolactin levels and the risk of subsequent breast cancer.

Between 1968 and 1976 a total of 5162 women volunteers were enrolled into a prospective study conducted on the Island of Guernsey. Up to February 1990 145 women subsequently developed breast cancer. Blood samples were taken at the time of enrollment and prolactin levels were known for 85% of the volunteers. In calculating the relationship between blood prolactin levels and subsequent breast cancer risk, women were excluded if they had a hysterectomy or an oophorectomy or had cancer at any site before enrollment. The final analysis was based on 2596 premenopausal and 1180 naturally postmenopausal women and, of these respectively, there were 71 and 40 volunteers who subsequently developed breast cancer. The total follow-up for these two groups was 49,941 and 22,360 woman-years, respectively. In assessing the relationship between blood prolactin levels and risk of subsequent breast cancer the cohort was divided into quintiles according to prolactin concentration and relative risks (RR) were estimated. In calculating these values possible confounding by age at entry, age at menarche, parity, age at first birth, years since menopause, body build, history of benign breast disease and family history of breast cancer were taken into consideration. There was no significant relation between risk of breast cancer and prolactin in either pre- or postmenopausal women. Hence prolactin appears not to be an important determinant of breast cancer risk.

Adolescent

Selenium in human mammary carcinogenesis: a case-cohort study.

In a prospective study conducted on the island of Guernsey a cohort of 5162 ostensibly healthy women was enrolled between 1967 and 1976. Blood samples were drawn from each participant, who also completed a questionnaire, which provided information on established risk indicators in human mammary carcinogenesis. Plasma selenium levels were measured in 46 breast cancer cases diagnosed a mean of 11 (S.D. 4) years after entry into the study cohort and in an age-stratified sample of 138 women drawn from the study base. Plasma selenium level in the cases was 109 (28) micrograms/l and in the base sample 103 (22) micrograms/l (95% confidence interval for the overall difference, -2 to 14 micrograms/l). The adjusted relative risk of developing breast cancer in the different quartiles of the selenium distribution was 0.80, 0.79, 0.72 and 1.00, respectively. Thus, in the present study selenium was not a strong indicator of human breast cancer risk.

Adult

Relationship of mammographic parenchymal patterns with breast cancer risk factors and risk of breast cancer in a prospective study.

A prospective study has been conducted on 4954 female volunteers from the Island of Guernsey between 1977 and 1985 to examine risk factors for breast cancer and their relationship to mammographic parenchymal patterns as assessed by Wolfe's method of grading. Up to September 1988, 69 women had developed breast cancer, 11 of whom were prevalent cases being diagnosed within six months of mammography. The remaining incident cases were diagnosed six to 126 months (median 65 months) after entry to the study. Univariate analysis showed that the distribution of Wolfe grades in the population was significantly associated with menopausal status, age, parity, adiposity, age at menarche, age at first childbirth and use of oral contraception, but not with a family history of breast cancer. Multivariate analysis of the data for these variables from either pre- and/or post-menopausal women indicated that age, parity and adiposity were significantly related to Wolfe grade pattern. Age had an opposite effect in pre- compared with postmenopausal women thus the probability of either a P2 or DY pattern increased with increasing age in premenopausal but decreased in postmenopausal women so that incidence peaked around the menopause. Other variables did not achieve significance in the multivariate analysis. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for women with P2 or DY patterns using those with N1 or P1 grades as the reference group. The ORs were determined at two censoring times; one at five years and the other to include the most recent follow-up of this cohort. The ORs were adjusted for years of follow-up, age and adiposity and in postmenopausal women adjustment was also made for age at menarche.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adult