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D Shindell

Publications and source records attributed to D Shindell.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

The global atmospheric environment for the next generation.

Air quality, ecosystem exposure to nitrogen deposition, and climate change are intimately coupled problems: we assess changes in the global atmospheric environment between 2000 and 2030 using 26 state-of-the-art global atmospheric chemistry models and three different emissions scenarios. The first (CLE) scenario reflects implementation of current air quality legislation around the world, while the second (MFR) represents a more optimistic case in which all currently feasible technologies are applied to achieve maximum emission reductions. We contrast these scenarios with the more pessimistic IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Ensemble simulations for the year 2000 are consistent among models and show a reasonable agreement with surface ozone, wet deposition, and NO2 satellite observations. Large parts of the world are currently exposed to high ozone concentrations and high deposition of nitrogen to ecosystems. By 2030, global surface ozone is calculated to increase globally by 1.5 +/- 1.2 ppb (CLE) and 4.3 +/- 2.2 ppb (A2), using the ensemble mean model results and associated +/-1 sigma standard deviations. Only the progressive MFR scenario will reduce ozone, by -2.3 +/- 1.1 ppb. Climate change is expected to modify surface ozone by -0.8 +/- 0.6 ppb, with larger decreases over sea than over land. Radiative forcing by ozone increases by 63 +/- 15 and 155 +/- 37 mW m(-2) for CLE and A2, respectively, and decreases by -45 +/- 15 mW m(-2) for MFR. We compute that at present 10.1% of the global natural terrestrial ecosystems are exposed to nitrogen deposition above a critical load of 1 g N m(-2) yr(-1). These percentages increase by 2030 to 15.8% (CLE), 10.5% (MFR), and 25% (A2). This study shows the importance of enforcing current worldwide air quality legislation and the major benefits of going further. Nonattainment of these air quality policy objectives, such as expressed by the SRES-A2 scenario, would further degrade the global atmospheric environment.

Air Pollutants↗

Solar cycle variability, ozone, and climate

Results from a global climate model including an interactive parameterization of stratospheric chemistry show how upper stratospheric ozone changes may amplify observed, 11-year solar cycle irradiance changes to affect climate. In the model, circulation changes initially induced in the stratosphere subsequently penetrate into the troposphere, demonstrating the importance of the dynamical coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere. The model reproduces many observed 11-year oscillations, including the relatively long record of geopotential height variations; hence, it implies that these oscillations are likely driven, at least in part, by solar variability.

Journal Article↗

Oxygen uptake transients at the onset and offset of arm and leg work.

The halftimes (t1/2) of the VO2 on-and off-responses have been determined on 4 moderately active subjects (1) in arm cranking (VO2 congruent to 1 1/min). (2) in leg pedaling at 4 graded submaximal (VO2 congruent to 0.8 to 2.51/min) work loads, and (3) when superimposing arm cranking on preexisting leg pedaling, both in the supine and in the upright position. In supine experiments the mean t1/2 of the VO2 on-response was longer for arm cranking than for leg pedaling (64 vs 44-49 sec) at equal VO2; however, at the same percentage of arm and leg VO2 max the respective t1/2 were similar. In sitting experiments all t1/2 of the VO2 on-response were shorter than when supine, but the t1/2 for the arms were still slightly longer than those for the legs. When arm cranking was superimposed on preexisting leg pedaling, the t1/4 for arms was reduced both in supine (from 64 to 35-38 sec) and in the sitting position (from 44 to 40 sec). The halftime of the VO2 off-response were much shorter (20-32 sec) than those of the on-response and similar in all experiments. In all conditions the O2 deficits at work onset were considerably larger than the fast component of the corresponding O2 debts during the first minutes of recovery. The difference was totally accounted for by anaerobic glycolysis occurring early during the VO2 on-response, particularly in arm exercise. It is concluded that at submaximal work loads the O2 deficit is accounted for the fast component of the O2 debt plus the O2 equivalent of the early lactate production.

Adult↗

Effects of increased ambient pressure and nitrogen on man's monosynaptic reflexes.

Neurological signs during dives may result from altered excitability of central neurons. The present study assesses the effect of an increase in pressure from 1 to 3 ATA on the excitability of muscle spindles and alpha motoneurons by comparing the EMG amplitudes of the mechanically and electrically elicited monosynaptic reflexes of the gastrocnemius-soleus muscle in 10 normal adults breathing a normoxic oxygen-nitrogen gas mixture. At the surface the amplitude of the electrically elicited H response was matched to that of the mechanically elicited Achilles tendon reflex (ATR), but at depth these amplitudes became significantly different. In every subject the amplitude of the ATR, which depends upon the excitability of both muscle spindles and the alpha motoneurons, was reduced on an average of 38% (with a range of 12-75%). The H response bypasses the muscle spindles and hence, depends primarily upon alpha motoneuron excitability. Its amplitude was unaltered in four, reduced in three, and increased in three subjects. Since the ATR was always depressed despite the direction of change in the H response, we have concluded that an increase in ambient pressure (i.e., pressure per se, or nitrogen, or both) must have decreased the responsiveness of muscle spindles to the tendon tap via a reduction in fusimotor activity.

Achilles Tendon↗