Biomedical subjects

D Spiegelman

Publications and source records attributed to D Spiegelman.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed1996

Human immunodeficiency virus infection in Mexico City. Rectal bleeding and anal warts as risk factors among men reporting sex with men.

The objectives of this study were to evaluate the frequency and determinants of rectal bleeding and the association between rectal bleeding and risk of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection among homosexual/ bisexual men in Mexico City. Men who requested anonymous HIV testing at a public clinic in Mexico City and who reported engaging in any homosexual behavior were eligible to participate in this study. Trained staff collected information on demographic factors, sexual behavior, psychological states, and HIV serostatus from all consenting, eligible clients. Logistic regression modeling was used to investigate the independent effect of risk factors among 2,758 men who were tested between June 1991 and December 1992. Bleeding during anal intercourse was a common occurrence: More than one third of the men in the study reported some bleeding, and 8% reported bleeding in half or more of their intercourse episodes. The prevalence of HIV infection among bleeders was 42% as compared with 28% in nonbleeders (p < 0.0001), and the adjusted odds ratio was 1.8 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-2.8) for men who bled in more than half of their anal intercourse episodes relative to nonbleeders. There was a trend of increasing HIV seroprevalence with increasing frequency of rectal bleeding (p = 0.001). Nine percent of all HIV infections and 42% of infections among frequent bleeders were attributable to rectal bleeding. Men who reported both rectal bleeding and anal warts were 3.5 (95% CI 2.1-5.8) times more likely to be HIV-infected in multivariate analysis than men reporting neither rectal bleeding nor anal warts. Determinants of rectal bleeding included older age, more education, more receptive anal intercourse than insertive intercourse, receptive digital-anal contact, anal warts, and genital ulcers. Among men reporting sex with men in Mexico City, rectal bleeding is common. It is an independent risk factor for HIV infection, and warrants attention in acquired immunodeficiency syndrome prevention efforts. Rectal bleeding that results from rupture of anal warts may be an especially effective portal of HIV transmission.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

A methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase polymorphism and the risk of colorectal cancer.

We examined the relationship of a common polymorphism (667C-->T) of the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) gene with the risk of colorectal cancer in a case-control study conducted in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study. MTHFR genotypes were ascertained from blood samples among 144 men previously diagnosed with colorectal cancer and 627 controls. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for the MTHFR variant homozygous (val/val) genotype was 0.57 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.30-1.06]. High dietary intake of methionine (OR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.06-1.20) and low consumption of alcohol (OR, 0.11; 95% CI, 0.01-0.85) were associated with reduced incidence of colorectal cancer. Alcohol intake was a stronger risk factor among men with the val/val genotype (P, trend = 0.01), and consumption of five or more alcoholic drinks per week abolished the reduced risk of colorectal cancer among val/val individuals (P, interaction = 0.02). The inverse association of methionine with colorectal cancer risk was slightly stronger among individuals with the MTHFR val/val genotype. These data suggest that dietary methyl supply is particularly critical among MTHFR val/val individuals. When dietary methyl supply is high, MTHFR val/val individuals may be at reduced risk of colorectal cancer probably because higher levels of 5,10-methylenetetrahydrofolate may prevent imbalances of nucleotide pools during DNA synthesis. In contrast, when 5-methyltetrahydrofolate is depleted by alcohol consumption, val/val individuals may be less able to compensate, leading to potentially oncogenic alterations in DNA methylation.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Hormone levels during dietary changes in premenopausal African-American women.

BACKGROUND: In the United States, 5-year survival rates of 69% and 84%, respectively, have recently been reported for African-American and Caucasian women diagnosed with breast cancer. Differences in the levels of endogenous sex hormones in these populations could explain some of the variation in survival rates, since estrogen is recognized as a risk factor for this type of cancer. PURPOSE: Dietary factors are known to affect endogenous hormone levels; therefore, our study was designed to determine the serum hormone levels of African-American women consuming a typical North American diet, to determine the effect of a low-fat and high-fiber diet on their serum hormone levels, and to compare the base-line serum hormone levels in the African-American women with hormone data from our study of Caucasian women (n = 68) consuming the same control diet. METHODS: Twenty-one healthy, premenopausal, African-American women who agreed to eat only food prepared in a clinical study unit were recruited into the study. The control diet was similar to their usual diet, being high in fat (40% of calories from fat) and low in fiber (12 g/day), and was consumed on average for 3 weeks. The concentrations of estrone (E1), estrone sulfate (E1SO4), estradiol (E2), free E2, androstenedione, and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) in serum samples obtained from the participants during the last week of the control diet and during the follicular phase of their menstrual cycle were determined. The women were then switched to a diet low in fat (20% of calories as fat) and high in fiber (40 g/day); they consumed this diet for two menstrual cycles before blood samples were collected for determination of serum hormone levels. Repeated-measures regression modeling was used to investigate the relationship between diet and hormone levels in African-American and Caucasian women. All P values resulted from two-sided statistical tests. RESULTS: Analysis of serum hormone levels in the African-American women indicated that the change in diet caused a significant decrease in E2 (-8.5%; 95% confidence interval [CI] = -16.1% to -0.3%; P < or = .03) and E1SO4 (-16.2%; 95% CI = -22.1% to -9.8%; P < .0001) and a significant increase in androstenedione levels (+18.3%; 95% CI = +10.3% to +26.8%; P < .0001). SHBG levels of the African-American women were 5.6% (95% CI = -14.0% to +3.7%) lower for those on the experimental diet compared with those on the control diet, but the difference was not statistically significant. Comparison of control serum hormone values in the African-American women in this study with those in Caucasian women previously studied indicated that the Caucasian women had statistically significant lower levels of E1 (-37%; 95% CI = -61.2% to -16.4%; P < or = .0002), E2 (-54.5%; 95% CI = -90.9% to -25.1%; P < or = .0001), free E2 (-30.2%; 95% CI = -65.7% to -2.3%; P < .03), and androstenedione (-48.3%; 95% CI = -83.7% to -19.7%; P < or = .0004). CONCLUSION: African-American women appear to have higher levels of serum hormones than Caucasian women, and dietary modification can result in a lowering of serum estrogens.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Birth weight and adult hypertension and obesity in women.

BACKGROUND: Low birth weight has been associated with an increased risk of hypertension, and high birth weight has been associated with increased adult body mass index. Published studies on adults have included only a small number of women. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 71 100 women in the Nurses Health Study I (NHS I) who were 30 to 55 years of age in 1976 and 92 940 women in the Nurses' Health Study II (NHS II) who were 25 to 42 years of age in 1989. Information on birth weight, blood pressure, physician-diagnosed hypertension, and other relevant variables was collected by biennial mailed questionnaire. Ninety-five percent of the women were white. Compared with women in the middle category of birth weight (NHS I, 7.1 to 8.5 lb; NHS II, 7.0 to 8.4 lb), the age-adjusted odds ratio of hypertension in NHS I women with birth weights < 5.0 lb was 1.39 (95% CI, 1.29 to 1.50); in NHS II, for birth weights < 5.5 lb, the age-adjusted odds ratio was 1.43 (95% CI, 1.31 to 1.56). There was no material change in the estimates after adjustment for other risk factors. In addition, compared with women in NHS I who weighed 7.1 to 8.5 lb at birth, those who weighed > 10 lb had an age-adjusted odds ratio of 1.62 (95% CI, 1.38 to 1.90) of being in the highest (> 29.2 kg/m2) versus the lowest (< 21.9 kg/ m2) quintile of body mass index in midlife. Similar results were seen in the NHS II cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Early life exposures affecting birth weight may be important in the development of hypertension and obesity in adults.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Determinants of HIV infection among female commercial sex workers in northeastern Thailand: results from a longitudinal study.

Our objective was to estimate HIV seroconversion rates among commercial sex workers (CSWs) between 1990 and 1991 and to identify the behavioral, demographic, and reproductive determinants of these rates. This study has a prospective (n = 240 with 15 cases) and a cross-sectional component (n = 271 with 34 cases). In November 1990, HIV-negative female CSWs from 24 brothels in Khon Kaen city were interviewed and were followed prospectively for up to 1 year. In March, June, and September 1991, additional HIV-negative CSWs were enrolled and prospectively followed. HIV seroconversion rates were calculated, and the Cox regression model was used to estimate the relative risks of HIV seroconversion from demographic, sexual practice, and reproductive factors, adjusted for the effects of the others, among 232 of the 240 without missing data. Seroprevalence rates were also calculated for the 271 participants enrolled between March and December 1991, and relative risks of HIV seroprevalence were calculated for demographic, sexual practice, and reproductive risk factors among 184 of the 271 without missing data. The average seroprevalence was 12.5% (95% confidence interval 9.6-15.4%). With 1,947 person-months of observation obtained from 240 participants who were uninfected at baseline and seen at least twice during the course of the study, the cumulative incidence of HIV seroconversion between November 1990 and December 1991 was 9.4% (95% confidence interval 5.4-13.4%), and the average incidence rate of HIV seroconversion was 9.2 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval 4.6-13.9 per 100 person-years). In the multivariate analysis, later date of enrollment into the study, having < 3 months experience as a CSW, and use of injectable contraceptives were the only risk factors that remained significant, with relative risks of 2.1 (95% confidence interval 1.2-3.7) for enrollment 3 months later, 3.8 (95% confidence interval 1.0-14.4) for < 3 months experience as a CSW versus > 3 months experience, and 3.9 (95% confidence interval 1.3-11.8) [corrected] for use of injectable contraceptives. In multivariate analysis of the cross-sectional data with 184 participants, of whom 21 were HIV seropositive, risk of HIV seropositivity increased significantly with current syphilis infection (odds ratio 5.8, 95% confidence interval 1.1-31.0). The results of this study will contribute to a better understanding of the risk factors of infection with HIV and thus allow for better targeting of group-specific interventions, particularly for CSWs and their clients. Further investigation of a possible association between injectable contraceptive use and HIV infection is needed.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

Prospective study of oral contraceptives and hypertension among women in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Oral contraceptives induce hypertension in approximately 5% of users of high-dose pills that contain at least 50 micrograms estrogen and 1 to 4 mg progestin, and small increases in blood pressure have been reported even among users of modern low-dose formulations. However, neither the responsible hormone in the oral contraceptive nor particular subgroups of women who might be susceptible to the hypertensive effect of oral contraceptives have been identified. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a prospective cohort study in the United States, 68 297 female nurses aged 25 to 42 years and free of diagnosed hypertension, diabetes, coronary heart disease, stroke, and cancer at baseline were followed up for 4 years. During 231 006 person-years of follow-up, 1567 incident cases of hypertension were diagnosed. Compared with women who had never used oral contraceptives, the age-adjusted relative risk was 1.5 (95% CI = 1.2 to 1.8) for current use and 1.1 (95% CI = 0.9 to 1.2) for past use. After adjustment for age, body mass index, hormones cigarette smoking, family history of hypertension, parity, physical activity, alcohol intake, and ethnicity, current users of oral contraceptives had an increased risk of development of hypertension (RR = 1.8; 95% CI = 1.5 to 2.3) compared with women who had never used them. The multivariate relative risk for past users was 1.2 (95% CI = 1.0 to 1.4). There were no important modifying effects of age, family history of hypertension, ethnicity, or body mass index. CONCLUSIONS: Current users of oral contraceptives had a significant, moderately increased risk of hypertension. However, among this group, only 41.5 cases per 10 000 person-years could be attributed to oral contraceptive use. Risk decreased quickly with cessation of oral contraceptives, and past users appeared to have only a slightly increased risk.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Dietary fat and risk of coronary heart disease in men: cohort follow up study in the United States.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between fat intake and the incidence of coronary heart disease in men of middle age and older. DESIGN: Cohort questionnaire study of men followed up for six years from 1986. SETTING: The health professionals follow up study in the United States. SUBJECTS: 43 757 health professionals aged 40 to 75 years free of diagnosed cardiovascular disease or diabetes in 1986. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incidence of acute myocardial infarction or coronary death. RESULTS: During follow up 734 coronary events were documented, including 505 non-fatal myocardial infarctions and 229 deaths. After age and several coronary risk factors were controlled for significant positive associations were observed between intake of saturated fat and risk of coronary disease. For men in the top versus the lowest fifth of saturated fat intake (median = 14.8% v 5.7% of energy) the multivariate relative risk for myocardial infarction was 1.22 (95% confidence interval 0.96 to 1.56) and for fatal coronary heart disease was 2.21 (1.38 to 3.54). After adjustment for intake of fibre the risks were 0.96 (0.73 to 1.27) and 1.72 (1.01 to 2.90), respectively. Positive associations between intake of cholesterol and risk of coronary heart disease were similarly attenuated after adjustment for fibre intake. Intake of linolenic acid was inversely associated with risk of myocardial infarction; this association became significant only after adjustment for non-dietary risk factors and was strengthened after adjustment for total fat intake (relative risk 0.41 for a 1% increase in energy, P for trend < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: These data do not support the strong association between intake of saturated fat and risk of coronary heart disease suggested by international comparisons. They are compatible, however, with the hypotheses that saturated fat and cholesterol intakes affect the risk of coronary heart disease as predicted by their effects on blood cholesterol concentration. They also support a specific preventive effect of linolenic acid intake.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Vegetable, fruit, and cereal fiber intake and risk of coronary heart disease among men.

OBJECTIVE: To examine prospectively the relationship between dietary fiber and risk of coronary heart disease. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: In 1986, a total of 43,757 US male health professionals 40 to 75 years of age and free from diagnosed cardiovascular disease and diabetes completed a detailed 131-item dietary questionnaire used to measure usual intake of total dietary fiber and specific food sources of fiber. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Fatal and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI). RESULTS: During 6 years of follow-up, we documented 734 cases of MI (229 were fatal coronary heart disease). The age-adjusted relative risk (RR) for total MI was 0.59 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.46 to 0.76) among men in the highest quintile of total dietary fiber intake (median, 28.9 g/d) compared with men in the lowest quartile (median, 12.4 g/d). The inverse association was strongest for fatal coronary disease (RR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.28 to 0.72). After controlling for smoking, physical activity and other known nondietary cardiovascular risk factors, dietary saturated fat, vitamin E, total energy intake, and alcohol intake, the RRs were only modestly attenuated. A 10-g increase in total dietary fiber corresponded to an RR for total MI of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.70 to 0.93). Within the three main food contributors to total fiber intake (vegetable, fruit, and cereal), cereal fiber was most strongly associated with a reduced risk of total MI (RR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.55 to 0.91 for each 10-g increase in cereal fiber per day). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest an inverse association between fiber intake and MI. These results support current national dietary guidelines to increase dietary fiber intake and suggest that fiber, independent of fat intake, is an important dietary component for the prevention of coronary disease.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Cohort studies of fat intake and the risk of breast cancer--a pooled analysis.

BACKGROUND: Experiments in animals, international correlation comparisons, and case-control studies support an association between dietary fat intake and the incidence of breast cancer. Most cohort studies do not corroborate the association, but they have been criticized for involving small numbers of cases, homogeneous fat intake, and measurement errors in estimates of fat intake. METHODS: We identified seven prospective studies in four countries that met specific criteria and analyzed the primary data in a standardized manner. Pooled estimates of the relation of fat intake to the risk of breast cancer were calculated, and data from study-specific validation studies were used to adjust the results for measurement error. RESULTS: Information about 4980 cases from studies including 337,819 women was available. When women in the highest quintile of energy-adjusted total fat intake were compared with women in the lowest quintile, the multivariate pooled relative risk of breast cancer was 1.05 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.94 to 1.16). Relative risks for saturated, monounsaturated, and polyunsaturated fat and for cholesterol, considered individually, were also close to unity. There was little overall association between the percentage of energy intake from fat and the risk of breast cancer, even among women whose energy intake from fat was less than 20 percent. Correcting for error in the measurement of nutrient intake did not materially alter these findings. CONCLUSIONS: We found no evidence of a positive association between total dietary fat intake and the risk of breast cancer. There was no reduction in risk even among women whose energy intake from fat was less than 20 percent of total energy intake. In the context of the Western lifestyle, lowering the total intake of fat in midlife is unlikely to reduce the risk of breast cancer substantially.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Prospective study of beverage use and the risk of kidney stones.

Patients with kidney stones are routinely advised to increase their fluid intake to decrease the risk of stone recurrence. However, there has been no detailed examination to determine whether the effect on recurrence varies by the type of beverage consumed. The authors conducted a prospective study of the relation between the intake of 21 different beverages and the risk of symptomatic kidney stones in a cohort of 45,289 men, 40-75 years of age, who had no history of kidney stones. Beverage use and other dietary information was measured by means of a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire in 1986. During 6 years of follow-up (242,100 person-years), 753 incident cases of kidney stones were documented. After adjusting simultaneously for age, dietary intake of calcium, animal protein and potassium, thiazide use, geographic region, profession, and total fluid intake, consumption of specific beverages significantly added to the prediction of kidney stone risk (p < 0.001). After mutually adjusting for the intake of other beverages, the risk of stone formation decreased by the following amount for each 240-ml (8-oz) serving consumed daily: caffeinated coffee, 10% (95% confidence interval 4-15%); decaffeinated coffee, 10% (3-16%); tea, 14% (5-22%); beer, 21% (12-30%); and wine, 39% (10-58%). For each 240-ml serving consumed daily, the risk of stone formation increased by 35% (4-75%) for apple juice and 37% (1-85%) for grapefruit juice. The authors conclude that beverage type may have an effect on stone formation that involves more than additional fluid intake alone.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Self-reported birthweight and history of having been breastfed among younger women: an assessment of validity.

BACKGROUND: Recent evidence suggests potential associations between birthweight and infant feeding history and risk of a variety of health outcomes during adulthood. Because studies may rely on self-reported birthweight and infant feeding history, it is important to assess the validity of this information. METHODS: The authors compared birthweights reported by a sample of 538 women, 27-44 years of age, participating in the Nurses' Healthy Study II (NHSII) cohort, with birthweights recalled by their mothers and with those from state birth records. In addition, we compared participants' self-reported history of having breastfed with their breastfeeding history reported by their mothers. RESULTS: For birthweight, the correlation between reports by the cohort participants and by their mothers was high (Spearman r = 0.75). Compared with weights recorded on state birth records, correlations were 0.74 for reports by cohort participants and 0.85 for reports by their mothers. When comparing NHSII participants' self-report of ever having been breastfed with their mothers' report, sensitivity was 82% and specificity was 86%. For duration of breastfeeding, the Spearman correlation between mother and daughter reports was 0.74. In analyses stratified by four ethnic groups (African-American, Asian, Caucasian, and Hispanic) we observed substantial differences in distribution of birthweight and breastfeeding patterns; however, the degree of validity in reporting them was similar. CONCLUSION: The validity of self-reported birthweight and breastfeeding history by these middle-aged women appears to be high.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Reproducibility and validity of a self-administered physical activity questionnaire for male health professionals.

We assessed the reproducibility and validity of a self-administered physical activity questionnaire used in a prospective study of 51,529 men. The questionnaire was administered by mail twice to 238 participants 2 years apart. During this interval, the participants completed a past-week recall and a 1-week activity diary at four times corresponding to different seasons throughout a year. Also, a step test was taken by a subset of the study participants. The intraclass correlation coefficients used to measure reproducibility were 0.39 for inactivity, 0.42 for nonvigorous activity, and 0.52 for vigorous activity. The correlations between diary-based and questionnaire-based activity scores, adjusted for variation in the diary measurements, were 0.41 for inactivity, 0.28 for nonvigorous activity, and 0.58 for vigorous activity. The distribution of activity scores was similar between the questionnaires and the average of past-week recalls, indicating the participants' ability to incorporate seasonal variation into their recall on a questionnaire. The correlation between vigorous activity and resting pulse was -0.45, whereas, for the pulse rate after stepping, the correlation was -0.41. These data indicate that this physical activity questionnaire is reproducible and provides a useful measure of average weekly activity, particularly vigorous activity, over a 1-year period.

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Body size and fat distribution as predictors of coronary heart disease among middle-aged and older US men.

Obesity, android fat distribution, and other anthropometric measures have been associated with coronary heart disease in long-term prospective studies. However, fluctuations in weight due to age-related hormonal changes and changes in lifestyle practices may bias relative risk estimates over a long follow-up period. The authors prospectively studied the association between body mass index (BMI) (kg/m2), waist-to-hip ratio, and height as independent predictors of incident coronary heart disease in a 3-year prospective study among 29,122 US men aged 40-75 years in 1986. The authors documented 420 incident coronary events during the follow-up period. Body mass index, waist-to-hip ratio, short stature, and weight gain since age 21 were associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease. Among men younger than 65, after adjusting for other coronary risk factors, the relative risk was 1.72 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-2.69) for men with BMI of 25-28.9, 2.61 (95% CI 1.54-4.42) for BMI of 29.0-32.9, and 3.44 (95% CI 1.67-7.09) for obese men with BMI > or = 33 compared with lean men with BMI < 23.0. Among men > or = 65 years of age, the association between BMI and risk of coronary heart disease was much weaker. However, in this age group, the waist-to-hip ratio was a much stronger predictor of risk (relative risk = 2.76, 95% CI 1.22-6.23 between extreme quintiles). These results suggest that for younger men, obesity, independent of fat distribution, is a strong risk factor for coronary heart disease. For older men, measures of fat distribution may be better than body mass index at predicting risk of coronary disease.

Adipose Tissue↗

PubMed1995

Changes in plasma lipoprotein concentrations and composition in response to a low-fat, high-fiber diet are associated with changes in serum estrogen concentrations in premenopausal women.

We have investigated the effects of a low-fat, high-fiber diet on plasma lipid and lipoprotein levels and serum sex hormone concentrations in 22 normal premenopausal women (mean age, 25.8 +/- 3.8 years). Participants consumed a baseline diet for 4 weeks (40% of calories as fat, 16% as saturated fatty acids, 8% as polyunsaturated fatty acids, 400 mg/d cholesterol, and 12 g/d dietary fiber) and then a low-fat, high-fiber diet for 8 to 10 weeks (16% to 18% of calories as fat, 4% as saturated fatty acids, 4% as polyunsaturated fatty acids, 150 mg/d cholesterol, and 40 g/d fiber). Blood samples for determination of plasma lipids and serum hormones were obtained during the follicular and luteal phases of the menstrual cycle during both diets. Compared with the baseline diet, the low-fat, high-fiber diet resulted in significant decreases in total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol concentrations during both the follicular and luteal phases (TC, -14% and -16%; LDL cholesterol, -14% and -17%; and HDL cholesterol, -15% and -18%, respectively). During the follicular phase but not the luteal phase on the low-fat, high-fiber diet, women exhibited significant increases in plasma triglyceride ([TG] 22%) and very-low-density lipoprotein (VLDL)-TG (36%) concentrations. During the follicular phase, serum estrone sulfate concentrations decreased by 25% (P < .0001) when subjects were fed the low-fat, high-fiber diet.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adult↗

PubMed1995

Reproducibility of plasma hormone levels in postmenopausal women over a 2-3-year period.

We evaluated the reproducibility of plasma hormone levels over time in 79 healthy postmenopausal women, ages 51-69 years at baseline, who were not using postmenopausal hormones. Three blood samples were collected between 1989 and 1992 from each of these women. We assessed plasma levels of estradiol, free estradiol, percentage of free estradiol, bioavailable estradiol, percentage of bioavailable estradiol, estrone, estrone sulfate, sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), androstenedione, testosterone, dehydroepiandrosterone, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, and prolactin at each of three sample collections. The means and SD for each of the plasma estrogens, SHBG, and prolactin were similar at each collection. For the androgens, plasma levels tended to decrease over time consistent with an aging effect; decreases with increasing age were statistically significant for androstenedione, dehydroepiandrosterone, and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) ranged from 0.92 (95% confidence interval = 0.89-0.95) for SHBG to 0.53 (95% confidence interval = 0.43-0.69) for prolactin. Most correlations were at least 0.70. The ICCs did not vary by age or time since menopause. Women who changed weight over the course of the study tended to have lower ICCs for a number of the hormones, although these differences were not statistically significant. These data indicate that, for most of these plasma hormones, a single measurement can reliably categorize average levels over at least a 3-year period in postmenopausal women.

Age Distribution↗

PubMed1994

Validation of the Gail et al. model for predicting individual breast cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: The Gail et al. model is considered the best available means for estimating an individual woman's risk of developing breast cancer. Such estimates are useful in decision making on the part of women, in designing prevention trials, and in targeting screening and prevention efforts. PURPOSE: Our purpose was to evaluate the ability of the model to accurately predict individual breast cancer risk, using a large population independent of the one from which the model was derived. METHODS: We compared the number of cancer cases predicted by the model to the actual number of cases observed in the Nurses' Health Study. The study population was 115,172 women who did not have breast cancer at the beginning of the study. Questionnaires were sent to participants every 2 years, seeking data on risk factors and diagnoses of breast cancer. Follow-up compliance was 95% over the 12-year study period. RESULTS: The model over-predicted absolute breast cancer risk by 33% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 28%-39%), with the overprediction more than twofold among premenopausal women (95% CI = 1.9-2.2), among women with extensive family history of breast cancer (95% CI = 1.1-3.9), and among women with age at first birth younger than 20 years (95% CI = 1.3-4.7). The correlation coefficient between observed and predicted risk was 0.67, indicating that the model is less than satisfactory for ranking individual levels of breast cancer risk. Overprediction occurred at all deciles of predicted risk. CONCLUSIONS: The model's performance is unsatisfactory for estimating breast cancer risk for individual women aged 25-61 years who do not participate in annual screening. Lower mammography screening rates in the Nurses' Health Study may account for some, but not all, of the discrepancy between observed and predicted cases. IMPLICATIONS: A recent modification of the model by the tamoxifen trial investigators is likely to have provided accurate power calculations. This modified form of the model should be useful for planning other large, population-based studies.

Adult↗

PubMed1994

Human adipose alpha-tocopherol and gamma-tocopherol kinetics during and after 1 y of alpha-tocopherol supplementation.

Alpha-tocopherol and gamma-tocopherol were monitored in human adipose by using needle biopsies in four subjects during a 1-y supplementation trial with 800 mg all-rac-alpha-tocopherol/d, and for 1 additional year after cessation of supplement. Some increase in adipose alpha-tocopherol (per milligram adipose cholesterol) and a more consistent decrease in gamma-tocopherol were observed during the supplementation period. The alpha-tocopherol/gamma-tocopherol ratio rose consistently during supplementation and fell only gradually after the supplement was stopped. We estimate that > or = 2 y are required for the alpha-tocopherol/gamma-tocopherol ratio to reach a new steady state after a change in alpha-tocopherol intake. In a cross-sectional measurement in five subjects who reported long-term use of alpha-tocopherol supplements (> or = 250 mg/d), and in five other subjects who reported no supplement use, the adipose alpha-tocopherol/gamma-tocopherol ratio clearly discriminated between the two groups (P < 0.002). This ratio may be of value in ranking individuals according to long-term alpha-tocopherol intake.

Adipose Tissue↗

PubMed1994

Clinical utility of chest auscultation in common pulmonary diseases.

In this investigation we applied the techniques of lung sound mapping and time-expanded wave-form analysis to four common diseases that involve the lung: interstitial pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), congestive heart failure (CHF), and pneumonia (Pn). Twenty subjects were studied in each group. We also studied 15 subjects without evidence of lung disease. Differences in timing, character, and location were observed, which allowed separation among these groups. Multiple logistic regression models were created and tested by the bootstrap method. Regression models correctly classified 68 and 79% of subjects. Area under the receiver operating curve ranged from 0.96 for IPF and CHF to 0.80 for COPD. We conclude that auscultatory differences exist among common pulmonary conditions and that statistical models based on auscultatory data perform well in predicting diagnostic categories.

Aged↗