Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Daniel S Berman.
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PURPOSE: To develop risk-adjusted multivariable models that included risk factors and coronary calcium scores determined with electron-beam computed tomography (CT) in asymptomatic patients for the prediction of all-cause mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We followed up a cohort of 10,377 asymptomatic individuals undergoing cardiac risk factor evaluation and coronary calcium screening with electron-beam CT. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were developed to predict all-cause mortality. Risk-adjusted models incorporated traditional risk factors for coronary disease and coronary calcium scores. RESULTS: Cardiac risk factors such as family history of coronary disease (69%), hypercholesterolemia (62%), hypertension (44%), smoking (40%), and diabetes (9%) were prevalent. The frequency of coronary calcium scores was 57%, 20%, 14%, 6%, and 3% for scores of 10 or less, 11-100, 101-400, 401-1,000, and greater than 1,000, respectively. During a mean follow-up of 5.0 years +/- 0.0086 (standard error of the mean), the death rate was 2.4%. In a risk-adjusted model (model chi2 = 388.2, P <.001), coronary calcium was an independent predictor of mortality (P <.001). Risk-adjusted relative risk values for coronary calcium were 1.64, 1.74, 2.54, and 4.03 for scores of 11-100, 101-400, 401-1,000, and greater than 1,000, respectively (P <.001 for all values), as compared with that for a score of 10 or less. Five-year risk-adjusted survival was 99.0% for a calcium score of 10 or less and 95.0% for a score of greater than 1,000 (P <.001). With a receiver operating characteristic curve, the concordance index increased from 0.72 for cardiac risk factors alone to 0.78 (P <.001) when the calcium score was added to a multivariable model for prediction of death. CONCLUSION: This large observational data series shows that coronary calcium provides independent incremental information in addition to traditional risk factors in the prediction of all-cause mortality.
BACKGROUND: The prognostic importance of various hemodynamic responses to adenosine infusion in patients undergoing adenosine stress myocardial perfusion stress (MPS) has not been defined. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 3444 unique patients (53.5% women, mean age 74.0+/-8.4 years) who underwent adenosine (with no additional exercise) stress myocardial perfusion single photon emission computed tomography (MPS) and were followed up for 2.0+/-0.8 years. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to assess the prognostic value of hemodynamic variables in predicting cardiac death (CD). Two hundred twenty-four CDs (6.5%) occurred during follow-up. By multivariable analysis, higher rest heart rate (HR) and to a lesser extent lower peak HR were markers of CD. When added to the multivariable model in place of peak and rest HR, the peak/rest HR ratio was an independent predictor of CD. Peak/rest HR ratio additionally risk-stratified patients within each MPS category. A significant interaction was found between gender and peak systolic blood pressure (SBP), in which there was an increased risk associated with a low peak SBP (<90 mm Hg at end of adenosine infusion) in men but not in women. CONCLUSIONS: Patients undergoing adenosine stress MPS with high rest HR and low peak/rest HR ratio have increased risk of CD, as do male patients with a low peak SBP. Assessment of the hemodynamic response to adenosine adds incremental prognostic value to MPS results and enhances identification of patients at risk for CD.
BACKGROUND: The relationship between the amount of inducible ischemia present on stress myocardial perfusion single photon emission computed tomography (myocardial perfusion stress [MPS]) and the presence of a short-term survival benefit with early revascularization versus medical therapy is not clearly defined. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 10 627 consecutive patients who underwent exercise or adenosine MPS and had no prior myocardial infarction or revascularization were followed up (90.6% complete; mean: 1.9+/-0.6 years). Cardiac death occurred in 146 patients (1.4%). Treatment received within 60 days after MPS defined subgroups undergoing revascularization (671 patients, 2.8% mortality) or medical therapy (MT) (9956 patients, 1.3% mortality; P=0.0004). To adjust for nonrandomization of treatment, a propensity score was developed using logistic regression to model the decision to refer to revascularization. This model (chi2=1822, c index=0.94, P<10-7) identified inducible ischemia and anginal symptoms as the most powerful predictors (83%, 6% of overall chi2) and was incorporated into survival models. On the basis of the Cox proportional hazards model predicting cardiac death (chi2=539, P<0.0001), patients undergoing MT demonstrated a survival advantage over patients undergoing revascularization in the setting of no or mild ischemia, whereas patients undergoing revascularization had an increasing survival benefit over patients undergoing MT when moderate to severe ischemia was present. Furthermore, increasing survival benefit for revascularization over MT was noted in higher risk patients (elderly, adenosine stress, and women, especially those with diabetes). CONCLUSIONS: Revascularization compared with MT had greater survival benefit (absolute and relative) in patients with moderate to large amounts of inducible ischemia. These findings have significant consequences for future approaches to post-single photon emission computed tomography patient management if confirmed by prospective evaluations.
OBJECTIVES: We compared the prevalence and extent of coronary artery calcium (CAC) among persons with the metabolic syndrome (MetS), diabetes, and neither condition. BACKGROUND: The prevalence and extent of CAC has not been compared among those with MetS, diabetes, or neither condition. METHODS: Of 1,823 persons (36% female) age 20 to 79 years who had screening for CAC by computed tomography, 279 had MetS, 150 had diabetes, and the remainder (n = 1,394) had neither condition. Metabolic syndrome was defined with >or=3 of the following: body mass index >or=30 kg/m(2); high-density lipoprotein cholesterol <40 mg/dl if male or <50 mg/dl if female; triglycerides >or=150 mg/dl; blood pressure >or=130/85 mm Hg or on treatment; or fasting glucose 110 to 125 mg/dl. The prevalence and odds of any and significant (>or=75th percentile) CAC among these groups and by number of MetS risk factors were determined. RESULTS: Those with neither MetS nor diabetes, MetS, or diabetes had a prevalence of CAC of 53.5%, 58.8%, and 75.3% (p < 0.001), respectively, among men and 37.6%, 50.8%, and 52.6% (p < 0.001), respectively, among women. Coronary artery calcium increased by the number (0 to 5) of MetS risk factors (from 34.0% to 58.3%) (p < 0.001). Forty-one percent of subjects with MetS had either a >20% 10-year risk of CHD or CAC >or=75th percentile for age and gender. Risk factor-adjusted odds for the presence of CAC were 1.40 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05 to 1.87) among those with MetS and 1.67 (95% CI 1.12 to 2.50) among those with diabetes, versus those with neither condition. CONCLUSIONS: Those with MetS or diabetes have an increased likelihood of CAC compared with those having neither condition.
OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine the predictors of risk and the temporal characteristics of risk associated with normal myocardial perfusion single photon emission computed tomography (MPS). BACKGROUND: No empiric data exist regarding predictors of risk after normal MPS and their temporal characteristics. METHODS: Follow-up (mean: 665 +/- 200 days, 96% complete) of 7,376 consecutive patients with normal exercise or adenosine MPS identified 78 hard events (HE) (45 cardiac deaths, 33 non-fatal myocardial infarction; 1.1% cumulative HE rate, 0.6%/year). Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify predictors of HE. Parametric survival analysis was used to model predicted time to HE. RESULTS: The HE rates were greater in patients with versus without previous coronary artery disease (CAD). The Cox proportional hazards model identified pharmacologic stress, known CAD, diabetes mellitus (DM), male gender, and increasing age, with interactions between stress type and previous CAD (lower risk in patients without previous CAD undergoing exercise stress vs. all others) and between DM and gender (higher risk in DM females vs. all others) as the model most predictive of HE. The highest risk subgroups had a maximal event rate of 1.4% to 1.8%/year. Parametric survival models revealed that in patients without previous CAD the level of risk was uniform with time, but in patients with known CAD, risk increased with time (e.g., risk in the first year was less than in the second year, hence, a dynamic temporal component of risk was present). CONCLUSIONS: Multiple clinical factors add incremental prognostic value in patients with normal MPS, affecting their risk and its temporal pattern, and may alter the appropriate timing of repeat testing, hence establishing the existence of a "warranty" period for normal MPS studies.
OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to assess the incremental prognostic value of adenosine stress myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (MPS) in women versus men, and to explore the prognostic impact of diabetes mellitus. BACKGROUND: Limited data are available regarding the incremental value of adenosine stress MPS for the prediction of cardiac death in women versus men and the impact of diabetes mellitus on post-adenosine MPS outcomes. Of 6,173 consecutive patients who underwent rest thallium-201/adenosine technetium-99m sestamibi MPS, 254 (4.1%) were lost to follow-up, and 586 with early revascularization < or = 60 days after MPS were censored, leaving 2,656 women and 2,677 men. RESULTS: Women had significantly smaller adenosine stress, rest, and reversible defects than men. During 27.0 +/- 8.8 month follow-up, cardiac death rates were lower in women than men (2.0%/year vs. 2.7%/year, respectively, p < 0.05). Before and after risk adjustment, cardiac death risk increased significantly in both men and women as a function of MPS results. Multivariable models revealed that MPS results provided incremental prognostic value over pre-scan data for the prediction of cardiac death in both genders. Also, while comparative unadjusted rates of early (< or =60 days post-test) coronary angiography (17% vs. 23%) and revascularization (8% vs. 12%) were significantly lower in women (p < 0.05), after adjusting for MPS, these rates were similar in men and women. Importantly, diabetic women had a significantly greater risk of cardiac death compared with other patients. Also, after risk adjustment, patients with insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) had higher risk of cardiac death for any MPS result than patients with non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that adenosine MPS has comparable incremental value for prediction of cardiac death in women and men and that MPS is appropriately influencing subsequent invasive management decisions in both genders. Diabetic women and patients with IDDM appear to have greater risk of cardiac death than other patients for any MPS result.
BACKGROUND: Recombinant human vascular endothelial growth factor protein (rhVEGF) stimulates angiogenesis in animal models and was well tolerated in Phase I clinical trials. VIVA (Vascular endothelial growth factor in Ischemia for Vascular Angiogenesis) is a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial designed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of intracoronary and intravenous infusions of rhVEGF. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 178 patients with stable exertional angina, unsuitable for standard revascularization, were randomized to receive placebo, low-dose rhVEGF (17 ng x kg(-1) x min(-1)), or high-dose rhVEGF (50 ng x kg(-1) x min(-1)) by intracoronary infusion on day 0, followed by intravenous infusions on days 3, 6, and 9. Exercise treadmill tests, angina class, and quality of life assessments were performed at baseline, day 60, and day 120. Myocardial perfusion imaging was performed at baseline and day 60. At day 60, the change in exercise treadmill test (ETT) time from baseline was not different between groups (placebo, +48 seconds; low dose, +30 seconds; high dose, +30 seconds). Angina class and quality of life were significantly improved within each group, with no difference between groups. By day 120, placebo-treated patients demonstrated reduced benefit in all three measures, with no significant difference compared with low-dose rhVEGF. In contrast, high-dose rhVEGF resulted in significant improvement in angina class (P=0.05) and nonsignificant trends in ETT time (P=0.15) and angina frequency (P=0.09) as compared with placebo. CONCLUSIONS: rhVEGF seems to be safe and well tolerated. rhVEGF offered no improvement beyond placebo in all measurements by day 60. By day 120, high-dose rhVEGF resulted in significant improvement in angina and favorable trends in ETT time and angina frequency.
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BACKGROUND: The incremental value and cost-effectiveness of stress single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) is of unclear added value over clinical and exercise treadmill testing data in patients with normal resting ECGs, a patient subset known to be at relatively lower risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 3058 consecutive patients who underwent exercise dual isotope SPECT, who on follow-up (mean, 1.6+/-0.5 years; 3.6% lost to follow-up) were found to have 70 hard events (2.3% hard-event rate). Survival analysis used a Cox proportional hazards model, and cost-effectiveness was determined by the cost per hard event identified by strategies with versus without the use of SPECT. In this cohort, a normal study was associated with an exceedingly low hard-event rate (0.4% per year) that increased significantly as a function of the SPECT result. After adjusting for pre-SPECT information, exercise stress SPECT yielded incremental value for the prediction of hard events (chi2 52 to 85, P<0.001) and significantly stratified patients. In patients with intermediate to high likelihood of coronary artery disease after exercise treadmill testing, a cost-effectiveness ratio of $25 134 per hard event identified and a cost of $5417 per reclassification of patient risk were found. Subset analyses revealed similar prognostic, and cost results were present in men, women, and patients with and without prior histories of coronary artery disease. CONCLUSIONS: Stress SPECT yields incremental prognostic value and enhanced risk stratification in patients with normal resting ECGs in a cost-effective manner. These findings are opposite those of previous studies examining anatomic end points in this same population and thus, if confirmed, have significant implications for patient management.
BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease can develop prematurely and is the leading cause of death among diabetics, making noninvasive risk stratification desirable. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with symptoms of coronary artery disease who were undergoing stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) from 5 centers were prospectively followed (2.5+/-1.5 years) for the subsequent occurrence of cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI), and revascularization. Stress MPI results were categorized as normal or abnormal (fixed or ischemic defects and 1, 2, or 3 vessel distribution). Of 4755 patients, 929 (19.5%) were diabetic. Patients with diabetes, despite an increased revascularization rate, had 80 cardiac events (8.6%; 39 deaths and 41 MIs) compared with 172 cardiac events (4.5%; 69 deaths and 103 MIs) in the nondiabetic cohort (P<0.0001). Abnormal stress MPI was an independent predictor of cardiac death and MI in both populations. Diabetics with ischemic defects had an increased number of cardiac events (P<0.001), with the highest MI rates (17.1%) observed with 3-vessel ischemia. Similarly, a multivessel fixed defect was associated with the highest rate of cardiac death (13.6%) among diabetics. The unadjusted cardiac survival rate was lower for diabetic patients (91% versus 97%, P<0.001), but it became comparable once adjusted for the pretest clinical risk and stress MPI results. In multivariable Cox analysis, both ischemic and fixed MPI defects independently predicted cardiac death alone or cardiac death/MI. Diabetic women had the worst outcome for any given extent of myocardial ischemia. CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of diabetics undergoing stress MPI, the presence and the extent of abnormal stress MPI independently predicted subsequent cardiac events. Using stress MPI in conjunction with clinical information can provide risk stratification of diabetic patients.
BACKGROUND: Little is known about the prognostic value of myocardial perfusion single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) in patients with remote prior myocardial infarction (MI). METHODS AND RESULTS: We identified 1413 consecutive patients with remote prior MI who underwent rest-stress myocardial perfusion SPECT. Semiquantitative visual analysis of 20 SPECT segments was used to define the summed stress, rest, and difference scores. The number of non-reversible segments was used as an index of infarct size. During follow-up (>or=1 year), 118 hard events occurred: 64 cardiac deaths (CDs) and 54 recurrent MIs. Annual CD and hard event rates increased significantly as a function of SPECT abnormality. For summed stress scores less than 4, 4 to 8, 9 to 13, and more than 13, the annual CD rates were 0.4%, 0.9%, 1.7%, and 3.5%, respectively (P =.002). Patients with small MI (<4 non-reversible segments) and no or mild ischemia (summed difference score or=4 non-reversible segments) had moderate to high annual CD rates (3.7%-6.6%) regardless of the extent of ischemia. Nuclear testing added incremental prognostic information to pre-scan information. Compared with a strategy in which all patients are referred to catheterization, a strategy that referred only those patients with a risk for CD of greater than 1% by myocardial perfusion SPECT resulted in a 41.6% cost savings. CONCLUSIONS: Myocardial perfusion SPECT adds incremental value to pre-scan information and is highly predictive and cost-efficient in the risk stratification of patients with remote prior MI. Patients with normal or mildly abnormal scan results or small MI in combination with absent or mild ischemia have a low risk for CD.
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BACKGROUND: Failure to reach 85% of maximal predicted heart rate (MPHR) during exercise may render a myocardial perfusion single photon emission computed tomography (MPS) study nondiagnostic for ischemia detection. Although commonly used to increase heart rate (HR) during dobutamine stress, the administration of atropine for patients failing to achieve 85% of MPHR during exercise performed for MPS is still infrequent. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients undergoing dual-isotope MPS were considered candidates for the study when, during exercise treadmill testing, they had less than 85% of MPHR and were unable to continue because of fatigue, without an ischemic response. Forty-seven patients (aged 65.3 +/- 12.5 years, 78.7% men) received atropine (0.6-1.2 mg). Maximal HR achieved before and after atropine was 118.0 +/- 14.8 beats/min (76.3% +/- 6.2% of MPHR) and 146.4 +/- 12.6 beats/min (94.4% +/- 8.1% of MPHR), respectively (P < .001). Of patients, 44 (93.6%) reached at least 85% of MPHR after atropine and had diagnostic MPS studies. After atropine, arrhythmias occurred in 14 patients (29.8%) and other minor side effects in 1 (2.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Atropine allows patients initially failing to achieve 85% of MPHR during exercise to increase HR and have a diagnostic MPS study, without major complications. It may provide an alternative to pharmacologic stress for patients with a blunted HR response to exercise.