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Dipak K Dey

Publications and source records attributed to Dipak K Dey.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

Bayesian dynamic models for survival data with a cure fraction.

In this paper, we propose a new class of semi-parametric cure rate models. Specifically, we construct dynamic models for piecewise hazard functions over a finite partition of the time axis. Allowing the size of partition and the levels of baseline hazard to be random, our proposed models provide a great flexibility in controlling the degree of parametricity in the right tail of the survival distribution and the amount of correlations among the log-baseline hazard levels. Several properties of the proposed models are derived, and propriety of the implied posteriors with improper noninformative priors for regression coefficients based on the proposed models is established for the fixed partition of the time axis. In addition, an efficient reversible jump computational algorithm is developed for carrying out posterior computation. A real data set from a melanoma clinical trial is analyzed in detail to further demonstrate the proposed methodology.

Bayes Theorem↗

Differentiation among populations with migration, mutation, and drift: implications for genetic inference.

Populations may become differentiated from one another as a result of genetic drift. The amounts and patterns of differentiation at neutral loci are determined by local population sizes, migration rates among populations, and mutation rates. We provide exact analytical expressions for the mean, variance, and covariance of a stochastic model for hierarchically structured populations subject to migration, mutation, and drift. In addition to the expected correlation in allele frequencies among populations in the same geographic region, we demonstrate that there is a substantial correlation in allele frequencies among regions at the top level of the hierarchy. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian model for inference of Wright's F-statistics in a two-level hierarchy in which we estimate the among-region correlation in allele frequencies by substituting replication across loci for replication across time. We illustrate the approach through an analysis of human microsatellite data, and we show that approaches ignoring the among-region correlation in allele frequencies underestimate the amount of genetic differentiation among major geographic population groups by approximately 30%. Finally, we discuss the implications of these results for the use and interpretation of F-statistics in evolutionary studies.

Animal Migration↗

Semiparametric proportional odds models for spatially correlated survival data.

The last decade has witnessed major developments in Geographical Information Systems (GIS) technology resulting in the need for statisticians to develop models that account for spatial clustering and variation. In public health settings, epidemiologists and health-care professionals are interested in discerning spatial patterns in survival data that might exist among the counties. This paper develops a Bayesian hierarchical model for capturing spatial heterogeneity within the framework of proportional odds. This is deemed more appropriate when a substantial percentage of subjects enjoy prolonged survival. We discuss the implementation issues of our models, perform comparisons among competing models and illustrate with data from the SEER (Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results) database of the National Cancer Institute, paying particular attention to the underlying spatial story.

Bayes Theorem↗

Bayesian models for the analysis of genetic structure when populations are correlated.

MOTIVATION: Population allele frequencies are correlated when populations have a shared history or when they exchange genes. Unfortunately, most models for allele frequency and inference about population structure ignore this correlation. Recent analytical results show that among populations, correlations can be very high, which could affect estimates of population genetic structure. In this study, we propose a mixture beta model to characterize the allele frequency distribution among populations. This formulation incorporates the correlation among populations as well as extending the model to data with different clusters of populations. RESULTS: Using simulated data, we show that in general, the mixture model provides a good approximation of the among-population allele frequency distribution and a good estimate of correlation among populations. Results from fitting the mixture model to a dataset of genotypes at 377 autosomal microsatellite loci from human populations indicate high correlation among populations, which may not be appropriate to neglect. Traditional measures of population structure tend to overestimate the amount of genetic differentiation when correlation is neglected. Inference is performed in a Bayesian framework. CONTACT: fur@ohsu.edu.

Bayes Theorem↗

A Bayesian approach to inferring population structure from dominant markers.

Molecular markers derived from polymerase chain reaction (PCR) amplification of genomic DNA are an important part of the toolkit of evolutionary geneticists. Random amplified polymorphic DNA markers (RAPDs), amplified fragment length polymorphisms (AFLPs) and intersimple sequence repeat (ISSR) polymorphisms allow analysis of species for which previous DNA sequence information is lacking, but dominance makes it impossible to apply standard techniques to calculate F-statistics. We describe a Bayesian method that allows direct estimates of FST from dominant markers. In contrast to existing alternatives, we do not assume previous knowledge of the degree of within-population inbreeding. In particular, we do not assume that genotypes within populations are in Hardy-Weinberg proportions. Our estimate of FST incorporates uncertainty about the magnitude of within-population inbreeding. Simulations show that samples from even a relatively small number of loci and populations produce reliable estimates of FST. Moreover, some information about the degree of within-population inbreeding (FIS) is available from data sets with a large number of loci and populations. We illustrate the method with a reanalysis of RAPD data from 14 populations of a North American orchid, Platanthera leucophaea.

Bayes Theorem↗