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Dongfeng Fu

Publications and source records attributed to Dongfeng Fu.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Percolation model for growth rates of aggregates and its application for business firm growth.

Motivated by recent empirical studies of business firm growth, we develop a dynamic percolation model which captures some of the features of the economical system--i.e., merging and splitting of business firms--represented as aggregates on a d-dimensional lattice. We find the steady-state distribution of the aggregate size and explore how this distribution depends on the model parameters. We find that at the critical threshold, the standard deviation of the aggregate growth rates, sigma, increases with aggregate size S as sigma approximately S(beta), where beta can be explained in terms of the connectedness length exponent nu and the fractal dimension d(f), with beta=1(2nud(f)) approximately 0.20 for d=2 and 0.125 for d-->infinity. The distributions of aggregate growth rates have a sharp peak at the center and pronounced wings extending over many standard deviations, giving the distribution a tent-shape form--the Laplace distribution. The distributions for different aggregate sizes scaled by their standard deviations collapse onto the same curve.

Journal Article↗

Preferential attachment and growth dynamics in complex systems.

Complex systems can be characterized by classes of equivalency of their elements defined according to system specific rules. We propose a generalized preferential attachment model to describe the class size distribution. The model postulates preferential growth of the existing classes and the steady influx of new classes. According to the model, the distribution changes from a pure exponential form for zero influx of new classes to a power law with an exponential cut-off form when the influx of new classes is substantial. Predictions of the model are tested through the analysis of a unique industrial database, which covers both elementary units (products) and classes (markets, firms) in a given industry (pharmaceuticals), covering the entire size distribution. The model's predictions are in good agreement with the data. The paper sheds light on the emergence of the exponent tau approximately 2 observed as a universal feature of many biological, social and economic problems.

Journal Article↗

The growth of business firms: theoretical framework and empirical evidence.

We introduce a model of proportional growth to explain the distribution P(g)(g) of business-firm growth rates. The model predicts that P(g)(g) is exponential in the central part and depicts an asymptotic power-law behavior in the tails with an exponent zeta = 3. Because of data limitations, previous studies in this field have been focusing exclusively on the Laplace shape of the body of the distribution. In this article, we test the model at different levels of aggregation in the economy, from products to firms to countries, and we find that the predictions of the model agree with empirical growth distributions and size-variance relationships.

Commerce↗