Biomedical subjects

Doug Einstadter

Publications and source records attributed to Doug Einstadter.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2004

Trends in postdischarge mortality and readmissions: has length of stay declined too far?

BACKGROUND: Length of hospital stay continues to decline, but the effect on postdischarge outcomes is unclear. METHODS: We determined trends in risk-adjusted mortality rates and readmission rates for 83,445 Medicare patients discharged alive after hospitalization for myocardial infarction, heart failure, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, or stroke. Patients were stratified into deciles of observed/expected length of stay to determine whether patients whose length of stay was much shorter than expected had higher risk-adjusted mortality and readmission rates. Analyses were stratified by whether a do-not-resuscitate (DNR) order was written within 2 days of admission (early) or later. RESULTS: From 1991 through 1997, risk-adjusted postdischarge mortality generally remained stable for patients without a DNR order. Postdischarge mortality increased by 21% to 72% for patients with early DNR orders and increased for 2 of 6 diagnoses for patients with late DNR orders. Markedly shorter than expected length of stay was associated with higher than expected risk-adjusted mortality for patients with early DNR orders but not for others (no DNR and late DNR). Risk-adjusted readmission rates remained stable from 1991 through 1997, except for a 15% (95% confidence interval, 3%-30%) increase for patients with congestive heart failure. Short observed/expected length of stay was not associated with higher readmission rates. CONCLUSIONS: The dramatic decline in length of stay from 1991 through 1997 was not associated with worse postdischarge outcomes for patients without DNR orders. However, postdischarge mortality increased among patients with early DNR orders, and some of this trend may be due to patients being discharged more rapidly than previously.

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PubMed2003

Mortality trends for 23,505 Medicare patients hospitalized with heart failure in Northeast Ohio, 1991 to 1997.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials have identified major therapeutic advances for heart failure (HF), but the degree to which survival has improved among the general population of patients with HF is not known. This study analyzed mortality trends from 1991 to 1997 for 23,505 Medicare patients hospitalized with a first admission for HF at 29 Northeast Ohio hospitals. METHODS: We linked databases from the Cleveland Health Quality Choice (CHQC) program and Medicare to allow identification of first admissions for HF and death date. We adjusted for changes in admission illness severity using chart data from CHQC (eg, vital signs, do-not-resuscitate status, comorbid conditions, and laboratory results). Logistic regression was used to analyze trends in risk-adjusted mortality. RESULTS: At baseline (1991), crude inhospital, 30-day and 1-year mortality rates were 6.4%, 8.6% and 36.5%, respectively. Between 1991 and 1997, mean length of stay declined steeply from 9.2 days to 6.6 days (P <.001 for trend). Risk-adjusted inhospital mortality also declined markedly (absolute-decline -3.7%, 95% CI -4.3 to -3.0), a 52.8% relative decrease. However, the decline in 30-day mortality was only -1.4% (95% CI -2.5 to -0.1, P <.05), a 15.3% relative decrease. The 1-year mortality declined -5.3% (95% CI -3.2 to -7.4, P <.001), a 14.6% relative decrease. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term mortality for patients hospitalized with HF improved from 1991 to 1997, although mortality remains very high. The 30-day mortality declined far less than inhospital mortality, indicating that mortality shortly after discharge increased. This raises concerns that the marked reduction in length of stay is causing adverse consequences.

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PubMed2003

Changes in the use of do-not-resuscitate orders after implementation of the Patient Self-Determination Act.

OBJECTIVE: To determine changes in the use of do-not-resuscitate (DNR) orders and mortality rates following a DNR order after the Patient Self-determination Act (PSDA) was implemented in December 1991. DESIGN: Time-series. SETTING: Twenty-nine hospitals in Northeast Ohio. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Medicare patients (N = 91,539) hospitalized with myocardial infarction, heart failure, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, or stroke. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The use of "early" (first 2 hospital days) and "late" DNR orders was determined from chart abstractions. Deaths within 30 days after a DNR order were identified from Medicare Provider Analysis and Review files. Risk-adjusted rates of early DNR orders increased by 34% to 66% between 1991 and 1992 for 4 of the 6 conditions and then remained flat or declined slightly between 1992 and 1997. Use of late DNR orders declined by 29% to 53% for 4 of the 6 conditions between 1991 and 1997. Risk-adjusted mortality during the 30 days after a DNR order was written did not change between 1991 and 1997 for 5 conditions, but risk-adjusted mortality increased by 21% and 25% for stroke patients with early DNR and late DNR orders, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Overall use of DNR orders changed relatively little after passage of the PSDA, because the increase in the use of early DNR orders between 1991 and 1992 was counteracted by decreasing use of late DNR orders. Risk-adjusted mortality rates after a DNR order generally remained stable, suggesting that there were no dramatic changes in quality of care or aggressiveness of care for patients with DNR orders. However, the increasing mortality for stroke patients warrants further examination.

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PubMed2003

The effect of publicly reporting hospital performance on market share and risk-adjusted mortality at high-mortality hospitals.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether publicly reporting hospitals' risk-adjusted mortality affects market share and mortality at outlier hospitals. OBJECTIVES: To examine hospitals' market share and risk-adjusted mortality from 1991 to 1997 at hospitals participating in Cleveland Health Quality Choice (CHQC). RESEARCH DESIGN: Time series. SUBJECTS: Changes in market share were examined for all patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction, heart failure, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, or stroke at all 30 nonfederal hospitals in Northeast Ohio. Patients insured by Medicare were used to examine changes in mortality. MEASURES: Trends in market share (proportion of patients with the target conditions discharged from a given hospital) and risk-adjusted 30-day mortality. RESULTS: CHQC identified several hospitals with consistently higher than expected mortality. The five hospitals with the highest mortality tended to lose market share (mean change -0.6%, 95% CI -1.9-0.6), but this was not significant. The only outlier hospital with a large decline in market share had declining volume for 2 years before being declared an outlier. Risk-adjusted mortality declined only slightly at hospitals classified by us as "below average" (-0.8%; 95% CI, 2.9-1.8%) or "worst" (-0.4%; 95% CI -2.3-1.7). However, risk-adjusted mortality at one hospital changed from consistently above expected to consistently below expected shortly after first being declared an outlier. CONCLUSION: Despite CHQC's strengths, identifying hospitals with higher than expected mortality did not adversely affect their market share or, with one exception, lead to improved outcomes. This failure may have resulted from consumer disinterest or difficulty interpreting CHQC reports, unwillingness of businesses to create incentives targeted to hospitals' performance, and hospitals' inability to develop effective quality improvement programs.

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PubMed2002

Mortality trends during a program that publicly reported hospital performance.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether publicly reporting hospitals' risk-adjusted mortality leads to improvements in outcomes. OBJECTIVES: To examine mortality trends during a period (1991-1997) when the Cleveland Health Quality Choice program was operational. RESEARCH DESIGN: Time series. SUBJECTS: Medicare patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (AMI; n = 10,439), congestive heart failure (CHF; n = 23,505), gastrointestinal hemorrhage (GIH; n = 11,088), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD; n = 8495), pneumonia (n = 23,719), or stroke (n = 14,293). MEASURES: Risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality, early postdischarge mortality (between discharge and 30 days after admission), and 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Risk-adjusted in-hospital mortality declined significantly for all conditions except stroke and GIH, with absolute declines ranging from -2.1% for COPD to -4.8% for pneumonia. However, the mortality rate in the early postdischarge period rose significantly for all conditions except COPD, with increases ranging from 1.4% for GIH to 3.8% for stroke. As a consequence, the 30-day mortality declined significantly only for CHF (absolute decline 1.4%, 95% CI, -2.5 to -0.1%) and COPD (absolute decline 1.6%, 95% CI, -2.8-0.0%). For stroke, risk-adjusted 30-day mortality actually increased by 4.3% (95% CI, 1.8-7.1%). CONCLUSION: During Cleveland's experiment with hospital report cards, deaths shifted from in hospital to the period immediately after discharge with little or no net reduction in 30-day mortality for most conditions. Hospital profiling remains an unproven strategy for improving outcomes of care for medical conditions. Using in-hospital mortality rates to monitor trends in outcomes for hospitalized patients may lead to spurious conclusions.

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