The basic reproduction number for dengue fever in São Paulo state, Brazil: 1990-1991 epidemic.
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Brazil↗
Biomedical subjects
E Massad
Publications and source records attributed to E Massad.
Salivary antibody detection in epidemiological surveys: a pilot study after a mass vaccination campaign against rubella in São Paulo, Brazil.
The sensitivity and specificity of salivary rubella antibody detection was investigated using samples collected from 301 children after a mass vaccination campaign in the state of São Paulo, Brazil. Saliva samples were collected by 2 different methods: directly dribbling into a container or using a commercial collecting device. Corresponding finger-prick blood samples were collected on filter paper. Rubella specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) was measured in saliva by antibody capture radioimmunoassay and in blood samples by indirect enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The detection of salivary rubella specific IgG showed good correlation with the detection of rubella antibody in the blood samples. For both collecting techniques the predictive value for a positive saliva test was > 99% compared with the results from the blood tests. However, the predictive value for a negative saliva test was only 58.3% for a dribbled sample, compared to 100% for saliva collected using the commercial device. Moreover, collecting saliva by dribbling from children less than 4 years old was difficult. The detection of rubella specific IgG in saliva collected using a commercial device proved to be sensitive and specific in this epidemiological study, encouraging its more widespread application as a means of surveillance after mass vaccination.
Adolescent↗
The risk of yellow fever in a dengue-infested area.
Yellow fever and dengue are viral infections that in urban centres are transmitted by the same arthropod vector, a mosquito of the genus Aedes. In order to estimate the risk of an epidemic of urban yellow fever in a dengue-infested area we calculated the threshold in the basic reproduction number, R0, of dengue, above which any single sylvatic yellow fever-infected individual will trigger an urban yellow fever epidemic. Specifically, we analysed the relationship between the extrinsic incubation period and the duration of viraemia, from which it is possible to define the R0 for dengue that would also suggest an outbreak potential for yellow fever. We also calculated the critical proportion of people to vaccinate against yellow fever in order to prevent an epidemic in a dengue-endemic area. The theory proposed is illustrated by the case of São Paulo State in southern Brazil, where dengue is endemic and the risk of urban yellow fever is already imminent.
Aedes↗
Measles antibody levels in a vaccinated population in Brazil.
An epidemiological study of measles-specific immunoglobulin G antibody levels was conducted using a representative sample of a vaccinated suburban population in São Paulo State, Brazil. The study aimed to determine immunity status in relation to age and infection or vaccination experience. 549 age-structured samples of sera, collected in 1990, were screened and calibrated to the international reference serum, using measles nucleoprotein in an enzyme immunoassay. In the age group with direct experience of vaccination (9 months to 15 years), whether routine or campaign, over 90% had detectable antibody > or = 50 miu/mL. However, 14% of these had antibody concentrations between 50 and 100 miu/mL and 30% between 50 and 255 miu/mL. In those over 15 years of age, 94% had antibody levels > 255 miu/mL, assumed to be the result of past infection. The study suggested that, within highly vaccinated populations, a proportion of individuals had measles antibody levels which may be insufficient to protect against reinfection or clinical disease. The implications of these results, and similar findings elsewhere, in relation to the persistence of measles requires investigation; this has particular relevance in São Paulo following the recent measles outbreak.
Adolescent↗
Detection of antibodies against hepatitis A virus in eluates of blood spotted on filter-paper: a pilot study in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
The validity of blood spotted on to filter-paper (BSOFP) eluates for the detection of antibodies against hepatitis A virus (HAV) was investigated in 718 individuals (children and adults) during a field study in a small area in Rio de Janeiro State, Brazil. Serum samples were considered the 'gold standard'. BSOFP eluates were analyzed by 2 different techniques: microplate competitive enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) of the whole study group and microparticle enzyme immune assay (MEIA) of a subsample of 59 individuals. For BSOFP eluates by ELISA, sensitivity and specificity were 89.6% (95% CI: 84.7-93.1) and 97.5% (95% CI: 95.6-98.7), respectively. For a seroprevalence of anti-HAV antibodies of 32%, the positive predictive value was 94.5% (95% CI: 90.3-97.0) and the negative predictive value was 95.2% (95% CI: 92.8-96.8). The test efficiency was 95.0% (95% CI: 93.1-96.4). Similar results were found for BSOFP eluates by MEIA. Agreement between the 2 techniques used for BSOFP (ELISA and MEIA) was also high (kappa = 0.93). These results encourage the more widespread application of BSOFP as a means of surveillance for large-scale epidemiological studies for hepatitis A.
Adolescent↗
Three year seroepidemiological study of varicella-zoster virus in São Paulo, Brazil.
A serosurvey of varicella has been carried out in children attending the public school network of São Paulo city, Brazil, from 1992 to 1994. This study was performed in order to establish the age related prevalence of antibodies against varicella-zoster virus (VZV) and its age specific transmission dynamics pattern in these children. Among 2500 schools in the city of São Paulo public network, 304 were randomly selected; 7 children of a given age (ranging from 1 to 15 years) were randomly selected in each school, and blood samples were obtained by fingerprick into filter paper. Blood eluates were analyzed for the presence of antibodies to VZV by ELISA. Proportion of seropositivity were calculated for each age group. Samples consisted of 1768 individuals in 1992, 1758 in 1993, and 1817 in 1994, resulting in 5343 eluates. A high proportion of seropositive children from 1 to 3 years of age was observed, ascending until 10 years of age and reaching a plateau around 90% afterwards. VZV transmission in this community was similar along the three years of the study. In children attending public schools in the city of São Paulo, contact with VZV occurs in early childhood. If immunization against VZV is considered it should be introduced as soon as possible.
Adolescent↗
Mathematical and computer models in epidemiology.
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Computer Simulation↗