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Elizabeth Barrett-Connor

Publications and source records attributed to Elizabeth Barrett-Connor.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

Hysterectomy status, estrogen use and quality of life in older women: the Rancho Bernardo study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the long-term effects of hysterectomy and use of estrogen replacement therapy on health related quality of life and symptom subscales in community dwelling postmenopausal women. METHODS: Information on menopausal history including hysterectomy and oophorectomy status, and history of estrogen use was obtained from a sample of 801 women aged 50-96 years at a clinic visit between 1992 and 1996. Within 1 week of the clinic visit, a standardized, validated quality of well-being (QWB) scale was administered over the telephone by a trained interviewer. RESULTS: Among these women, 25.2% reported hysterectomy with bilateral oophorectomy an average of 28 years earlier, and 11.0% reported hysterectomy with ovarian conservation an average of 26.5 years earlier. Age-adjusted comparisons indicated that women with natural menopause had slightly higher total QWB scores and lower symptom subscale scores than women in either of the hysterectomy groups (p's = 0.06). However, after additional adjustment for estrogen use and other potentially confounding covariates, there was no significant difference in total QWB score or on any subscale scores by hysterectomy and oophorectomy status. After adjustment for age, women who never used estrogen had significantly higher total QWB scores (p = 0.03) and significantly lower symptom subscale scores, indicating fewer symptoms, than those who were past or current users (p = 0.01). These differences persisted after adjustment for age, type of menopause, and behavioral and lifestyle covariates (p's = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: There are no long-term adverse effects of hysterectomy or bilateral oophorectomy on health related quality of life. Lower total QWB and greater symptom subscale scores by women currently using estrogen may reflect an adverse effect of hormone use on health related quality of life in older postmenopausal women.

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Zinc intakes and plasma concentrations in men with osteoporosis: the Rancho Bernardo Study.

BACKGROUND: Low zinc intakes and reduced blood zinc concentrations have been reported to be associated with osteoporosis in women. OBJECTIVE: The objective was to examine the independent association between dietary zinc and plasma zinc and the association of each with bone mineral density (BMD) and 4-y bone loss in community-dwelling older men. DESIGN: Of the original Rancho Bernardo Study subjects, 396 men (age: 45-92 y) completed BMD measurements at baseline in 1988-1992 and 4 y later. Osteoporosis was defined as a BMD > or = 2.5 SDs below the mean for young women (a T-score < or = -2.5). At baseline, dietary intake data were collected by using a standard food-frequency questionnaire, and plasma zinc concentrations were measured by using inductively coupled plasma spectroscopy. RESULTS: The mean dietary zinc intake was 11.2 mg, and the mean plasma zinc concentration was 12.7 micromol/L. Plasma zinc was correlated with total zinc intake (diet plus supplements). Dietary zinc intake and plasma zinc concentrations were lower in men with osteoporosis at the hip and spine than in men without osteoporosis at those locations. BMDs for the hip, spine, and distal wrist were significantly lower in men in the lowest plasma zinc quartile (<11.3 micromol/L) than in men with higher plasma zinc concentrations. The association between plasma zinc and BMD was cross-sectional, longitudinal, and independent of age or body mass index. However, plasma zinc did not predict bone loss during the 4-y interval. CONCLUSION: Dietary zinc intake and plasma zinc each have a positive association with BMD in men.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

Rapid loss of hip fracture protection after estrogen cessation: evidence from the National Osteoporosis Risk Assessment.

OBJECTIVE: Since the findings from the Women's Health Initiative became available in July 2002, millions of women have discontinued postmenopausal hormone therapy (HT). The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between HT cessation and hip fracture risk. METHODS: Women who participated in the National Osteoporosis Risk Assessment and completed the 12-month follow-up survey were studied. All participants were aged at least 50 years, were postmenopausal, and had no previous diagnosis of osteoporosis. Baseline and 12-month follow-up questionnaires assessed use of HT and incident fractures. Of the 140,584 women in this study, 269 reported an incident hip fracture. A logistic regression model was used to assess association between HT use and incident hip fracture, controlling for potential confounders. RESULTS: Consistent with the Women's Health Initiative, women in National Osteoporosis Risk Assessment who were currently on HT had a 40% lower incidence of hip fractures compared with those who never used HT. Women who stopped using HT more than 5 years earlier had similar hip fracture risk to never users, as expected. However, surprisingly, women who had discontinued HT within the previous 5 years had an increased hip fracture odds ratio of 1.65 (95% confidence interval 1.05, 2.59) relative to never users of HT. CONCLUSION: Postmenopausal women who have discontinued HT within the past 5 years have a risk for hip fracture that is at least as high as that in women who have never used HT. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: II-2

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Hyperkyphotic posture predicts mortality in older community-dwelling men and women: a prospective study.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the association between hyperkyphotic posture and rate of mortality and cause-specific mortality in older persons. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Rancho Bernardo, California. PARTICIPANTS: Subjects were 1,353 participants from the Rancho Bernardo Study who had measurements of kyphotic posture made at an osteoporosis visit between 1988 and 1991. MEASURES: Kyphotic posture was measured as the number of 1.7-cm blocks that needed to be placed under the participant's head to achieve a neutral head position when lying supine on a radiology table. Demographic and clinical characteristics and health behaviors were assessed at a clinic visit using standard questionnaires. Participants were followed for an average of 4.2 years, with mortality and cause of death confirmed using review of death certificates. RESULTS: Hyperkyphotic posture, defined as requiring one or more blocks under the occiput to achieve a neutral head position while lying supine, was more common in men than women (44% in men, 22% of women, P<.0001). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, persons with hyperkyphotic posture had a 1.44 greater rate of mortality (95% confidence interval (CI)=1.12-1.86, P=.005). In multiply adjusted models, the increased rate of death associated with hyperkyphotic posture remained significant (relative hazard=1.40, 95% CI=1.08-1.81, P=.012). In cause-specific mortality analyses, hyperkyphotic posture was specifically associated with an increased rate of death due to atherosclerosis. CONCLUSION: Older men and women with hyperkyphotic posture have higher mortality rates.

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Effect of raloxifene on the incidence of elevated low density lipoprotein (LDL) and achievement of LDL target goals in postmenopausal women.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the extent to which raloxifene can maintain low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels below 160 mg/dL or reduce elevated LDL-C levels to below lipid-lowering goals in postmenopausal women. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The Multiple Outcomes of Raloxifene Evaluation (MORE) osteoporosis treatment trial randomized 7705 postmenopausal women to placebo or raloxifene (60 mg or 120 mg) daily for a core treatment phase of 3 years. Changes in LDL-C and other serum lipids in a subset of women was a predefined secondary objective. This post-hoc analysis included the 2413 women who did not take lipid-lowering medications at any time during the trial and for whom LDL-C measurements were available. The threshold for high LDL-C (> or = 160 mg/dL) and LDL-C lipid-lowering goals were defined according to National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III (NCEP-ATP III) guidelines. RESULTS: The percent of women with LDL-C < 160 mg/dL was comparable between treatment groups at baseline (placebo, 57.5%; raloxifene 60 mg, 56.4%; raloxifene 120 mg, 56.8%). At 3 years, the percent of these women whose LDL-C had increased to above 160 mg/dL was significantly less in the raloxifene 60 mg and 120 mg groups compared with placebo by 65% (95% CI, 44%-78%) and 64% (95% CI, 43%-77%), respectively. Among women with elevated (defined for these analyses as > or = 160 mg/dL) LDL-C at baseline, the proportion having elevated LDL-C at 3 years was significantly less in the raloxifene 60 mg and 120 mg groups compared with placebo by 32% (95% CI, 24%-40%) and 40% (95% CI, 32%-48%), respectively. Fifty percent and 13% of these women achieved LDL-C goals of < 160 mg/dL and < 130 mg/dL, respectively (P < 0.001 vs. placebo for both) in the raloxifene 60 mg group, with similar results for the raloxifene 120 mg group. CONCLUSIONS: In postmenopausal women with osteoporosis not taking concurrent lipid-lowering therapy, raloxifene significantly reduced the incidence of LDL-C > or = 160 mg/dL and significantly increased the proportion achieving LDL-C goals for lipid-lowering compared with placebo. Whether these and other effects of raloxifene on cardiovascular risk markers will improve cardiovascular outcomes requires further study.

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The prospective association of serum insulin-like growth factor I (IGF-I) and IGF-binding protein-1 levels with all cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in older adults: the Rancho Bernardo Study.

The IGF system has been implicated in cardiovascular disease (CVD) development. The prospective association of serum IGF-I and IGF-binding protein-1 (IGFBP-1) with all cause, ischemic heart disease (IHD), and non-IHD CVD mortality was examined in 633 men and 552 nonestrogen-using postmenopausal women, aged 51-98 yr (mean, 74 yr) in 1988-1992, who were followed through July 2001 (96% follow-up). During the 9- to 13-yr follow-up, there were 522 deaths; 224 were attributed to CVD, and 105 were caused by IHD. IGF-I and IGFBP-1 were independently and jointly related to risk of IHD mortality. In a proportional hazards model including both IGF-I and IGFBP-1 and adjusting for CVD risk factors, the relative risk of IHD mortality was 38% higher for every 40 ng/ml (1 SD) decrease in IGF-I (95% confidence interval, 1.09-1.76; P = 0.005) and 3.11 times greater for those in the lowest quintile of IGFBP-1 (95% confidence interval, 1.74-5.56; P < 0.001) compared with those with higher IGFBP-1 levels. IGF-I and IGFBP-1 (alone or in combination) were not related to risk of all cause or non-IHD CVD mortality. We conclude that low baseline levels of IGF-I and IGFBP-1 increase the risk of fatal IHD among elderly men and women independent of prevalent IHD and CVD risk factors.

Age Factors↗

Association of endogenous testosterone with blood pressure and left ventricular mass in men. The Tromsø Study.

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that lower endogenous testosterone levels are associated with higher blood pressure, left ventricular mass, and left ventricular hypertrophy. DESIGN: Population-based cross-sectional study. METHODS: Sex hormone levels, measured by immunoassay, anthropometric measurements and resting blood pressure were studied in 1548 men aged 25-84 Years; echocardiography was completed in 1264 of these men. Partial correlations and multiple regressions were used to estimate the associations between sex hormones, blood pressure and left ventricular mass by height. Analyses of variance and covariance were used to compare men with categorical hypertension and left ventricular hypertrophy. RESULTS: In age-adjusted partial correlations, total testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) were each inversely associated with systolic blood pressure (SBP) (P<0.001). Men with categorical hypertension (SBP> or =140 or diastolic blood pressure (DBP)> or =90 mmHg) had lower levels of total and free testosterone and SHBG before (P<0.001, P=0.011 and P<0.001, respectively) and after (P<0.001, P=0.035 and P=0.002, respectively) adjusting for body mass index (BMI). Total testosterone and SHBG were each inversely associated with left ventricular mass (P<0.001), and men with left ventricular hypertrophy had significantly lower levels of total testosterone (P=0.042) and SHBG (P=0.006); these associations were no longer significant after adjusting for BMI. CONCLUSION: The results of the present study are consistent with the hypothesis that lower levels of testosterone in men are associated with higher blood pressure, left ventricular mass, and left ventricular hypertrophy. The reduced associations after adjusting for BMI suggest that the association of low testosterone levels with blood pressure and left ventricular mass is mediated by obesity.

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A longitudinal study of dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS) change in older men and women: the Rancho Bernardo Study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the age-related and sex-specific rates and determinants of change in endogenous dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS) levels in older community-dwelling adults, taking into account regression to the mean. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study from Rancho Bernardo, California, USA. METHODS: Plasma for DHEAS was collected at baseline and 10-14 years later from 242 men and 207 postmenopausal women (age range, 60-77 years), who were not taking hormone therapy or corticosteroids. Age-related and sex-specific changes in DHEAS were calculated according to four different definitions of change: absolute change, annual percentage change, change exceeding 10% of baseline and change exceeding that expected from statistical regression to the mean. Determinants of DHEAS change were assessed using regression analyses. RESULTS: Baseline DHEAS levels were higher for men than women (age-adjusted means, 1.37+/-0.73 microg/ml (3.72+/-1.98 micromol/l) vs 0.73+/-0.48 microg/ml (1.98+/-1.30 micromol/l) respectively, P<0.0001), with more pronounced declines observed in men (-4.0%/year) compared with women (-2.1%/year; P<0.001). Some 28% of women and 5% of men had DHEAS levels that increased or stayed the same according to a 10% definition of change. When regression to the mean artifact was accounted for, only 15% of women and 5% of men showed true increases in DHEAS. In both sexes, baseline DHEAS levels accounted for three-quarters of the variability in absolute DHEAS change over time, with higher baseline levels resulting in greater loss. Sex, baseline weight, age and smoking status were significantly associated with DHEAS change in univariate models; only sex remained independently associated with DHEAS change in multivariate analyses, with men showing greater annual declines than women (estimated coefficient=0.006, P=0.008). CONCLUSION: In this sample, over 30% of the observed changes in DHEAS could be attributed to regression to the mean. Potential underlying mechanisms of change in DHEAS levels, and sex differences, are discussed.

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Prevalence and factor analysis of metabolic syndrome in an urban Korean population.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to explore the prevalence and pattern of the metabolic syndrome and its association with hyperinsulinemia in an urban Korean population of 269 men and 505 women. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel (ATP) III guidelines were used to calculate the sex-specific prevalence of the metabolic syndrome. After excluding individuals taking medication for hypertension, diabetes, or dyslipidemia, we used factor analysis to examine the pattern of the metabolic syndrome in 206 men and 449 women. RESULTS: The prevalence of metabolic syndrome was 16.0% in men and 10.7% in women aged 30-80 years. However, ATP III criteria for central obesity are not optimal for an Asian-Pacific population; when waist circumference is reduced from 102 to 90 cm in men and 88 to 80 cm in women, the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome increased to 29.0 and 16.8%, respectively. Sex-specific factor analysis showed four factors in men (obesity, glucose intolerance, hypertension, and dyslipidemia) and three in women (obesity-hypertension, glucose intolerance, and obesity-dyslipidemia). Insulin resistance estimated from fasting insulin levels clustered with three of the four factors in men and two of the three factors in women. By ATP III or Asian-Pacific waist circumference criteria, the prevalence of the metabolic syndrome increased with increasing tertiles of insulin resistance, which was estimated by a homeostasis model assessment. CONCLUSIONS: The metabolic syndrome is common in an urban Korean population when using Asian-Pacific waist criteria. The prevalence of the metabolic syndrome increased with increasing tertiles of insulin resistance.

Adult↗

Kyphosis does not equal vertebral fractures: the Rancho Bernardo study.

OBJECTIVES: Kyphosis is considered a clinical sign of osteoporotic vertebral fractures. We examined the association of radiographically defined kyphosis with vertebral fractures to determine if this belief was true. METHODS: A total of 1407 ambulatory white adults, aged 50-96 years, from the middle-class community of Rancho Bernardo, California, USA, attended a 1992-96 research clinic visit. Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured at the hip and spine, and lateral thoracolumbar spine radiographs were obtained. The degree of kyphosis was determined using the modified Cobb method. RESULTS: A total of 114 of 553 men (20.6%) and 188 of 854 women (22.0%) had one or more thoracic vertebral fractures. Degenerative disc disease was observed in 45.4% of men and 56.7% of women. The mean age-adjusted Cobb angle was significantly higher (p < 0.001) in men and women with vertebral fractures in comparison to those without vertebral fractures: men 51.3 degrees vs 41.5 degrees, respectively, and women 56.4 degrees vs 46.3 degrees. The prevalence of vertebral fracture increased with higher Cobb angles and there was no significant difference by sex. The proportion of women with osteoporosis increased with the increase of Cobb angle. In the upper quartile of the Cobb angle distribution (> or = 55.5 degrees ), only 36.2% of men and 36.9% of women had prevalent thoracic vertebral fractures; and osteoporosis using WHO BMD criteria was present at the total hip in 9.7% of men and 32.7% of women. CONCLUSION: The majority of men and women with exaggerated kyphosis (the upper quartile of the Cobb angle) had no evidence of thoracic vertebral fractures or osteoporosis. Degenerative disc disease, not vertebral fractures, was the most common finding associated with radiographically defined angle of kyphosis in men and women. Thus kyphosis per se should not be considered diagnostic of osteoporosis. Nevertheless, patients with exaggerated kyphosis should be evaluated for underlying osteoporotic fracture.

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Weight loss: a determinant of hip bone loss in older men and women. The Rancho Bernardo Study.

The sex-specific effect of weight change on change in total hip bone mineral density was evaluated over 4 years (1992-1996) in 1,214 community-dwelling adults whose mean age at baseline was 71 years. Weight and bone mineral density (by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry) were assessed at two study visits. The average bone loss was 0.5% per year in both sexes; 29% of men and 28% of women lost at least 1% of bone mineral density per year. More than one in five participants lost at least 1% of their body weight per year (21% of men and 23% of women). These weight losers were twice as likely as others to lose bone at the rate of at least 1% per year. In analyses controlling for age, baseline weight, and lifestyle, weight loss was the strongest independent predictor of bone loss (odds ratios were 1.53 for men and 1.56 for women). Persons with weight loss of at least 1% per year were more likely to report fair or poor health and functional limitation at the second visit and to die within 2 years of the second visit; however, most did not report declining health, and most survived for at least 2 additional years.

Age Factors↗

Association of total and central obesity with mortality in postmenopausal women with coronary heart disease.

Overweight and abdominal obesity increase mortality risk, although the risk may be mediated by traditional cardiac risk factors. The authors assessed the association of baseline measures, change in overall body weight and abdominal obesity (waist circumference), and weight and waist circumference cycling with total mortality among postmenopausal women with known heart disease. They used data from 2,739 US women who participated in the Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study between 1993 and 2001. Over 6.8 years of follow-up, 498 women died. In adjusted Cox models that included either baseline waist circumference or body mass index (BMI), each was associated with mortality. However, after further adjustment for diabetes, hypertension, and lipoproteins, these associations disappeared. In models including both waist circumference and BMI, larger waist circumference (hazard ratio=1.40 per standard deviation, 95% confidence interval: 1.16, 1.68) was associated with increased risk and higher BMI (hazard ratio=0.81 per standard deviation, 95% confidence interval: 0.67, 0.97) was associated with decreased risk of total mortality, independent of cardiac risk factors. Weight and waist circumference cycling were not associated with mortality. Results show that both BMI and waist circumference are associated with mortality among postmenopausal women with established heart disease, but waist circumference may be more important than BMI, and their effects may be largely mediated by other cardiac risk factors.

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Hip fracture risk assessment using composite indices of femoral neck strength: the Rancho Bernardo study.

The objective of this work was to examine the prediction of incident hip fracture risk by composite indices of femoral neck strength, constructed from dual X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans of the hip. These indices integrate femoral neck size and body size with bone density, and reflect the structure's ability to withstand axial compressive forces and bending forces, and the ability to absorb energy in an impact. We studied a prospective cohort of community-dwelling women, 55 years or older at baseline, average age 72 years, that was established in 1988, with follow-up until 1998. Higher baseline values of each composite strength index were associated with lower risk of incident hip fracture in this cohort. After adjusting for age and body mass index, relative risks associated with each standard deviation increment in the composite indices were 0.39 for compression strength (95% confidence interval 0.25-0.60), 0.43 for bending strength (95% confidence interval 0.27-0.70), and 0.34 for impact strength (95% confidence interval 0.20-0.58). Larger bone size relative to body size was associated with lower risk of incident hip fracture. After adjusting for age, body mass index, and bone density, each standard deviation increment in femoral neck width normalized by body weight was associated with incident hip fracture relative risk of 0.38 (95% confidence interval 0.20-0.70). Our results suggest that composite indices of femoral neck strength, constructed from DXA measurements, have the potential to improve hip fracture risk assessment. This needs further exploration in larger cohorts and in different population sub-groups.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

Sex and time differences in the associations of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol versus other lipid and lipoprotein factors in the prediction of cardiovascular death (The Rancho Bernardo Study).

Non-high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (total cholesterol [TC] minus HDL cholesterol) has been suggested as the preferred lipid fraction to predict cardiovascular disease. We compared the ability of lipids, lipoproteins, the ratio of total to HDL cholesterol (TC/HDL), and non-HDL cholesterol to predict fatal coronary heart disease (CHD) and cardiovascular disease in 1,386 women and 1,094 men (mean age 69 years). After 10 years, there were more deaths in men (n = 310) than women (n = 268), but the proportions of deaths attributed to CHD (23% and 25%, respectively) and cardiovascular disease (48% and 47%) were similar. In men, age-adjusted values for non-HDL cholesterol, TC/HDL ratio, and triglycerides each predicted a significantly increased risk of CHD and cardiovascular disease; none of these associations was independent of pack-years of smoking, systolic blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose, body mass index, and physical activity. In women, age-adjusted non-HDL cholesterol levels did not predict CHD or cardiovascular disease events before or after adjusting for these covariates and for estrogen replacement therapy. In women, only the ratio of TC to HDL cholesterol predicted CHD and cardiovascular disease deaths independent of estrogen use and other risk factors. Observed associations were sensitive to time, being evident in women at 3 and 5 years, and lost thereafter, but not apparent before 10 years in men. Thus, non-HDL cholesterol is not superior to individual lipids, lipoproteins, or their ratios in the prediction of cardiovascular death in older adults.

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Risk factors and secondary prevention in women with heart disease: the Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study.

BACKGROUND: Risk factors for coronary heart disease events have most commonly been evaluated in healthy men. OBJECTIVE: To assess risk factors, event rates, and use of secondary prevention treatments in women with preexisting coronary disease. DESIGN: A prospective cohort of clinical trial participants. SETTING: 20 U.S. clinical centers. PARTICIPANTS: 2763 postmenopausal women with known coronary disease in the Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study (HERS). MEASUREMENTS: Myocardial infarction or death from coronary heart disease. RESULTS: On multivariable analysis, the researchers found 11 risk factors: 6 noted by history (nonwhite ethnicity, lack of exercise, treated diabetes, angina, congestive heart failure, and more than one previous myocardial infarction) and 5 that were measured (blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level, lipoprotein(a) level, and creatinine clearance). The annual rate of coronary events was 1.3% (95% CI, 0.7% to 2.5%) in women with no risk factors and 8.7% (CI, 7.1% to 10.8%) in women with five or more risk factors (a sixfold increase). At entry into HERS, 83% of participants were receiving aspirin or other antiplatelet agents, 33% were receiving beta-blockers, 18% were receiving angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, and 53% were receiving lipid-lowering drugs. Women with more risk factors were less likely to be taking aspirin (P < 0.001) and lipid-lowering drugs (P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Women with coronary disease are at high risk for myocardial infarction or death from coronary heart disease even in the absence of other risk factors, and their risk increases up to sixfold when many risk factors are present. Established drugs for secondary prevention, including aspirin, beta-blockers, and lipid-lowering agents, are underused in these women, especially those at highest risk.

Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗

Glycemic effects of postmenopausal hormone therapy: the Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study. A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Randomized trials of postmenopausal hormone therapy have found differing effects on fasting glucose levels. No trial has evaluated the effect of hormone therapy on diabetes incidence. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of hormone therapy on fasting glucose level and incident diabetes. DESIGN: Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. SETTING: 20 U.S. clinical centers. PARTICIPANTS: 2763 postmenopausal women with coronary heart disease who were followed for 4.1 years. At baseline, 734 women had diabetes, 218 women had impaired fasting glucose, and 1811 women were normoglycemic; the 2029 women without diabetes were followed for incident diabetes. INTERVENTION: 0.625 mg of conjugated estrogen plus 2.5 mg of medroxyprogesterone acetate daily, or placebo. MEASUREMENTS: Fasting glucose level was measured at baseline, at year 1, and at the end of the trial. Incident diabetes was defined by self-report of diabetes or disease complication, fasting glucose level of 6.9 mmol/L or greater (> or =126 mg/dL), or initiation of therapy with diabetes medication. RESULTS: Fasting glucose levels increased significantly among women assigned to placebo but did not change among women receiving hormone therapy. The incidence of diabetes was 6.2% in the hormone therapy group and 9.5% in the placebo group (relative hazard, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.48 to 0.89]; P = 0.006). The number needed to treat for benefit to prevent one case of diabetes was 30 (CI, 18 to 103). Changes in weight and waist circumference did not mediate this effect. CONCLUSIONS: In women with coronary disease, hormone therapy reduced the incidence of diabetes by 35%. This observation provides important insights into the metabolic effects of postmenopausal hormones but is insufficient to recommend the use of hormones for secondary prevention of heart disease.

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