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Biomedical subjects

F Gueyffier

Publications and source records attributed to F Gueyffier.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2001

A score for predicting risk of death from cardiovascular disease in adults with raised blood pressure, based on individual patient data from randomised controlled trials.

OBJECTIVE: To create a risk score for death from cardiovascular disease that can be easily used. DESIGN: Data from eight randomised controlled trials of antihypertensive treatment. SETTING: Europe and North America. PARTICIPANTS: 47 088 men and women from trials that had differing age ranges and differing eligibility criteria for blood pressure. MAIN OTUCOME MEASURE: 1639 deaths from cardiovascular causes during a mean 5.2 years of follow up. RESULTS: Baseline factors were related to risk of death from cardiovascular disease using a multivariate Cox model, adjusting for trial and treatment group (active versus control). A risk score was developed from 11 factors: age, sex, systolic blood pressure, serum total cholesterol concentration, height, serum creatinine concentration, cigarette smoking, diabetes, left ventricular hypertrophy, history of stroke, and history of myocardial infarction. The risk score is an integer, with points added for each factor according to its association with risk. Smoking contributed more in women and in younger age groups. In women total cholesterol concentration mattered less than in men, whereas diabetes had more of an effect. Antihypertensive treatment reduced the score. The five year risk of death from cardiovascular disease for scores of 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, and 60 was 0.1%, 0.3%, 0.8%, 2.3%, 6.1%, and 15.6%, respectively. Age and sex distributions of the score from the two UK trials enabled individual risk assessment to be age and sex specific. Risk prediction models are also presented for fatal coronary heart disease, fatal stroke, and all cause mortality. CONCLUSION: The risk score is an objective aid to assessing an individual's risk of cardiovascular disease, including stroke and coronary heart disease. It is useful for physicians when determining an individual's need for antihypertensive treatment and other management strategies for cardiovascular risk.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

[Antihypertensive therapy and improved life expectancy without cerebrovascular accident or coronary artery disease].

The absolute benefit from antihypertensive therapy increases with the baseline risk. However, age is a major determinant of cardiovascular risk, so it is important to express therapeutic efficacy with indices for which age is not a confounder. With this aim we explored the expected gain in life expectancy without cardiovascular events according to age at the initiation of the treatment. The treatment effect estimated from the INDANA meta-analysis, was applied to the cardiovascular risk of a French hypertensive population, simulated from national vital statistics. The gain in life expectancy was estimated from the area between survival curves without events. The treatment effect varied according three different hypotheses: increasing, decreasing or constant effect. When assuming a constant treatment effect, our results show a 29 month gain without stroke for a man who began his treatment at 40 years, and 15 months if hypertension is screened and treatment initiated at 75 years. The gains without coronary heart disease are respectively of 11 and 6 months. The variation of treatment effect over time could have a major impact on the treatment benefit. The gain in life expectancy without events is a relevant decision tool, completing usefully the absolute benefit, since it takes into account the influence of age.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

[Clinical benefits of cholesterol lowering treatments. Meta-analysis of randomized therapeutic trials].

PRIMARY PREVENTION: A meta-analysis of the 7 available randomized cholesterol lowering trials (2 on statins, 2 on fibrates, 2 on resins and 1 on diet) demonstrates a significant 24% relative reduction in the frequency of fatal and non-fatal coronary events, leading to a significant 14% relative reduction in coronary disease related mortality. For total mortality, the statin trials were not comparable with other treatments where there was a trend to overmortality. With the 2 statin trials, there was a nonsignificant 13% reduction in total mortality. SECONDARY PREVENTION: A meta-analysis of the 13 available randomized trials (3 with clofribrate, 1 with gemfibrozil, 2 with nicotinic acid, and 4 with diet) showed a significant 21% reduction in the frequency of fatal and non-fatal coronary events, coronary mortality and total mortality. For total mortality, only the result of the 2 statin trials was significant (-20%). BENEFICIAL EFFECT OF STATINS, ABSOLUTE VALUES: Measured as the number of patients to treat for 5 years in order to avoid 1 event (NNT), there is a clinically pertinent benefit of secondary prevention (NNT = 15 for events, NNT = 30 for coronary mortality). The absolute value is weaker when patients with minimally elevated cholesterol levels are included. For primary prevention, the absolute value is low with NNT = 44 for events and NNT = 300 for coronary mortality. In addition, as these results were obtained in trials including populations with a much higher risk than the general French population, the absolute beneficial effect may not be pertinent in France except in high-risk patients who present, in addition to a high cholesterol level, other cardiovascular risk factors.

Anticholesteremic Agents↗
PubMed2000

[Randomize the first patient?].

Therapeutic innovation requires rigorous assessment, to fulfil regulatory and ethical constraints. The ideal time for this assessment in the therapeutic progress story is a complex question, mixing individual and collective ethical principles. Randomisation of the first patient is always, at least theoretically, a current issue, extending beyond drug research to reach the wider field of technical innovation. Broad information of consumers, their involvement in clinical research policy, and specific training for prescribers, could be the conditions to make clinical research ethically acceptable.

Ethics, Medical↗
PubMed2000

Risks of untreated and treated isolated systolic hypertension in the elderly: meta-analysis of outcome trials.

BACKGROUND: Previous meta-analysis of outcome trials in hypertension have not specifically focused on isolated systolic hypertension or they have explained treatment benefit mainly in function of the achieved diastolic blood pressure reduction. We therefore undertook a quantitative overview of the trials to further evaluate the risks associated with systolic blood pressure in treated and untreated older patients with isolated systolic hypertension METHODS: Patients were 60 years old or more. Systolic blood pressure was 160 mm Hg or greater and diastolic blood pressure was less than 95 mm Hg. We used non-parametric methods and Cox regression to model the risks associated with blood pressure and to correct for regression dilution bias. We calculated pooled effects of treatment from stratified 2 x 2 contingency tables after application of Zelen's test of heterogeneity. FINDINGS: In eight trials 15 693 patients with isolated systolic hypertension were followed up for 3.8 years (median). After correction for regression dilution bias, sex, age, and diastolic blood pressure, the relative hazard rates associated with a 10 mm Hg higher initial systolic blood pressure were 1.26 (p=0.0001) for total mortality, 1.22 (p=0.02) for stroke, but only 1.07 (p=0.37) for coronary events. Independent of systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure was inversely correlated with total mortality, highlighting the role of pulse pressure as risk factor. Active treatment reduced total mortality by 13% (95% CI 2-22, p=0.02), cardiovascular mortality by 18%, all cardiovascular complications by 26%, stroke by 30%, and coronary events by 23%. The number of patients to treat for 5 years to prevent one major cardiovascular event was lower in men (18 vs 38), at or above age 70 (19 vs 39), and in patients with previous cardiovascular complications (16 vs 37). INTERPRETATION: Drug treatment is justified in older patients with isolated systolic hypertension whose systolic blood pressure is 160 mm Hg or higher. Absolute benefit is larger in men, in patients aged 70 or more and in those with previous cardiovascular complications or wider pulse pressure. Treatment prevented stroke more effectively than coronary events. However, the absence of a relation between coronary events and systolic blood pressure in untreated patients suggests that the coronary protection may have been underestimated.

Aged↗
PubMed2000

Pharmacotherapy for hypertension in women of different races.

OBJECTIVES: To assess whether the relative and absolute benefit of hypertension treatment in women varies with age or race. SEARCH STRATEGY: Literature search of studies from 1966 to 1998 using MEDLINE, reviews, and consultation with experts. SELECTION CRITERIA: Studies were eligible if they were randomized controlled trials of pharmacological treatment of primary hypertension, with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality outcomes, and with over one hundred women enrolled. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: The pooled population included 23,000 women. Relative risks were combined for each endpoint to form summary risk ratios (RR) using meta-analytic techniques based on a random-effects model. Summary RR's were converted to numbers needed to treat (NNT). Data were dichotomized by age to approximate menopausal status (30 to 54 years, and 55 years and older), and by race (white and African American). MAIN RESULTS: In women ages 55 years or older (90% white), hypertension treatment results in a 38% risk reduction in fatal and nonfatal cerebrovascular events (95% confidence interval (CI) 27-47%, 5 year NNT 78), a 25% reduction in fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events (95% CI 17-33%, 5 year NNT 58), and a 17% reduction in cardiovascular mortality (95% CI 3-29%, 5 year NNT 282). In women ages 30 to 54 years (79% white), hypertension treatment results in a 41% risk reduction in fatal and nonfatal cerebrovascular events (95% CI 8-63%, 5 year NNT 264), and a 27% risk reduction in fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events (95% CI 4-44%, 5 year NNT 259). Hypertension treatment in African American women (mean age 52 years) reduced the risk of fatal and nonfatal cerebrovascular events by 53% (95% CI 29-69%, 5 year NNT 39), fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events by 45% (95% CI 18-63%, 5 year NNT 21), fatal and nonfatal coronary events by 33% (95% CI 6-52%, 5 year NNT 48), and all cause mortality by 34% (95% CI 14-49%, 5 year NNT 32). Analyses in white women 30 to 54 years old did not show any statistically significant treatment benefit or harm. REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension treatment lowers the relative and absolute risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in women ages 55 years and older, and in African American women of all ages. A greater effort should be made to increase awareness and treatment in these groups of women. Although relative risk reductions for cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events are similar for younger and older women, the NNT of younger women is at least 4 times higher. Decisions for treatment of hypertension in younger white women should be influenced by the individual patient's absolute risk of cardiovascular disease.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Comparison of bioprosthesis and mechanical valves, a meta-analysis of randomised clinical trials.

The main purpose of this meta-analysis was to compare the outcomes of patients who randomly received mechanical valves or bioprosthesis, over a long-term clinical follow-up. We found only three trials meeting our selection criteria with a total of 1229 patients (8069. 5 patient-yr). Bleeding was more frequent in patients with mechanical prostheses both after 5 yr (RR=2.6; IC=[1.9;3.5]; P<0.0001) and 11 yr (RR=1.6; IC=[1.2;2.2]; P<0.001) of follow-up. However, the increased risk of bleeding at 11 yr was only statistically significant with mechanical prostheses in the aortic position (RR=1.93; IC=[1.36;2. 74]; P=0.0002). Reoperation was significantly more frequent in patients with bioprosthesis after 11 yr follow-up (RR=0.4; IC=[0.3;0. 6]; P<0.001). Endocarditis was more frequent after 11 yr (RR=0.6; IC=[0.3;0.95]; P<0.05) in patients with mechanical prostheses but these results were heterogeneous between mitral and aortic valves. The choice of valve type does not significantly influence survival.

Bioprosthesis↗
PubMed2000

Efficacy of diuretics and beta-blockers in diabetic hypertensive patients. Results from a meta-analysis. The INDANA Steering Committee.

OBJECTIVE: To review the effectiveness of diuretic or beta-blocker-based treatment of hypertension in diabetic patients. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A meta-analysis on individual patient data was performed on four trials of the treatment of hypertension in which diabetic patients were included and treated with first-line diuretics or beta-blockers. The main outcomes were the relative risk of death, fatal or nonfatal stroke, fatal or nonfatal coronary events, and major cardiovascular events. RESULTS: There were 92 diabetic patients who received first-line beta-blockers and 1,008 who received diuretics. In the control groups, diabetic patients had nearly twice the risk of any outcome when compared with nondiabetic patients. The same blood pressure reduction was achieved under treatment in the diabetic and nondiabetic patients, except for systolic pressure, which decreased more in the nondiabetic patients at 1 year. In the 15,843 nondiabetic patients, the risk of all four outcomes was reduced significantly in the treated group. In the 2,254 diabetic patients, the risk reduction was significant only for fatal and nonfatal stroke (36%, P = 0.011) and major cardiovascular events (20%, P = 0.032), but not for death (5%, P = 0.65) and fatal or nonfatal coronary events (15%, P = 0.23). However, no heterogeneity was detected between diabetic patients and nondiabetic patients for any outcome. The numbers of outcomes avoided for 1,000 patients treated for 5 years were higher in diabetic patients (e.g., 38 major cardiovascular events) than with nondiabetic patients (e.g., 28 major cardiovascular events). CONCLUSIONS: These results show that hypertensive diabetic patients benefit from first-line treatment with diuretics. No conclusion can be drawn for beta-blockers, owing to the small sample size.

Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗
PubMed2000

Models to predict cardiovascular risk: comparison of CART, multilayer perceptron and logistic regression.

The estimate of a multivariate risk is now required in guidelines for cardiovascular prevention. Limitations of existing statistical risk models lead to explore machine-learning methods. This study evaluates the implementation and performance of a decision tree (CART) and a multilayer perceptron (MLP) to predict cardiovascular risk from real data. The study population was randomly splitted in a learning set (n = 10,296) and a test set (n = 5,148). CART and the MLP were implemented at their best performance on the learning set and applied on the test set and compared to a logistic model. Implementation, explicative and discriminative performance criteria are considered, based on ROC analysis. Areas under ROC curves and their 95% confidence interval are 0.78 (0.75-0.81), 0.78 (0.75-0.80) and 0.76 (0.73-0.79) respectively for logistic regression, MLP and CART. Given their implementation and explicative characteristics, these methods can complement existing statistical models and contribute to the interpretation of risk.

Artificial Intelligence↗
PubMed1999

Identification of risk factors in hypertensive patients: contribution of randomized controlled trials through an individual patient database.

BACKGROUND: Predicting individual risk is needed to target preventive interventions toward people with the highest probability of benefit over a given time period. We assessed which prognostic factors should be used in predicting risk for hypertensive patients and in searching for treatment modifiers. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 24 390 hypertensive participants who constituted the control groups from 8 controlled trials (1726 deaths over 5 years) were analyzed in multivariate survival models. Outcomes were coronary heart disease death, stroke death, and cardiovascular death. We explored systematically the heterogeneity of results between trials. Left ventricular hypertrophy was electrocardiographically confirmed to be a powerful risk factor and should be included in risk scoring. Height, glomerular filtration rate, and serum uric acid deserve further exploration. Body mass index and heart rate were not confirmed as independent cardiovascular risk factors in this population. The association between male sex and coronary heart disease death was significantly stronger in British cohorts. The lack of prognostic value of diastolic blood pressure was explained by an interaction with age, with a positive association before 65 years and a negative association thereafter. Previous antihypertensive treatment was a significant risk factor. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical trials provide valuable information for risk prediction. Carefully exploring the heterogeneity among trials is a way to assess the generalizability of findings. This approach, if systematically performed, should increase the ability to identify risk modifiers and to predict individual therapeutic benefit.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1999

Antihypertensive drugs in very old people: a subgroup meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. INDANA Group.

BACKGROUND: Beneficial clinical effects of treatment with antihypertensive drugs have been shown in middle-aged patients and in those hypertensive patients over 60 years old, but whether treatment is beneficial in patients over 80 years old is not known. METHODS: We collected data from all participants aged 80 years and over in randomised controlled trials of antihypertensive drugs through direct contact with study investigators. Our primary outcome was fatal and non-fatal stroke. Secondary outcomes were death from all causes, cardiovascular death, fatal and non-fatal major coronary and cardiovascular events, and heart failure. FINDINGS: There were 57 strokes and 34 deaths among 874 actively treated patients, compared with 77 strokes and 28 stroke deaths among 796 controls, representing 1 non-fatal stroke prevented for about 100 patients treated each year. The meta-analysis of data from 1670 participants aged 80 years or older suggested that treatment prevented 34% (95% CI 8-52) of strokes. Rates of major cardiovascular events and heart failure were significantly decreased, by 22% and 39%, respectively. However, there was no treatment benefit for cardiovascular death, and a non-significant 6% (-5 to 18) relative excess of death from all causes. INTERPRETATIONS: The inconclusive findings for mortality contrast with the benefit of treatment for non-fatal events. Results of a large-scale specific trial are needed for definite conclusion that antihypertensive treatment is beneficial in very elderly hypertensive patients. Meanwhile, an age threshold beyond which hypertension should not be treated cannot be justified.

Aged↗
PubMed1999

[Therapeutic trials in arterial hypertension].

Therapeutic trials in hypertension taught us that a strategy based on a thiazide diuretic, or a beta-blocker as first-line drug, has reduced significantly the incidence of stroke (relative risk reduction: -35%), major coronary events (-14%), cardiovascular death (-18%) and heart failure (-42%). The level of cardiovascular risk, taking into account classical risk factors, multiplied by relative risk, offers the best estimate of therapeutic absolute benefit. In terms of prevention, being treated seems to be more important than the level of blood pressure that has been reached.

Adrenergic beta-Antagonists↗
PubMed1999

Identification of responders to a therapy: an example of validation of a predictive model.

The general objective of randomized clinical trials is to assess if the treatment effect on a given population is clinically meaningful. In this way, one obtains an average estimate of the treatment effect over the trial population. However, a growing need for medical practitioners is to be able to predict with sufficient precision the efficiency of a given treatment for a given patient. There is little information in the literature about this issue. We have previously proposed a treatment-startified Cox model including interaction between treatment and patient's covariates, to identify and predict the responders to a therapy. In this paper, we focus on the assessment of the predictive power of the model. The performance of the predictive model for a population and for an individual was statistically validated internally and externally from several aspects. The prediction correlates well with the observation. Thus, we suggest that this approach would be useful in identifying and predicting the responders to a therapy, subject to an appropriate and more extensive validation process in real setting.

Female↗
PubMed1999

Efficacy of treating hypertension in women.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether the relative and absolute benefit of hypertension treatment in women varies with age or race. DESIGN: Systematic review of studies from 1966 to 1998 using MEDLINE, reviews, and consultation with experts. Eleven randomized controlled trials of pharmacologic treatment of prJgiary hypertension with cardiovascular morbidity and mortality outcomes were selected, with a pooled population of 23,000 women. Relative risks were combined for each end point to form a summary risk ratio using meta-analytic techniques based on a random-effects model. Summary risk ratios were converted to numbers needed to treat (NNTs). Data were dichotomized by age to approxJgiate menopausal status (30 to 54 years, and 55 years and older), and by race (white and African American). MAIN RESULTS: In women aged 55 years or older (90% white), hypertension treatment resulted in a 38% risk reduction in fatal and nonfatal cerebrovascular events (95% confidence interval [CI] 27%, 47%; 5-year NNT 78), a 25% reduction in fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events (95% CI 17%, 33%; 5-year NNT 58), and a 17% reduction in cardiovascular mortality (95% CI 3%, 29%; 5-year NNT 282). In women aged 30 to 54 years (79% white), hypertension treatment resulted in a 41% risk reduction in fatal and nonfatal cerebrovascular events (95% CI 8%, 63%; 5-year NNT 264), and a 27% risk reduction in fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events (95% CI 4%, 44%; 5-year NNT 259). Hypertension treatment in African-American women (mean age, 52 years) reduced the risk of fatal and nonfatal cerebrovascular events by 53% (95% CI 29%, 69%; 5-year NNT 39), fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events by 45% (95% CI 18%, 63%; 5-year NNT 21), fatal and nonfatal coronary events by 33% (95% CI 6%, 52%; 5-year NNT 48), and all-cause mortality by 34% (95% CI 14%, 49%; 5-year NNT 32). Analyses in white women aged 30 to 54 years did not show any statistically significant treatment benefit or harm. CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension treatment lowers the relative and absolute risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in women aged 55 years and older and in African-American women of all ages. A greater effort should be made to increase awareness and treatment in these groups of women. Although relative risk reductions for cerebrovascular and cardiovascular events are sJgiilar for younger and older women, the NNT of younger women is at least 4 tJgies higher. Decisions about treatment of hypertension in younger white women should be influenced by the individual patient's absolute risk of cardiovascular disease.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

[Prognostic importance of ambulatory arterial pressure monitoring in France. Initial results of the OCTAVE II study. OCTAVE II Research Group].

RATIONALE: Ambulatory blood pressure measurement (ABPM) is commonly used in clinical practice, whereas its added value to the management of hypertension is not definitely documented. OBJECTIVE: The OCTAVE II study was launched in 1991 to explore the prognostic value of ABPM, compared to that of the gold standard, the clinical blood pressure measurement. METHODS: Two hundred and six French cardiologists recruited 3569 participants over 18 years of age, provided they deemed ABPM was useful (mean age of 56 years, 52% of men, 65% already treated by antihypertensive drugs). The prognostic value of various blood pressure measurements, systolic or diastolic, clinical or ambulatory (diurnal, nocturnal or during 24 hours), has been assessed in multivariate models adjusted on the baseline characteristics associated with risk. The outcome was the occurrence of a major cardiovascular event, including stroke, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: After an average follow-up of five years, cardiovascular morbidity was known for 85% of the participants, and their vital status for 91%. On the whole population, the best prognostic indicators were systolic blood pressure compared with diastolic, ABPM compared with clinical blood pressure measurements, and nocturnal ABPM compared with diurnal ABPM. In the untreated participants at baseline, cardiovascular risk regularly increased among the four groups: normotensives, white-coat hypertensives, dippers, non-dippers. Between the extreme categories, the cardiovascular event rate was multiplied by 6.5. CONCLUSION: In this French population, ABPM and most of all its nocturnal component, was better correlated with cardiovascular prognosis. It remains to assess: 1) the general value of our findings, 2) the respective values of self blood pressure measurement versus ABPM, and 3) whether ABPM allows a better risk prevention.

Adult↗