Biomedical subjects

Felix K-H Chun

Publications and source records attributed to Felix K-H Chun.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2007

Detection of tumor-specific DNA in blood and bone marrow plasma from patients with prostate cancer.

Tumor tissues, blood plasma and bone marrow (BM) aspirates of 57 prostate cancer patients (PCa) without clinical signs of overt metastases were assessed for LOH (loss of heterozygosity) by a PCR-based fluorescence microsatellite analysis, using a panel of 15 markers. Additionally, micrometastatic tumor cells in BM were monitored by an immunocytological cytokeratin assay. In total, 25 (44%), 32 (56%) and 41 (72%) of the patients had at least 1 LOH in their blood, BM and tumor samples, respectively. Among the informative cases, the frequency of LOH was highest in blood plasma for the markers D8S360 (18%) and D10S1765 (15%), and in BM plasma for THRB (24%) and D8S137 (22%). Comparison of blood plasma and BM with tumors showed discrepant results in 35% and 45% of patients, respectively. Whereas all LOHs at THRB in BM plasma were also detected in the autologous tumor tissues, LOHs at D6S474 and D11S898 in BM were not retrieved in the tumors. The comparison with established risk factors showed a correlation of borderline significance for LOH at D9S1748 in the BM aspirates (p=0.055) and a significant correlation in the tumor samples (p=0.004) with increasing pathologic Gleason scores. Interestingly, 22% of the PCa patients harbored tumor cells in their BM and tended (p=0.065) to have more frequent LOH (16%) in BM plasma compared to patients without tumor cells (9%). These data demonstrate, for the first time, the presence of free tumor-specific DNA in blood and BM of PCa patients and suggest a possible relationship to BM micrometastasis.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed2007

Tumour volume and high grade tumour volume are the best predictors of pathologic stage and biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Our goal was to examine to what extent tumour volume (TV) and percentage of high grade tumour volume (%HGTV) affect the rate of positive surgical margins and the rate of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: TV and %HGTV were routinely planimetrically quantified in a cohort of 780 consecutive patients. Mean follow-up was 46.7 months. Multivariable regression models addressed two separate endpoints: positive surgical margins and biochemical recurrence. The increase in model predictive accuracy related to the addition of TV and %HGTV to radical prostatectomy stage and grade was assessed, after 200 bootstrap resamples to reduce overfit bias. RESULTS: In multivariable logistic regression models addressing positive surgical margins rate, predictive accuracy increased by 1.9% (p<0.001) when TV was added to other covariates. No further increment was noted when %HGTV was added (p=0.3). In multivariable Cox regression models addressing biochemical recurrence, accuracy increased by 0.6% (p=0.002) when TV was added and an additional increase of 0.7% was recorded when %HGTV (p<0.001) was added. CONCLUSION: Tumour bulk reflected by TV affects local cancer control rate, which is reflected in the rate of positive surgical margins. Conversely, high grade cancer determines the rate of biochemical recurrence. These two variables represent the most powerful predictors of cancer control in men treated for localised prostate cancer. Moreover, they increase the ability of established predictors to predict the outcomes of interest. In consequence, they warrant consideration in future predictive and prognostic tools.

Adult↗

PubMed2007

Development and external validation of an extended repeat biopsy nomogram.

PURPOSE: We hypothesized that the outcome of repeat biopsy could be accurately predicted. We tested this hypothesis in a contemporary cohort from 3 centers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The principal cohort of 1,082 men from Hamburg, Germany was used for nomogram development as well as for internal 200 bootstrap validation in 721 and external validation in 361. Two additional external validation cohorts, including 87 men from Milan, Italy and 142 from Seattle, Washington, were also used. Predictors of prostate cancer on repeat biopsy were patient age, digital rectal examination, prostate specific antigen, percent free prostate specific antigen, number of previous negative biopsy sessions and sampling density. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to develop the nomograms. RESULTS: The mean number of previous negative biopsies was 1.5 (range 1 to 6) and the mean number of cores at final repeat biopsy was 11.1 (range 10 to 24). Of the men 370 (30.2%) had prostate cancer. On multivariate analyses all predictors were statistically significant (p < or =0.028). After internal validation the nomogram was 76% accurate. External validation showed 74% (Hamburg), 78% (Milan) and 68% (Seattle) accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: Relative to the previous nomograms (10 predictors or 71% accuracy) our tool relies on fewer variables (6) and shows superior accuracy in European men. Accuracy in American men is substantially lower. Racial, clinical and biochemical differences may explain the observed discrepancy in predictive accuracy.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Prediction of pathological stage is inaccurate in men with PSA values above 20 ng/mL.

INTRODUCTION: We hypothesized that either very low (0-2.5 ng/mL) or very high (>20 ng/mL) PSA values may limit the accuracy of pathological stage predictions. To test this hypothesis, we examined 5193 consecutive patients subjected to radical prostatectomy (RP) for localized prostate cancer (PCa). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Patients were divided into three cohorts according to their pre-treatment PSA value: </=2.5 (n=331), 2.51-20 (n=4545) and >20 ng/mL (n=317). Subsequently in each cohort, the ability of PSA, clinical stage and biopsy Gleason sum was tested in multivariable logistic regression models predicting three separate endpoints: extracapsular extension (ECE), seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) and lymph node invasion (LNI). Predictive accuracy represented the performance benchmark. All models were adjusted for year of surgery and subjected to 200 bootstrap resamples to reduce overfit bias. RESULTS: For PSA </=2.5 ng/mL, predictive accuracy was 76.7%, 72.3% and 82.8% for respectively ECE, SVI and LNI. For PSA 2.51-20 ng/mL, the predictive accuracy for the same endpoints was 67.8%, 77.4% and 81.6%. Finally, for PSA >20 ng/mL, predictive accuracy was 63.6%, 63.7% and 70.6%. CONCLUSIONS: The ability to predict pathological stage in patients with PSA values in excess of 20 ng/mL significantly decreased, compared to patients with lower PSA values. Therefore, accurate staging of these patients may require alternative markers or staging schemes.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Development and internal validation of preoperative transition zone prostate cancer nomogram.

OBJECTIVES: Up to 20% of men may harbor a transition zone (TZ) prostate cancer (PCa) at radical prostatectomy (RP). TZ PCa may be associated with more favorable RP pathologic findings than peripheral zone (PZ) PCa. To identify these men, we developed a model capable of predicting the probability of TZ PCa at RP. METHODS: The study cohort consisted of 945 consecutive men treated with RP, with clinical stage, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, and detailed biopsy and RP pathology data available. The preoperative variables were used as predictors in the multivariate logistic regression models to predict the rate of TZ PCa at RP. PCa was defined as a TZ tumor when more than 50% of the planimetrically measured tumor volume was situated within the TZ. Regression coefficients were used to develop nomograms, which were subjected to 200 bootstrap resamples to reduce overfit bias. RESULTS: TZ PCa at the final pathologic examination was recorded in 110 patients (11.6%). After 200 bootstraps, the most parsimonious and most accurate nomogram was 77.3% accurate in predicting the probability of TZ PCa. CONCLUSIONS: This nomogram is ideally suited to identify patients with markedly elevated, nearly metastatic serum PSA levels who harbor a TZ tumor that is highly treatable by RP.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Surgical volume is related to the rate of positive surgical margins at radical prostatectomy in European patients.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between surgical volume (SV) and the rate of positive surgical margins (PSM) after radical prostatectomy (RP) in a large single-institution European cohort of patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In all, 2402 men had a RP by a group of 11 surgeons, all of whom were trained by the surgeon with the highest SV; all surgeons used the same surgical technique. Variables assessed before RP were prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, clinical stage and biopsy Gleason sum; variables assessed after RP were PSA level, extracapsular extension, seminal vesicle invasion, lymph node invasion and pathological Gleason sum. These were used to predict the rate of PSM in models before or after RP. Multivariate models were complemented with SV to test its independent and multivariate statistical significance and to quantify its impact on the model's overall (and 200 bootstrap-corrected) predictive accuracy. RESULTS: The mean (range) SV was 201 (1-1293) RPs; the mean (median, range) rate of PSM was 20.2 (21.4, 0-32.9)%. In multivariate models, SV was a highly statistically significant independent predictor of PSM (P < 0.001) and increased the predictive accuracy in multivariate models both before (2.0%) and after RP (1.5%, both P < 0.001). However, when the surgeon with the highest SV, who contributed to 1293 cases, was removed from the analyses, the multivariate independent prediction and the gains in predictive accuracy related to adding SV, disappeared in the models both before (P = 0.9, accuracy gain 0.1%) and after (P = 0.4, accuracy gain - 0.3%) RP. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that patients treated by surgeons with a very high volume can expect to have a significantly lower rate of PSM, after accounting for clinical and pathological case-mix differences. However, SV is not a predictor of PSM when analyses are restricted to intermediate- and low-volume surgeons.

Clinical Competence↗

PubMed2006

Development and external validation of an extended 10-core biopsy nomogram.

OBJECTIVES: To test the accuracy of a previously externally validated sextant biopsy nomogram in referred men exposed to > or =10 or more biopsy cores. Moreover, we explored the hypothesis that a more accurate predictive tool could be developed. METHODS: Previous nomogram predictors (age, digital rectal examination, prostate-specific antigen, and percent free PSA) were used to assess the accuracy of our previous nomogram in a cohort consisting of 2900 men referred for prostatic evaluation. Moreover, these variables were complemented with sampling density (SD) (i.e., ratio of gland volume and the number of planned biopsy cores) within multivariable logistic regression models (LRM) predicting presence of prostate cancer (pCA) on the initial 10 or more core biopsy. The LRMs were used to develop and internally validate (200 bootstrap resamples) a new nomogram in 1162 men from Hamburg, Germany. The LRMs' external validity was tested in three separate cohorts (Hamburg, n=582; Milan, n=961; Seattle, n=195). RESULTS: The contemporary external validation of the previously validated sextant nomogram demonstrated 70% accuracy. Internal validation of the new nomogram demonstrated 77% accuracy, and external cohorts demonstrated 73-76% accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: In the era of extended biopsy schemes, previously developed predictive models are less accurate in predicting the probability of pCA on initial biopsy. We developed a new tool that allows obtaining more accurate predictions. Moreover, before biopsy, it also allows defining the ideal ratio between gland volume and the number of planned biopsy cores that would yield the ideal biopsy rate.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Complications and other surgical outcomes associated with extended pelvic lymphadenectomy in men with localized prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVES: More-extensive pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) may be associated with a higher rate of complications and a longer hospital stay than more limited PLND. METHODS: Before radical retropubic prostatectomy, PLNDs were performed in 963 patients. Of these, 767 (79.6%) had >or=10 lymph nodes removed and examined (extended PLND [ePLND]), while 1-9 nodes (limited PLND [lPLND]) were removed in the remaining 196 (20.4%). Limits included external iliac, obturator, internal iliac, and iliac bifurcation. PLND-related complications and the length of hospital stay were recorded prospectively and analyzed according to the extent of PLND. RESULTS: In patients subjected to ePLND, the overall rate of complications was 19.8% versus 8.2% in those treated with lPLND (p<0.001). In individual analyses of specific complications, only the lymphocele rate was significantly higher after ePLND (10.3% vs 4.6%; p=0.01). Similarly, ePLND translated into a longer hospital stay (9.9 vs 8.2 d; p<0.001). These differences persisted when adjustment was made for prostate-specific antigen and either clinical or pathologic tumor characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that, even in the hands of experienced urologic surgeons, ePLNDs are associated with higher complication rates and longer hospital stay. These detriments need to be taken into account when the staging benefit associated with ePLND is considered.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Prostate cancer nomograms: an update.

OBJECTIVE: Several nomograms have been developed to predict outcomes related to prostate cancer (PCa). METHODS: We provide a descriptive and an analytic comparison of nomograms. Further, we report a set of recent PCa nomograms, in which we recorded predictor variables, number of patients used to develop each nomogram, and nomogram-specific features. Moreover, accuracy estimates and type of validation are considered. RESULTS: Our findings suggest a demand for updated nomograms in selected fields of PCa outcomes. Moreover, an increasing number of nomograms address important end points such as prostate-specific antigen recurrence, distant metastases, or androgen-independent PCa-specific survival. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that nomograms are available for many PCa-related outcomes. They represent a valid methodologic approach if correct criteria are met.

Biopsy↗

PubMed2006

Initial biopsy outcome prediction--head-to-head comparison of a logistic regression-based nomogram versus artificial neural network.

OBJECTIVES: Nomograms and artificial neural networks (ANNs) represent alternative methodologic approaches to predict the probability of prostate cancer on initial biopsy. We hypothesized that, in a head-to-head comparison, one of the approaches might demonstrate better accuracy and performance characteristics than the other. METHODS: A previously published nomogram, which relies on age, digital rectal examination, serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and percent-free PSA, and an ANN, which relies on the same predictors plus prostate volume, were applied to a cohort of 3980 men, who were subjected to multicore systematic prostate biopsy. The accuracy and the performance characteristics were compared between these two approaches. RESULTS: The accuracy of the nomogram was 71% versus 67% for the ANN (p=0.0001). Graphical exploration of the performance characteristics demonstrated virtually perfect predictions for the nomogram. Conversely, the ANN underestimated the observed rate of prostate cancer. CONCLUSIONS: A 4% increase in predictive accuracy implies that the use of the nomogram instead of the ANN will result in 40 additional patients who will be correctly classified between benign and cancer.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Zonal origin of localized prostate cancer does not affect the rate of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether transition zone (TZ) prostate cancers demonstrate different rates of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy compared to peripheral zone (PZ) cancers. METHODS: In 1262 consecutive patients treated with radical prostatectomy, computerized planimetry defined tumour origin as either TZ tumours (>70% TZ location) or PZ. Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox regression models tested the association between zonal origin and the rate of biochemical recurrence (prostate-specific antigen >0.1ng/ml and rising). We used the Harrell's concordance index to quantify the accuracy of various Cox regression models. RESULTS: TZ prostate cancers were diagnosed in 115 patients (9.1%). Biochemical recurrence was recorded in 16 TZ and in 201 PZ prostate cancers patients. In multivariate Cox models, the rate of biochemical recurrence was not significantly different between TZ and PZ prostate cancers (p=0.4). Combined multivariate predictive accuracy of biochemical recurrence predictions was 81.2% accurate when zonal origin was included versus 81.0% when zonal origin was omitted. CONCLUSIONS: The zonal origin of prostate cancers does not affect the rate of biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy.

Humans↗

PubMed2006

Validation of a nomogram predicting the probability of lymph node invasion based on the extent of pelvic lymphadenectomy in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a multivariate nomogram to predict the rate of lymph node invasion (LNI) in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer according to the extent of extended pelvic lymphadenectomy (PLND), which is associated with significantly higher rate of LNI. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study comprised 781 consecutive patients (median age 66.6 years, range 45-85) treated with PLND and radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP) for clinically localized prostate cancer. Their median (range) prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level was 7 (1.03-49.91) ng/mL, and their clinical stages were T1c in 433 (55.4%), T2 in 328 (42%) and T3 in 20 (2.6%). Biopsy Gleason sums were <or= 6 in 514 (65.8%), 7 in 204 (26.1%) and 8-10 in 63 (8.1%). Multivariate logistic regression models were used to test the association between predictors including PSA level, biopsy Gleason sum, clinical stage, number of nodes removed and the rate of LNI. Finally, regression coefficients were used to develop a nomogram, which was internally validated with 200 bootstrap re-samples. RESULTS: The median (range) number of lymph nodes removed was 14 (2-40); LNI was detected in 71 patients (9.1%). The univariate predictive accuracy for total PSA level, clinical stage, biopsy Gleason sum and number of total nodes removed and examined was 64.2%, 59.8%, 74% and 62.9%, respectively. Except for PSA (P = 0.2), all variables were statistically significant multivariate predictors of LNI at RRP (P <or= 0.001). A nomogram based on clinical stage, PSA level, biopsy Gleason sum and the number of total lymph nodes removed was 78.6% accurate, and 1.8% more accurate than a nomogram without the number of removed lymph nodes. CONCLUSIONS: The extent of PLND is directly related to the probability of LNI. The risk of LNI increases linearly, and is proportional to the number of nodes removed and examined. The effect of the increased probability of LNI is weighted more heavily in men with more advanced clinical stage and grade.

Aged↗

PubMed2006

A nomogram for staging of exclusive nonobturator lymph node metastases in men with localized prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Some patients with localized prostate cancer are at risk of nonobturator lymph node invasion (NOLNI) and may require an extended pelvic lymph node dissection (ePLND). We explored the rate of exclusive NOLNI and developed a nomogram to predict it. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We mapped all ePLND specimens according to their anatomic location (obturator, external iliac, internal iliac lymph nodes) and assessed the location-specific rate of LNI in 565 patients. A multivariate logistic regression-based nomogram predicting NOLNI was then internally validated with 200 bootstrap resamples. RESULTS: Overall, 11.1% (63 of 565) had LNI and 21 (3.7%) had exclusive NOLNI. The nomogram predicting exclusive NOLNI was 80.2% accurate. The nomogram's negative predictive value was 99%, when it predicted 0-10% probability of NOLNI. This approach could allow the omission of an ePLND in 350 of 565 (61.9%) patients and still correctly stage 85.8% of NOLNI cases. CONCLUSIONS: Our nomogram-based approach offers the possibility of identifying men who are at virtually zero risk of exclusive NOLNI. In these men, an ePLND may be safely avoided.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Outcomes research: a methodologic review.

OBJECTIVES: We explored the history and conceptual trends of outcomes research. METHODS: We described different aspects of this field, after dividing it into conceptually distinct strata. RESULTS: Outcomes research can be divided into macro, meso and micro levels. Each level is further subdivided. Macro-level research targets cost and health care utilization, as well as racial, ethnic and geopolitical population health determinants. Meso-level studies address effectiveness, variability, disease impact, clinical modeling and program evaluation studies. Finally, micro-level studies address all aspects of direct patient-clinician decision-making. CONCLUSIONS: An explosion of outcomes research has occurred in the past decades. Wide access to information technology, data sharing and collaborative efforts between researchers represent some of the ingredients that did and will continue to fuel that growth.

Humans↗

PubMed2006

High incidence of prostate cancer detected by saturation biopsy after previous negative biopsy series.

OBJECTIVES: We explored the yield of saturation biopsy and developed a nomogram predicting the probability of prostate cancer (PCa) on the basis of saturation biopsy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between 2001 and 2004, saturation biopsies (average of 24 cores) were performed in 161 men with persistently elevated prostate specific antigen (PSA) level (median, 9 ng/ml). All had at least two previously negative, eight-core biopsy sessions. PCa predictors on saturation biopsy were integrated within multivariate nomograms. RESULTS: PCa detection was 41% (n=66 of 161). PSA density and transition zone volume were the most significant predictors of PCa on saturation biopsy. The accuracy of the nomogram with the best performance characteristics was 72%. CONCLUSIONS: Saturation biopsy may be indicated in men with a persistent suspicion of PCa. High-risk individuals can be identified accurately with our nomogram.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Risk assessment for biochemical recurrence prior to radical prostatectomy: significant enhancement contributed by human glandular kallikrein 2 (hK2) and free prostate specific antigen (PSA) in men with moderate PSA-elevation in serum.

Most models to predict biochemical recurrence (BCR) of prostate cancer use pretreatment serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA), clinical stage and prostate biopsy Gleason grade. We investigated whether human glandular kallikrein 2 (hK2) and free prostate-specific antigen (fPSA) measured in pretreatment serum enhance prediction. We retrospectively measured total PSA (tPSA), fPSA and hK2 in preoperative serum samples from 461 men with localized prostate cancer treated with radical prostatectomy between 1999 and 2001. We developed a regression model to predict BCR using preoperative tPSA, clinical stage and biopsy Gleason grade. We then compared the predictive accuracy of this "base" model with a model with fPSA and hK2 as additional predictors. BCR was observed in 90 patients (20%), including 48 patients with a pretreatment tPSA < or = 14 ng/ml (13%), and 28 patients (10%) with a pretreatment tPSA < or = 10 ng/ml. Overall, the predictive accuracy of the base model (bootstrap-corrected concordance index of 0.813) was not improved after the addition of fPSA or hK2 (0.818). However, for men with moderate tPSA-elevation (tPSA < or = 10 ng/ml), addition of fPSA and hK2 data increased predictive accuracy (from a base model concordance index of 0.756-0.815, p = 0.005). The improvement in accuracy was not sensitive to the threshold for "moderately elevated" PSA. For patients with a moderate tPSA-elevation (tPSA < or = 10 ng/ml), which closely corresponds to concurrent disease demographics, BCR-prediction was enhanced when fPSA and hK2 were added to the conventional model. Measurements of fPSA and hK2 improve on our ability to counsel patients prior to treatment as to their risk of BCR.

Aged↗

PubMed2006

Anatomic radical retropubic prostatectomy-long-term recurrence-free survival rates for localized prostate cancer.

Radical prostatectomy remains the mainstay for the treatment of localized prostate cancer. Long-term follow-up data showed excellent cancer control rates in several prostatectomy series. We report biochemical recurrence (BCR) outcomes after radical retropubic prostatectomy (RRP) in a European single center series of patients treated over a 13-year period. Between 1992 and 06/2005, 4,277 consecutive men underwent a RRP at the University Hospital Hamburg Eppendorf, Germany. Kaplan-Meier probabilities of BCR-free survival were determined for those patients with complete preoperative data, postoperative data, and follow-up information. Uni-and multivariate Cox regression models addressed PSA recurrence, defined as a PSA level > or = 0.1 ng/ml. Overall, BCR-free survival ranged between 84, 70 and 61% for 2, 5, and 8 years, respectively. In univariate and multivariate analyses, except for age and type of nerve-sparing technique, all traditional clinical and pathological variables represented statistically independent predictors of PSA recurrence-free survival (all P < or = 0.001). In organ-confined disease, the 10-year recurrence free survival rate was 80 and 30% in non-organ-confined cancers. Our findings confirm excellent long-term biochemical cancer-control outcomes after RRP. High grade prostate cancer at final pathology and seminal vesicle invasion proved to be the strongest risk factors of BCR after surgery.

Adult↗

PubMed2006

Tumor size improves the accuracy of TNM predictions in patients with renal cancer.

OBJECTIVES: Current staging for renal cancer (RC) does not directly rely on tumor size. We examined the increment in accuracy related to inclusion of pathologically determined tumor size in prediction of nodal metastases (N+), distant metastases (M+), and cancer-specific survival (CSS). METHODS: Partial or radical nephrectomy was performed in 2245 patients with clear cell histology. Pathologic stages were T1a in 566, T1b in 490, T2 in 303, T3 in 831, and T4 in 55 patients. Tumor size was 0.5-25 cm (mean, 6.8). Multivariate models relied on 1997 and 2002 TNM variables and addressed N+, M+ disease, and CCS. Their accuracy was compared according to either the presence or absence of tumor size. RESULTS: In all univariate and multivariate models, tumor size was a statistically significant predictor of all outcomes (p< or =0.001). In all multivariate models, tumor size added between 3.7% and 0.8% to predictive accuracy of either 1997 or 2002 TNM categories. CONCLUSIONS: Tumor size represents a highly significant, multivariate, and informative predictor of RC outcomes and may warrant inclusion in future TNM revisions.

Carcinoma, Renal Cell↗