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Biomedical subjects

G A Diamond

Publications and source records attributed to G A Diamond.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Development and validation of a logistic regression-derived algorithm for estimating the incremental probability of coronary artery disease before and after exercise testing.

OBJECTIVES: Our goals were to develop and validate a multivariate algorithm for estimating the incremental probability of the presence of coronary artery disease. BACKGROUND: Multivariate methods, including logistic regression analysis, have been extensively applied to diagnostic exercise testing. However, few previous studies have included both an incremental design and external validation. METHODS: A retrospective collection of clinical, exercise test and catheterization data was performed involving four U.S. referral medical centers. All patients had no prior history of coronary disease and had undergone coronary angiography < or = 3 months after exercise stress testing. An algorithm was developed in one center (590 patients with a 41% prevalence of coronary artery disease) with the use of logistic regression analysis and was validated in the other three centers (1,234 patients, 70% prevalence). The algorithm incorporated pretest variables (age, gender, symptoms, diabetes, cholesterol), exercise electrocardiographic (ECG) variables (mm of ST segment depression, ST slope, peak heart rate, metabolic equivalents [METs], exercise angina) and one thallium variable. Discrimination was measured with receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Calibration (that is, reliability) was assessed from a comparison of probability estimates and the actual prevalence of disease. RESULTS: The overall incremental receiver operating characteristic curve areas for the validation group were pretest, -0.738 +/- 0.016; postexercise ECG, 0.78 (SE 0.017); and postthallium, 0.82 (SE 0.016); p < 0.01 for both increments. Within the three validation institutions, the institution with a disease prevalence closest to that of the derivation institution had the best incremental receiver operating characteristic curve areas. There was a stepwise incremental improvement in calibration especially from exercise ECG to thallium testing. CONCLUSIONS: An incremental multivariate algorithm derived in one center reliably estimated disease probability in patients from three other centers. The incremental value of testing was best demonstrated when the derivation and validation groups had a similar disease prevalence. This algorithm may be useful in decision making that relates to the diagnosis of coronary disease.

Algorithms

Comparison of logistic regression and Bayesian-based algorithms to estimate posttest probability in patients with suspected coronary artery disease undergoing exercise ECG.

Two multivariate methods, a logistic regression-derived algorithm and a Bayesian independence-assuming method (CADENZA), were compared concerning their abilities to estimate posttest probability of coronary disease in patients with suspected coronary disease. All patients underwent exercise testing within 3 months prior to coronary angiography. Coronary disease was defined as the presence of one or more vessels with greater than or equal to 50% luminal diameter narrowing. A group of 300 patients (disease prevalence = 37%) was used to derive the algorithm. Another group of 950 patients was used to validate the algorithm and compare it to CADENZA. Seven variables (age, sex, symptoms, diabetes, mm ST depression, ST slope, and peak heart rate) were used to generate posttest probabilities for each method. The receiver operating characteristic curve area for the logistic regression method (0.81 +/- 0.01) was significantly higher than CADENZA (0.75 +/- 0.01; p less than 0.05). There was, however, no difference in the calibration of the two methods. When given equivalent variable information, the logistic regression algorithm had better discrimination than CADENZA for estimating the probability of coronary disease following exercise electrocardiography.

Algorithms

In vitro validation of three-dimensional intravascular ultrasound for the evaluation of arterial injury after balloon angioplasty.

OBJECTIVES: The hypothesis of this study was that three-dimensional ultrasound imaging would facilitate the evaluation of arterial dissection after balloon angioplasty. BACKGROUND: The presence and extent of arterial dissection occurring at the time of balloon angioplasty may be important predictors of abrupt vessel closure or late restenosis. METHODS: Forty-one human arterial segments obtained after death were imaged in an in vitro system at physiologic pressure (80 to 100 mm Hg) before and after balloon angioplasty. Images were acquired with a 20- to 30-MHz mechanical intravascular ultrasound imaging system (Cardiovascular Imaging Systems) with a constant pullback technique (1 mm/s). Standard 0.5-in. (1.27-cm) video tapes were used for data storage and later playback for analog to digital conversion. Digitized data were reconstructed to three-dimensional images with use of voxel space modeling. The vessels were opened longitudinally and subjected to pathologic examination, photographed and classified histologically as normal, fibrous or calcified. Dissection was defined as a disruption and separation of components of the arterial wall. The length and depth of arterial dissection were evaluated grossly and microscopically. RESULTS: Of the 41 arteries studied, 36 (88%) exhibited dissection on pathologic examination after balloon angioplasty. Three-dimensional reconstruction of intravascular ultrasound images identified dissection in 11 (92%) of 12 normal, 8 (100%) of 8 fibrous and 11 (69%) of 16 calcified arteries. Excellent agreement between ultrasound and pathologic findings was achieved in the evaluation of length and depth of dissection for histologically normal and fibrous arteries (kappa = 0.72 to 1.0). When the vessels were severely calcified, the agreement was not as good (kappa = 0.27 to 0.56), particularly in detection of small, non-raised intimal flaps. CONCLUSIONS: This histopathologic validation study suggests that three-dimensional intravascular ultrasound imaging facilitates the evaluation of both quantitative and morphologic features of arterial dissection induced by balloon angioplasty. The advantage of three-dimensional intravascular ultrasound is its ability to assess the length and morphology of arterial injury over an entire vessel segment.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary

Selection of patients for programmed ventricular stimulation: a clinical decision-making model based on multivariate analysis of clinical variables.

OBJECTIVE: This study was conducted to assess the utility of clinical variables in predicting the inducibility of sustained ventricular arrhythmias in a heterogeneous group of patients undergoing programmed ventricular stimulation. METHODS: Variables were considered in a simulated chronologic order to determine the incremental information added by the signal-averaged electrocardiogram (ECG) and left ventricular ejection fraction. All patients undergoing baseline programmed ventricular stimulation for induction of ventricular tachyarrhythmia during a 30-month period were included in the study. Fourteen historical, ECG, signal-averaged ECG and left ventricular wall motion variables were evaluated for their ability in predicting inducibility of a sustained ventricular arrhythmia, a "positive" event, at programmed ventricular stimulation. RESULTS: On univariate analysis of the clinical variables, comparison between patients with positive or negative results showed significant differences in 10 of the 14 clinical variables: major cardiac diagnosis, history of ventricular tachycardia, myocardial infarction by history or ECG, all five signal-averaged ECG variables, left ventricular ejection fraction and presence of left ventricular aneurysm. On multivariate analysis, five independent variables were determined to be important: history of ventricular tachycardia, historical or ECG evidence of myocardial infarction, history of loss of consciousness, filtered QRS duration on the signal-averaged ECG and left ventricular ejection fraction. However, with sequential multivariate analysis, a model based only on historical and conventional ECG data was found to do as well as a model that included signal-averaged ECG and left ventricular ejection fraction data. CONCLUSIONS: Routinely available noninvasive historical, ECG, signal-averaged ECG and left ventricular wall motion variables can be used to accurately predict the outcome of programmed ventricular stimulation. The majority of the predictive power was obtained with the routine model, using only historical and ECG data. The signal-averaged ECG and left ventricular wall motion analysis added no significant incremental information.

Aged

Phase plane plot of electrograms as a marker of ventricular electrical instability during acute ischemia: initial experimental results and potential clinical applications.

We used a phase plane plots method (a plot of voltage [V(t)] vs rate of change of voltage [dV/dt]) derived from nonlinear dynamics to transform a sinus rhythm strip into a geometric form. The geometric form thus obtained detects variations in the ECG over time and therefore may aid in identifying patterns of vulnerability to ventricular fibrillation (VF). The trajectories of consecutive ventricular depolarizations and repolarizations of sinus rhythm in dogs that evolve to VF showed characteristic differential band thickening (inhomogeneities) that were absent in the dogs that did not develop VF. This method of analysis can be a useful complementary tool to detect cardiac electrical instability, and with simple hardware, can easily be displayed in real time.

Animals

Incremental prognostic accuracy of clinical, radionuclide and hemodynamic data in acute myocardial infarction.

A logical sequence of testing in evaluating prognosis early in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) would be to use clinical data first, then add noninvasive data and finally add invasive data. The incremental prognostic information concerning 1-year survival obtained from such a sequence in 107 patients with AMI was studied using logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristic curves. Cardiac mortality was 24% at 1 year. Clinical data obtained soon after admission (prior myocardial infarction, heart rate, blood pressure, age) were 78 +/- 5% accurate in the prediction of 1-year survival. The addition of radionuclide-estimated left ventricular ejection fraction or invasive hemodynamic data to the clinical model at this time improved prognostic accuracy to 84 +/- 5% (p = 0.05) and 87 +/- 4% (p = 0.007), respectively. The further addition of invasive data to the model containing clinical and left ventricular ejection fraction data provided a further increment in prognostic accuracy to 89 +/- 4%, whereas no significant increase in accuracy was seen on addition of left ventricular ejection fraction to the model containing clinical and invasive data. It is concluded that clinical data provide important prognostic information concerning late survival early in the course of AMI. This may be improved by the logical application of noninvasive and invasive studies at this time.

Adult

Can the analytic techniques of nonlinear dynamics distinguish periodic, random and chaotic signals?

Recent advances in the mathematical discipline of nonlinear dynamics have led to its use in the analysis of many biologic processes. But the ability of the tools of nonlinear dynamic analysis to identify chaotic behavior has not been determined. We analyzed a series of signals--periodic, chaotic and random--with five tools of nonlinear dynamics. Periodic signals were sine, square, triangular, sawtooth, modulated sine waves and quasiperiodic, generated at multiple amplitudes and frequencies. Chaotic signals were generated by solving sets of nonlinear equations including the logistic map, Duffing's equation, Lorenz equations and the Silnikov attractor. Random signals were both discontinuous and continuous. Gaussian noise was added to some signals at magnitudes of 1, 2, 5, 10 and 20% of the signal's amplitude. Each signal was then subjected to tools of nonlinear dynamics (phase plane plot, return map, Poincaré section, correlation dimension and spectral analysis) to determine the relative ability of each to characterize the underlying system as periodic, chaotic or random. In the absence of noise, phase plane plots and return maps were the most sensitive detectors of chaotic and periodic processes. Spectral analysis could determine if a process was periodic or quasiperiodic, but could not distinguish between chaotic and random signals. Correlation dimension was useful to determine the overall complexity of a signal, but could not be used in isolation to identify a chaotic process. Noise at any level effaced the structure of the phase plane plot. Return maps were relatively immune to noise at levels of up to 5%. Spectral analysis and correlation dimension were insensitive to noise. Accordingly, we recommend that unknown signals be subjected to all of the techniques to increase the accuracy of identification of the underlying process. Based on these data, we conclude that no single test is sufficiently sensitive or specific to categorize an unknown signal as chaotic.

Fourier Analysis

The clinical importance of the inferolateral trunk of the internal carotid artery.

The inferolateral trunk (ILT) of the internal carotid artery (ICA) is a branch that arises inferiorly from the C4 segment of the cavernous ICA. It provides blood supply to the 3rd, 4th, and 6th cranial nerves, as well as to the gasserian ganglion. The ILT anastomoses to branches of the internal maxillary artery, providing collateral circulation between the external carotid artery and the ICA systems. Retinal and cerebral emboli can arise from the external carotid artery system and travel via the ILT to the ICA. Cranial nerve palsies may result after occlusion of the ILT. We present the cases of four patients who had iatrogenic neurological dysfunction subsequent to intravascular procedures that involved the ILT. These cases provide further clinical confirmation of the importance of this blood vessel. A 5th case involving iatrogenic occlusion of the ILT and no neurological deficit is also presented, demonstrating that the ILT is not the sole blood supply of the cranial nerves in the cavernous sinus.

Adult

Exercise thallium-201 scintigraphy in the diagnosis and prognosis of coronary artery disease.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the discriminant accuracy of exercise thallium-201 myocardial perfusion scintigraphy for the diagnosis and prognosis of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease. DATA IDENTIFICATION: A survey of the National Library of Medicine MEDLINE database. STUDY SELECTION: The key medical subject headings used were coronary disease, myocardial infarction, radionuclide imaging, and thallium. A total of 122 retrieved studies were considered relevant and were reviewed in depth. DATA EXTRACTION: Only studies reporting both the sensitivity and specificity of thallium scintigraphy were analyzed. RESULTS: Discriminant accuracy for diagnosis and prognosis was summarized in terms of pooled sensitivity and specificity. CONCLUSIONS: Exercise thallium scintigraphy is useful in the noninvasive diagnosis of coronary artery disease, especially in patients with abnormal resting electrocardiograms, restricted exercise tolerance, and intermediate probability of having disease at the time of testing as well as of defining the prognosis of patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease, especially in those with previous myocardial infarction. Because of various shortcomings in the published record, however, the marginal discriminant accuracy and cost effectiveness of thallium scintigraphy compared with conventional clinical assessment and exercise electrocardiography remain controversial.

Coronary Disease

Fascinating rhythm: a primer on chaos theory and its application to cardiology.

Nonlinear dynamics is an exciting new way of looking at peculiarities that in the past have been ignored or explained away. We have attempted to give a general introduction to the basics of the mathematics, applications to cardiology, and a brief review of the new tools needed to use the concepts of nonlinear mathematics. The careful mathematical approach to problems in cardiac electrical dynamics and blood flow is opening a window on behaviors and mechanisms previously inaccessible.

Animals