PubMed Health⌕ Search

Biomedical subjects

G Derksen-Lubsen

Publications and source records attributed to G Derksen-Lubsen.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Validating and updating a prediction rule for serious bacterial infection in patients with fever without source.

AIM: To externally validate and update a previously developed rule for predicting the presence of serious bacterial infections in children with fever without apparent source. METHODS: Patients, 1-36 mo, presenting with fever without source, were prospectively enrolled. Serious bacterial infection included bacterial meningitis, sepsis, bacteraemia, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, bacterial gastroenteritis, osteomyelitis/ethmoiditis. The generalizability of the original rule was determined. Subsequently, the prediction rule was updated using all available data of the patients with fever without source (1996-1998 and 2000-2001, n = 381) using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: the generalizability of the rule appeared insufficient in the new patients (n = 150). In the updated rule, independent predictors from history and examination were duration of fever, vomiting, ill clinical appearance, chest-wall retractions and poor peripheral circulation (ROC area (95%CI): 0.69 (0.63-0.75)). Additional independent predictors from laboratory were serum white blood cell count and C-reactive protein, and in urinalysis > or = 70 white bloods (ROC area (95%CI): 0.83 (0.78-0.88). CONCLUSIONS: A previously developed prediction rule for predicting the presence of serious bacterial infection in children with fever without apparent source was updated. Its clinical score can be used as a first screening tool. Additional laboratory testing may specify the individual risk estimate (range: 4-54%) further.

Bacterial Infections↗

[A diagnostic decision rule for managing children with signs of meningeal irritation].

OBJECTIVE: To develop a diagnostic decision rule based on clinical features to predict the risk of bacterial meningitis in children with signs of meningeal irritation. DESIGN: Retrospective and prospective. METHOD: Predictors for bacterial meningitis were identified by collecting clinical data from the records of 360 patients (aged 1 month to 15 years) who consulted the Casualty Department, Sophia Children's Hospital, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, with signs of meningeal irritation during the period 1988-1998. The diagnostic decision rule derived was prospectively validated on 226 similar children who consulted the casualty departments of four hospitals in the Netherlands during the period 1999-2001. RESULTS: Predictors for bacterial meningitis were the main complaint and vomiting (in the history) persisting for a long time, the presence of meningeal irritation, cyanosis, petechiae, disturbed consciousness (during physical examination), and a high serum concentration of C-reactive protein. Liquor analysis parameters with an added diagnostic value were the total polymorphonuclear cell count in the liquor and the liquor/blood glucose ratio. The use of these patient characteristics in a decision rule accurately predicted the chance of bacterial meningitis. The rule can also be used to refine the indication for lumbar puncture and empirical antibiotic treatment.

Adolescent↗

External validation is necessary in prediction research: a clinical example.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Prediction models tend to perform better on data on which the model was constructed than on new data. This difference in performance is an indication of the optimism in the apparent performance in the derivation set. For internal model validation, bootstrapping methods are recommended to provide bias-corrected estimates of model performance. Results are often accepted without sufficient regard to the importance of external validation. This report illustrates the limitations of internal validation to determine generalizability of a diagnostic prediction model to future settings. METHODS: A prediction model for the presence of serious bacterial infections in children with fever without source was derived and validated internally using bootstrap resampling techniques. Subsequently, the model was validated externally. RESULTS: In the derivation set (n=376), nine predictors were identified. The apparent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (95% confidence interval) of the model was 0.83 (0.78-0.87) and 0.76 (0.67-0.85) after bootstrap correction. In the validation set (n=179) the performance was 0.57 (0.47-0.67). CONCLUSION: For relatively small data sets, internal validation of prediction models by bootstrap techniques may not be sufficient and indicative for the model's performance in future patients. External validation is essential before implementing prediction models in clinical practice.

Bacterial Infections↗

Early prediction of neurological sequelae or death after bacterial meningitis.

UNLABELLED: This study determined independent predictors of the occurrence of permanent neurological sequelae or death after childhood bacterial meningitis. Data were used from a large study on children (aged 1 mo to 15 y) initially presenting with meningeal irritation. A nested case-control study was performed on children with (n = 23) and without (n = 70) permanent neurological sequelae (hearing impairment, locomotor dysfunction, mental retardation or epilepsy) or death after bacterial meningitis. Predictors obtained from clinical evaluation and laboratory tests at presentation and during the clinical course were identified by multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses. The study population comprised 23 cases and 70 controls (52% boys, median age 2.8 y). Independent predictors for an adverse outcome after bacterial meningitis were male gender, atypical convulsions in history, low body temperature at admission and the pathogen Streptococcus pneumoniae. The area under the ROC curve of this prediction rule was 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.78-0.96), which was not improved by adding other characteristics. A score including these independent predictors could classify patients into categories with increasing risk for an adverse outcome. CONCLUSION: Clinical characteristics available early in the clinical course, such as gender, atypical convulsions in history, low body temperature at admission and the pathogen, are predictive for the occurrence of permanent neurological sequelae or death after bacterial meningitis in childhood. The pathogen type, in particular, is the main prognostic determinant of childhood bacterial meningitis.

Adolescent↗

Predicting serious bacterial infection in young children with fever without apparent source.

UNLABELLED: The aim of this study was to design a clinical rule to predict the presence of a serious bacterial infection in children with fever without apparent source. Information was collected from the records of children aged 1-36 mo who attended the paediatric emergency department because of fever without source (temperature > or = 38 degrees C and no apparent source found after evaluation by a general practitioner or history by a paediatrician). Serious bacterial infection included bacterial meningitis, sepsis, bacteraemia, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, bacterial gastroenteritis, osteomyelitis and ethmoiditis. Using multivariate logistic regression and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC area), the diagnostic value of predictors for serious bacterial infection was judged, resulting in a risk stratification. Twenty-five percent of the 231 patients enrolled in the study (mean age 1.1 y) had a serious bacterial infection. Independent predictors from history and examination included duration of fever, poor micturition, vomiting, age, temperature < 36.7 degrees C or > or = 40 degrees C at examination, chest-wall retractions and poor peripheral circulation (ROC area: 0.75). Independent predictors from laboratory tests were white blood cell count, serum C-reactive protein and the presence of >70 white blood cells in urinalysis (ROC area: 0.83). The risk stratification for serious bacterial infection ranged from 6% to 92%. CONCLUSION: The probability of a serious bacterial infection in the individual patient with fever without source can be estimated more precisely by using a limited number of symptoms, signs and laboratory tests.

Bacterial Infections↗

Signs of meningeal irritation at the emergency department: how often bacterial meningitis?

OBJECTIVE: Although signs of meningeal irritation are highly indicative of meningitis, they are not pathognomonic. In this study, we described the final diagnoses in children with signs of meningeal irritation, and we assessed the frequency of bacterial meningitis related to specific signs of meningeal irritation. METHODS: Information was collected from records of 326 patients (aged 1 month to 15 years) who visited the emergency department of the Sophia Children's Hospital between 1988 and 1998 with signs of meningeal irritation, assessed by either the general practitioner or the pediatrician. RESULTS: Bacterial meningitis was diagnosed in 99 patients (30%), viral or aseptic meningitis in 43 (13%). Other diagnoses were pneumonia (8%), other serious bacterial infections (2%), and upper respiratory tract infections or other self-limiting diseases (46 %). Presence of one of the signs of meningeal irritation assessed by the pediatrician was related to bacterial meningitis in 39%. Specific tests eliciting meningeal irritation, such as Brudzinski's and Kernig's signs, were not related to a higher frequency of bacterial meningitis than neck stiffness and the tripod phenomenon. In children < or =1 year, bacterial meningitis is more frequently related to presence of irritability and a bulging fontanel. CONCLUSION: Bacterial meningitis is present in 30% of children with signs of meningeal irritation. Presence of meningeal irritation as assessed by the pediatrician is related to bacterial meningitis in 39%. A better prediction of bacterial meningitis was not achieved by using more specific tests for signs of meningeal irritation.

Adolescent↗

Parents' fear regarding fever and febrile seizures.

In order to improve the effectiveness of information, we studied parents' perceptions and knowledge about fever and febrile seizures. A questionnaire study was carried out among the parents whose children (n = 230) participated in a randomized controlled trial of ibuprofen to prevent recurrent febrile seizures. Of the 230 parents, 181 (79%) responded to the questionnaire. Of all parents, 45% were afraid or very afraid of fever, which was strongly associated with being afraid of recurrent febrile seizures. Parents of children with a non-West European background were more afraid. The consequences of parental fear included frequent temperature measurements (25% measured five times per day or more), sleeping in the same room (24%) and 13% remained awake at night. Witnessing a febrile seizure is a frightening experience for parents; a majority thought that febrile seizures were harmful, because they look dangerous. Forty-seven percent thought that their child was dying during the initial febrile seizure. On the other hand, reassuring information may be helpful: 21% mentioned it as their reason to consider febrile seizures not harmful. We conclude that parental fear of fever and febrile seizures is a major problem with several negative consequences for daily family life. Adequate provision of information may reduce parental fear. We suggest that information about fever and febrile seizures should be provided to all parents, preferably during their contact with the providers of preventive healthcare. The parents of children with a non-West European origin need extra attention.

Adult↗

Frequency of fever episodes related to febrile seizure recurrence.

The aim of this study was to assess the number of fever episodes as a risk factor for febrile seizure recurrence during the first 6 months after the last previous febrile seizure. In a 6-month follow-up study of 155 children, aged 3 months to 5 y, with a first or a recurrent febrile seizure, the occurrence of fever episodes and febrile seizure recurrences was prospectively documented. Using logistic regression analysis the association between the baseline characteristics and the number of fever episodes and the outcome, a febrile seizure recurrence, was studied. In total, 260 fever episodes were registered; 29 children experienced 1 or more febrile seizure recurrence during follow-up. Two factors were associated with febrile seizure recurrence: the number of fever episodes [odds ratio (OR)= 1.8; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4-2.4)] and age at study entry (OR=0.6; 95% CI: 0.3-1.1). In a multivariable model, only the number of fever episodes remained significant. In conclusion, the number of fever episodes increases the risk of a febrile seizure recurrence with a factor of 1.8 per fever episode in the first 6 months after a febrile seizure.

Child, Preschool↗

Characteristics of the initial seizure in familial febrile seizures.

Complex seizure characteristics in patients with a positive family history were studied to define familial phenotype subgroups of febrile seizures. A total of 51 children with one or more affected first degree relatives and 177 without an affected first degree relative were compared for history of complex characteristics of the initial febrile seizure. No difference was found in the frequency of febrile status epilepticus (OR = 1.1 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.3 to 4.3)), multiple type (OR = 0.6 (CI 0.3 to 1.2)), and focal characteristics (OR = 0.4 (CI 0.2 to 1.2)). The presence of any complex characteristic (OR = 0.5 (CI 0.3 to 1.0)) was higher in those without an affected first degree relative, although differences did not reach significance. The familial type of febrile seizures is not associated with complex characteristics of the initial febrile seizure. Complex seizure characteristics are unlikely to help in discriminating phenotype subgroups for genetic studies of febrile seizures.

Age of Onset↗

Temperature, age, and recurrence of febrile seizure.

OBJECTIVE: Prediction of a recurrent febrile seizure during subsequent episodes of fever. DESIGN: Study of the data of the temperatures, seizure recurrences, and baseline patient characteristics that were collected at a randomized placebo controlled trial of ibuprofen syrup to prevent febrile seizure recurrences. SETTING: Two pediatric hospitals in the Netherlands. PATIENTS: A total of 230 children with an increased risk of febrile seizure recurrence. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Seizure recurrence during a subsequent fever episode. RESULTS: A total of 509 episodes of fever were registered with 67 recurrences; 35 (52%) recurrences within the first 2 hours after fever of onset had a lower median temperature (39.3 degrees C) than 32 (48%) after more than 2 hours of fever (40.0 degrees C, P<.001). Poisson regression analysis resulted in 3 univariably significant (P<.05) predictors of a recurrence of seizure during a subsequent episode of fever. In a multivariable model, they were corrected for their correlation: interval between the last previous seizure and fever of onset less than 6 months (relative risk= 1.3 [95% confidence interval: 0.8-2.4]), age at fever of onset (relative risk=0.7 [95% confidence interval: 0.5-1.0] per year increase) and temperature at fever of onset (relative risk = 1.7 [95% confidence interval: 1.1-2.8] per degree Celsius increase). CONCLUSIONS: Half of the recurrent seizures occur in the first 2 hours after fever of onset of a subsequent fever episode. If seizure recurs at a later time, the temperature at seizure is higher compared with recurrences occurring in the first 2 hours of fever. Young age at fever of onset, high temperature at fever of onset, and high temperature during the episode of fever are associated with an increased risk of a recurrent febrile seizure at the moment that a child with a history of febrile seizures has fever again.

Age Factors↗

Prediction of febrile seizures in siblings: a practical approach.

UNLABELLED: To quantify the risk of febrile seizures (FS) in relatives of children with FS and to predict the risk of FS in siblings, we calculated cumulative risks of FS in first degree relatives of 129 children with FS. The study was conducted as a prospective follow up study of FS recurrences at the outpatient clinic of the Sophia Children's Hospital in Rotterdam. Thirteen parents and 12 siblings had experienced FS, accounting for a 6-year cumulative risk of 7%. The risk of FS was increased in relatives of children with recurrent FS (12%). The risk of FS in siblings (10%) in our study was more than twice the average risk in a similar population (4%). A positive FS history in a parent, young age at onset in the proband, and recurrences in the proband were selected in a multivariable prediction model. If two or more of these risk factors were present, the risk of West European siblings to develop FS was 46% (hazard ratio 5.4). CONCLUSION: The cumulative risk of FS in siblings of children with FS is increased. The age attained risk of FS can be estimated using a practical model incorporating three readily available risk factors.

Child↗

Seizures associated with fever: clinical data as predictors for normal biochemical blood levels.

UNLABELLED: We developed a predictive model to assess the probability of normal biochemical blood test results in children presenting with a seizure associated with fever. The models were based on various combinations of patient characteristics of the history and physical examination of 203 children. The characteristics included gender, age in years, previous history of febrile seizures, family history of febrile seizures, fever previous to the seizure, vomiting and diarrhoea previous to the seizure. Further, clinical characteristics of the seizure were considered: focal seizure signs, multiple seizure, seizure duration and rectal temperature at seizure. The outcome was defined as normal test results of serum levels of sodium (n=115, 68%), calcium (n=149, 89%) and glucose (n=173, 100%), according to the hospital reference values. The prevalence of abnormal test results was rather low and the abnormalities were outside the morbidity range. We used logistic regression to relate the outcome to the several clinical characteristics. The discriminative ability of the models was 0.63 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model predicting normal sodium), 0.66 (normal calcium) and 0.66 (both normal). The score chart we constructed is an additional tool to a carefully performed patient history and physical examination and it may help to decide if a biochemical test is indicated for the individual patient. CONCLUSION: In children with seizures associated with fever, abnormal biochemical blood test results are rare and outside the morbidity range. The biochemical tests are generally not required. In children with a low probability of a normal result as calculated by the score chart, the test may be indicated.

Blood Chemical Analysis↗

The duration of febrile seizures and peripheral leukocytosis.

In 203 consecutive children with febrile seizures, no clear association (odds ratio = 1.0 [95% CI, 0.9-1.1], P = .59) was found between seizure duration and blood leukocytosis (> or = 15.0 x 10(9) cells/L). Increased leukocyte counts may be misinterpreted because of seizure duration. In children with febrile seizures, leukocyte counts should be used to evaluate the underlying cause of fever.

Bacterial Infections↗

Informed consent, parental awareness, and reasons for participating in a randomised controlled study.

BACKGROUND: The informed consent procedure plays a central role in randomised controlled trials but has only been explored in a few studies on children. AIM: To assess the quality of the informed consent process in a paediatric setting. METHODS: A questionnaire was sent to parents who volunteered their child (230 children) for a randomised, double blind, placebo controlled trial of ibuprofen syrup to prevent recurrent febrile seizures. RESULTS: 181 (79%) parents responded. On average, 73% of parents were aware of the major study characteristics. A few had difficulty understanding the information provided. Major factors in parents granting approval were the contribution to clinical science (51%) and benefit to the child (32%). Sociodemographic status did not influence initial participation but west European origin of the father was associated with willingness to participate in future trials. 89% of participants felt positive about the informed consent procedure; however, 25% stated that they felt obliged to participate. Although their reasons for granting approval and their evaluation of the informed consent procedure did not differ, relatively more were hesitant about participating in future. Parents appreciated the investigator being on call 24 hours a day (38%) and the extra medical care and information provided (37%) as advantages of participation. Disadvantages were mainly the time consuming aspects and the work involved (23%). CONCLUSIONS: Parents' understanding of trial characteristics might be improved by designing less difficult informed consent forms and by the investigator giving extra attention and information to non-west European parents. Adequate measures should be taken to avoid parents feeling obliged to participate, rather than giving true informed consent.

Adult↗

Randomized, controlled trial of ibuprofen syrup administered during febrile illnesses to prevent febrile seizure recurrences.

OBJECTIVES: Febrile seizures recur frequently. Factors increasing the risk of febrile seizure recurrence include young age at onset, family history of febrile seizures, previous recurrent febrile seizures, time lapse since previous seizure <6 months, relative low temperature at the initial seizure, multiple type initial seizure, and frequent febrile illnesses. Prevention of seizure recurrences serves two useful purposes: meeting parental fear of recurrent febrile seizures in general and reducing the (small) risk of a long-lasting and eventually injurious recurrent seizure. In daily practice, children with febrile seizures often are treated with antipyretics during fever to prevent febrile seizure recurrences. Thus far, no randomized placebo-controlled trial has been performed to assess the efficacy of intermittent antipyretic treatment in the prevention of seizure recurrence. METHODS: We performed a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Children 1 to 4 years of age who had had at least one risk factor for febrile seizure recurrence were enrolled. They were randomly assigned to either ibuprofen syrup, 20 mg/mL, 0.25 mL (= 5 mg) per kilogram of body weight per dose, or matching placebo, to be administered every 6 hours during fever (temperature, >/=38.5 degrees C). Parents were instructed to take the child's rectal temperature immediately when the child seemed ill or feverish and to promptly administer the study medication when the temperature was >/=38.5 degrees C. Doses were to be administered every 6 hours until the child was afebrile for 24 hours. The parents were instructed not to administer any other antipyretic drug to the child. For measuring rectal temperature, a Philips HP5316 digital thermometer (Philips, Eindhoven, The Netherlands) was distributed. During subsequent treatment of the fever episode, parents had to call the investigator at least once each day to notify the investigator in case of febrile seizure recurrence. The investigator could be contacted by parents 24 hours per day. The primary outcome was the first recurrence of a febrile seizure. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression were used for the statistical analysis. The treatment effect on the course of the temperature was assessed using analysis of covariance, with temperature at fever onset as covariate. Two analyses were performed. In an intention-to-treat analysis, all first recurrences were considered regardless of study medication compliance. A per-protocol analysis was limited to those recurrences that occurred in the context of study medication compliance. RESULTS: Between October 1, 1994, and April 1, 1996, 230 children were randomly assigned to ibuprofen syrup (111 children) or placebo (119 children). Median follow-up time was 1.04 years (25th-75th percentiles; 0.7-1.8 years) in the ibuprofen group and 0.98 years (0.7-1.6 years) in the placebo group. Of all children, 67 had a first febrile seizure recurrence, with 31 in the ibuprofen group and 36 in the placebo group. The 2-year recurrence probabilities were 32% and 39%, respectively. The recurrence risk in the ibuprofen group was 0.9 (95% confidence interval: 0.6-1.5) times the recurrence risk in the placebo group (intention to treat). Adjustment for baseline characteristics did not affect the risk-reduction estimate. Of the 67 recurrences, 30 occurred in the context of study medication compliance (13 ibuprofen, 17 placebo). The per-protocol analysis, which was limited to these events, showed similar results. A significant reduction in temperature (0.7 degrees C) after fever onset in the ibuprofen group compared with the placebo group was demonstrated if all 555 fever episodes were considered. In the fever episodes with a seizure recurrence, a similar temperature increase was shown in both groups, with no significant difference between the intention-to-treat and the per-protocol analysis. DISCUSSION: (ABSTRACT TRUNCATED)

Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal↗

A predictive model to estimate the risk of serious bacterial infections in febrile infants.

UNLABELLED: Low risk criteria have been defined to identify febrile infants unlikely to have serious bacterial infection (SBI). Using these criteria approximately 40% of all febrile infants can be defined as being at low risk. Of the remaining infants (60%) only 10%-20% have an SBI. No adequate criteria exist to identify these infants. All infants aged 2 weeks-1 year, presenting during a 1-year-period with rectal temperature > or = 38.0 degrees C to the Sophia Children's Hospital were included in a prospective study. Infants with a history of prematurity, perinatal complications, known underlying disease, antibiotic treatment or vaccination during the preceding 48 h were excluded. Clinical and laboratory variables at presentation were evaluated by a multivariate logistic regression model using SBI as the dependent variable. By using likelihood ratios a predictive model was derived, providing a post test probability of SBI for every individual patient. Of the 138 infants included in the study, 33 (24%) had SBI. Logistic regression analysis defined C-reactive protein (CRP), duration of fever, standardized clinical impression score, a history of diarrhoea and focal signs of infection as independent predictors of SBI. CONCLUSION: CRP, duration of fever, the "standardized clinical impression score", a history of diarrhoea and focal signs of infection were the independent, most powerful predictors of SBI in febrile infants, identified by logistic regression analysis. Although the predictive model is not validated for direct clinical use, it illustrates the clinical potential of the used technique. This technique offers the advantage of assess the probability of SBI in every individual infant. This probability will form the best basis for well-founded decisions in the management of the individual febrile infant.

Bacterial Infections↗