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G S Sorock

Publications and source records attributed to G S Sorock.

28 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Machine learning of motor vehicle accident categories from narrative data.

Bayesian inferencing as a machine learning technique was evaluated for identifying pre-crash activity and crash type from accident narratives describing 3,686 motor vehicle crashes. It was hypothesized that a Bayesian model could learn from a computer search for 63 keywords related to accident categories. Learning was described in terms of the ability to accurately classify previously unclassifiable narratives not containing the original keywords. When narratives contained keywords, the results obtained using both the Bayesian model and keyword search corresponded closely to expert ratings (P(detection) > or = 0.9, and P (false positive) < or = 0.05). For narratives not containing keywords, when the threshold used by the Bayesian model was varied between p > 0.5 and p > 0.9, the overall probability of detecting a category assigned by the expert varied between 67% and 12%. False positives correspondingly varied between 32% and 3%. These latter results demonstrated that the Bayesian system learned from the results of the keyword searches.

Accidents, Traffic↗

An evaluation of New Jersey's hospital discharge database for surveillance of severe occupational injuries.

Computerized population-based hospital discharge data in New Jersey offer new opportunities for surveillance of serious work-related injuries. This database was evaluated for its potential in identifying selected injuries that occurred at work during 1985 and 1986. Hospital discharge data were compared with data collected by telephone interview of discharged patients. A total of 1,575 unique hospital discharge records for the selected injuries included finger amputation (1,041), thumb amputation (209), crush injury of the lower limb (208), toxic effects of heavy metals (69), and eye burns (48). Of 809 study subjects sent letters, 445 (55%) could be contacted and 289 (36%) were interviewed for the study. Sixty-one percent (175) said their injury was work related. A comparison was made between self-reported injury at work, and the presence of workers' compensation payer codes on the discharge database. The agreement beyond chance (Kappa) was 0.78 (95% CI = 0.67, 0.89). The sensitivity of this indicator of work relatedness was 83%; specificity was 98%. These data suggest that workers' compensation payment on the hospital discharge database may be a good to excellent proxy indicator of the work relatedness of these injuries. However, this proxy indicator will underestimate the number of work-related injuries by about 20%. Only 11% of hospital discharge records had external cause of injury codes (E-codes), which reduces the utility of the database for understanding the causal mechanisms of work-related injuries.

Accidents, Occupational↗

Hospitalized occupational finger amputations, New Jersey, 1985 and 1986.

About 19,000 finger amputations occur at work each year in the United States. Twenty percent of these injuries are severe enough to require hospitalization. Hospital discharge data from New Jersey (1985, 1986) were used to describe the demographic characteristics of persons with such injuries and to identify potential subjects for telephone interview. A total of 637 persons hospitalized for finger amputations were sent letters asking for their participation. Of 637 persons, 355 (56%) were contacted and 228 (36%) were interviewed, of whom 134 (59%) said their injury occurred at work. The annual rate of finger amputations at work was 9.3 per 100,000 employed persons. The rate was higher for males (14.7) than females (1.9). The age-adjusted rates were higher for Hispanic (52.8) and black (28.9) males than for white males (9.5). Persons working with machines or maintaining them in the manufacturing industry were at highest risk. Unjamming or repairing machinery (e.g., presses, saws, or slicers) while in operation was particularly hazardous. These data can be used to target occupations and industries for specific worksite intervention to prevent finger amputations. One limitation of this study, however, is that hospitalized occupational finger amputations may not be representative of all finger amputations, the majority of which are less severe and do not require hospitalization.

Accidents, Occupational↗

Fatal occupational injuries in the New Jersey construction industry, 1983 to 1989.

Work in the construction industry involves about a threefold increased risk of fatal injury compared with all industries combined. The purpose of this study was to identify potential risk factors for fatal injury in the construction industry in New Jersey. Multiple data sources including death certificates, medical examiner reports, Occupational Safety and Health fatality files, and Workers' Compensation reports were used to identify 200 construction-related fatalities in New Jersey during the years 1983 to 1989. All deaths were in men. The death rate was 14.5 per 100,000 employed person-years over the study period. Death rates tended to diminish with increasing age after 34 until age 65 when the death rate was the highest (27.7). Death rates were higher for Hispanics (34.8) and African-Americans (24) than whites (10.6). Ironworkers and roofers had highest rates (109.0 and 56.2, respectively) among specific occupational groups within the construction industry. The leading cause of death was falls (46%). These data suggest that intervention efforts directed toward workers at heights is needed. Further research is warranted to elucidate the factors contributing to the elevated fatality rate of workers over age 65, and to Hispanic and African-American workers.

Accidents, Occupational↗

Peripheral neuromuscular dysfunction and falls in an elderly cohort.

In a prospective study of 169 tenants of senior citizen housing in New Jersey in 1986-1987, the relations between tests of peripheral sensory and motor functions in the lower extremities and the rate of first falls were evaluated. The mean age of the cohort was 79.8 years. Fifty-seven persons fell at least once during the follow-up period (mean, 5.6 months). After adjustment for history of stroke, heart failure, emphysema, and use of a walker or cane, rate ratios for first falls were elevated in subjects with reduced toe joint position sense (rate ratio (RR) = 2.2) and sharp-dull discrimination (RR = 2.0), but to a lesser extent for reduced ankle strength (RR = 1.5). Presence of one or more of these three deficits was defined as a peripheral neuromuscular dysfunction and was associated with first falls after adjustment for multiple covariates (RR = 2.4, 95% confidence interval 1.3-4.5). Having two or all three sensory or motor deficits increased the rate of falling 3.9 times (95% confidence interval 2.1-7.0) compared with persons without these deficits. These data suggest that impaired sensory and motor function of the lower extremities plays an important role in falls in the elderly.

Accidental Falls↗

Physical activity and fracture risk in a free-living elderly cohort.

A prospective study to determine if regular leisure-time physical activity (including recreational walking) is associated with fracture risk was conducted in a large cohort (N = 3110) of free-living elderly men and women in the retirement community of Dunedin, Florida. Sixty-three percent of the cohort was female, all were white, and the average age was 73.0 years +/- 5.3 (SD). Participants in regular physical activity at baseline had a reduced risk of fracture; the risk ratio (RR) of fracture for men and women, respectively, was RR = 0.41, 95% CI = 0.17 to 1.01 and RR = 0.76, 95% CI = 0.50 to 1.15. Walking at least one mile 3 times/week appeared to offer a protective effect for both sexes. After controlling for potentially confounding variables including body mass and selected health conditions, the RR for regular physical activity on fracture incidence in men and women remained essentially unchanged. We conclude that regular physical activity such as walking may protect against fracture in older persons.

Aged↗

Benzodiazepine sedatives and the risk of falling in a community-dwelling elderly cohort.

A prospective study of risk factors for falls in the elderly at home was conducted in a cohort of tenants (N = 169) of six senior-citizen buildings in New Jersey. Within this study, we evaluated whether benzodiazepine sedative use was associated with risk of falling. The mean age (+/- SD) of the cohort was 79.8 +/- 7.3 years, and 80% were women. Monthly telephone interviews yielded a total of 77 falls during an average follow-up time of 5.6 months. Benzodiazepine use at baseline was categorized as either none, as needed, or continuous, eg, nightly use. Continuous use appeared to increase the risk of falling in this cohort (unadjusted relative risk [RR] = 1.53, 95% confidence interval = 0.93, 2.52; RR adjusted for age, gender, and follow-up time = 1.82, 95% confidence interval = 0.92, 3.62). Any use of benzodiazepines was related to multiple falls in persons who fell. The risk of falling from continuous benzodiazepine use may be higher in persons with position-sense loss in the toes (RR = 2.00) than in persons without such loss (RR = 1.35). We suggest that periodic review of the need for benzodiazepines in the elderly be made.

Accidental Falls↗

Fatal occupational injuries in the construction industry of a new development area in east China, 1991 to 1997.

Two hundred thirty-five work-related deaths occurred in the construction industry in a new economic development area in eastern China between 1991 and 1997. These fatalities represented 55% of all occupational deaths. The average annual mortality rate was 51.5 per 100,000 construction workers. Falls were the leading cause of death (46.4%). Falls, collisions, struck by/against something, electrocutions, and excavation cave-ins were the main fatality antecedents, accounting for nearly 93.6% of all fatalities. The most common antecedents for incidents with multiple fatalities were falls, crane-related events, poisoning, and fire. These categories of antecedents were similar to those encountered in the construction industry in the United States. These data suggest that organizations need to focus on these event types when planning their prevention activities. Moreover, improved surveillance systems including computerized databases with narrative descriptions of injury events, antecedent factors, and person-time at-risk data are needed to target interventions more precisely.

Accidents, Occupational↗

Risk factors for work-related low back pain in the People's Republic of China.

A critical review was conducted of studies of work-related low back pain in the People's Republic of China. The published literature in both the English and Chinese languages from 1983 to 1997 was reviewed for studies that permitted the calculation of prevalence ratios. Thirty-five papers were identified initially, and after quality inclusion/exclusion criteria were applied, 16 (14 in Chinese and two in English) were selected for more detailed review. Prevalence ratios were statistically elevated in all but two of the selected studies. Prevalence ratios for individual groups ranged from 2.0 to 8.5 for bending and twisting, 1.5 to 14.3 for static posture, 1.9 to 5.5 for whole-body vibration, and 2.6 to 9.4 for low-temperature exposure. The literature was limited by the absence of standardized and robust measures of low-back-pain outcomes and exposures and by the omission of fundamental details from research reports. Even with these limitations, the review findings suggest that three physical risk factors, all well known in the international literature, are associated with the prevalence of low back pain in the People's Republic of China.

China↗

Falls among the elderly: epidemiology and prevention.

Harmful psychological and physical consequences may result when elderly people fall. I summarize the epidemiology of falls among elderly people and focus on three potentially remediable causes of falls: reduced peripheral neurosensation, the use of psychoactive medication, and environmental hazards. From 1960 to 1980, death rates from falls among white persons 75 years of age and older have decreased by more than 50%. Fall rates among community-dwelling elderly people increase with age and are greater for women than men. The death rates from falls, however, are now greater for men than women. Reduced peripheral neurosensation in the lower extremities may be a significant cause of falls among the elderly. Recreational walking or physical therapy may improve these deficits and lead to fewer falls. The use of psychoactive medications, most commonly benzodiazepine sedatives, is possibly associated with an increased risk of falls and hip fractures; greater caution in the use of these medications is warranted. The elimination or redesign of steps and curbs and the provision of hand railings and walking aids may be the most effective environmental approaches to preventing falls. These conclusions need further study in community-dwelling elderly populations.

Accident Prevention↗