Antibiotics for upper respiratory tract infections and conjunctivitis in primary care.
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Anti-Bacterial Agents↗
Biomedical subjects
Gerben ter Riet
Publications and source records attributed to Gerben ter Riet.
More medical journals should inform their contributors about three key principles of graph construction.
OBJECTIVES: To identify key principles of graph construction and to review guidance on graph construction provided by medical journals. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Review of a prevailing model of graph comprehension and survey of authors' instructions for all 120 core medical journals as indexed by PubMed. RESULTS: Graph construction should meet three requirements for optimal graph comprehension: Data symbols should be clearly distinguishable to enable their visual detection. Second, the data should be arranged in such a way that estimation of values and important relationships in the data is facilitated, and third, there should be a full explanation of all graph elements and of how the data were obtained. Seven journals (5.8%) provided recommendations on graph construction. Six journals put emphasis primarily on the explanation of graph elements and, to a lesser extent, on the visual detection of data symbols. Recommendations of the seventh journal focused mostly on how to enhance estimation of important relationships. All journals presented single recommendations whose selection seemed unstructured and not based on key principles of graph construction. CONCLUSION: Medical journals should order their instructions according to the three key aspects of graph construction.
Computer Graphics↗
Sample sizes of studies on diagnostic accuracy: literature survey.
OBJECTIVES: To determine sample sizes in studies on diagnostic accuracy and the proportion of studies that report calculations of sample size. DESIGN: Literature survey. DATA SOURCES: All issues of eight leading journals published in 2002. METHODS: Sample sizes, number of subgroup analyses, and how often studies reported calculations of sample size were extracted. RESULTS: 43 of 8999 articles were non-screening studies on diagnostic accuracy. The median sample size was 118 (interquartile range 71-350) and the median prevalence of the target condition was 43% (27-61%). The median number of patients with the target condition--needed to calculate a test's sensitivity--was 49 (28-91). The median number of patients without the target condition--needed to determine a test's specificity--was 76 (27-209). Two of the 43 studies (5%) reported a priori calculations of sample size. Twenty articles (47%) reported results for patient subgroups. The number of subgroups ranged from two to 19 (median four). No studies reported that sample size was calculated on the basis of preplanned analyses of subgroups. CONCLUSION: Few studies on diagnostic accuracy report considerations of sample size. The number of participants in most studies on diagnostic accuracy is probably too small to analyse variability of measures of accuracy across patient subgroups.
Confidence Intervals↗
Randomized consent designs in randomized controlled trials: systematic literature search.
BACKGROUND: Three types of randomized consent designs are distinguished and ranked according to the extent to which participants are informed about treatment options: single-consent (those in the experimental group learn about their assigned treatment), incomplete-double-consent (all participants learn about their assigned treatment), and complete-double-consent (all participants learn about all treatments studied). All are methodologically, ethically, and judicially controversial. Even so, their use is justified if blinding is deemed necessary, but impossible to achieve by sham procedures (placebo), and experimental treatment seems attractive to potential participants. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to give a comprehensive overview of the use of randomized consent designs. Data sources are MEDLINE (1/1977-2/2003), EMBASE (1/1984-2/2003), PsycINFO (1/1996-2/2003), the Cochrane Library, and the Science Citation Index database. REVIEW METHODS: Eligible were studies using a randomized consent design. Cluster randomized trials were excluded. One reviewer selected and data-extracted eligible papers. A second reviewer independently data-extracted 10% of the papers. Data on country of study conduct, year of commencement, area of medicine, type of design, reason(s) for use, details on approval by a research ethics committee, the index and reference intervention, nature of endpoints, and details on collection of data were extracted. Furthermore, for each trial, the rates of non-compliance and loss to follow-up were registered by treatment arm. The three types of randomized consent designs were compared as to differences between the rates of non-compliance and loss to follow-up in the separate trial arms. RESULTS: Randomized consent designs are seldom used (n=50). When used, they have often been used in the wrong circumstances (misuse). In 65% of the studies the non-compliance in the index group is larger than in the reference group. Contrary to expectation, trials using the incomplete-double design were associated with significantly higher rates of non-compliance and loss to follow-up in the reference groups than trials employing the other two versions. CONCLUSION: Trialists and physicians should be aware of the proper indication for the use of randomized consent designs.
Consent Forms↗
Accuracy of serum uric acid determination in predicting pre-eclampsia: a systematic review.
BACKGROUND: Pre-eclampsia is a leading cause of maternal and perinatal mortality and morbidity. Early prediction of pre-eclampsia may be used to target high-risk women for effective preventative treatments. Hyperuricemia is associated with pre-eclampsia and it has been tested in early pregnancy for its ability to predict the later onset of the disease. OBJECTIVE: To systematically review the accuracy of determining serum uric acid before the 25th gestational week in predicting pre-eclampsia. METHODS: We searched Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, Medion, bibliographies of review articles and eligible primary studies, and contacted experts in the field. Language restrictions were not applied. Reviewers working independently selected studies, extracted data and assessed validity according to eight criteria. Sensitivities and specificities were plotted in a Receiver Operating Characteristic plot. RESULTS: We identified five primary articles, with a total of 572 women, including 44 who developed pre-eclampsia. Study populations differed clinically, with incidences ranging from 3.4% to 40.1%. Sensitivity ranged from 0.0% to 55.6% and specificity ranged from 76.9% to 94.9%. Clinical heterogeneity and poor reporting precluded sensible pooling of data. In particular, consecutive entry of eligible women, blind assessment of the reference standard, and treatment to prevent pre-eclampsia were poorly reported. CONCLUSION: Contrary to previous reviews, we conclude that there is currently insufficient evidence to draw firm conclusions about the accuracy of serum uric acid determination in predicting pre-eclampsia.
Female↗
Re: The treatment of acute infectious conjunctivitis with fusidic acid.
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Anti-Bacterial Agents↗
A randomized trial of ways to describe test accuracy: the effect on physicians' post-test probability estimates.
BACKGROUND: Some people believe that likelihood ratios provide diagnostic information that is more useful than sensitivity and specificity estimates. OBJECTIVE: To assess how physicians' estimates about probability of illness are affected by the presentation of a diagnostic test's value as an estimate of sensitivity and specificity versus a likelihood ratio or an inexact numerical graphic. DESIGN: Random assignment of vignettes with different presentation formats of diagnostic test accuracy. SETTING: Auditorium at a continuing medical education conference. PARTICIPANTS: 183 physicians. INTERVENTION: After estimating probabilities of 6 common illnesses described in patient vignettes, physicians reviewed pertinent test results presented in 1 of 3 formats. MEASUREMENTS: Physicians' probability estimates of illness before and after receiving test information, and post-test probability estimates based on the Bayes theorem. RESULTS: Absolute percentage point differences between the physicians' estimated and the Bayes-based post-test probabilities varied from -7 to 31, from -7 to 28, and from 1 to 29 for the sensitivity and specificity, likelihood ratio, and graphical groups, respectively. Mean differences of probability estimates between the sensitivity and specificity and the likelihood ratio groups were small for all vignettes (-2 to 3 percentage points; summary mean z value across the 6 vignettes, 0.04 [95% CI, -0.14 to 0.21]). LIMITATIONS: The small pool of participants (who were potentially selected) and the limited number of vignettes prevented a more detailed analysis of relationships between the interpreted strength of diagnostic evidence and estimations of illness probability. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that presenting diagnostic test accuracy with likelihood ratios does not affect some physicians' estimates of illness probability compared with presenting diagnostic test results as sensitivity and specificity.
Adult↗
Variation in requests for imaging investigations by general practitioners: a multilevel analysis.
OBJECTIVES: To describe the variation in the numbers of imaging investigations requested by general practitioners (GPs) and to find likely explanations for this variation. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey of the use of eight imaging investigations by 229 GPs collaborating in 40 local GP groups from five regions in the Netherlands during 1997. A multivariable, multilevel regression analysis was used to link these data with survey data on professional characteristics such as knowledge about and attitude towards test ordering, and with data on contextual factors such as practice type or experience with feedback on test-ordering data. RESULTS: Data for 221 GPs (97%) were available. After adjustment for practice size and working time, the median number of imaging investigations ordered per GP was 148 (interquartile range 71 to 300), with large differences (up to twofold) between the regions (P<0.001). Overall, chest X-rays were the largest single category (median = 48 interquartile range 17 to 100). GPs working in a group practice requested, on average, 34% fewer investigations than their colleagues working in single-person practices (95% confidence interval 17 to 48%). CONCLUSIONS: Only practice type was found to be associated with the number of imaging investigations requested, adjusted for practice size and working time factor. No further explanations were found for the inter-regional differences. Future studies on the ordering of imaging investigations by GPs should attempt to delineate contextual from regional factors.
Diagnostic Imaging↗
Accuracy of specific IgE in the prediction of asthma: development of a scoring formula for general practice.
BACKGROUND: For the diagnosis of asthma in young children, GPs have to rely on history taking and physical examination, as spirometry is not possible. The additional diagnostic value of specific immunoglobulin E (IgE) to inhalent allergens remains unclear. AIM: To assess the predictive accuracy of specific IgE to cat, dog, and/or house dust mites in young children for the subsequent development of asthma at the age of 6 years. DESIGN OF STUDY: Prospective follow-up study. SETTING: Seventy-two general practices. METHOD: A total of 654 children, aged 1-4 years, visiting their GPs for persistent coughing (>/= 5 days), were tested for IgE antibodies by radio allergosorbent testing (RAST). Parents completed a questionnaire on potential risk indicators. Those children who showed an IgE-positive status (12.7%) and a random sample of those with an IgE-negative status (<0.5 U/ml) were followed up to the age of 6 years when the asthma status was established. The main outcome measure was asthma at the age of 6 years (combination of both symptoms and/or use of asthma medication, and impaired lung function). RESULTS: Addition of RAST results to a prediction model based on age, wheeze, and family history of pollen allergy increased the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve from 0.76 to 0.87. Furthermore, RAST improved patient differentiation as indicated by a change in the range of asthma probabilities from 6-75% before the IgE test, to 1-95% after the IgE-test. CONCLUSION: Sensitisation to inhalant allergens in 1-4-year-olds, as shown by RAST, is a useful diagnostic indicator for the presence of asthma at the age of 6 years, even after a clinical history has been obtained. This model should preferably be validated in a new population before it can be applied in practice.
Allergens↗
The treatment of acute infectious conjunctivitis with fusidic acid: a randomised controlled trial.
BACKGROUND: Acute infectious conjunctivitis is a common disorder in primary care. Despite a lack of evidence regarding the effectiveness of topical antibiotics for the treatment of acute infectious conjunctivitis, most patients presenting in primary care with the condition receive topical antibiotics. In The Netherlands, fusidic acid is most frequently prescribed. AIM: To assess the effectiveness of fusidic acid gel compared to placebo for acute infectious conjunctivitis. DESIGN: Double-blind randomised placebo-controlled trial. SETTING: Twenty-five Dutch primary care centres. METHOD: Adults presenting with a red eye and either (muco)purulent discharge or glued eyelid(s) were allocated to either one drop of fusidic acid gel 1% or placebo, four times daily during one week. The main outcome measure was the difference in recovery rates at 7 days. Secondary outcome measures were difference in bacterial eradication rates, a survival time analysis of the duration of symptoms, and the difference in recovery rates in culture-positive and culture-negative patients. RESULTS: One hundred and eighty-one patients were randomised and 163 patients were analysed. Forty-five of the 73 patients in the treatment and 53 of the 90 patients in the placebo group recovered (adjusted risk difference = 5.3% [95% confidence interval {CI} = -11 to 18]). There was no difference between the median duration of symptoms in the two groups. At baseline, the prevalence of a positive bacterial culture was 32% (58/181). The bacterial eradication rate was 76% in the treatment and 41% in the placebo group (risk difference = 35% [95% CI = 9.3 to 60.4]). In culture positive patients, the treatment effect tended to be strong (adjusted risk difference = 23% [95% CI = -6 to 42]). CONCLUSION: At 7 days, cure rates in the fusidic acid gel and placebo group were similar, but the confidence interval was too wide to clearly demonstrate their equivalence. These findings do not support the current prescription practices of fusidic acid by GPs.
Anti-Bacterial Agents↗
Variability in diagnostic probability estimates.
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Adult↗
Predicting bacterial cause in infectious conjunctivitis: cohort study on informativeness of combinations of signs and symptoms.
OBJECTIVE: To find an efficient set of diagnostic indicators that are optimally informative in the diagnosis of a bacterial origin of acute infectious conjunctivitis. DESIGN: Cohort study involving consecutive patients. Results of index tests and reference standard were collected independently from each other. SETTING: 25 Dutch health centres. PARTICIPANTS: 184 adults presenting with a red eye and either (muco)purulent discharge or glued eyelid(s), not wearing contact lenses. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Probability of a positive bacterial culture, given different combinations of index test results; area under receiver operating characteristics curve. RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis showed optimal diagnostic discrimination for the combination of early morning glued eye(s), itch, and a history of conjunctivitis. The first of these indicators increased the likelihood of a bacterial cause, whereas the other two decreased it. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for this combination of symptoms was 0.74 (95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.80). The overall prevalence of bacterial involvement of 32% could be lowered to 4% or raised to 77%, depending on the pattern of index test results. CONCLUSION: A bacterial origin of complaints indicative of acute infectious conjunctivitis can be made much more likely or unlikely by the answers to three simple questions posed during clinical history taking (possibly by telephone). These results may have consequences for more targeted prescription of ocular antibiotics.
Adult↗
Bias associated with delayed verification in test accuracy studies: accuracy of tests for endometrial hyperplasia may be much higher than we think!
BACKGROUND: To empirically evaluate bias in estimation of accuracy associated with delay in verification of diagnosis among studies evaluating tests for predicting endometrial hyperplasia. METHODS: Systematic reviews of all published research on accuracy of miniature endometrial biopsy and endometrial ultrasonography for diagnosing endometrial hyperplasia identified 27 test accuracy studies (2,982 subjects). Of these, 16 had immediate histological verification of diagnosis while 11 had verification delayed > 24 hrs after testing. The effect of delay in verification of diagnosis on estimates of accuracy was evaluated using meta-regression with diagnostic odds ratio (dOR) as the accuracy measure. This analysis was adjusted for study quality and type of test (miniature endometrial biopsy or endometrial ultrasound). RESULTS: Compared to studies with immediate verification of diagnosis (dOR 67.2, 95% CI 21.7-208.8), those with delayed verification (dOR 16.2, 95% CI 8.6-30.5) underestimated the diagnostic accuracy by 74% (95% CI 7%-99%; P value = 0.048). CONCLUSION: Among studies of miniature endometrial biopsy and endometrial ultrasound, diagnostic accuracy is considerably underestimated if there is a delay in histological verification of diagnosis.
Bias↗
The accuracy of the Ottawa knee rule to rule out knee fractures: a systematic review.
BACKGROUND: The Ottawa knee rule is a clinical decision aid that helps rule out fractures and avoid unnecessary radiography. PURPOSE: To summarize evidence about the accuracy of the Ottawa knee rule. DATA SOURCES: Relevant English- and non-English-language articles were identified from PreMEDLINE and MEDLINE (1966-2003), EMBASE (1980-2003), CINAHL (1982-2003), BIOSIS (1990-2003), the Cochrane Library (2002, Issue 3), the Science Citation Index database, reference lists of included studies, and experts. STUDY SELECTION: Articles were included if they reported enough information to determine the sensitivity and specificity of the Ottawa knee rule for detecting fractures confirmed either radiologically or in combination with follow-up. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers independently extracted data on study samples, the ways that the Ottawa knee rule was used, and methodologic characteristics of studies. DATA SYNTHESIS: Of 11 identified studies, 6 involving 4249 adult patients were considered appropriate for pooled analysis. The pooled negative likelihood ratio was 0.05 (95% CI, 0.02 to 0.23), the pooled sensitivity was 98.5% (CI, 93.2% to 100%), and the pooled specificity was 48.6% (CI, 43.4% to 51.0%). CONCLUSION: A negative result on an Ottawa knee rule test accurately excluded knee fractures after acute knee injury. However, because the rule is calibrated toward 100% sensitivity and actual fracture prevalences are usually low, large-scale, multicentered studies are still needed to establish the cost-effectiveness of routinely implementing the rule.
Decision Support Techniques↗
Block design allowed for control of the Hawthorne effect in a randomized controlled trial of test ordering.
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the value of balanced incomplete block designs in quality improvement research, and their capacity to control for the Hawthorne effect. METHODS: General practitioners teams were randomized into three arms and received an intervention on test ordering, relating to tests for two groups of clinical problems (A tests and B tests). In the two trials within the block design, we tried to control for the Hawthorne effect by comparing the complete intervention in both arms on either the A (arm I) or B tests (arm II); the arms acted as blind controls for each other. In the classical trial, the complete intervention on B tests (arm II) was compared with a control arm without any intervention on B tests (arm III). RESULTS: The trials with the block design yielded statistically significant changes in the numbers of A tests ordered (P=.013), but not in the numbers of B tests ordered (P=.29). In the classical design, the complete intervention reached a marginally significant change in the B tests (P=.068). The Hawthorne effect was the same for both arms of the block design. In the classical design, the effect could to some extent be attributed to the Hawthorne effect. CONCLUSION: Our block design allowed us to control for the Hawthorne effect. Suitable use of block designs may further our knowledge of nonspecific effects in quality improvement research.
Diagnostic Tests, Routine↗
Variation in test ordering behaviour of GPs: professional or context-related factors?
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to describe GPs' test ordering behaviour, and to establish professional and context-related determinants of GPs' inclination to order tests. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis was carried out of 229 GPs in 40 local GP groups from five regions in The Netherlands of the combined number of 19 laboratory and eight imaging tests ordered by GPs, collected from five regional diagnostic centres. In a multivariable multilevel regression analysis, these data were linked with survey data on professional characteristics such as knowledge about and attitude towards test ordering, and with data on context-related factors such as practice type or experience with feedback on test ordering data. The main outcome measure was the percentage point differences associated with professional and context-related factors. RESULTS: The total median number of tests per GP per year was 998 (interquartile range 663-1500), with significant differences between the regions. The response to the survey was 97%. At the professional level, 'individual involvement in developing guidelines' (yes versus no), and at the context-related level 'group practice' (versus single-handed and two-person practices) and 'more than 1 year of experience working with a problem-oriented laboratory order form' (yes versus no) were associated with 27, 18 and 41% lower numbers of tests ordered, respectively. CONCLUSION: In addition to professional determinants, context-related factors appeared to be strongly associated with the numbers of tests ordered. Further studies on GPs' test ordering behaviour should include local and regional factors.
Attitude of Health Personnel↗
Coughing in pre-school children in general practice: when are RAST's for inhalation allergy indicated?
To identify patterns of clinical history associated with extreme (high or low) probabilities of allergic sensitization in coughing children so as to restrict allergy testing to those with an intermediate probability of sensitization. A total of 752 children, aged 1-4, visiting their GPs for coughing (>or=5 days), were tested for IgE-antibodies to house dust mite, cat and dog [RadioAllergoSorbent Test (RAST)]. Parents completed a questionnaire on family history of atopy, breastfeeding, smoking, pets, and floor covering. Data of 640 children could be analyzed, 83 (13%) were IgE-positive. In a logistic regression analysis, a scoring formula for the prediction of being IgE-positive was constructed using variables from the patient's history. Significant contributors for sensitization were: age (3-4 yr), infantile eczema, positive family history of mite-allergy, sibling(s) with pollen-allergy, and smoking by parents. If only one of these characteristics is present, the probability of sensitization is < 25%. In such cases watchful waiting may be preferred over allergy testing. In other cases, a negative RAST may help to exclude sensitization, whereas a positive RAST helps to establish the diagnosis. Thus, acting on clinical history alone may save approximately 80% of RAST's. Patient history-derived information contributes to distinguishing children who are at low risk for sensitization to house dust mite, cat, and dog. The scoring formula may help GPs to identify children with a low probability of being sensitized. This may form the basis for watchful waiting. In others, allergy testing may be useful to gain more diagnostic certainty.
Allergens↗
The Ottawa rules for ankle sprains.
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Ankle Injuries↗