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Gianluigi Pillonetto

Publications and source records attributed to Gianluigi Pillonetto.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

A new dynamic index of insulin sensitivity.

Insulin sensitivity is a crucial parameter of glucose metabolism. The standard measures of insulin sensitivity obtained by an euglycaemic hyperinsulinaemic clamp, Si(clamp), or by the minimal model (MM), SI, do not account for the dynamics of insulin action, i.e., how fast or slow insulin action reaches its plateau value. This is an important physiological information. In this paper we formally define a new insulin sensitivity index which also incorporates information on the dynamics of insulin action, SD(I), show its properties, and exemplify how it can be measured both with the clamp and the MM method. Then, by resorting to real and synthetic data, we show both in IVGTT MM and clamp studies why this new index SD(I) offers, in comparison with SI, a more comprehensive picture of the control of insulin on glucose.

Blood Glucose↗

Numerical non-identifiability regions of the minimal model of glucose kinetics: superiority of Bayesian estimation.

The so-called minimal model (MM) of glucose kinetics is widely employed to estimate insulin sensitivity (S(I)) both in clinical and epidemiological studies. Usually, MM is numerically identified by resorting to Fisherian parameter estimation techniques, such as maximum likelihood (ML). However, unsatisfactory parameter estimates are sometimes obtained, e.g. S(I) estimates virtually zero or unrealistically high and affected by very large uncertainty, making the practical use of MM difficult. The first result of this paper concerns the mathematical demonstration that these estimation difficulties are inherent to MM structure which can expose S(I) estimation to the risk of numerical non-identifiability. The second result is based on simulation studies and shows that Bayesian parameter estimation techniques are less sensitive, in terms of both accuracy and precision, than the Fisherian ones with respect to these difficulties. In conclusion, Bayesian parameter estimation can successfully deal with difficulties of MM identification inherently due to its structure.

Bayes Theorem↗

WINSTODEC: a stochastic deconvolution interactive program for physiological and pharmacokinetic systems.

Deconvolution allows the reconstruction of non-accessible inputs (e.g. hormone secretion rate) from their causally-related measurable effects (e.g. hormone plasma concentration). Deconvolution is challenging under several aspects both general (e.g. determination of a suitable trade-off between data fit and solution smoothness in order to contrast ill-conditioning, assessment of the confidence intervals) as well as specific of physiological systems (e.g. non-uniform and infrequent data sampling). Recently, a stochastic regularization approach has been proposed and validated to handle these difficulties (De Nicolao et al., Automatica 33 (1997) 851-870). In this paper, an interactive program, WINSTODEC, is presented to allow the clinical investigator to easily obtain the solution of a deconvolution problem by this approach.

Humans↗

Handling non-negativity in deconvolution of physiological signals: a nonlinear stochastic approach.

A stochastic interpretation of Tikhonov regularization has been recently proposed to attack some open problems of deconvolution when dealing with physiological systems, i.e., in addition to ill-conditioning, infrequent and nonuniform sampling and necessity of having credible confidence intervals. However, the possible violation of the non-negativity constraint cannot be dealt with on firm statistical grounds, since the model of the unknown signal is compatible with negative realizations. In this paper, we propose a new model of the unknown input which excludes negative values. The model is embedded within a Bayesian estimation framework to calculate, by resorting to a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm, a nonlinear estimate of the unknown input given by its a posteriori expected value. Applications to simulated and real hormone secretion/pharmacokinetic problems are presented which show that this nonlinear approach is more accurate than the linear one. In addition, more realistic confidence intervals are obtained.

Algorithms↗

Minimal model S(I)=0 problem in NIDDM subjects: nonzero Bayesian estimates with credible confidence intervals.

The minimal model of glucose kinetics, in conjunction with an insulin-modified intravenous glucose tolerance test, is widely used to estimate insulin sensitivity (S(I)). Parameter estimation usually resorts to nonlinear least squares (NLS), which provides a point estimate, and its precision is expressed as a standard deviation. Applied to type 2 diabetic subjects, NLS implemented in MINMOD software often predicts S(I)=0 (the so-called "zero" S(I) problem), whereas general purpose modeling software systems, e.g., SAAM II, provide a very small S(I) but with a very large uncertainty, which produces unrealistic negative values in the confidence interval. To overcome these difficulties, in this article we resort to Bayesian parameter estimation implemented by a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. This approach provides in each individual the S(I) a posteriori probability density function, from which a point estimate and its confidence interval can be determined. Although NLS results are not acceptable in four out of the ten studied subjects, Bayes estimation implemented by MCMC is always able to determine a nonzero point estimate of S(I) together with a credible confidence interval. This Bayesian approach should prove useful in reanalyzing large databases of epidemiological studies.

Bayes Theorem↗