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Gregory Benford

Publications and source records attributed to Gregory Benford.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

A revolution for aging research.

In the year 1992, two publications on age-specific mortality rates revealed a cessation of demographic aging at later ages in very large cohorts of two dipteran species reared under a variety of conditions. Despite some initial concerns about possible artifacts, these findings have now been amply corroborated in the experimental literature. The eventual cessation of aging undermines the credibility of simple Gompertzian aging models based on a protracted acceleration in age-specific mortality during adulthood. The first attempt to explain the apparent cessation of aging was extreme lifelong heterogeneity among groups with respect to frailty. This lifelong heterogeneity theory assumes an underlying Gompertzian aging affecting every member of an adult cohort, with a merely apparent cessation of aging explained in terms of the increasing domination of a slowly aging group among the survivors to late ages. This theory has received several experimental refutations. The second attempt to explain the cessation of aging applied force of natural selection theory. This explanation of the cessation of aging has been corroborated in several Drosophila experiments. In particular, this theory requires that both age-specific survival and age-specific fecundity cease declining in late life, which has now been experimentally established. This theory also predicts that the timing of the cessation of aging should depend on the last age of reproduction in a population's evolutionary history, a prediction that has been corroborated. While lifelong heterogeneity should reduce average age-specific mortality in late life whenever it is pronounced, the cessation of aging in late life can be explained by plateaus in the forces of natural selection whether lifelong heterogeneity is present or not. The discovery that aging ceases is one of the most significant discoveries in recent aging research, with potentially revolutionary scientific implications.

Age Factors↗

Reality is wilder.

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Journal Article↗

Advanced technology paths to global climate stability: energy for a greenhouse planet.

Stabilizing the carbon dioxide-induced component of climate change is an energy problem. Establishment of a course toward such stabilization will require the development within the coming decades of primary energy sources that do not emit carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, in addition to efforts to reduce end-use energy demand. Mid-century primary power requirements that are free of carbon dioxide emissions could be several times what we now derive from fossil fuels (approximately 10(13) watts), even with improvements in energy efficiency. Here we survey possible future energy sources, evaluated for their capability to supply massive amounts of carbon emission-free energy and for their potential for large-scale commercialization. Possible candidates for primary energy sources include terrestrial solar and wind energy, solar power satellites, biomass, nuclear fission, nuclear fusion, fission-fusion hybrids, and fossil fuels from which carbon has been sequestered. Non-primary power technologies that could contribute to climate stabilization include efficiency improvements, hydrogen production, storage and transport, superconducting global electric grids, and geoengineering. All of these approaches currently have severe deficiencies that limit their ability to stabilize global climate. We conclude that a broad range of intensive research and development is urgently needed to produce technological options that can allow both climate stabilization and economic development.

Journal Article↗