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J A Pasco

Publications and source records attributed to J A Pasco.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

The population burden of fractures originates in women with osteopenia, not osteoporosis.

INTRODUCTION: Osteoporosis is associated with increased risk for fracture. However, most postmenopausal women have bone mineral density (BMD) within the normal or osteopenic range. The aim of this study was to determine the proportion of the population burden of fragility fractures arising from women at modest risk for fracture. METHODS: We measured baseline BMD in a population-based random sample of 616 postmenopausal women aged 60-94 years and followed these individuals for a median of 5.6 years (IQR 3.9-6.5) to determine the incidence of fractures according to age, BMD and the presence of a prior fracture. RESULTS: Based on WHO criteria, 37.6% of the women had normal total hip BMD, 48.0% had osteopenia and 14.5% had osteoporosis. The incidence of fracture during follow-up was highest in women with osteoporosis, but only 26.9% of all fractures arose from this group; 73.1% occurred in women without osteoporosis (56.5% in women with osteopenia, 16.6% in women with normal BMD). Decreasing BMD, increasing age and prior fracture contributed independently to increased fracture risk; in a multivariate model, the relative risk for fracture increased 65% for each SD decrease in BMD (RR=1.65, 95%CI 1.32-2.05), increased 3% for every year of age (RR=1.03, 95%CI 1.01-1.06) and doubled with prevalent fracture (RR=2.01, 95% CI 1.40-2.88). A prevalent fracture increased the risk for fractures such that women with osteopenia and prevalent fracture had the same, if not greater, risk as women with osteoporosis alone. CONCLUSIONS: Reducing the population burden of fractures requires attention to women with osteopenia, as well as osteoporosis, because over half of the fragility fractures in the population arise in these individuals, and women with osteopenia plus a prevalent fracture have the same fracture risk as women with osteoporosis.

Aged↗

Femoral neck geometry and hip fracture risk: the Geelong osteoporosis study.

To determine the relationship between femoral neck geometry and the risk of hip fracture in post-menopausal Caucasian women, we conducted a retrospective study comparing the femoral neck dimensions of 62 hip fracture cases to those of 608 randomly selected controls. Measurements were made from dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scans (Lunar DPX-L), using the manufacturer's ruler function, and included: hip axis length (HAL), femoral neck axis length (FNAL), femoral neck width (FNW), femoral shaft width (FSW), medial femoral shaft cortical thickness (FSCT(med)), and lateral femoral shaft cortical thickness (FSCT(lat)). The fracture group was older (median age 78.3 years vs 73.8 years), lighter (median weight 59.9 kg vs 64.5 kg), and, after adjustment for age, taller (mean height 158.7+/-0.8 cm vs 156.7+/-0.2 cm) than the controls. Furthermore, bone mineral density was lower in this group (0.682+/-0.016 g/cm(2) vs 0.791+/-0.006 g/cm(2)). After adjustment for age, bone mineral content (BMC) or height, hip fracture patients had greater FNW (up to 6.6%) and FSW (up to 6.3%) than did the controls. Each standard deviation increase in FNW and FSW was associated with a 1.7-fold (95% CI 1.3-2.3) and a 2.4-fold (95% CI 1.8-3.2) increase in the fracture risk, respectively. BMC-adjusted FNAL was greater in the fracture group (+2.1%) than in the controls, while the age-adjusted FSCT(med) was reduced (-7.2%). There was a trend towards longer HAL (up to 2.1%) after adjustment for age or BMC, and thinner age-adjusted FSCT(lat) (-1.7%) in fracture patients that did not reach statistical significance. In multivariate analysis, the risk of hip fracture was predicted by the combination of age, FNW, FSW, BMC and FSCT(med). HAL was not analyzed because of the small number of HAL measurements among fracture cases. We conclude that post-menopausal women with hip fractures have wider femoral necks and shafts, thinner femoral cortices and longer femoral neck axis lengths than do women with no fractures. Alteration in hip geometry is associated with the risk of hip fracture.

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Dietary omega-3 fatty acids and depression in a community sample.

To evaluate the association between omega-3 polyunsaturated essential fatty acids and depression, data regarding prevalence rates of self-reported depression and median daily dietary intakes of these fatty acids were obtained from an age-stratified, population-based sample of women (n = 755; 23-97 year) in the Barwon Statistical Division of south-eastern Australia. A self-report questionnaire based on Diagnostic and Statistical Manual-IV criteria was utilised to determine 12-month prevalence rates of depression in this sample, and data from biennial food frequency questionnaires examining seafood and fish oil consumption over a 6-year period were examined. Differences in median dietary intakes of omega-3 fatty acids between the depressed and nondepressed cohorts were analysed and results were adjusted for age, weight and smoking status. No significant differences in median intakes were identified between the two groups of women (median, interquartile range; depressed = 0.09g/day, 0.04-0.18 versus nondepressed = 0.11 g/day, 0.05-0.22, p = 0.3), although overall average intakes of omega-3 fatty acids were lower than recommended and rates of depression within this sample higher than expected, based on previous data. Further research that takes into account ratios of omega-6 to omega-3 polyunsaturated essential fatty acids, as well as other dietary sources of omega-3 fatty acids, is warranted.

Adult↗

Reference ranges for bone densitometers adopted Australia-wide: Geelong osteoporosis study.

Bone densitometry reports a measure of fracture risk in comparison with young adults (T-scores) and age-matched peers (Z-scores). To date, each manufacturer has provided its own reference range resulting in lack of uniformity. The Australia and New Zealand Bone and Mineral Society and Osteoporosis Australia have recognized the need to standardize the reference range and have recommended that data generated by the Geelong Osteoporosis Study (GOS) be used Australia-wide. The GOS recruited a random, population-based sample of adult women and measured bone mineral density (BMD) at the proximal femur and spine using a Lunar DPX-L. These data were used to establish reference ranges for Lunar machines and, using conversion equations, for Norland and Hologic machines. The new standardized Australian reference ranges for BMD will enable consistent diagnosis of osteoporosis and categorization of fracture risk across different types of densitometers.

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Fracture thresholds revisited. Geelong Osteoporosis Study.

Osteoporosis, in the absence of fracture, is defined as a deficit in bone mineral density (BMD) of 2.5 SD or more below the young adult reference mean in postmenopausal Caucasian populations. BMD is a measure of fracture risk but not the sole predictor. We have assessed a combination of easily accessible measures of age, height, weight, and BMD to improve fracture risk assessment. Women with low trauma fractures and a control group were recruited from south-eastern Australia. Discriminant analysis derived multivariate equations that assessed fracture risk. Age was not in the best models at the spine and forearm sites. Weight and height contributed to the relationship for the forearm sites only. At the proximal femur, the BMD level that separates fracture cases from nonfracture cases, increases with age. These separation levels of BMD were higher than the WHO's level of osteoporosis (T-score < -2.5 SD) at ages older than 62 years. This increasing BMD threshold with age suggests that other age-related risk factors assume increasing importance among the elderly.

Adult↗

Fracture rates lower in rural than urban communities: the Geelong Osteoporosis Study.

BACKGROUND: Urban and rural communities differ in the incidence of several diseases including coronary heart disease and some cancers. Lower hip fracture rates among rural than urban populations have been reported but few studies have compared rural and urban fractures at sites other than the hip. OBJECTIVE: To compare total and site specific fracture rates among adult residents of rural and urban communities within the same population. DESIGN AND SETTING: This is a population based study on osteoporosis in Australia. All fractures occurring in adult residents over a two year period were ascertained using radiological reports. The rural and urban areas are in close proximity, with the same medical, hospital, and radiological facilities permitting uniform fracture ascertainment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All fracture rates were age adjusted and sex adjusted to the Australian population according to the 1996 census of the Australian Bureau of Statistics and described as the rate per 10 000 person years. The p values refer to the adjusted rate difference. RESULTS: The hip fracture rate (incidence per 10 000 person years) was 32% lower (39 v 57, p<0.001), and the total fracture rate 15% lower (160 v 188, p=0.004) among rural than urban residents, respectively. The lower fracture rates in the rural population were also apparent for pelvic fractures. CONCLUSION: In the older rural population, lower fracture rates at sites typically associated with osteoporosis suggest environmental factors may have a different impact on bone health in this community. If the national rate of hip fracture could be reduced to that of the rural population, the projected increase in hip fracture number attributable to aging of the population could be prevented.

Adult↗

Vitamin D status of women in the Geelong Osteoporosis Study: association with diet and casual exposure to sunlight.

OBJECTIVE: To assess vitamin D intake and casual exposure to sunshine in relation to serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) levels. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study of a population-based, random sample of women aged 20-92 years, assessed between 1994 and 1997. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 861 women from the Barwon Statistical Division (population, 218000), which includes the city of Geelong (latitude 38 degrees south) in Victoria. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Vitamin D intake; serum 25OHD level; season of assessment; exposure to sunshine. RESULTS: Median intake of vitamin D was 1.2 microg/day (range, 0.0-11.4 microg/day). Vitamin D supplements, taken by 7.9% of participants, increased intake by 8.1% to 1.3 microg/day (range, 0.0-101.2 microg/day) (P< 0.001). A dose-response relationship in serum 25OHD levels was observed for sunbathing frequency before and after adjusting for age (P< 0.05). During winter (May-October), serum 25OHD levels were dependent on vitamin D intake (partial r2= 0.01; P<0.05) and were lower than during summer (November-April) (age-adjusted mean, 59nmol/L [95% Cl, 57-62] v 81 nmol/L [95% CI, 78-84]; P<0.05). No association was detected between serum 25OHD and vitamin D intake during summer. The prevalences of low concentrations of serum 25OHD were, for <28nmol/L, 7.2% and 11.3% overall and in winter, respectively; and, for <50 nmol/L, 30.0% and 43.2% overall and in winter, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: At latitude 38 degrees south, the contribution of vitamin D from dietary sources appears to be insignificant during summer. However, during winter vitamin D status is influenced by dietary intake. Australia has no recommended dietary intake (RDI) for vitamin D, in the belief that adequate vitamin D can be obtained from solar irradiation alone. Our results suggest that an RDI may be needed.

Adult↗

Serum leptin levels are associated with bone mass in nonobese women.

Both serum leptin and bone mineral density are positively correlated with body fat, generating the hypothesis that leptin may be a systemic and/or local regulator of bone mass. We investigated 214 healthy, nonobese Australian women aged 20-91 yr. Bone mineral content, projected bone area, and body fat mass were measured by dual energy x-ray absorptiometry and fasting serum leptin levels by RIA. Associations between bone mineral content (adjusted for age, body weight, body fat mass, and bone area) and the natural logarithm of serum leptin concentrations were analyzed by multiple regression techniques. There was a significant positive association at the lateral spine, two proximal femur sites (Ward's triangle and trochanter), and whole body (partial r(2) = 0.019 to 0.036; all P < 0.05). Similar trends were observed at the femoral neck and posterior-anterior-spine. With bone mineral density the dependent variable (adjusted for age, body weight, and body fat mass), the association with the natural logarithm of leptin remained significant at the lateral spine (partial r(2) = 0.030; P = 0.011), was of borderline significance at the proximal femur sites (partial r(2) = 0.012 to 0.017; P = 0.058 to 0.120), and was not significant at the other sites. Our results demonstrate an association between serum leptin levels and bone mass consistent with the hypothesis that circulating leptin may play a role in regulating bone mass.

Adult↗

Assessment of fracture risk: value of random population-based samples--the Geelong Osteoporosis Study.

Fracture risk is determined by bone mineral density (BMD). The T-score, a measure of fracture risk, is the position of an individual's BMD in relation to a reference range. The aim of this study was to determine the magnitude of change in the T-score when different sampling techniques were used to produce the reference range. Reference ranges were derived from three samples, drawn from the same region: (1) an age-stratified population-based random sample, (2) unselected volunteers, and (3) a selected healthy subset of the population-based sample with no diseases or drugs known to affect bone. T-scores were calculated using the three reference ranges for a cohort of women who had sustained a fracture and as a group had a low mean BMD (ages 35-72 yr; n = 484). For most comparisons, the T-scores for the fracture cohort were more negative using the population reference range. The difference in T-scores reached 1.0 SD. The proportion of the fracture cohort classified as having osteoporosis at the spine was 26, 14, and 23% when the population, volunteer, and healthy reference ranges were applied, respectively. The use of inappropriate reference ranges results in substantial changes to T-scores and may lead to inappropriate management.

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Oral contraceptives and bone mineral density: A population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to test the hypothesis that exposure to oral contraceptives protects the skeleton. STUDY DESIGN: Multiple regression techniques were used to analyze data for a random sample of 710 Australian women (age range, 20-69 years). Bone mineral density was measured at the lumbar spine, proximal femur, whole body, and distal forearm. Oral contraceptive exposure was assessed by a questionnaire. RESULTS: Women exposed to oral contraceptives had a 3.3% greater mean bone mineral density adjusted for body mass index and age at the lumbar spine (partial r (2) = 0.009; P =.014). Adjusted mean vertebral bone mineral density was 3.3% greater for premenopausal women (partial r (2) = 0.008; P <.05), but the effect did not reach significance among postmenopausal women. Higher bone mineral density was associated with increased duration of exposure, with a mean increase of 3.2% associated with the first 5 years and a further 0.2% with >/=5 years of exposure. No association was detected at other sites. CONCLUSION: Exposure to oral contraceptives may be associated with higher lumbar spine bone mineral density.

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Calcium intakes among Australian women: Geelong Osteoporosis Study.

BACKGROUND: Dietary calcium deficiency may be a risk factor for osteoporosis. AIMS: To estimate habitual calcium intakes and prevalence of calcium supplementation among free-living Australian women and validate a calcium-specific food-frequency questionnaire. METHODS: Calcium intakes for 1045 randomly selected women (20-92 years) were estimated by questionnaire which was tested against estimates from four day weighed records kept by 32 randomly selected women. RESULTS: The mean difference between calcium estimates was not statistically significantly different from zero (mean difference=121 mg; standard deviation of differences=357 mg; p>0.05). There was moderate agreement (weighted kappa=0.4) between methods in ranking subjects into tertiles of calcium intake. Mean dietary calcium intakes were 615 mg/day for 20-54 years, 646 mg/day for 55-92 years and 782 mg/day for lactating women. Seventy-six per cent of women aged 20-54 years, 87% of older and 82% of lactating women had intakes below the recommended dietary intake (RDI). There was no association detected between calcium intake and age. Dairy foods provided 79.0% of dietary calcium intake. Calcium supplements were used by 6.6% and multivitamins by a further 4.3% of women. Supplementation was independent of dietary calcium intake and more likely used by postmenopausal women. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that 76% of women consume less than the RDI even when supplemental calcium is included. Furthermore, 14% have less than the minimal requirement of 300 mg/day and would, therefore, be in negative calcium balance and at risk of bone loss. Despite advertising campaigns promoting better nutrition and increased awareness of osteoporosis, many women are failing to achieve an adequate calcium intake.

Adult↗

Prevalence of osteoporosis in Australian women: Geelong Osteoporosis Study.

To evaluate the prevalence of osteoporosis at various sites among Australian women, cross-sectional bone mineral density (BMD) data for adult females was obtained from an age-stratified population-based sample (n = 1494; 20-94 yr) drawn at random from the Barwon Statistical Division, a population characteristic of Australia. Age- and weight- (and for three sites, height) matched reference ranges for BMD at the lumbar spine, proximal femur, forearm, and total body were developed using regression techniques. The cutoff BMD level for osteoporosis at the PA spine was 0. 917g/cm(2) and 0.713 g/cm(2) at the femoral neck according to the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. The upper cutoff level for osteopenia was 1.128 g/cm(2) at the PA spine and 0.913g/cm(2) for the femoral neck. The proportion of Australian women categorized as having osteoporosis at the PA spine, femoral neck, or midforearm ranged from 0.9% among those aged 40-44 yr to 87.0% for those older than 79 yr. This study provides reference data representative of the Australian female population. A large proportion of elderly Australian women has osteoporosis according to the WHO guidelines.

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Health burden of hip and other fractures in Australia beyond 2000. Projections based on the Geelong Osteoporosis Study.

OBJECTIVE: To calculate the expected increase in the number of fractures in adults attributable to the predicted increase in the number of elderly Australians. DATA SOURCES: All fractures in adult residents (> or = 35 years) of the Barwon Statistical Division (total population, 218,000) were identified from radiological reports from February 1994 to February 1996. The Australian Bureau of Statistics supplied predictions of Australia's population (1996 to 2051). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The projected annual number of fractures in Australian adults up to 2051 (based on stable rates of fracture in each age group). RESULTS: The number of fractures per year is projected to increase 25% from 1996 to 2006 (from 83,000 fractures to 104,000). Hip fractures are projected to increase 36% (from 15,000 to 21,000) because of a substantial rise in the number of elderly aged 85 years and over. Hip fractures are expected to double by 2026 and increase fourfold by 2051. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to Europe and North America, where numbers of hip fractures are expected to double by 2026 and then stabilise, in Australia hip fractures will continue to place a growing demand on healthcare resources for many decades. These projections can be used for setting goals and evaluating the costs and benefits of interventions in Australia.

Adult↗

Femoral neck dimensions are unlikely to be associated with age at menarche.

Hip axis length (HAL) has been reported as an independent risk factor for hip fracture. Later puberty may increase bone size because of delayed epiphyseal fusion. We sought to identify associations between bone size at the proximal femur with age at menarche and other indices of growth such as stature. Femoral neck dimensions were measured from dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scans of the proximal femur in a random sample of 203 premenopausal Caucasian women (age 20-30 years). There were no associations between age at menarche and HAL, femoral axis length (FAL) or femoral neck width (FNW). Age at menarche was associated with height (r = 0.2, p = 0.02). Variations in HAL, FAL and FNW do not appear to be related to age at menarche.

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Age- and gender-specific rate of fractures in Australia: a population-based study.

There is little population-based data concerning fracture rates in Australia. We ascertained all fractures occurring during 2 years in adults aged 35 years and over residing within a defined region (population 218 000), representative of the Australian population. The major strength of this study is the comprehensive ascertainment of fractures, which was ensured by regular searches of the only two radiologic providers in the Geelong Osteoporosis Study region. Nevertheless, vertebral fractures are likely to be underestimated since our ascertainment relied on a clinical indication for a medical imaging procedure. Among those aged 35-55 years, the fracture rate (persons per 10,000/year) in men was about double the rate in women (65 vs 35). The fracture rate was almost 7 times higher in women over 60 years versus women less than 55 years of age. In contrast, the fracture rate in men over 60 years was only 50% higher than in men less than 55 years of age (72 vs 104). Fracture rates in women and men were highest at the hip (28 and 10 respectively), spine (21 and 7), distal forearm (Colles') (18 and 4) and humerus (11 and 3), and were 3-4 times higher in women than men. These fractures accounted for 63% of all fractures in women and 32% in men. By contrast, the rate of lower leg and ankle fractures was less than 10 per 10,000 in both women and men and did not increase to the same extent with age. Hip fracture rates appear high, particularly among the older age strata, compared with retrospective ascertainment in other populations. In Australia, as in many other countries, there is an increasing longevity of the population. The number of women aged 90 years and over increased by 32% and the number of men of this age increased by 48% in the 5 years between the Australian national census of 1991 and 1996. Given stable fracture rates, the substantial health burden imposed by age-related fractures, particularly hip fractures, will continue to escalate in both women and men.

Adult↗

Identification of incident fractures: the Geelong Osteoporosis Study.

BACKGROUND: Complete fracture ascertainment is critical for fracture cost estimates and planning for future health care facilities. Virtually complete ascertainment is possible for hip fractures because they nearly always require hospitalisation. AIMS: To validate the use of radiological reports as a resource for ascertaining fracture cases, using hip fracture as a model. METHODS: Hip fracture rates obtained from radiological reports were compared with rates obtained from hospital discharge summaries of medical records using International Classification of Diseases-9 (ICD-9) codes 820.0-820.9 and 733.1 over a three-year period. RESULTS: Hip fracture cases numbered 589 using radiological reports and 585 using medical records. Discharge summaries failed to identify 15 cases ascertained through radiology reports whereas 11 cases ascertained through medical records were not identified from X-ray reports. The age-specific incidence rates for radiological ascertainment were within the 95% confidence limits of the rates derived from medical records. CONCLUSIONS: Among a population of patients generally admitted to hospital for treatment of their fracture, we were able to identify more cases from radiological reports than from medical records. Incidence rates for hip fracture were comparable using the two methods. Radiological reports provide a valuable resource for identifying incident fractures. This method of case ascertainment would be suitable for identifying both major and minor fractures in regions with self-contained health services where access to all radiological reports is possible.

Adolescent↗

The exclusion of high trauma fractures may underestimate the prevalence of bone fragility fractures in the community: the Geelong Osteoporosis Study.

Fractures associated with severe trauma are generally excluded from estimates of the prevalence of osteoporotic fractures in the community. Because the degree of trauma is difficult to quantitate, low bone mass may contribute to fractures following severe trauma. We ascertained all fractures in a defined population and compared the bone mineral density (BMD) of women who sustained fractures in either "low" or "high" trauma events with the BMD of a random sample of women from the same population. BMD was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry and expressed as a standardized deviation (Z score) adjusted for age. The BMD Z scores (mean +/- SEM) were reduced in both the low and high trauma groups, respectively: spine-posterior-anterior (-0.50 +/- 0.05 and -0.21 +/- 0.08), spine-lateral (-0.28 +/- 0.06 and -0.19 +/- 0.10), femoral neck (-0.42 +/- 0.04 and -0.26 +/- 0.09), Ward's triangle (-0.44 +/- 0.04 and -0.28 +/- 0.08), trochanter (-0.44 +/- 0.05 and -0.32 +/- 0.08), total body (-0.46 +/- 0.06 and -0.32 +/- 0.08), ultradistal radius (-0.47 +/- 0.05 and -0.42 +/- 0.07), and midradius (-0.52 +/- 0.06 and -0.33 +/- 0.09). Except at the PA spine, the deficits were no smaller in the high trauma group. Compared with the population, the age-adjusted odds ratio for osteoporosis (t-score < -2.5) at one or more scanning sites was 3.1 (95% confidence interval 1.9, 5.0) in the high trauma group and 2.7 (1.9, 3.8) in the low trauma group. The data suggest that the exclusion of high trauma fractures in women over 50 years of age may result in underestimation of the contribution of osteoporosis to fractures in the community. Bone density measurement of women over 50 years of age who sustain fractures may be warranted irrespective of the classification of trauma.

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Relationship of serum leptin to total and truncal body fat.

1. In this study we investigated the relationship between serum leptin levels and body fat distribution in a random sample of women of widely ranging age and body mass index. Anthropometry and dual energy X-ray absorptiometry were used to measure body fat and its distribution. 2. Leptin levels (log transformed) were not significantly correlated with age, but were significantly positively correlated (P < 0.001) with most anthropometric measures except waist-to-hip circumference ratio. The strongest correlations were with total grams of body fat and percentage body fat (r = 0.68 and 0.76 respectively, P < 0.001). When corrected for percentage body fat the partial correlation coefficients for all other measures became non-significant. The correlation with truncal body fat fell significantly from 0.66 to -0.05 after correction, but the partial correlation with total body fat remained significant (P < 0.005) when grams of truncal fat were controlled for (r = 0.21). 3. These results indicate that the relationship of serum leptin to percentage body fat is the strongest, and that truncal body fat, although the most metabolically active, does not appear to have an independent association with serum leptin.

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