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Biomedical subjects

J A Sterne

Publications and source records attributed to J A Sterne.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

Prophylaxis of postoperative vomiting in children undergoing tonsillectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Postoperative vomiting (POV) remains one of the commonest causes of significant morbidity after tonsillectomy in children. A variety of prophylactic anti-emetic interventions have been reported, but there has only been a limited systematic review in this patient group. A systematic search was performed by using Cochrane Controlled Trials Register, MEDLINE and EMBASE to identify double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trials of prophylactic anti-emetic interventions in children undergoing tonsillectomy, with or without adenoidectomy. The outcome of interest was POV in the first 24 h. Summary estimates of the effect of each prophylactic anti-emetic strategy were derived using fixed effect meta-analysis. Where appropriate, dose-response effects were estimated using logistic regression and 22 articles were identified. Good evidence was found for the prophylactic anti-emetic effect of dexamethasone [odds ratio (OR) 0.23, 95% CI 0.16-0.33], and the serotinergic antagonists ondansetron (OR 0.36, 95% CI 0.29-0.46), granisetron (OR 0.11, 95% CI 0.06-0.19), tropisetron (OR 0.15, 95% CI 0.06-0.35) and dolasetron (OR 0.25, 95% CI 0.1-0.59). Metoclopramide was also found to be efficacious (OR 0.51, 95% CI 0.34-0.77). There is not sufficient evidence to suggest that dimenhydrinate, perphenazine or droperidol, in the doses studied, are efficacious, nor were gastric aspiration or acupuncture. In conclusion, dexamethasone and the anti-serotinergic agents appear to be the most effective agents for the prophylaxis for POV in children undergoing tonsillectomy.

Antiemetics↗
PubMed2002

Vitamin A supplementation for reducing the risk of mother-to-child transmission of HIV infection.

BACKGROUND: Mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of HIV is the dominant mode of acquisition of HIV infection for children, currently resulting in about 1800 new paediatric HIV infections each day world-wide. This is one of several reviews assessing the available evidence for preventing HIV transmission from an HIV-infected woman to her child. The other reviews assess the effects of antiretroviral therapy, Caesarean section delivery, breast feeding, and vaginal lavage. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of antenatal and intrapartum vitamin A supplementation, compared to an appropriate control group, on the risk of MTCT of HIV infection and infant and maternal mortality and morbidity, and the tolerability of vitamin A supplementation. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register, Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Register, PubMed, EMBASE, AIDSLINE, LILACS, AIDSTRIALS, and AIDSDRUGS, using standardised methodological filters for identifying trials. We also searched reference lists of identified articles, relevant editorials, expert opinions and letters to journal editors, and abstracts or proceedings of relevant conferences; and contacted subject experts, agencies, organisations, academic centres, and pharmaceutical companies. There were no language restrictions. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised trials comparing vitamin A supplementation with no vitamin A supplementation in known HIV infected pregnant women. Trials had to include an estimate of the effect of vitamin A supplementation on MTCT of HIV and/or any other pre-specified adverse pregnancy outcome to be included. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two reviewers independently assessed trial eligibility and quality and extracted data. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated for binary data and pooled using a fixed effect (Mantel-Haenszel) method. Heterogeneity between studies was examined by graphical inspection of results followed by a chi-square test of homogeneity. MAIN RESULTS: We identified five eligible trials, only two of which included an estimated of the effect of vitamin A supplementation on at least one of the pre-specified outcomes. Based on the two trials, with a total of 1813 participants, there is no evidence that vitamin A supplementation has an effect on MTCT of HIV (OR 1.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81 to 1.45). There is no evidence of heterogeneity between the trials (p = 0.37), and no evidence of an effect of vitamin A supplementation in HIV-infected pregnant women on stillbirths (OR 1.07, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.80), very preterm births, i.e. born less than 34 weeks gestation (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.57 to 1.31), all preterm births, i.e. born less than 37 weeks gestation (OR 0.88, 95% CI 0.68 to 1.13), low birth weight, i.e. weighing less than 2500g (OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.64 to 1.17), very low birthweight, i.e. weighing less than 2000g (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.40 to 1.28), and postpartum CD4 levels (weighted mean difference -4.00, 95% CI -51.06 to 43.06). The effect of vitamin A on maternal mortality could not be assesssed, as there were only three maternal deaths. REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: At the present time there is no conclusive evidence that the antenatal and intrapartum use of vitamin A supplementation to reduce MTCT of HIV and adverse pregnancy outcomes among HIV-infected pregnant women should be recommended. IMPLICATIONS FOR RESEARCH: The current review will be updated as soon as data from ongoing studies become available. This review and the review in progress on vitamin A supplementation in pregnant women of seronegative/unknown HIV status (Kulier 2002) should be considered together in order to shed more light on the effect of vitamin A supplementation on non-HIV related adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Female↗
PubMed2002

Vaginal disinfection during labour for reducing the risk of mother-to-child transmission of HIV infection.

BACKGROUND: Mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of HIV infection is one of the most tragic consequences of the HIV epidemic, especially in resource-limited countries, resulting in about 650 000 new paediatric HIV infections each year world-wide. The paediatric HIV epidemic threatens to seriously undermine decade-old child survival programmes. This is one of several reviews assessing the available evidence for preventing HIV transmission from an HIV-infected woman to her child. The other reviews assess the effects of antiretroviral therapy, Caesarean section delivery, breast feeding, and vitamin A supplementation. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the effect of vaginal lavage on the risk of MTCT of HIV and infant and maternal mortality and morbidity, as well as tolerability of vaginal lavage in HIV infected women. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register, Cochrane Pregnancy and Childbirth Register, PubMed, EMBASE, AIDSLINE, LILACS, AIDSTRIALS, and AIDSDRUGS, using standardised methodological filters for identifying trials. We also searched reference lists of identified articles, relevant editorials, expert opinions and letters to journal editors, and abstracts and proceedings of relevant conferences, and contacted subject experts and pharmaceutical companies. There were no language restrictions. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised trials or clinical trials comparing vaginal disinfection during labour with placebo or no treatment, in known HIV infected pregnant women. Trials had to include an estimate of the effect of vaginal disinfection on MTCT of HIV and/or any other pre-specified adverse pregnancy outcome to be included. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two reviewers independently assessed trial eligibility and quality, and extracted data. MAIN RESULTS: Only one low quality trial included an estimate of the effect of vaginal disinfection on at least one pre-specified outcome. There was no evidence of an effect of vaginal disinfection on MTCT of HIV (odds ratio 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.63 to 1.38), and no information was available on the other pre-specified outcomes. REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS: There is a need for well-designed randomised controlled trials to estimate the effects of vaginal disinfection on MTCT of HIV.

Disinfection↗
PubMed2001

A new method for predicting recovery after stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Several prognostic factors have been identified for outcome after stroke. However, there is a need for empirically derived models that can predict outcome and assist in medical management during rehabilitation. To be useful, these models should take into account early changes in recovery and individual patient characteristics. We present such a model and demonstrate its clinical utility. METHODS: Data on functional recovery (Barthel Index) at 0, 2, 4, 6, and 12 months after stroke were collected prospectively for 299 stroke patients at 2 London hospitals. Multilevel models were used to model recovery trajectories, allowing for day-to-day and between-patient variation. The predictive performance of the model was validated with an independent cohort of 710 stroke patients. RESULTS: Urinary incontinence, sex, prestroke disability, and dysarthria affected the level of outcome after stroke; age, dysphasia, and limb deficit also affected the rate of recovery. Applying this to the validation cohort, the average difference between predicted and observed Barthel Index was -0.4, with 90% limits of agreement from -7 to 6. Predicted Barthel Index lay within 3 points of the observed Barthel Index on 49% of occasions and improved to 69% when patients' recovery histories were taken into account. CONCLUSIONS: The model predicts recovery at various stages of rehabilitation in ways that could improve clinical decision making. Predictions can be altered in light of observed recovery. This model is a potentially useful tool for comparing individual patients with average recovery trajectories. Patients at elevated risk could be identified and interventions initiated.

Activities of Daily Living↗
PubMed2001

Dietary antioxidants and asthma in adults: population-based case-control study.

A protective role for dietary antioxidants in asthma has been proposed. However, epidemiological evidence to implicate antioxidant vitamins is weak, and data on the role of flavonoid-rich foods and antioxidant trace elements are lacking. We carried out a population-based case-control study in South London, UK, to investigate whether asthma is less common and less severe in adults who consume more dietary antioxidants. Participants were aged 16-50 yr and registered with 40 general practices. Asthma was defined by positive responses to a standard screening questionnaire in 1996, and complete information about usual diet was obtained by food frequency questionnaire from 607 cases and 864 controls in 1997. After controlling for potential confounding factors and total energy intake, apple consumption was negatively associated with asthma (odds ratio [OR] per increase in frequency group 0.89 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.82 to 0.97]; p = 0.006). Intake of selenium was also negatively associated with asthma (OR per quintile increase 0.84 [0.75 to 0.94]; p = 0.002). Red wine intake was negatively associated with asthma severity. The associations between apple and red wine consumption and asthma may indicate a protective effect of flavonoids. The findings for dietary selenium could have implications for health policy in Britain where intake has been declining.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Multilevel growth curve models with covariate effects: application to recovery after stroke.

In measuring the progression of, or recovery from, a disease an individual's outcome may be assessed on a number of occasions. A model of the relationship between outcome and time since disease occurred which accounts for patient characteristics could be used to describe patterns of recovery, to predict outcome for a patient, or to evaluate health interventions. We use multilevel models to analyse such data, focusing on the choice of powers of time both for mean outcome and covariate effects. We give equations for predicted outcome and corresponding standard errors (i) based only on baseline characteristics, and (ii) by conditioning on previous outcomes for an individual. In a study of 331 stroke patients, outcome was measured approximately 0, 2,4,6 and 12 months after stroke. Patient characteristics included age, sex, and pre-stroke handicap, together with stroke-severity indicators (presence of limb deficit, dysphasia, dysarthria or incontinence). Of these, only the effects of age, dysphasia and presence of deficit varied with time. Conditioning on previous observations improved the accuracy of predictions. The outcome variable clearly had a skewed distribution, and the model residuals showed evidence of non-Normality. We discuss alternative models for non-Normal data, and show that, here, the standard (Normal errors) multilevel model gives equivalent parameter estimates and predictions to those obtained from alternative models.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Funnel plots for detecting bias in meta-analysis: guidelines on choice of axis.

Asymmetry in funnel plots may indicate publication bias in meta-analysis, but the shape of the plot in the absence of bias depends on the choice of axes. We evaluated standard error, precision (inverse of standard error), variance, inverse of variance, sample size and log sample size (vertical axis) and log odds ratio, log risk ratio and risk difference (horizontal axis). Standard error is likely to be the best choice for the vertical axis: the expected shape in the absence of bias corresponds to a symmetrical funnel, straight lines to indicate 95% confidence intervals can be included and the plot emphasises smaller studies which are more prone to bias. Precision or inverse of variance is useful when comparing meta-analyses of small trials with subsequent large trials. The use of sample size or log sample size is problematic because the expected shape of the plot in the absence of bias is unpredictable. We found similar evidence for asymmetry and between trial variation in a sample of 78 published meta-analyses whether odds ratios or risk ratios were used on the horizontal axis. Different conclusions were reached for risk differences and this was related to increased between-trial variation. We conclude that funnel plots of meta-analyses should generally use standard error as the measure of study size and ratio measures of treatment effect.

Data Interpretation, Statistical↗
PubMed2001

Estimation of the incidence of stroke using a capture-recapture model including covariates.

BACKGROUND: Capture-recapture is often used to assess completeness of a register. However, the usual two-source model relies on assumptions of independence of sources and equality of capture probability which are rarely satisfied in epidemiology. An alternative is to include covariates in capture-recapture models. METHODS: We use capture-recapture models including covariates to estimate incidence of stroke in South London. We estimate ascertainment-adjusted age-standardized incidence rates, and calculate confidence intervals for incidence which allow for the uncertainty in estimation of the total number of cases. RESULTS: The crude capture-recapture model (including no covariates) underestimated the number of non-fatal strokes. Demographic and stroke severity variables were associated with the probability of capture. Including covariates led to more plausible results for fatal and non-fatal strokes, and suggested that the stroke register was 88% complete. Adjusting for under-ascertainment increased the estimated incidence from 1.31 (95% CI : 1.21-1.42) to 1.49 (95% CI : 0.38-2.60) per 1000 people. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence and age-standardized incidence can be calculated using data from an incomplete register. However, sparse strata can lead to wide confidence intervals for adjusted rates. Cost-effectiveness of routine registers might be increased by using the combination of sources and covariates which most accurately estimates the total number of cases, rather than by aiming for 100% completeness.

Aged↗
PubMed2001

Inequalities in rates of gonorrhoea and chlamydia between black ethnic groups in south east London: cross sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine differences in population based rates of gonorrhoea and chlamydia between black ethnic groups in Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham Health Authority. METHODS: Episodes of gonorrhoea or chlamydia recorded among attenders at 11 genitourinary clinics in south and central London from 1 January 1994 to 31 December 1995 were retrieved. Complete data on chlamydia were only available for women. Ethnic group was assigned according to census categories--white, black Caribbean, black African, black other, Asian, or other. We calculated yearly incidence rates for episodes of gonorrhoea and chlamydia in residents of Lambeth, Southwark and Lewisham Health Authority. Random effects Poisson regression models were used to examine associations between infection rates and age, ethnic group, and material deprivation. RESULTS: During the study period there were 1996 episodes of gonorrhoea in men and women and 1376 episodes of chlamydia in women with complete data. For both infections rates among individuals from black Caribbean and black other ethnic groups were markedly higher than among black Africans. In men, the gonorrhoea rate among black Caribbean 20-24 year olds was 2348 (95% CI 1965 to 2831) episodes per 100,000 compared with 931 (95% CI 690 to 1288) in black African men and 111 (95% CI 100 to 124) per 100,000 in white men of the same age. Among women gonorrhoea rates were highest in black Caribbean 15-19 year olds (2612, 95% CI 2161 to 3190 per 100,000). In contrast, rates in black African women of the same age (331, 95% CI 154 to 846 per 100,000) were similar to those of white women (222, 95% CI 163 to 312). Chlamydia rates were also highest in black Caribbean 15-19 year old women (4579, 95% CI 3966 to 5314 per 100,000), compared with 1286 (95% CI 907 to 1888) in black African and 433 (95% CI 349 to 544) per 100,000 white women. Controlling for material deprivation and age only attenuated differences in rates between ethnic groups slightly. CONCLUSIONS: There are marked differences in rates of gonorrhoea and chlamydia between different black ethnic groups, with higher rates in black Caribbeans than black Africans. This study supports the hypothesis that assortative sexual mixing patterns can restrict epidemics of sexually transmitted infections within ethnic groups. Differences in disease occurrence between black ethnic groups should be explored before combining data, even when numbers of episodes are small.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

Publication and related bias in meta-analysis: power of statistical tests and prevalence in the literature.

Publication and selection biases in meta-analysis are more likely to affect small studies, which also tend to be of lower methodological quality. This may lead to "small-study effects," where the smaller studies in a meta-analysis show larger treatment effects. Small-study effects may also arise because of between-trial heterogeneity. Statistical tests for small-study effects have been proposed, but their validity has been questioned. A set of typical meta-analyses containing 5, 10, 20, and 30 trials was defined based on the characteristics of 78 published meta-analyses identified in a hand search of eight journals from 1993 to 1997. Simulations were performed to assess the power of a weighted regression method and a rank correlation test in the presence of no bias, moderate bias or severe bias. We based evidence of small-study effects on P < 0.1. The power to detect bias increased with increasing numbers of trials. The rank correlation test was less powerful than the regression method. For example, assuming a control group event rate of 20% and no treatment effect, moderate bias was detected with the regression test in 13.7%, 23.5%, 40.1% and 51.6% of meta-analyses with 5, 10, 20 and 30 trials. The corresponding figures for the correlation test were 8.5%, 14.7%, 20.4% and 26.0%, respectively. Severe bias was detected with the regression method in 23.5%, 56.1%, 88.3% and 95.9% of meta-analyses with 5, 10, 20 and 30 trials, as compared to 11.9%, 31.1%, 45.3% and 65.4% with the correlation test. Similar results were obtained in simulations incorporating moderate treatment effects. However the regression method gave false-positive rates which were too high in some situations (large treatment effects, or few events per trial, or all trials of similar sizes). Using the regression method, evidence of small-study effects was present in 21 (26.9%) of the 78 published meta-analyses. Tests for small-study effects should routinely be performed in meta-analysis. Their power is however limited, particularly for moderate amounts of bias or meta-analyses based on a small number of small studies. When evidence of small-study effects is found, careful consideration should be given to possible explanations for these in the reporting of the meta-analysis.

Bias↗
PubMed2000

Mechanisms of risk in preterm low-birthweight infants.

The periodontal diseases share many common risk factors with preterm low birth weight. Examples are, age, socioeconomic status and smoking (Fig. 5). Studies to date have only shown an association between the two conditions, and this does not indicate a causal relationship. However, since the inflammatory mediators that occur in the periodontal diseases, also play an important part in the initiation of labor, there are plausible biological mechanisms that could link the two conditions. The challenge for the future is to characterize the nature of the factors that predispose a mother to give birth prematurely to infants less than 2500 g and to assign relative probabilities to each. Studies are taking place in many parts of the world to determine the probability of a preterm low-birth-weight outcome, the interdependence of the factors that contribute to a birth event and possible casual relationships between these factors. Further information about the details of the effects of maternal infection will come from intervention studies, animal studies and more detailed examination of the mechanisms.

Animals↗
PubMed2000

Frequent paracetamol use and asthma in adults.

BACKGROUND: The pulmonary antioxidant glutathione may limit airway inflammation in asthma. Since paracetamol (acetaminophen) depletes the lung of glutathione in animals, a study was undertaken to investigate whether frequent use in humans was associated with asthma. METHODS: Information was collected on the use of analgesics as part of a population based case-control study of dietary antioxidants and asthma in adults aged 16-49 years registered with 40 general practices in Greenwich, South London. The frequency of use of paracetamol and aspirin was compared in 664 individuals with asthma and in 910 without asthma. Asthma was defined by positive responses to questions about asthma attacks, asthma medication, or waking at night with shortness of breath. The association between analgesic use and severity of disease amongst asthma cases, as measured by a quality of life score, was also examined. RESULTS: Paracetamol use was positively associated with asthma. After controlling for potential confounding factors the odds ratio for asthma, compared with never users, was 1.06 (95% CI 0.77 to 1.45) in infrequent users (<monthly), 1.22 (0.87 to 1.72) in monthly users, 1. 79 (1.21 to 2.65) in weekly users, and 2.38 (1.22 to 4.64) in daily users (p (trend) = 0.0002). This association was present in users and non-users of aspirin and was stronger when cases with more severe disease were compared with controls; amongst cases increasing paracetamol use was associated with more severe disease. Frequency of aspirin use was not associated with asthma when cases as a whole were compared with controls, nor with severity of asthma amongst cases. Frequent paracetamol use was positively associated with rhinitis, but aspirin use was not. CONCLUSIONS: Frequent use of paracetamol may contribute to asthma morbidity and rhinitis in adults.

Acetaminophen↗
PubMed1999

Influence of surgeon's experience on speech outcome in cleft lip and palate.

Relation between the number of cases treated and outcome, particularly in low-incidence anomalies, are difficult to identify and rectify. We show clear advantages in speech outcomes for children born with a cleft lip and palate who are operated on by surgeons who do large numbers of these procedures.

Child↗
PubMed1999

Clustered randomised trial of an intervention to improve the management of asthma: Greenwich asthma study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effectiveness of an asthma resource centre in improving treatment and quality of life for asthmatic patients. DESIGN: Community based randomised controlled trial. SETTING: 41 general practices in Greenwich with a practice nurse. SUBJECTS: All registered patients aged 15-50 years. INTERVENTION: Nurse specialists in asthma who educated and supported practice nurses, who in turn educated patients in the management of asthma according to the British Thoracic Society's guidelines. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Quality of life of asthmatic patients, attendance at accident and emergency departments, admissions to local hospitals, and steroid prescribing by general practitioners. RESULTS: Of 24 400 patients randomly selected and surveyed in 1993, 12 238 replied; 1621 were asthmatic of whom 1291 were sent a repeat questionnaire in 1996 and 780 replied. Of 24 400 patients newly surveyed in 1996, 10 783 (1616 asthmatic) replied. No evidence was found for an improvement in asthma related quality of life among newly surveyed patients in intervention practices compared with control practices. Neither was there evidence of an improvement in other measures of the quality of asthma care. Weak evidence was found for an improvement in quality of life in intervention practices among asthmatics registered with study practices in 1993 and followed up in 1996. Neither attendances at accident and emergency departments nor admissions for asthma showed any tendency to diverge in intervention and control practices over the study period. Steroid prescribing rates rose steadily during the study period. The average annual increase in steroid prescribing was 3% per year higher in intervention than control practices (95% confidence interval -1% to 6%, P=0.10). CONCLUSIONS: This model of service delivery is not effective in improving the outcome of asthma in the community. Further development is required if cost effective management of asthma is to be introduced.

Adolescent↗