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J E Manson

Publications and source records attributed to J E Manson.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Cross-sectional correlates of fasting hyperinsulinaemia in post-menopausal women of different ethnic origin.

AIMS: In a large ethnically diverse nationwide sample of post-menopausal women we explored the relationship between fasting insulin levels, ethnicity, and a wide range of anthropometric, socio-economic, and lifestyle factors. METHODS: Subjects were post-menopausal women aged 50-79 years without diagnosed diabetes mellitus comprising a subsample (n = 3500) of the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) Clinical Trial and Observational Study. In a cross-sectional survey at baseline, we analysed the association between ethnicity and fasting insulin using analysis of covariance procedures and identified independent correlates of hyperinsulinaemia, defined by the 75th percentile cut point for each ethnic group. RESULTS: Fasting insulin levels were higher among African-American and Hispanic women than among non-Hispanic White or Asian women. These differences persisted after adjustment for age, educational attainment, total and central body obesity, adult weight change, family history of diabetes, smoking status, alcohol consumption, use of menopausal hormone therapy and physical activity. Higher levels of body mass index, waist-hip ratio, adult weight gain, and lower levels of total and moderate or strenuous recreational activity were independent correlates of fasting hyperinsulinaemia. Habitual walking was also inversely associated with fasting insulin. CONCLUSIONS: In this cross-sectional analysis, fasting insulin levels were higher among African-American and Hispanic post-menopausal women as compared with non-Hispanic White and Asian women. In addition, obesity, adult weight gain, and low levels of moderate or strenuous physical activity were independently associated with hyperinsulinaemia.

Black or African American↗

Effects of oral magnesium supplementation on glycaemic control in Type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis of randomized double-blind controlled trials.

AIMS: The aim of this study was to assess the evidence on the effect of oral magnesium supplementation on glycaemic control in patients with Type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We searched the electronic databases of medline, embase and the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register up to January 2005. We identified nine randomized double-blind controlled trials with a total of 370 patients with Type 2 diabetes and of duration 4-16 weeks. The median dose of oral magnesium supplementation was 15 mmol/day (360 mg/day) in the treatment groups. The primary outcome was glycaemic control, as measured by glycated haemoglobin (HbA(1c)) or fasting blood glucose levels; the secondary outcomes included body mass index, blood pressure (BP) and lipids. Using a random-effects model, we calculated the weighted mean differences (WMD) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: After a median duration of 12 weeks, the weighted mean post-intervention fasting glucose was significantly lower in the treatment groups compared with the placebo groups [-0.56 mmol/l (95% CI, -1.10 to -0.01); P for heterogeneity = 0.02]. The difference in post-intervention HbA(1c) between magnesium supplementation groups and control groups was not significant [-0.31% (95% CI, -0.81 to 0.19); P for heterogeneity = 0.10]. Neither systolic nor diastolic BP was significantly changed. Magnesium supplementation increased on high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol levels [0.08 mmol/l (95% CI, 0.03 to 0.14); P for heterogeneity = 0.36] but had no effect on total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and triglyceride. CONCLUSIONS: Oral magnesium supplementation for 4-16 weeks may be effective in reducing plasma fasting glucose levels and raising HDL cholesterol in patients with Type 2 diabetes, although the long-term benefits and safety of magnesium treatment on glycaemic control remain to be determined.

Administration, Oral↗

A prospective study of lipoprotein(a) and risk of coronary heart disease among women with type 2 diabetes.

AIMS: We examined the association between lipoprotein (Lp)(a) and CHD among women with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Of 32,826 women from the Nurses' Health Study who provided blood at baseline, we followed 921 who had a confirmed diagnosis of type 2 diabetes. RESULTS: During 10 years of follow-up (6,835 person-years), we documented 122 incident cases of CHD. After adjustment for age, smoking, BMI, glycosylated HbA(1)c, triglycerides (TGs), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and other cardiovascular risk factors, the relative risk (RR) comparing extreme quintiles of Lp(a) was 1.95 (95% CI 1.07-3.56). The association was not appreciably altered after further adjustment for apolipoprotein B(100) or several inflammatory biomarkers. Increasing levels of Lp(a) were associated with lower levels of TGs. The probability of developing CHD over 10 years was higher among diabetic women with substantially higher levels of both Lp(a) (>1.07 micromol/l) and TGs (>2.26 mmol/l) than among diabetic women with lower levels (22 vs 10%, p log-rank test=0.049). Diabetic women with a higher level of only Lp(a) or TGs had a similar (14%) risk. In a multivariate model, diabetic women with higher levels of Lp(a) and TGs had an RR of 2.46 (95% CI 1.21-5.01) for developing CHD, as compared with those with lower levels of both biomarkers (p for interaction=0.413). The RRs for women with a higher level of either Lp(a) (RR=1.22, 95% CI 0.77-1.92) or TGs (RR=1.39, 95% CI 0.78-2.42) were comparable. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Increased levels of Lp(a) were independently associated with risk of CHD among diabetic women.

Adult↗

Phylloquinone intake as a marker for coronary heart disease risk but not stroke in women.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the feasibility of using phylloquinone intake as a marker for coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke risk in women. DESIGN AND SETTING: Nurses' Health Study, a prospective cohort study during 1984-2000. Dietary data were collected in 1984, 1986, 1990, and 1994 using a validated semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. SUBJECTS: A total of 72 874 female nurses, aged 38-65 y, without previously diagnosed angina, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, or cancer at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of nonfatal MI, CHD deaths, total CHD events, ischemic, and total strokes. RESULTS: There were 1679 CHD events (1201 nonfatal) and 1009 strokes (567 ischemic). After adjustment for age and lifestyle factors associated with cardiovascular disease risk, the multivariate relative risks (RR) (95% CI) of total CHD from the lowest to the highest quintile category of phylloquinone intake were 1 (reference), 0.80 (0.69-0.94), 0.86 (0.74-1.00), 0.77 (0.66-0.99), and 0.79 (0.68-0.92), P for trend=0.01. Further adjustment for dietary intakes of saturated fat, polyunsaturated fat, trans fatty acids, eicosapentaenoic, and docosahexaenoic acids, cereal fiber, and folate attenuated the association (RR comparing extreme quintiles 0.84 [0.71-1.00], P for trend=0.12). Incidence rates of total or ischemic strokes were not associated with phylloquinone intake. CONCLUSION: The data suggest that high phylloquinone intake may be a marker for low CHD risk. Dietary and lifestyle patterns associated with phylloquinone intakes, rather than intake of the nutrient itself, might account for all or part of the weak association. .

Adult↗

KEEPS: The Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study.

Observational studies have indicated that hormone therapy given at or after menopause is linked to substantial reduction in cardiovascular disease and its risk factors. Recent findings from the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) clinical trial, however, indicate that combined estrogen plus progestin hormone therapy, as well as estrogen-alone hormone therapy (given to women without a uterus), is ineffective in preventing the new onset of cardiac events in previously healthy late menopausal women. Further, the secondary prevention trial, the Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study (HERS), also failed to demonstrate any benefit of initiation of hormone therapy in women with established coronary heart disease. In light of these results, a hypothesis has arisen that early initiation of hormone therapy, in women who are at the inception of their menopause, will delay the onset of subclinical cardiovascular disease in women. The rationale that earlier intervention than that performed in the WHI and HERS trials will provide cardiovascular benefit to women is the driving force behind the Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study, or KEEPS. KEEPS is a multicenter, 5-year clinical trial that will evaluate the effectiveness of 0.45 mg of conjugated equine estrogens, 50 microg weekly transdermal estradiol (both in combination with cyclic oral, micronized progesterone, 200 mg for 12 days each month), and placebo in preventing progression of carotid intimal medial thickness and the accrual of coronary calcium in women aged 42-58 years who are within 36 months of their final menstrual period. A total of 720 women are planned to be enrolled in 2005, with an anticipated close-out of the trial in 2010. This overview summarizes the recruitment and methodology of the KEEPS trial.

Adult↗

Hyperproinsulinaemia and risk of Type 2 diabetes mellitus in women.

AIMS: Our objective was to examine prospectively the associations between fasting plasma proinsulin and the proinsulin/insulin ratio and the incidence of Type 2 diabetes in women. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We designed a nested case-control study within the Nurses' Health Study, a cohort of 121,700 US women aged 30-55 years at study inception in 1976. Fasting plasma proinsulin, specific insulin and C-peptide levels were determined in 183 women with a new diagnosis of diabetes made after blood sampling between 1989 and 1990, and 369 control subjects without diabetes. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, body mass index, family history of diabetes and other potential confounders, including HbA1c, the odds ratios for diabetes associated with increasing quartiles of proinsulin were 1.00, 0.85, 2.49 and 5.73 (P for trend: < 0.001). Proinsulin remained significantly associated with diabetes risk after adjusting for C-peptide and specific insulin (multivariate odds ratios for quartiles: 1.00, 0.78, 1.94, 3.69; P for trend = 0.001). In addition, the proinsulin/insulin ratio was significantly associated with diabetes risk, controlling in multivariate analysis for C-peptide (odds ratios for extreme quartiles: 2.48; 95% CI: 1.14-5.41; P for trend = 0.005). CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that proinsulin and the proinsulin/insulin ratio are strong independent predictors of diabetes risk, after adjustment for obesity and other potential confounders.

Adult↗

Joint role of non-HDL cholesterol and glycated haemoglobin in predicting future coronary heart disease events among women with type 2 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Non-HDL cholesterol (the sum of LDL, VLDL and IDL cholesterol) is considered to be particularly valuable in the management of dyslipidaemia in type 2 diabetes. However, it remains uncertain whether the association between non-HDL cholesterol and cardiovascular risk in type 2 diabetes depends on the status of hyperglycaemia. We aimed to determine whether non-HDL cholesterol predicts CHD events among diabetic women independently of currently established risk factors and the status of glycaemic control. METHODS: We prospectively followed 921 diabetic women in the Nurses' Health Study, who were free of cardiovascular disease at the time that blood was drawn in 1989/90. During 10 years of follow-up, we identified 122 incident CHD cases. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, BMI, smoking, alcohol consumption, and other lifestyle risk factors, the multivariate relative risks (RRs) of CHD for extreme quartiles were 1.97 (95% CI: 1.14-3.43) for non-HDL cholesterol, 1.78 (1.02-3.11) for apolipoprotein B-100, and 1.93 (1.15-3.22) for LDL cholesterol. However, the association between non-HDL cholesterol and CHD risk was only apparent among women with elevated fasting triglycerides (RR for extreme quartiles: 3.80; p=0.045). HbA(1)c was strongly associated with increased CHD risk (RR for increase by 1 unit: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.13-1.35), and both non-HDL cholesterol and HbA(1)c additively predicted CHD risk (RR for the combination of high non-HDL cholesterol and high HbA(1)c [tertiles]: 4.59). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our study suggests that non-HDL cholesterol and HbA(1)c are potent predictors of CHD risk in diabetic women. Therapies to lower CHD risk in diabetic patients should emphasise both glycaemic control and lipid lowering.

Adult↗

Association of weight change, weight control practices, and weight cycling among women in the Nurses' Health Study II.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association of weight cycling with weight change, weight control practices, and bulimic behaviors. METHODS: A nested study of 2476 young and middle-aged women in the Nurses' Health Study II who provided information on intentional weight losses between 1989 and 1993. SAMPLE: In total, 224 women who were severe cyclers, 741 women who were mild cyclers, 967 age- and BMI-matched controls (noncyclers), and 544 women who did not weight cycle and maintained their weight between 1989 and 1993 completed a questionnaire in 2000-2001 assessing recent intentional weight losses, weight control practices, and weight concerns. RESULTS: After controlling for age and body mass index (BMI) in 1993, when weight cycling was initially assessed, mild cyclers gained an average of 6.7 pounds (lbs) more and severe cyclers gained approximately 10.3 lbs more than noncyclers between 1993 and 2001. Weight cyclers preferred to change their diet rather than to exercise to control their weight. Severe weight cyclers were less likely than noncyclers to use frequent exercise as a weight control strategy (odds ratio [OR]=0.8, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.6-1.1). Cyclers were also more likely than noncyclers to engage in binge eating (mild cyclers: OR=1.8, 95% CI 1.4-2.4; and severe cyclers: OR=2.5, 95% CI 1.7-3.5). Independent of weight cycling status, age, and BMI, women who engaged in binge eating gained approximately 5 lbs more than their peers (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Weight cycling was associated with greater weight gain, less physical activity, and a higher prevalence of binge eating. Low levels of activity and binge eating may be partially responsible for the large amount of weight regained by weight cyclers.

Adult↗

Changes in intake of fruits and vegetables in relation to risk of obesity and weight gain among middle-aged women.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the changes in intake of fruits and vegetables in relation to risk of obesity and weight gain among middle-aged women. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with 12 y of follow-up conducted in the Nurses' Health Study. SUBJECTS: A total of 74,063 female nurses aged 38-63 y, who were free of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and diabetes at baseline in 1984. MEASUREMENTS: Dietary information was collected using a validated food frequency questionnaire, and body weight and height were self-reported. RESULTS: During the 12-y follow-up, participants tended to gain weight with aging, but those with the largest increase in fruit and vegetable intake had a 24% of lower risk of becoming obese (BMI> or =30 kg/m2) compared with those who had the largest decrease in intake after adjustment for age, physical activity, smoking, total energy intake, and other lifestyle variables (relative risk (RR), 0.76; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.69-0.86; P for trend <0.0001). For major weight gain (> or =25 kg), women with the largest increase in intake of fruits and vegetables had a 28% lower risk compared to those in the other extreme group (RR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.55-0.93; P=0.01). Similar results were observed for changes in intake of fruits and vegetables when analyzed separately. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that increasing intake of fruits and vegetables may reduce long-term risk of obesity and weight gain among middle-aged women.

Adult↗

Processed meat intake and incidence of Type 2 diabetes in younger and middle-aged women.

AIM/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between processed and other meat intake and incidence of Type 2 diabetes in a large cohort of women. METHODS: Incident cases of Type 2 diabetes were identified during 8 years of follow-up in a prospective cohort study of 91246 U.S. women aged 26 to 46 years and being free of diabetes and other major chronic diseases at baseline in 1991. RESULTS: We identified 741 incident cases of confirmed Type 2 diabetes during 716276 person-years of follow-up. The relative risk adjusted for potential non-dietary confounders was 1.91 (95% CI: 1.42-2.57) in women consuming processed meat five times or more a week compared with those consuming processed meat less than once a week ( p<0.001 for trend). Further adjustment for intakes of magnesium, cereal fibre, glycaemic index, and caffeine or for a Western dietary pattern did not appreciably change the results and associations remained strong after further adjustment for fatty acid and cholesterol intake. Frequent consumption of bacon, hot dogs, and sausage was each associated with an increased risk of diabetes. While total red meat (beef or lamb as main dish, pork as main dish, hamburger, beef, pork or lamb as sandwich or mixed dish) intake was associated with an increased risk of diabetes, this association was attenuated after adjustment for magnesium, cereal fiber, glycaemic index, and caffeine (relative risk: 1.44; 95% CI: 0.92-2.24). CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION: Our data suggest that diets high in processed meats could increase the risk for developing Type 2 diabetes.

Adult↗

Randomised beta-carotene supplementation and incidence of cancer and cardiovascular disease in women: is the association modified by baseline plasma level?

In a nested case-control study of 513 women with cancer; 130 with cardiovascular disease and equal numbers of controls, we found no effect of randomised beta-carotene on risk of cancer or cardiovascular disease within any quartile of baseline plasma beta-carotene, nor was there a trend across quartiles (P for trend 0.15 and 0.62, respectively).

Aged↗

Long or highly irregular menstrual cycles as a marker for risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus.

CONTEXT: Although oligomenorrhea has been associated cross-sectionally with insulin resistance and glucose intolerance, it is not known whether oligomenorrhea is a marker for increased future risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). OBJECTIVE: To prospectively assess risk of type 2 DM in women with a history of long or highly irregular menstrual cycles. DESIGN AND SETTING: The Nurses' Health Study II, a prospective observational cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 101 073 women who had no prior history of DM and who reported their usual menstrual cycle pattern at age 18 to 22 years on the baseline (1989) questionnaire. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Incident reports of DM, with follow-up through 1997, compared among women categorized by menstrual cycle length (5 categories). RESULTS: During 564 333 person-years of follow-up, there were 507 cases of type 2 DM. Compared with women with a usual cycle length of 26 to 31 days (referent category) at age 18 to 22 years, the relative risk (RR) of type 2 DM among women with a menstrual cycle length that was 40 days or more or was too irregular to estimate was 2.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.62-2.66), adjusting for body mass index at age 18 years and several other potential confounding variables. The RR of type 2 DM associated with long or highly irregular menstrual cycles was greater in obese women, but was also increased in nonobese women (at body mass indexes at age 18 years of <25, 25-29, and >/=30 kg/m, RRs were 1.67 [95% CI, 1.14-2.45], 1.74 [95% CI, 1.07-2.82], and 3.86 [95% CI, 2.33-6.38], respectively). CONCLUSION: Women with long or highly irregular menstrual cycles have a significantly increased risk for developing type 2 DM that is not completely explained by obesity.

Adult↗

A prospective evaluation of lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) levels and the risk of future cardiovascular events in women.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine prospectively whether lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A(2) (Lp-PLA(2)) was a predictor of future cardiovascular risk in women. BACKGROUND: Inflammatory markers may help predict cardiovascular risk. Lp-PLA(2) levels have recently been hypothesized to be an independent predictor of cardiovascular risk in hypercholesterolemic men. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, nested case-control study among 28,263 apparently healthy middle-aged women to assess the risk of death from coronary heart disease, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and stroke associated with baseline levels of Lp-PLA(2) over a mean follow-up of three years. RESULTS: In univariate analysis, mean levels of Lp-PLA(2) correlated strongly with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (r = 0.51; p = 0.0001), were lower among women currently using hormone replacement therapy (mean 0.98 mg/l vs. 1.23 mg/l; p = 0.0001) and were significantly higher at baseline among cases (n = 123) than controls (n = 123) (mean 1.20 mg/l vs. 1.05 mg/l; p = 0.016). However, the predictive value of Lp-PLA(2) was markedly attenuated after adjustment for these and other cardiovascular risk factors. Specifically, the multivariate relative risks of future cardiovascular events for women in the lowest (referent) to highest quartiles of Lp-PLA(2) were 1.00, 0.75, 0.64 and 1.17, respectively (all p values non-significant). In contrast, the adjusted relative risks of future cardiovascular events for each increasing quartile of C-reactive protein (another marker of low-grade inflammation) were 1.00, 1.78, 2.02 and 4.66, respectively (p-value for trend = 0.002). Inclusion of Lp-PLA(2) levels did not significantly attenuate this latter observation. CONCLUSIONS: In contrast to prior data among hyperlipidemic men, the current data suggest that Lp-PLA(2) is not a strong predictor of future cardiovascular risk among unselected women.

1-Alkyl-2-acetylglycerophosphocholine Esterase↗

Diet, lifestyle, and the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in women.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have examined individual dietary and lifestyle factors in relation to type 2 diabetes, but the combined effects of these factors are largely unknown. METHODS: We followed 84,941 female nurses from 1980 to 1996; these women were free of diagnosed cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and cancer at base line. Information about their diet and lifestyle was updated periodically. A low-risk group was defined according to a combination of five variables: a bodymass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) of less than 25; a diet high in cereal fiber and polyunsaturated fat and low in trans fat and glycemic load (which reflects the effect of diet on the blood glucose level); engagement in moderate-to-vigorous physical activity for at least half an hour per day; no current smoking; and the consumption of an average of at least half a drink of an alcoholic beverage per day. RESULTS: During 16 years of follow-up, we documented 3300 new cases of type 2 diabetes. Overweight or obesity was the single most important predictor of diabetes. Lack of exercise, a poor diet, current smoking, and abstinence from alcohol use were all associated with a significantly increased risk of diabetes, even after adjustment for the body-mass index. As compared with the rest of the cohort, women in the low-risk group (3.4 percent of the women) had a relative risk of diabetes of 0.09 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.05 to 0.17). A total of 91 percent of the cases of diabetes in this cohort (95 percent confidence interval, 83 to 95) could be attributed to habits and forms of behavior that did not conform to the low-risk pattern. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support the hypothesis that the vast majority of cases of type 2 diabetes could be prevented by the adoption of a healthier lifestyle.

Adult↗

The impact of diabetes mellitus on mortality from all causes and coronary heart disease in women: 20 years of follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Few data are available on the long-term impact of type 2 diabetes mellitus on total mortality and fatal coronary heart disease (CHD) in women. METHODS: We examined prospectively the impact of type 2 diabetes and history of prior CHD on mortality from all causes and CHD among 121 046 women aged 30 to 55 years with type 2 diabetes in the Nurses' Health Study who were followed up for 20 years from 1976 to 1996. RESULTS: During 20 years of follow-up, we documented 8464 deaths from all causes, including 1239 fatal CHD events. Compared with women with no diabetes or CHD at baseline, age-adjusted relative risks (RRs) of overall mortality were 3.39 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.08-3.73) for women with a history of diabetes and no CHD at baseline, 3.00 (95% CI, 2.50-3.60) for women with a history of CHD and no diabetes at baseline, and 6.84 (95% CI, 4.71-9.95) for women with both conditions at baseline. The corresponding age-adjusted RRs of fatal CHD across these 4 groups were 1.0, 8.70, 10.6, and 25.8, respectively. Multivariate adjustment for body mass index and other coronary risk factors only modestly attenuated the RRs. Compared with nondiabetic persons, the multivariate RRs of fatal CHD across categories of diabetes duration (< or =5, 6-10, 11-15, 16-25, >25 years) were 2.75, 3.63, 5.51, 6.38, and 11.9 (P< .001 for trend), respectively. The combination of prior CHD and a long duration of clinical diabetes (ie, >15 years) was associated with a 30-fold (95% CI, 20.7-43.5) increased risk of fatal CHD. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that among women, history of diabetes is associated with dramatically increased risks of death from all causes and fatal CHD. The combination of diabetes and prior CHD identifies particularly high-risk women.

Adult↗

C-reactive protein, interleukin 6, and risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus.

CONTEXT: Inflammation is hypothesized to play a role in development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM); however, clinical data addressing this issue are limited. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether elevated levels of the inflammatory markers interleukin 6 (IL-6) and C-reactive protein (CRP) are associated with development of type 2 DM in healthy middle-aged women. DESIGN: Prospective, nested case-control study. SETTING: The Women's Health Study, an ongoing US primary prevention, randomized clinical trial initiated in 1992. PARTICIPANTS: From a nationwide cohort of 27 628 women free of diagnosed DM, cardiovascular disease, and cancer at baseline, 188 women who developed diagnosed DM over a 4-year follow-up period were defined as cases and matched by age and fasting status with 362 disease-free controls. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence of confirmed clinically diagnosed type 2 DM by baseline levels of IL-6 and CRP. RESULTS: Baseline levels of IL-6 (P<.001) and CRP (P<.001) were significantly higher among cases than among controls. The relative risks of future DM for women in the highest vs lowest quartile of these inflammatory markers were 7.5 for IL-6 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.7-15.4) and 15.7 for CRP (95% CI, 6.5-37.9). Positive associations persisted after adjustment for body mass index, family history of diabetes, smoking, exercise, use of alcohol, and hormone replacement therapy; multivariate relative risks for the highest vs lowest quartiles were 2.3 for IL-6 (95% CI, 0.9-5.6; P for trend =.07) and 4.2 for CRP (95% CI, 1.5-12.0; P for trend =.001). Similar results were observed in analyses limited to women with a baseline hemoglobin A(1c) of 6.0% or less and after adjustment for fasting insulin level. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated levels of CRP and IL-6 predict the development of type 2 DM. These data support a possible role for inflammation in diabetogenesis.

Biomarkers↗

Postmenopausal hormone use and secondary prevention of coronary events in the nurses' health study. a prospective, observational study.

BACKGROUND: The Heart and Estrogen/progestin Replacement Study (HERS) was the first randomized clinical trial of combined hormone therapy and secondary prevention of coronary events. The trial had overall null results but reported an unexpected increased risk for recurrent events in the initial year, followed by a decrease during the final years. OBJECTIVE: To provide additional data on a time trend in risk for recurrent heart disease. DESIGN: A prospective, observational cohort study of secondary prevention of coronary heart disease. SETTING: Nurses' Health Study. PATIENTS: 2489 postmenopausal women with previous myocardial infarction or documented atherosclerosis; 213 cases of recurrent nonfatal myocardial infarction or coronary death were identified from 1976 through 1996. MEASUREMENTS: Information on hormone status and on recurrent disease was collected by using biennial questionnaires. Multivariable-adjusted relative risks and 95% CIs were calculated from logistic regression models. RESULTS: A trend of decreasing risk for recurrent major coronary heart disease events with increasing duration of hormone use was observed (P for trend = 0.002). For short-term current users, the multivariate-adjusted relative risk for major coronary heart disease was 1.25 (95% CI, 0.78 to 2.00) compared with never-users. However, after longer-term hormone use, the rate of second events was lower in current users than in never-users (relative risk, 0.38 [CI, 0.22 to 0.66]). No clear differences emerged between users of estrogen alone and users of estrogen combined with progestin. Overall, with up to 20 years of follow-up, the relative risk for a second event among current users of hormone therapy was 0.65 (CI, 0.45 to 0.95) compared with never-users. CONCLUSIONS: The risk for recurrent major coronary events seems to increase among short-term hormone users with previous coronary disease but to decrease with longer-term use.

Adult↗