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Biomedical subjects

J E Robertson

Publications and source records attributed to J E Robertson.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Outcome profiles of locoregional disease after radical prostatectomy and radiotherapy.

The purpose of the present study was to examine the outcome profiles of a large number of patients with locally advanced adenocarcinoma of the prostate following radical perineal prostatectomy (RPP) for clinically organ-confined disease. Of 1662 men who underwent RPP performed by a single surgeon between January 1972 and January 1999, 692 patients (41.6%) aged a median of 66.1 years were found to have extracapsular disease on pathological evaluation. The extent of disease was categorized as either specimen-confined (n = 355) or margin-positive (n = 337). The histological grade of the cancer was characterized using the Gleason score. Time to biochemical failure, defined as a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level of > or = 0.5 ng/ml, and cancer-associated survival were the end points of our outcome analysis using the Kaplan-Meier product-limit method. The median time to cancer-associated death for patients with specimen-confined and margin-positive disease was 18.5 and 13.1 years, respectively. After 5 years, 37% and 54% of the patients with specimen-confined and margin-positive disease, respectively, had PSA failure. Prostate cancer patients with a Gleason score of 5-6, 7, and 8-10 experienced a median time to cancer-associated death of 19.9, 19.2, and 10.5 years, respectively. A subset of patients undergoing adjunctive radiation therapy (XRT) relapsed biochemically after a median period of approximately 18 months. RPP provides a substantial disease-control benefit in patients with specimen-confined cancer. The time to biochemical failure and the time to cancer-associated death are significantly influenced by the biology of the underlying disease, necessitating long-term follow-up in the outcome analysis of any modality of treatment for prostate cancer. A benefit of early adjunctive XRT for local failure remains to be determined.

Adenocarcinoma↗

Radical perineal prostatectomy: oncological outcome during a 20-year period.

PURPOSE: We examined 4 postulates: 1) radical perineal prostatectomy provides a substantial disease control benefit in men with clinically confined prostate cancer, 2) postoperative prostate specific antigen (PSA) levels are an excellent surrogate end point for defining disease control, 3) the biology of primary malignancy defines the interval to death after recurrence and 4) the interval from intervention to death from recurrence is so long that current series of alternative curative therapies have insufficient duration of observation to permit a comparison with the results of surgery. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 1,242 men with a median age of 65.2 years who had stage cT1 to 2 N0M0 disease underwent radical perineal prostatectomy. The final pathology specimen was characterized in regard to disease extent, and Gleason grade and score. Patients were followed at 2 weeks, at 2 months and then at 6-month intervals for biochemical, physical and radiographic evidence of disease recurrence. Outcome was evaluated by determining time to biochemical failure (PSA 0.5 ng./ml. or greater) and cancer associated death. RESULTS: Median time to noncancer death was 19.3 years. Median cancer associated death end point was not reached by patients with organ and specimen confined disease, while it was 12.7 years for margin positive disease. At 5 years 8, 35 and 65% of the patients with organ confined, specimen confined and margin positive disease, respectively, had PSA failure. This served as an excellent surrogate end point, preceding cancer associated death by 5 to 12 years depending on the biological aggressiveness predicted by Gleason grade or score. Biologically aggressive organ confined disease that had been surgically removed was associated with a high percentage of disease-free survival. CONCLUSIONS: Our study confirms our postulates. It also provides guidelines for comparing therapies among institutions and emphasizes that enthusiasm for new treatments may be based on insufficient followup. Patient selection may severely bias outcome independent of treatment when death is used as the end point. Our study establishes the value of PSA as a surrogate end point.

Aged↗

Gluteus medius tendon tears and avulsive injuries in elderly women: imaging findings in six patients.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to describe the imaging findings of tears and avulsive injuries of the gluteus medius tendon in elderly women and to evaluate the importance of diagnosis and the implications of treatment in the realm of lateral hip pain. CONCLUSION: Elderly women are susceptible to a spectrum of gluteal tendon abnormalities of the hip, notably tears and avulsive injuries of the gluteus medius tendon, that can be a cause of lateral hip pain and may be underdiagnosed or misdiagnosed. The MR imaging findings of this entity are instrumental in establishing the correct diagnosis in the setting of lateral hip pain and initiating appropriate treatment.

Aged↗

Surgical control of clinically localized prostate carcinoma is equivalent in African-American and white males.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have compared the outcome of radical prostatectomy between African-American males (AAM) and white males, and the results of the few studies that have are conflicting. Therefore, the authors examined the impact of radical surgery on localized prostate carcinoma in both patient populations, and assessed whether stratification by pathologic extent of local disease would yield an equivalent outcome. METHODS: Prostate specific antigen (PSA) failure and carcinoma-associated death rates were assessed in 1319 patients (115 AAM and 1204 white males), 872 of whom had a pretreatment serum PSA level taken. The percent of prostate involved by tumor, tumor wet weight, and DNA ploidy status were available in 755, 522, and 638 patients, respectively. RESULTS: AAM were diagnosed at an earlier age than white males (62.8 years vs. 65.4 years; P = 0.0001). The distribution of pathologic extent of local disease was similar in both races, and AAM had a statistically higher rate of tumors with a Gleason sum of 7-10 at surgery than white males (64% vs. 46%). Race did not play a role in the outcome of patients with organ-confined or specimen-confined tumors. However, in patients with positive surgical margins, the median time to PSA failure and the median carcinoma-associated survival were less in AAM compared with white males. Tumor volume was significantly larger in AAM compared with white males. After multivariate adjustment for the pathologic extent of local disease, tumor grade at surgery, preoperative PSA, tumor volume, and age, African-American race was not a significant prognostic indicator for carcinoma-associated death and PSA failure (P = 0.17 and 0.14, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The outcome of radical prostatectomy was similar in both racial groups, although AAM with positive surgical margins tended to fail earlier than white males, suggesting greater biologic aggressiveness of residual disease. Because local extent of disease impacts on PSA failure and survival, and because the disease appears to present earlier in AAM, the AAM population may benefit from early detection programs.

Adult↗

Heinz body formation in cats fed baby food containing onion powder.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether cats fed baby food with onion powder develop Heinz bodies and anemia and to establish a dose-response relation between dietary onion powder content and Heinz body formation. DESIGN: Prospective study. ANIMALS: 42 healthy, adult, specific-pathogen-free cats. PROCEDURE: Commercial baby food with and without onion powder was fed to 2 groups of 6 cats for 5 weeks. Heinz body percentage, PCV, reticulocyte percentage, turbidity index, and methemoglobin and reduced glutathione concentrations were determined twice weekly and then weekly for 4 weeks following removal of the diet. For the dose-response study, 5 groups of 6 cats were fed a canned diet for 2 months that contained 0, 0.3, 0.75, 1.5, or 2.5% onion powder. Heinz body percentage, PCV, and reticulocyte percentage were determined twice weekly. RESULTS: Compared with cats fed baby food without onion powder, cats ingesting baby food with onion powder had significantly higher Heinz body percentages that peaked at 33 to 53%. Methemoglobin concentration also significantly increased but did not exceed 1.2%. Glutathione concentration, PCV, and food intake did not differ between the 2 groups. Rate and degree of Heinz body formation differed significantly between various onion powder concentrations fed. Compared with 0% onion powder, the diet with 2.5% onion powder caused a significant decrease in PCV and an increased punctate reticulocyte percentage. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Baby food or other foods containing similar amounts of onion powder should be avoided for use in cats because of Heinz body formation and the potential for development of anemia, particularly with high food intake. Cats with diseases associated with oxidative stress may develop additive hemoglobin damage when fed baby food containing onion powder.

Anemia, Hemolytic↗

ST segment changes following retinal surgery.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To describe the perioperative cardiac morbidity in adult patients undergoing retinal surgery using continuous Holter monitoring. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: University hospital. PATIENTS: 56 patients scheduled for elective retinal surgery with local anesthesia. INTERVENTIONS: Patients were monitored continuously for 24 hours using a Holter recorder. Blood samples for creatine phosphokinase (CPK) and serum myocardial creatine phosphokinase (CPK-MB) were taken preoperatively and 24 hours postoperatively. The characteristics of myocardial ischemia were compared according to the number of risk factors for ischemic heart disease. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The overall incidence of perioperative myocardial ischemia was high: 26.7% (n = 15). These patients exhibited 41 episodes of ischemia with mean ST segment change from baseline of 2.2+/-0.7 mm. However, almost all (93.3%) ischemic episodes were silent. Patients with two risk factors or more had 77% more episodes of ischemia than patients with one risk factor (p < 0.005), and the duration of ischemia was 47+/-22.5 minutes compared with 34.8+/-27.5 minutes (p = NS). The first episode of ischemia occurred an average of 10 hours after surgery. No patient had intraoperative evidence of ischemia. Half of the ischemic episodes were associated with an increase in heart rate. No patient had evidence of acute myocardial infarction. CONCLUSION: Retinal surgery with local anesthesia is accompanied by a high incidence of postoperative myocardial ischemia. No negative outcome was correlated to the occurrence of postoperative myocardial ischemia. The significance of these findings has yet to be evaluated.

Aged↗

Atrophic fundus lesions associated with untreated retinopathy of prematurity.

PURPOSE: To document that lacunar, atrophic lesions of the retinal pigment epithelium, previously reported as a complication of treatment, can result from the natural course of retinopathy of prematurity. METHODS: We reviewed photographs of patients diagnosed with retinopathy of prematurity at the Casey Eye Institute between 1979 and 1996. Lacunar atrophic lesions of the retinal pigment epithelium were correlated with the clinical records of the affected patients. RESULT: Three untreated eyes of three patients with retinopathy of prematurity had lacunar atrophic lesions of the retinal pigment epithelium. CONCLUSIONS: The spectrum of findings associated with untreated retinopathy of prematurity includes lacunar, atrophic lesions of the retinal pigment epithelium. These lesions are distinct from scars secondary to treatment and are possibly linked to macular dragging and exudative or serous retinal detachment.

Adult↗

Intravitreal injection of octreotide acetate.

This study was conducted to determine the feasibility of injecting the somatostatin analogue, octreotide acetate (OA), into the vitreous cavity. Previous work suggests that octreotide effectively inhibits angiogenesis in vitro, thus its use in vivo may slow the progression of proliferative eye disease. Fifty micrograms of aqueous OA in 50 microliters aqueous solution was injected into the mid-vitreous of kitten eyes (n = 6), and OA levels were monitored over 4 days. A long-acting release form of octreotide (OA-LAR) was also injected into the mid-vitreous of rabbit eyes at doses of 0.36 (n = 16), 1.1 (n = 1), 2.1 (n = 1), 4.05 (n = 1), 8.2 (n = 1), and 36 mg (n = 3) in solution; and octreotide concentrations were measured at various time points over 42 days. OA concentrations were determined by a highly specific radioimmunoassay. Aqueous octreotide was eliminated rapidly (t1/2 = 16 hours) from the vitreous of the kitten eye, with only negligible amounts recoverable 4 days post-injection. In the long-acting form, OA in the rabbit eye reached peak levels at 28 days. By 42 days, OA levels had declined to the 14-day level. Doses of OA-LAR of 1.1 mg or less produced no gross evidence of clinical toxicity and elicited no grossly visible ocular side effects. Doses greater than 1.1 mg produced significant toxicity, including cataracts and rubeosis. The 28-day peak release for long-acting OA implies that monthly intravitreal injections could provide continual high levels of OA. Intravitreal injection of long-acting OA provides sustained, high concentrations of drug, and deserves further study as a potential treatment of proliferative eye diseases.

Animals↗

Time course of growth factor staining in a rabbit model of traumatic tractional retinal detachment.

BACKGROUND: This study examined the relationship between growth factor expression and cellular proliferation during the evolution of traumatic tractional retinal detachment (TRD) in a rabbit model. METHODS: TRD was induced in 15 pigmented rabbits by treating the inferior retina with cryopexy and making a scleral incision superiorly. Sections from varied time points were stained in the same assay with mouse monoclonal antibodies (MAb) specific for basic fibroblastic growth factor (bFGF) and platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF-BB/AB). RESULTS: Initially, the eyes exhibited intense vitritis; discrete membranes were present at 7 days and progressed to tractional retinal detachment at 17 and 28 days, after which there was no clinical change. At 6 and 24 h, bFGF, PDGF, and proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) were not detectable in membranes or wound sites (except for PDGF-positive inflammatory cells). On days 7, 17, 28, and 52, bFGF and PDGF were readily detectable in most membranes. Cellular proliferation as detected by PCNA staining was also present on days 7, 17, and 28, but was absent by day 52 despite growth factor staining. At all times, PCNA staining, which was most intense at the wound site, showed only limited correlation with staining for either growth factor for individual cells. Müller cells stained positively for PDGF-BB/AB in 13 of the 15 TRD eyes, but in none of the normal eyes. CONCLUSIONS: Since cellular proliferation correlated incompletely with the staining for bFGF and PDGF, these growth factors may not account exclusively for cellular proliferation within the membrane. Their distribution, however, including PDGF staining of Müller cells and bFGF staining at the vitreous-membrane interface, suggests that they may have roles in the pathogenesis of TRD.

Animals↗

Moisture droplet formation on the posterior surface of intraocular lenses during fluid/air exchange.

We investigated the conditions under which moisture droplets would form on intraocular lens (IOL) posterior surfaces during fluid/air exchange procedures in rabbits implanted with silicone or poly(methyl methacrylate) (PMMA) IOLs. Moisture droplets did not form when the posterior capsule was intact, regardless of IOL material or infusion fluid temperature. If a capsular tear was present, droplets formed with both IOL materials when balanced salt solution (BSS) at ambient temperature was used as the infusion fluid. This effect was significantly more pronounced with silicone IOLs, resulting in an immediate loss of visualization of the fundus. In these cases, visualization was quickly restored by applying a viscoelastic to the posterior IOL surface.

Animals↗

Natural course of perfused central retinal vein occlusion.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the visual prognosis in perfused (nonischemic) central retinal vein occlusion (CRVO), to determine the frequency of conversion from perfused to nonperfused CRVO, and to identify risk factors for poor visual outcome. DESIGN: Case series. SETTING: Retina referral centre in Portland, Ore. PATIENTS: Fifty-eight patients (59 eyes) with perfused CRVO followed for at least 1 year (average 2.5 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Visual acuity, progression to nonperfused CRVO. RESULTS: At the final follow-up visit the visual acuity had improved by two or more lines in 9 eyes (15%), remained the same in 33 eyes (56%) and decreased by two or more lines in 17 eyes (29%). Factors significantly related to visual outcome were initial visual acuity (p = 0.0001) and age, older patients having a worse visual outcome (p = 0.0029). Nine eyes (15%) progressed to nonperfused CRVO. None of the factors analysed, including age, sex, duration of symptoms and initial visual acuity, were predictive of progression. CONCLUSIONS: Perfused CRVO frequently results in significant, permanent visual loss, and a poor visual outcome is most likely in older patients and those with poor initial visual acuity.

Adult↗

Acute retinal necrosis caused by reactivation of herpes simplex virus type 2.

Acute retinal necrosis is a severe form of necrotizing retinitis. Acute retinal necrosis has been demonstrated to be caused by varicella-zoster virus and herpes simplex virus type 1. We treated three patients with acute retinal necrosis apparently caused by recrudescence of latent herpes simplex virus type 2. Primary viral infection was probably congenital, with documented perinatal herpes simplex virus type 2 infection in two patients. Bilateral chorioretinal scars were present in two patients, neither of whom had a history of ocular herpetic infection, suggesting that earlier subclinical chorioretinitis had occurred. In each case, periocular trauma preceded the development of retinitis by two to three weeks. These cases are evidently caused by trauma-induced reactivation of latent virus rather than the onset of a primary infection.

Acyclovir↗

Clinical variables which serve as predictors of cancer-specific survival among patients treated with radical cystectomy for transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder and prostate.

BACKGROUND: Studies have demonstrated conclusively that the stage and grade of transitional cell tumors at presentation are major determinants of survival for those with the disease in the bladder and prostate. The authors initiated a review of 531 patients with transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder and prostate treated with radical cystectomy between 1969 and 1990 to identify other clinical features predictive of cancer-specific survival. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Inpatient and clinical medical records were analyzed for age, race, gender, clinical T stage, medical history, and presenting symptoms and signs, and admission laboratory values were correlated with the patient's cancer-specific outcome. Both univariate and multivariate analyses of the various clinical factors were performed to identify variables predictive of cancer-specific survival. RESULTS: Univariate analysis indicated that clinical T classification, preoperative hemoglobin, tumor grade, irritative voiding symptoms, age, preoperative creatinine, obstructive hydronephrosis on preoperative excretory urography, a history of bladder tumors or nephrouretectomy for transitional cell cancer, prior urinary tract infections, prior pelvic irradiation, and obstructive symptoms were all predictive of poor cancer-specific survival. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that higher clinical T classification (T2, T3a, T3b, T4 versus Ta, Tis, T1) (P < 0.001), increasing age (< 65 years versus > or = 65 years) (P < 0.001), the presence of irritative voiding symptoms (P = 0.01), higher tumor grade, lower preoperative hemoglobin level (< or = 12 gm/dl versus > 12 gm/dl) (P < 0.001), higher preoperative creatinine level (> or = 1.5 mg/dl versus < 1.5 mg/dl) (P = 0.002), a history of nephroureterectomy for transitional cell cancer (P = 0.016), and a history of pelvic irradiation (P = 0.002) were all predictive of poor cancer-specific survival. CONCLUSIONS: Although clinical T classification and tumor grade remain the best predictors of survival in patients with transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder or prostate, clinical variables such as age, preoperative creatinine and hemoglobin levels, a history of nephroureterectomy or pelvic irradiation, and irritative voiding symptoms at presentation may provide additional prognostic information independent of tumor grade and stage.

Adult↗

Does radical prostatectomy in the presence of positive pelvic lymph nodes enhance survival?

A retrospective review was performed on all patients with stage D1 prostate cancer treated at Duke University Medical Center between 1975 and 1989. A total of 156 patients underwent staging pelvic lymph-node dissection for clinically organ-confined prostate cancer (stage A or B) but were found to have disease metastatic to the pelvic lymph nodes (stage D1). Of this population, 42 patients also underwent radical prostatectomy (group 1), leaving 114 who did not have their prostate removed (group 2). The median cancer-specific survival was 11.2 years for group 1 versus 5.8 years for group 2 (P = 0.005). In patients with one or two positive lymph nodes the median cancer-specific survival was 10.2 years for group 1 versus 5.9 years for group 2 (P = 0.015). There was no difference in survival if three or more lymph nodes were positive. Adjuvant treatment with immediate androgen deprivation and/or postoperative radiation therapy failed to improve the survival experience. The incidence of local problems, including stricture formation, bleeding, or regrowth of cancer requiring dilation or surgical intervention (transurethral prostatectomy) averaged 9.5% in group 1 and 24.6% in group 2. These data show that patients with limited node-positive disease selected for radical prostatectomy experience a survival advantage over those denied such therapy and that this advantage is independent of adjunctive therapy.

Aged↗

Expanding indications for conservative renal surgery in renal cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To more clearly define the selection criteria for conservative renal surgery in renal cell carcinoma. METHOD: The survival experience of 42 patients who underwent in situ partial nephrectomy (21), enucleation (18), or both (3) over an eighteen-year period was examined. The presence or a history of contralateral cancer, type of surgery, gender, grade, diameter of tumor, age at diagnosis, presenting symptoms, positive surgical margins, smoking history, and stage were examined with regard to prognostic significance. RESULTS: The five-year cancer-specific survival rates were 100 percent for those patients undergoing partial nephrectomy and 84 percent for those undergoing enucleation. The local recurrence rate was 4.8 percent (2/42) for the group, with both recurrences occurring in patients with von Hippel-Lindau disease. The mean diameter of tumor resected was 4.2 cm. Those patients found to have a positive surgical margin (6) had a significantly shorter disease-specific survival than those who did not (37) (p = 0.004), and those with a smoking history (23) had a significantly shorter survival than non-smokers (19) (p = 0.038). CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that both partial nephrectomy and enucleation are acceptable approaches to renal cell carcinoma in select cases, with survival rates that closely approximate those found in radical nephrectomy series. Renal carcinomas that are peripherally located and small in diameter (< or = 5 cm) are most appropriate for these procedures, and given the excellent results noted to date, the expanded use of these approaches to include very young patients and those with any disease process that may affect renal function is warranted. A positive surgical margin is an ominous pathologic finding and should be avoided by frozen section biopsy at surgery or possibly intraoperative ultrasonography. Additionally, smokers with renal cell carcinoma have a poorer disease-specific survival than non-smokers, further questioning a carcinogenic etiology in this disease.

Carcinoma, Renal Cell↗

Does of stage pT0 cystectomy specimen confer a survival advantage in patients with minimally invasive bladder cancer?

Controversy exists regarding the clinical significance of a pathological stage T0 (pT0) specimen found at cystectomy or after repeat transurethral resection for transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. Many investigators cite this subpopulation of patients as a reason to consider more conservative management, based on the premise that the patient may have benefited from the original transurethral resection. However, we questioned whether outcome would be improved in stage pT0 cancer patients or whether outcome in stage pT0 cases would parallel that noted when the original stage was equivalent to the final pathological stage. To test this hypothesis, we examined the survival advantage occasioned by a stage pT0 finding in 66 of 433 patients who underwent radical cystectomy for transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. Of the 433 patients studied 54 had clinical stage Tis or Ta, 166 clinical stage T1 and 213 clinical stage T2 disease. Within each of the 3 clinical groups (clinical stage Tis/Ta, clinical stage T1 and clinical stage T2) Kaplan-Meier survival projections were generated comparing patients with stage pT0 disease to those whose pathological stage was identical to the original clinical stage. Among the 54 clinical stage Tis/Ta cancer patients 11 with stage pT0 and 24 with stage pTis/pTa had survival projections of 90% of 5 years. Of 166 patients with clinical stage T1 disease 32 with stage pT0 and 78 with stage pT1 tumor had survival projections of 75% at 5 years. Among 213 patients with clinical stage T2 cancer 23 with stage pT0 and 71 with stage pT2 disease had survival projections of 68% at 5 years. The data suggest that a stage pT0 cystectomy specimen does not confer a survival advantage over that noted from the initiating population in which the final pathological stage and initial clinical stage are equivalent. A patient with a stage pT0 specimen functions, by survival analysis, in a manner similar to one with the stated clinical stage.

Adult↗

Radical cystectomy for stages Ta, Tis and T1 transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder.

Between January 1969 and January 1990, 531 patients underwent bilateral pelvic lymph node dissection and radical cystectomy for the management of transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder. Of these procedures 220 were performed for clinical stage Ta (31 patients), Tis (23) or T1 (166) disease, which was either high grade or recalcitrant to transurethral resection and/or intravesical chemotherapy. This subgroup of patients was studied to evaluate the outcome of recurrent or chemotherapy resistant superficial transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder after radical cystectomy. The operative mortality rate for the group was 2.3% and the overall complication rate was 20.4%. The pelvic recurrence rate was 5.9%. The 5-year cancer-specific survival rates for patients with pathological stage Ta (11), Tis (19), T0 (43) and T1 (91) disease were 88%, 100%, 80% and 76%, respectively. The 10-year cancer-specific survival rates were 75%, 92%, 66% and 62%, respectively. A total of 74 patients received preoperative radiation therapy (2,000 rad) but they had no better 5-year cancer-specific survival rates than did nonirradiated patients. Transurethral resection and/or preoperative radiation therapy resulted in a pathological status of T0 in 43 patients but this did not confer a survival advantage. Although bladder preservation is preferable, low operative mortality and pelvic recurrence rates, as well as new methods of continent urinary diversion continue to make radical cystectomy the definitive form of therapy for patients with superficial disease recalcitrant to transurethral therapy.

Adult↗

Long-term survivors in chronic granulocytic leukaemia: a study by the International CGL Prognosis Study Group. Italian Cooperative CML Study Group.

The purpose of the present work were to identify the initial characteristics associated with long-term survival in chronic granulocytic leukaemia (CGL) and to analyse the accuracy of prognostic models in identifying long-term survivors. 813 Philadelphia (Ph) chromosome-positive, nonblastic CGL patients from six American and European institutions, the majority treated conventionally, with a minimum follow-up > 10 years, were studied. Stepwise logistic regression was performed to ascertain the association between the initial clinicohaematological variables and survival > or = 8 years, and a prognostic index was derived. The usefulness of both Sokal's and the new prognostic index to identify long-term survivors was assessed by calculating their positive and negative predictive accuracies, sensitivity and specificity. Median survival of the series was 45 months (range 1-255), with 784 patients (96.4%) having died and 109 (13.4%) surviving 8 years or longer. Younger age, smaller spleen, platelets < or = 600 x 10(9)/l, and lower blood blast percentage were associated with survival > or = 8 years; platelets < or = 600 x 10(9)/l and lower blood blast percentage were the predictive factors in patients 50 years old or younger. Two-thirds of long survivors belonged to Sokal's low-risk group, but the positive predictive accuracy and specificity for prolonged survival of Sokal's index were very low. This was also the case for the new predictive index.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Adult↗